Multi-Organ System Metabolic Stress and Sex-Divergent Vascular Associations.

Introduction: Women experience excess cardiovascular risk compared to men in the setting of similar metabolic disease burden. This consistent finding could be related to sex differences in the vascular response to various forms of metabolic stress. In this study we examine the association of both systemic and organ-specific metabolic stress with vascular health in women and men. Methods: We conducted an observational study of 4,299 adult participants (52% women, aged 59±13 years) of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2017-2018 cohort and 110,225 adult outpatients (55% women, aged 64±16 years) of the Cedars-Sinai Medical Center (CSMC) 2019 cohort. We used natural splines to examine the association of systemic and organ-specific measures of metabolic stress including body mass index (BMI), hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), hepatic FIB-4 score, and CKD-EPI estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) on systolic blood pressure (SBP). Piecewise linear models were generated using normal value thresholds (BMI <25 kg/m 2 , HbA1c <5.7%, FIB-4 <1.3, and eGFR ≥90 ml/min), which approximated observed spline breakpoints. The primary outcome was increase in SBP (relative to a sex-specific physiologic baseline SBP) in association with increase in level of each metabolic measure. Results: Women compared to men demonstrated larger magnitudes and an earlier onset of increase in SBP per increment increase across all metabolic stress measures. The slope of SBP increase per increment of each metabolic measure was greater for women than men particularly for metabolic measures within the normal range, with slope differences of 1.71 mmHg per kg/m2 of BMI, 9.61 mmHg per %HbA1c, 6.45 mmHg per FIB-4 unit, and 0.37 mmHg per ml/min decrement of eGFR in the NHANES cohort (P difference <0.05 for all). Overall results were consistent in the CSMC cohort. Conclusions: Women exhibited greater vascular sensitivity in the setting of multiple types of metabolic stress, particularly in periods representing the transition from metabolic health to disease. These findings underscore the importance of involving early metabolic health interventions as part of efforts to mitigate vascular risks in both women and men.

Holistic AI analysis of hybrid cardiac perfusion images for mortality prediction.

Background: While low-dose computed tomography scans are traditionally used for attenuation correction in hybrid myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI), they also contain additional anatomic and pathologic information not utilized in clinical assessment. We seek to uncover the full potential of these scans utilizing a holistic artificial intelligence (AI)-driven image framework for image assessment. Methods: Patients with SPECT/CT MPI from 4 REFINE SPECT registry sites were studied. A multi-structure model segmented 33 structures and quantified 15 radiomics features for each on CT attenuation correction (CTAC) scans. Coronary artery calcium and epicardial adipose tissue scores were obtained from separate deep-learning models. Normal standard quantitative MPI features were derived by clinical software. Extreme Gradient Boosting derived all-cause mortality risk scores from SPECT, CT, stress test, and clinical features utilizing a 10-fold cross-validation regimen to separate training from testing data. The performance of the models for the prediction of all-cause mortality was evaluated using area under the receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUCs). Results: Of 10,480 patients, 5,745 (54.8%) were male, and median age was 65 (interquartile range [IQR] 57-73) years. During the median follow-up of 2.9 years (1.6-4.0), 651 (6.2%) patients died. The AUC for mortality prediction of the model (combining CTAC, MPI, and clinical data) was 0.80 (95% confidence interval [0.74-0.87]), which was higher than that of an AI CTAC model (0.78 [0.71-0.85]), and AI hybrid model (0.79 [0.72-0.86]) incorporating CTAC and MPI data (p<0.001 for all). Conclusion: In patients with normal perfusion, the comprehensive model (0.76 [0.65-0.86]) had significantly better performance than the AI CTAC (0.72 [0.61-0.83]) and AI hybrid (0.73 [0.62-0.84]) models (p<0.001, for all).CTAC significantly enhances AI risk stratification with MPI SPECT/CT beyond its primary role - attenuation correction. A comprehensive multimodality approach can significantly improve mortality prediction compared to MPI information alone in patients undergoing cardiac SPECT/CT.

Using Deep learning to Predict Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance Findings from Echocardiography Videos.

