Comparative effectiveness of tocilizumab vs standard care in patients with severe COVID-19-related pneumonia: a retrospective cohort study utilizing registry data as a synthetic control.

BACKGROUND: The severity of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infections has led to the development of several therapeutic agents, with tocilizumab becoming increasingly used to treat patients with COVID-19-related pneumonia. This study compared the use of tocilizumab treatment with the standard of care (SOC) to determine its efficacy against severe COVID-19-related pneumonia in Japan. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study was designed to evaluate the efficacy of tocilizumab in two different databases: the JA42434 single-arm study and COVID-19 Registry Japan (COVIREGI-JP), with a synthetic control group from the COVIREGI-JP cohort as a benchmark for the tocilizumab group. The study's primary objective was to evaluate the efficacy of tocilizumab in treating severe COVID-19-related pneumonia compared to the SOC among patients included in the above two databases. The SOC group was extracted as the synthetic control group using exact matching and a propensity score matching in sequence per subject. As a secondary objective, the efficacy of tocilizumab compared to the SOC was evaluated exclusively among patients included in the COVIREGI-JP database. In each objective, the primary endpoint was defined as the time to discharge or the status of awaiting discharge. RESULTS: For the primary endpoint, the hazard ratio (HR) of the tocilizumab group against the SOC group was 1.070 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.565-2.028). The median time from Study Day 1 to discharge or the state of awaiting discharge was 15 days in the tocilizumab group and 16 days in the SOC group. The HRs for the secondary endpoints, namely, time to improvement in the clinical state, time to clinical failure, and time to recovery, were 1.112 (95% CI: 0.596-2.075), 0.628 (95% CI: 0.202-1.953), and 1.019 (95% CI: 0.555-1.871), respectively. Similarly, the HR of the primary endpoint for the secondary objective was 0.846 (95% CI: 0.582-1.230). CONCLUSIONS: Tocilizumab did not demonstrate a positive effect on time to discharge or the state of awaiting discharge. Furthermore, no statistically significant differences in other clinical outcomes, such as time to improvement in the clinical state, time to clinical failure, and time to recovery, were observed among the groups.

Treatment pattern and changes in oral glucocorticoid dose after tocilizumab treatment in patients with adult Still's disease: An analysis of a Japanese claims database.

AIM: Intravenous tocilizumab (TCZ-IV) was approved for the treatment of adult Still's disease (ASD) in Japan in May 2019 based on its efficacy and safety in a phase III randomized controlled trial. This study determined treatment patterns in patients with ASD and assessed oral glucocorticoid (GC) dose changes after TCZ-IV administration in Japanese clinical practice. METHODS: Patients in the Medical Data Vision database aged 16 years or older with one or more of International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision codes M061 (ASD) or M082 (systemic juvenile idiopathic arthritis) during January 2017-March 2021 (cohort 1) and those initiating TCZ-IV during May 2019-March 2021 (cohort 2) were included. RESULTS: In cohort 1, the proportion of patients who were prescribed interleukin-6 inhibitors (mainly TCZ-IV) increased from 10.8% (January-April 2019 [before TCZ-IV approval]; n = 2002) to 18.3% (January-March 2021 [after TCZ-IV approval]; n = 2008). In cohort 2 (n = 193), 84.5% of patients were on oral GCs (≤5 mg/day: 23.8%) at index date (initial TCZ-IV prescription date); 46/70 (65.7%) were on oral GC at 5 mg/day or higher 12 months after TCZ-IV treatment (primary outcome). After 12 months of treatment, the TCZ-IV retention rate was 73.6% and the TCZ-IV administration interval was every 4 weeks and every 2 weeks in 31.9% and 27.7% of patients, respectively. CONCLUSION: The use of interleukin-6 inhibitors increased by 7.5% points in Japanese patients with ASD ~2 years after TCZ-IV approval, suggesting that an unmet medical need existed. This study suggests the potential GC-sparing effect of TCZ-IV in patients with ASD in clinical practice.

Information criteria for detecting change-points in the Cox proportional hazards model.

The Cox proportional hazards model, commonly used in clinical trials, assumes proportional hazards. However, it does not hold when, for example, there is a delayed onset of the treatment effect. In such a situation, an acute change in the hazard ratio function is expected to exist. This paper considers the Cox model with change-points and derives Akaike information criterion (AIC)-type information criteria for detecting those change-points. The change-point model does not allow for conventional statistical asymptotics due to its irregularity, thus a formal AIC that penalizes twice the number of parameters would not be analytically derived, and using it would clearly give overfitting analysis results. Therefore, we will construct specific asymptotics using the partial likelihood estimation method in the Cox model with change-points, and propose information criteria based on the original derivation method for AIC. If the partial likelihood is used in the estimation, information criteria with penalties much larger than twice the number of parameters could be obtained in an explicit form. Numerical experiments confirm that the proposed criteria are clearly superior in terms of the original purpose of AIC, which are to provide an estimate that is close to the true structure. We also apply the proposed criterion to actual clinical trial data to indicate that it will easily lead to different results from the formal AIC.

A prospective, multicenter, open-label phase III study of emicizumab prophylaxis in patients with acquired hemophilia A.

BACKGROUND: Emicizumab is a bispecific antibody that mimics the cofactor function of activated factor (F) VIII. It prevents bleeds in patients with congenital hemophilia A regardless of the inhibitor status; however, no prospective clinical studies have been conducted for emicizumab in patients with acquired hemophilia A (PwAHA). OBJECTIVES: To describe the primary analysis results from a prospective, multicenter, open-label phase III study evaluating the efficacy, safety, and pharmacokinetics of emicizumab in PwAHA (AGEHA; JapicCTI-205151). METHODS: Emicizumab was administered subcutaneously at 6 mg/kg on day 1 and 3 mg/kg on day 2, followed by 1.5 mg/kg once weekly from day 8 onward. Predefined criteria for the completion of dosing included FVIII activity of >50 IU/dL. RESULTS: By the cutoff date (April 23, 2021), 12 patients on immunosuppressive therapy were enrolled, and 11 of them (91.7%) completed emicizumab treatment. The mean trough plasma emicizumab concentration rapidly reached a steady state (1 week), achieving the efficacious level that was established in patients with congenital hemophilia A (>30 µg/mL). Before first emicizumab administration, 7 patients (58.3%) experienced 77 major bleeds. During emicizumab treatment, no major bleeds occurred in any patient. Neither death due to bleeding or infection nor any study treatment-related serious adverse event was reported. One asymptomatic, nonserious deep vein thrombosis was discovered with no laboratory findings indicating any trend toward hypercoagulation. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that emicizumab prophylaxis with the tested dosing regimen and completion criteria may have a favorable benefit-risk profile in PwAHA.