Background: Echocardiography is the most common modality for assessing cardiac structure and function. While cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging is less accessible, CMR can provide unique tissue characterization including late gadolinium enhancement (LGE), T1 and T2 mapping, and extracellular volume (ECV) which are associated with tissue fibrosis, infiltration, and inflammation. While deep learning has been shown to uncover findings not recognized by clinicians, it is unknown whether CMR-based tissue characteristics can be derived from echocardiography videos using deep learning. We hypothesized that deep learning applied to echocardiography could predict CMR-based measurements. Methods: In a retrospective single-center study, adult patients with CMRs and echocardiography studies within 30 days were included. A video-based convolutional neural network was trained on echocardiography videos to predict CMR-derived labels including wall motion abnormality (WMA) presence, LGE presence, and abnormal T1, T2 or ECV across echocardiography views. The model performance was evaluated in a held-out test dataset not used for training. Results: The study population included 1,453 adult patients (mean age 56±18 years, 42% female) with 2,556 paired echocardiography studies occurring on average 2 days after CMR (interquartile range 2 days prior to 6 days after). The model had high predictive capability for presence of WMA (AUC 0.873 [95%CI 0.816-0.922]), however, the model was unable to reliably detect the presence of LGE (AUC 0.699 [0.613-0.780]), native T1 (AUC 0.614 [0.500-0.715]), T2 0.553 [0.420-0.692], or ECV 0.564 [0.455-0.691]). Conclusions: Deep learning applied to echocardiography accurately identified CMR-based WMA, but was unable to predict tissue characteristics, suggesting that signal for these tissue characteristics may not be present within ultrasound videos, and that the use of CMR for tissue characterization remains essential within cardiology. Clinical Perspective: Tissue characterization of the heart muscle is useful for clinical diagnosis and prognosis by identifying myocardial fibrosis, inflammation, and infiltration, and can be measured using cardiac MRI. While echocardiography is highly accessible and provides excellent functional information, its ability to provide tissue characterization information is limited at this time. Our study using a deep learning approach to predict cardiac MRI-based tissue characteristics from echocardiography showed limited ability to do so, suggesting that alternative approaches, including non-deep learning methods should be considered in future research.

Vision-language foundation model for echocardiogram interpretation.

The development of robust artificial intelligence models for echocardiography has been limited by the availability of annotated clinical data. Here, to address this challenge and improve the performance of cardiac imaging models, we developed EchoCLIP, a vision-language foundation model for echocardiography, that learns the relationship between cardiac ultrasound images and the interpretations of expert cardiologists across a wide range of patients and indications for imaging. After training on 1,032,975 cardiac ultrasound videos and corresponding expert text, EchoCLIP performs well on a diverse range of benchmarks for cardiac image interpretation, despite not having been explicitly trained for individual interpretation tasks. EchoCLIP can assess cardiac function (mean absolute error of 7.1% when predicting left ventricular ejection fraction in an external validation dataset) and identify implanted intracardiac devices (area under the curve (AUC) of 0.84, 0.92 and 0.97 for pacemakers, percutaneous mitral valve repair and artificial aortic valves, respectively). We also developed a long-context variant (EchoCLIP-R) using a custom tokenizer based on common echocardiography concepts. EchoCLIP-R accurately identified unique patients across multiple videos (AUC of 0.86), identified clinical transitions such as heart transplants (AUC of 0.79) and cardiac surgery (AUC 0.77) and enabled robust image-to-text search (mean cross-modal retrieval rank in the top 1% of candidate text reports). These capabilities represent a substantial step toward understanding and applying foundation models in cardiovascular imaging for preliminary interpretation of echocardiographic findings.

Artificial Intelligence in Cardiovascular Care - Part 2: Applications: JACC Review Topic of the Week.

Recent Artificial Intelligence (AI) advancements in cardiovascular care offer potential enhancements in effective diagnosis, treatment, and outcomes. Over 600 Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved clinical AI algorithms now exist, with 10% focusing on cardiovascular applications, highlighting the growing opportunities for AI to augment care. This review discusses the latest advancements in the field of AI, with a particular focus on the utilization of multimodal inputs and the field of generative AI. Further discussions in this review involve an approach to understanding the larger context in which AI-augmented care may exist, and include a discussion of the need for rigorous evaluation, appropriate infrastructure for deployment, ethics and equity assessments, regulatory oversight, and viable business cases for deployment. Embracing this rapidly evolving technology while setting an appropriately high evaluation benchmark with careful and patient-centered implementation will be crucial for cardiology to leverage AI to enhance patient care and the provider experience.

Artificial Intelligence for Cardiovascular Care - Part 1: Advances: JACC Review Topic of the Week.

Recent AI advancements in cardiovascular care offer potential enhancements in diagnosis, treatment, and outcomes. Innovations to date focus on automating measurements, enhancing image quality, and detecting diseases using novel methods. Applications span wearables, electrocardiograms, echocardiography, angiography, genetics, and more. AI models detect diseases from electrocardiograms at accuracy not previously achieved by technology or human experts, including reduced ejection fraction, valvular heart disease, and other cardiomyopathies. However, AI's unique characteristics necessitates rigorous validation by addressing training methods, real-world efficacy, equity concerns, and long-term reliability. Despite an exponentially growing number of studies in cardiovascular AI, trials showing improvement in outcomes remain lacking. A number are currently underway. Embracing this rapidly evolving technology while setting a high evaluation benchmark will be crucial for cardiology to leverage AI to enhance patient care and the provider experience.

A Multimodal Video-Based AI Biomarker for Aortic Stenosis Development and Progression.

Importance: Aortic stenosis (AS) is a major public health challenge with a growing therapeutic landscape, but current biomarkers do not inform personalized screening and follow-up. A video-based artificial intelligence (AI) biomarker (Digital AS Severity index [DASSi]) can detect severe AS using single-view long-axis echocardiography without Doppler characterization. Objective: To deploy DASSi to patients with no AS or with mild or moderate AS at baseline to identify AS development and progression. Design, Setting, and Participants: This is a cohort study that examined 2 cohorts of patients without severe AS undergoing echocardiography in the Yale New Haven Health System (YNHHS; 2015-2021) and Cedars-Sinai Medical Center (CSMC; 2018-2019). A novel computational pipeline for the cross-modal translation of DASSi into cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging was further developed in the UK Biobank. Analyses were performed between August 2023 and February 2024. Exposure: DASSi (range, 0-1) derived from AI applied to echocardiography and CMR videos. Main Outcomes and Measures: Annualized change in peak aortic valve velocity (AV-Vmax) and late (>6 months) aortic valve replacement (AVR). Results: A total of 12 599 participants were included in the echocardiographic study (YNHHS: n = 8798; median [IQR] age, 71 [60-80] years; 4250 [48.3%] women; median [IQR] follow-up, 4.1 [2.4-5.4] years; and CSMC: n = 3801; median [IQR] age, 67 [54-78] years; 1685 [44.3%] women; median [IQR] follow-up, 3.4 [2.8-3.9] years). Higher baseline DASSi was associated with faster progression in AV-Vmax (per 0.1 DASSi increment: YNHHS, 0.033 m/s per year [95% CI, 0.028-0.038] among 5483 participants; CSMC, 0.082 m/s per year [95% CI, 0.053-0.111] among 1292 participants), with values of 0.2 or greater associated with a 4- to 5-fold higher AVR risk than values less than 0.2 (YNHHS: 715 events; adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 4.97 [95% CI, 2.71-5.82]; CSMC: 56 events; adjusted HR, 4.04 [95% CI, 0.92-17.70]), independent of age, sex, race, ethnicity, ejection fraction, and AV-Vmax. This was reproduced across 45 474 participants (median [IQR] age, 65 [59-71] years; 23 559 [51.8%] women; median [IQR] follow-up, 2.5 [1.6-3.9] years) undergoing CMR imaging in the UK Biobank (for participants with DASSi ≥0.2 vs those with DASSi <.02, adjusted HR, 11.38 [95% CI, 2.56-50.57]). Saliency maps and phenome-wide association studies supported associations with cardiac structure and function and traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of patients without severe AS undergoing echocardiography or CMR imaging, a new AI-based video biomarker was independently associated with AS development and progression, enabling opportunistic risk stratification across cardiovascular imaging modalities as well as potential application on handheld devices.

Deep learning evaluation of echocardiograms to identify occult atrial fibrillation.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) often escapes detection, given its frequent paroxysmal and asymptomatic presentation. Deep learning of transthoracic echocardiograms (TTEs), which have structural information, could help identify occult AF. We created a two-stage deep learning algorithm using a video-based convolutional neural network model that (1) distinguished whether TTEs were in sinus rhythm or AF and then (2) predicted which of the TTEs in sinus rhythm were in patients who had experienced AF within 90 days. Our model, trained on 111,319 TTE videos, distinguished TTEs in AF from those in sinus rhythm with high accuracy in a held-out test cohort (AUC 0.96 (0.95-0.96), AUPRC 0.91 (0.90-0.92)). Among TTEs in sinus rhythm, the model predicted the presence of concurrent paroxysmal AF (AUC 0.74 (0.71-0.77), AUPRC 0.19 (0.16-0.23)). Model discrimination remained similar in an external cohort of 10,203 TTEs (AUC of 0.69 (0.67-0.70), AUPRC 0.34 (0.31-0.36)). Performance held across patients who were women (AUC 0.76 (0.72-0.81)), older than 65 years (0.73 (0.69-0.76)), or had a CHA2DS2VASc ≥2 (0.73 (0.79-0.77)). The model performed better than using clinical risk factors (AUC 0.64 (0.62-0.67)), TTE measurements (0.64 (0.62-0.67)), left atrial size (0.63 (0.62-0.64)), or CHA2DS2VASc (0.61 (0.60-0.62)). An ensemble model in a cohort subset combining the TTE model with an electrocardiogram (ECGs) deep learning model performed better than using the ECG model alone (AUC 0.81 vs. 0.79, p = 0.01). Deep learning using TTEs can predict patients with active or occult AF and could be used for opportunistic AF screening that could lead to earlier treatment.

Deep learning to detect left ventricular structural abnormalities in chest X-rays.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Early identification of cardiac structural abnormalities indicative of heart failure is crucial to improving patient outcomes. Chest X-rays (CXRs) are routinely conducted on a broad population of patients, presenting an opportunity to build scalable screening tools for structural abnormalities indicative of Stage B or worse heart failure with deep learning methods. In this study, a model was developed to identify severe left ventricular hypertrophy (SLVH) and dilated left ventricle (DLV) using CXRs. METHODS: A total of 71 589 unique CXRs from 24 689 different patients completed within 1 year of echocardiograms were identified. Labels for SLVH, DLV, and a composite label indicating the presence of either were extracted from echocardiograms. A deep learning model was developed and evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Performance was additionally validated on 8003 CXRs from an external site and compared against visual assessment by 15 board-certified radiologists. RESULTS: The model yielded an AUROC of 0.79 (0.76-0.81) for SLVH, 0.80 (0.77-0.84) for DLV, and 0.80 (0.78-0.83) for the composite label, with similar performance on an external data set. The model outperformed all 15 individual radiologists for predicting the composite label and achieved a sensitivity of 71% vs. 66% against the consensus vote across all radiologists at a fixed specificity of 73%. CONCLUSIONS: Deep learning analysis of CXRs can accurately detect the presence of certain structural abnormalities and may be useful in early identification of patients with LV hypertrophy and dilation. As a resource to promote further innovation, 71 589 CXRs with adjoining echocardiographic labels have been made publicly available.

Deep Learning-Derived Myocardial Strain.

BACKGROUND: Echocardiographic strain measurements require extensive operator experience and have significant intervendor variability. Creating an automated, open-source, vendor-agnostic method to retrospectively measure global longitudinal strain (GLS) from standard echocardiography B-mode images would greatly improve post hoc research applications and may streamline patient analyses. OBJECTIVES: This study was seeking to develop an automated deep learning strain (DLS) analysis pipeline and validate its performance across multiple applications and populations. METHODS: Interobserver/-vendor variation of traditional GLS, and simulated effects of variation in contour on speckle-tracking measurements were assessed. The DLS pipeline was designed to take semantic segmentation results from EchoNet-Dynamic and derive longitudinal strain by calculating change in the length of the left ventricular endocardial contour. DLS was evaluated for agreement with GLS on a large external dataset and applied across a range of conditions that result in cardiac hypertrophy. RESULTS: In patients scanned by 2 sonographers using 2 vendors, GLS had an intraclass correlation of 0.29 (95% CI: -0.01 to 0.53, P = 0.03) between vendor measurements and 0.63 (95% CI: 0.48-0.74, P < 0.001) between sonographers. With minor changes in initial input contour, step-wise pixel shifts resulted in a mean absolute error of 3.48% and proportional strain difference of 13.52% by a 6-pixel shift. In external validation, DLS maintained moderate agreement with 2-dimensional GLS (intraclass correlation coefficient [ICC]: 0.56, P = 0.002) with a bias of -3.31% (limits of agreement: -11.65% to 5.02%). The DLS method showed differences (P < 0.0001) between populations with cardiac hypertrophy and had moderate agreement in a patient population of advanced cardiac amyloidosis: ICC was 0.64 (95% CI: 0.53-0.72), P < 0.001, with a bias of 0.57%, limits of agreement of -4.87% to 6.01% vs 2-dimensional GLS. CONCLUSIONS: The open-source DLS provides lower variation than human measurements and similar quantitative results. The method is rapid, consistent, vendor-agnostic, publicly released, and applicable across a wide range of imaging qualities.

AI-ENABLED ASSESSMENT OF CARDIAC FUNCTION AND VIDEO QUALITY IN EMERGENCY DEPARTMENT POINT-OF-CARE ECHOCARDIOGRAMS.

BACKGROUND: The adoption of point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) has greatly improved the ability to rapidly evaluate unstable emergency department (ED) patients at the bedside. One major use of POCUS is to obtain echocardiograms to assess cardiac function. OBJECTIVES: We developed EchoNet-POCUS, a novel deep learning system, to aid emergency physicians (EPs) in interpreting POCUS echocardiograms and to reduce operator-to-operator variability. METHODS: We collected a new dataset of POCUS echocardiogram videos obtained in the ED by EPs and annotated the cardiac function and quality of each video. Using this dataset, we train EchoNet-POCUS to evaluate both cardiac function and video quality in POCUS echocardiograms. RESULTS: EchoNet-POCUS achieves an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.92 (0.89-0.94) for predicting whether cardiac function is abnormal and an AUROC of 0.81 (0.78-0.85) for predicting video quality. CONCLUSIONS: EchoNet-POCUS can be applied to bedside echocardiogram videos in real time using commodity hardware, as we demonstrate in a prospective pilot study.

Sex Differences in Association of Physical Activity With All-Cause and Cardiovascular Mortality.

BACKGROUND: Although physical activity is widely recommended for reducing cardiovascular and all-cause mortality risks, female individuals consistently lag behind male individuals in exercise engagement. OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to evaluate whether physical activity derived health benefits may differ by sex. METHODS: In a prospective study of 412,413 U.S. adults (55% female, age 44 ± 17 years) who provided survey data on leisure-time physical activity, we examined sex-specific multivariable-adjusted associations of physical activity measures (frequency, duration, intensity, type) with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality from 1997 through 2019. RESULTS: During 4,911,178 person-years of follow-up, there were 39,935 all-cause deaths including 11,670 cardiovascular deaths. Regular leisure-time physical activity compared with inactivity was associated with 24% (HR: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.73-0.80) and 15% (HR: 0.85; 95% CI: 0.82-0.89) lower risk of all-cause mortality in women and men, respectively (Wald F = 12.0, sex interaction P < 0.001). Men reached their maximal survival benefit of HR 0.81 from 300 min/wk of moderate-to-vigorous physical activity, whereas women achieved similar benefit at 140 min/wk and then continued to reach a maximum survival benefit of HR 0.76 also at ∼300 min/wk. Sex-specific findings were similar for cardiovascular death (Wald F = 20.1, sex interaction P < 0.001) and consistent across all measures of aerobic activity as well as muscle strengthening activity (Wald F = 6.7, sex interaction P = 0.009). CONCLUSIONS: Women compared with men derived greater gains in all-cause and cardiovascular mortality risk reduction from equivalent doses of leisure-time physical activity. These findings could enhance efforts to close the "gender gap" by motivating especially women to engage in any regular leisure-time physical activity.

An ECG-based artificial intelligence model for assessment of sudden cardiac death risk.

BACKGROUND: Conventional ECG-based algorithms could contribute to sudden cardiac death (SCD) risk stratification but demonstrate moderate predictive capabilities. Deep learning (DL) models use the entire digital signal and could potentially improve predictive power. We aimed to train and validate a 12 lead ECG-based DL algorithm for SCD risk assessment. METHODS: Out-of-hospital SCD cases were prospectively ascertained in the Portland, Oregon, metro area. A total of 1,827 pre- cardiac arrest 12 lead ECGs from 1,796 SCD cases were retrospectively collected and analyzed to develop an ECG-based DL model. External validation was performed in 714 ECGs from 714 SCD cases from Ventura County, CA. Two separate control group samples were obtained from 1342 ECGs taken from 1325 individuals of which at least 50% had established coronary artery disease. The DL model was compared with a previously validated conventional 6 variable ECG risk model. RESULTS: The DL model achieves an AUROC of 0.889 (95% CI 0.861-0.917) for the detection of SCD cases vs. controls in the internal held-out test dataset, and is successfully validated in external SCD cases with an AUROC of 0.820 (0.794-0.847). The DL model performs significantly better than the conventional ECG model that achieves an AUROC of 0.712 (0.668-0.756) in the internal and 0.743 (0.711-0.775) in the external cohort. CONCLUSIONS: An ECG-based DL model distinguishes SCD cases from controls with improved accuracy and performs better than a conventional ECG risk model. Further detailed investigation is warranted to evaluate how the DL model could contribute to improved SCD risk stratification.

Sudden cardiac death (SCD) occurs when there are problems with the electrical activity within the heart. It is a common cause of death throughout the world so it would be beneficial to be able to easily identify individuals that are at high risk of SCD. Electrocardiograms are a cheap and widely available way to measure electrical activity in the heart. We developed a computational method that can use electrocardiograms to determine whether a person is at increased risk of having a SCD. Our computational method could allow clinicians to screen large numbers of people and identify those at a higher risk of SCD. This could enable regular monitoring of these people and might enable SCDs to be prevented in some individuals.

Machine Learning and Bias in Medical Imaging: Opportunities and Challenges.

Bias in health care has been well documented and results in disparate and worsened outcomes for at-risk groups. Medical imaging plays a critical role in facilitating patient diagnoses but involves multiple sources of bias including factors related to access to imaging modalities, acquisition of images, and assessment (ie, interpretation) of imaging data. Machine learning (ML) applied to diagnostic imaging has demonstrated the potential to improve the quality of imaging-based diagnosis and the precision of measuring imaging-based traits. Algorithms can leverage subtle information not visible to the human eye to detect underdiagnosed conditions or derive new disease phenotypes by linking imaging features with clinical outcomes, all while mitigating cognitive bias in interpretation. Importantly, however, the application of ML to diagnostic imaging has the potential to either reduce or propagate bias. Understanding the potential gain as well as the potential risks requires an understanding of how and what ML models learn. Common risks of propagating bias can arise from unbalanced training, suboptimal architecture design or selection, and uneven application of models. Notwithstanding these risks, ML may yet be applied to improve gain from imaging across all 3A's (access, acquisition, and assessment) for all patients. In this review, we present a framework for understanding the balance of opportunities and challenges for minimizing bias in medical imaging, how ML may improve current approaches to imaging, and what specific design considerations should be made as part of efforts to maximize the quality of health care for all.

Blood pressure variability supersedes heart rate variability as a real-world measure of dementia risk.

Blood pressure variability (BPV) and heart rate variability (HRV) have been associated with Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementias (ADRD) in rigorously controlled studies. However, the extent to which BPV and HRV may offer predictive information in real-world, routine clinical care is unclear. In a retrospective cohort study of 48,204 adults (age 54.9 ± 17.5 years, 60% female) receiving continuous care at a single center, we derived BPV and HRV from routinely collected clinical data. We use multivariable Cox models to evaluate the association of BPV and HRV, separately and in combination, with incident ADRD. Over a median 3 [2.4, 3.0] years, there were 443 cases of new-onset ADRD. We found that clinically derived measures of BPV, but not HRV, were consistently associated with incident ADRD. In combined analyses, only patients in both the highest quartile of BPV and lowest quartile of HRV had increased ADRD risk (HR 2.34, 95% CI 1.44-3.81). These results indicate that clinically derived BPV, rather than HRV, offers a consistent and readily available metric for ADRD risk assessment in a real-world patient care setting. Thus, implementation of BPV as a widely accessible tool could allow clinical providers to efficiently identify patients most likely to benefit from comprehensive ADRD screening.

Deep learning for transesophageal echocardiography view classification.

Transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) imaging is a vital tool used in the evaluation of complex cardiac pathology and the management of cardiac surgery patients. A key limitation to the application of deep learning strategies to intraoperative and intraprocedural TEE data is the complexity and unstructured nature of these images. In the present study, we developed a deep learning-based, multi-category TEE view classification model that can be used to add structure to intraoperative and intraprocedural TEE imaging data. More specifically, we trained a convolutional neural network (CNN) to predict standardized TEE views using labeled intraoperative and intraprocedural TEE videos from Cedars-Sinai Medical Center (CSMC). We externally validated our model on intraoperative TEE videos from Stanford University Medical Center (SUMC). Accuracy of our model was high across all labeled views. The highest performance was achieved for the Trans-Gastric Left Ventricular Short Axis View (area under the receiver operating curve [AUC] = 0.971 at CSMC, 0.957 at SUMC), the Mid-Esophageal Long Axis View (AUC = 0.954 at CSMC, 0.905 at SUMC), the Mid-Esophageal Aortic Valve Short Axis View (AUC = 0.946 at CSMC, 0.898 at SUMC), and the Mid-Esophageal 4-Chamber View (AUC = 0.939 at CSMC, 0.902 at SUMC). Ultimately, we demonstrate that our deep learning model can accurately classify standardized TEE views, which will facilitate further downstream deep learning analyses for intraoperative and intraprocedural TEE imaging.

Electrocardiographic deep learning for predicting post-procedural mortality: a model development and validation study.

BACKGROUND: Preoperative risk assessments used in clinical practice are insufficient in their ability to identify risk for postoperative mortality. Deep-learning analysis of electrocardiography can identify hidden risk markers that can help to prognosticate postoperative mortality. We aimed to develop a prognostic model that accurately predicts postoperative mortality in patients undergoing medical procedures and who had received preoperative electrocardiographic diagnostic testing. METHODS: In a derivation cohort of preoperative patients with available electrocardiograms (ECGs) from Cedars-Sinai Medical Center (Los Angeles, CA, USA) between Jan 1, 2015 and Dec 31, 2019, a deep-learning algorithm was developed to leverage waveform signals to discriminate postoperative mortality. We randomly split patients (8:1:1) into subsets for training, internal validation, and final algorithm test analyses. Model performance was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values in the hold-out test dataset and in two external hospital cohorts and compared with the established Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) score. The primary outcome was post-procedural mortality across three health-care systems. FINDINGS: 45 969 patients had a complete ECG waveform image available for at least one 12-lead ECG performed within the 30 days before the procedure date (59 975 inpatient procedures and 112 794 ECGs): 36 839 patients in the training dataset, 4549 in the internal validation dataset, and 4581 in the internal test dataset. In the held-out internal test cohort, the algorithm discriminates mortality with an AUC value of 0·83 (95% CI 0·79-0·87), surpassing the discrimination of the RCRI score with an AUC of 0·67 (0·61-0·72). The algorithm similarly discriminated risk for mortality in two independent US health-care systems, with AUCs of 0·79 (0·75-0·83) and 0·75 (0·74-0·76), respectively. Patients determined to be high risk by the deep-learning model had an unadjusted odds ratio (OR) of 8·83 (5·57-13·20) for postoperative mortality compared with an unadjusted OR of 2·08 (0·77-3·50) for postoperative mortality for RCRI scores of more than 2. The deep-learning algorithm performed similarly for patients undergoing cardiac surgery (AUC 0·85 [0·77-0·92]), non-cardiac surgery (AUC 0·83 [0·79-0·88]), and catheterisation or endoscopy suite procedures (AUC 0·76 [0·72-0·81]). INTERPRETATION: A deep-learning algorithm interpreting preoperative ECGs can improve discrimination of postoperative mortality. The deep-learning algorithm worked equally well for risk stratification of cardiac surgeries, non-cardiac surgeries, and catheterisation laboratory procedures, and was validated in three independent health-care systems. This algorithm can provide additional information to clinicians making the decision to perform medical procedures and stratify the risk of future complications. FUNDING: National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute.

A Multimodality Video-Based AI Biomarker For Aortic Stenosis Development And Progression.

Importance: Aortic stenosis (AS) is a major public health challenge with a growing therapeutic landscape, but current biomarkers do not inform personalized screening and follow-up. Objective: A video-based artificial intelligence (AI) biomarker (Digital AS Severity index [DASSi]) can detect severe AS using single-view long-axis echocardiography without Doppler. Here, we deploy DASSi to patients with no or mild/moderate AS at baseline to identify AS development and progression. Design Setting and Participants: We defined two cohorts of patients without severe AS undergoing echocardiography in the Yale-New Haven Health System (YNHHS) (2015-2021, 4.1[IQR:2.4-5.4] follow-up years) and Cedars-Sinai Medical Center (CSMC) (2018-2019, 3.4[IQR:2.8-3.9] follow-up years). We further developed a novel computational pipeline for the cross-modality translation of DASSi into cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging in the UK Biobank (2.5[IQR:1.6-3.9] follow-up years). Analyses were performed between August 2023-February 2024. Exposure: DASSi (range: 0-1) derived from AI applied to echocardiography and CMR videos. Main Outcomes and Measures: Annualized change in peak aortic valve velocity (AV-Vmax) and late (>6 months) aortic valve replacement (AVR). Results: A total of 12,599 participants were included in the echocardiographic study (YNHHS: n=8,798, median age of 71 [IQR (interquartile range):60-80] years, 4250 [48.3%] women, and CSMC: n=3,801, 67 [IQR:54-78] years, 1685 [44.3%] women). Higher baseline DASSi was associated with faster progression in AV-Vmax (per 0.1 DASSi increments: YNHHS: +0.033 m/s/year [95%CI:0.028-0.038], n=5,483, and CSMC: +0.082 m/s/year [0.053-0.111], n=1,292), with levels ≥ vs <0.2 linked to a 4-to-5-fold higher AVR risk (715 events in YNHHS; adj.HR 4.97 [95%CI: 2.71-5.82], 56 events in CSMC: 4.04 [0.92-17.7]), independent of age, sex, ethnicity/race, ejection fraction and AV-Vmax. This was reproduced across 45,474 participants (median age 65 [IQR:59-71] years, 23,559 [51.8%] women) undergoing CMR in the UK Biobank (adj.HR 11.4 [95%CI:2.56-50.60] for DASSi ≥vs<0.2). Saliency maps and phenome-wide association studies supported links with traditional cardiovascular risk factors and diastolic dysfunction. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of patients without severe AS undergoing echocardiography or CMR imaging, a new AI-based video biomarker is independently associated with AS development and progression, enabling opportunistic risk stratification across cardiovascular imaging modalities as well as potential application on handheld devices.