Subclinical involvement of the liver is associated with prognosis in treatment naïve cancer patients.

BACKGROUND: Routinely tested liver biomarkers as alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), γ-glutamyltransferase (GGT), butyryl-cholinesterase (BChE), albumin and bilirubin are altered in distinct malignancies and hepatic metastases. This study aimed to investigate whether all liver parameters have the ability to predict long-term mortality in treatment naïve cancer patients but without a malignant hepatic involvement. METHODS: We prospectively enrolled 555 consecutive patients with primary diagnosis of cancer without prior anticancer therapy. BChE, albumin, AST, ALT, GGT and bilirubin as well as the inflammatory makers C-reactive protein (CRP), serum amyloid A (SAA) and interleukin-6 (IL-6) were determined. All-cause mortality was defined as primary endpoint. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 25 (IQR16-31) months 186 (34%) patients died. All liver parameters were significantly associated with all-cause mortality (p < 0.001 for all). However, for patients without a malignant primary or secondary hepatic involvement (82%) only the functional parameters BChE and albumin remained significantly associated with the primary endpoint (crude HR per 1-IQR increase 0.61, 95%CI:0.49-0.77; p < 0.001 for BChE and 0.58, 95%CI:0.47-0.70; p < 0.001 for albumin). This e ect was persistent after multivariate adjustment (adj.HR per 1-IQR increase 0.65, 95%CI:0.50-0.86; p = 0.002 for BChE and 0.63, 95%CI:0.50-0.79; p < 0.001 for albumin). BChE and albumin correlated inversely with CRP (r = -0.21, p < 0.001 and r = -0.36, p < 0.001), SAA (r = -0.19, p < 0.001 and r = -0.33, p < 0.001) and IL-6 (r = -0.13, p = 0.009 and r = -0.17, p = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Decreased serum BChE and albumin levels are associated with increased all-cause mortality in treatment-naïve cancer patients without a manifest malignant hepatic involvement irrespective of tumor entity or stage. This association may reflect progressing systemic inflammation and metabolic derangement with subclinical involvement of the liver.

GDF-15 Is Associated with Cancer Incidence in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes has been linked epidemiologically to increased cancer incidence and mortality. Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) is increased in patients with diabetes and has recently been linked to the occurrence of cancer. We investigated whether circulating GDF-15 concentrations can predict the incidence of malignant diseases in a diabetic patient cohort already facing increased risk for cancer. METHODS: We prospectively enrolled a total of 919 patients with type 2 diabetes and no history of malignant disease, who were clinically followed up for 60 months. GDF-15, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and troponin T were measured at baseline; an additional 4 cardiovascular biomarkers were determined for a subpopulation (n = 259). Study end point was defined as the first diagnosis of any type of cancer during the follow-up period. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 60 months, 66 patients (7.2%) were diagnosed with cancer. Baseline circulating GDF-15 concentrations were higher in patients that developed cancer over the follow-up period when compared to cancer-free patients. Increased GDF-15 concentrations were significantly associated with cancer incidence [crude hazard ratio (HR) per 1-IQR (interquartile range) increase 2.13, 95% CI 1.53-2.97, P < 0.001]. This effect persisted after multivariate adjustment with an adjusted HR of 1.86 (95% CI 1.22-2.84; P = 0.004). Among the 4 additionally tested cardiovascular markers in the subpopulation, only troponin T and C-terminal proendothelin-1 showed a significant association with future cancer incidence with unadjusted HRs of 1.71 (95% CI 1.28-2.28, P < 0.001) and 1.68 (95% CI 1.02-2.76, P = 0.042), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Increased circulating concentrations of GDF-15 are associated with increased cancer incidence in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Cardiovascular safety of metformin and sulfonylureas in patients with different cardiac risk profiles.

OBJECTIVES/BACKGROUND: Based on previous experiences, the Food and Drug Administration and the European Medicines Agency recommend that clinical trials for novel antidiabetic drugs are powered to detect increased cardiovascular risk. In this context, data concerning licensed drugs such as metformin and sulfonylureas are conflicting. The influence of baseline cardiovascular risk on any treatment effect appears obvious but has not been formally proven. We therefore evaluated association of metformin and sulfonylureas with cardiovascular events in patients with different cardiovascular risk profiles indicated by N-terminal of the prohormone brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels. METHODS: 2024 patients with diabetes mellitus were included in this observational study. The primary endpoint was defined as a combination of cardiovascular events and death. Association of metformin and sulfonylureas was assessed using Cox regression models. Possible differences of these associations in patients with different NT-proBNP levels were studied by stratifying and through interaction analysis. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 60 months, the primary endpoint occurred in 522 (26%) of patients. The median age was 63 years. A Cox regression analysis was adjusted for site of treatment, concomitant medication, age, gender, body mass index, glycated haemoglobin, duration of diabetes, glomerular filtration rate, cholesterol, and history of smoking and cardiac disease. Metformin was associated with a decreased risk in the cohort with elevated NT-proBNP ≥300 pg/mL (HR 0.70, p=0.014) and a similar association was found for the interaction between metformin and NT-proBNP (p=0.001). There was neither an association for sulfonylureas nor a significant interaction between sulfonylureas and NT-proBNP. CONCLUSIONS: Metformin is associated with beneficial cardiovascular outcomes in patients with diabetes only when (sub)clinical cardiovascular risk defined by NT-proBNP levels is present.

Impaired High-Density Lipoprotein Anti-Oxidant Function Predicts Poor Outcome in Critically Ill Patients.

INTRODUCTION: Oxidative stress affects clinical outcome in critically ill patients. Although high-density lipoprotein (HDL) particles generally possess anti-oxidant capacities, deleterious properties of HDL have been described in acutely ill patients. The impact of anti-oxidant HDL capacities on clinical outcome in critically ill patients is unknown. We therefore analyzed the predictive value of anti-oxidant HDL function on mortality in an unselected cohort of critically ill patients. METHOD: We prospectively enrolled 270 consecutive patients admitted to a university-affiliated intensive care unit (ICU) and determined anti-oxidant HDL function using the HDL oxidant index (HOI). Based on their HOI, the study population was stratified into patients with impaired anti-oxidant HDL function and the residual study population. RESULTS: During a median follow-up time of 9.8 years (IQR: 9.2 to 10.0), 69% of patients died. Cox regression analysis revealed a significant and independent association between impaired anti-oxidant HDL function and short-term mortality with an adjusted HR of 1.65 (95% CI 1.22-2.24; p = 0.001) as well as 10-year mortality with an adj. HR of 1.19 (95% CI 1.02-1.40; p = 0.032) when compared to the residual study population. Anti-oxidant HDL function correlated with the amount of oxidative stress as determined by Cu/Zn superoxide dismutase (r = 0.38; p<0.001). CONCLUSION: Impaired anti-oxidant HDL function represents a strong and independent predictor of 30-day mortality as well as long-term mortality in critically ill patients.

Outcome of conservative management vs. assist device implantation in patients with advanced refractory heart failure.

BACKGROUND: In patients with advanced refractory heart failure (HF) cardiac transplantation (HTX), conservative medical management and the implantation of a ventricular assist device (VAD) represent valuable options. The determination of the best therapeutic destination strategy for the individual patient remains a challenge. The aim of this study was to assess the clinical outcome in advanced refractory HF patients either managed conservatively receiving optimal contemporary medical therapy ('conservative'), or who who underwent pulsatile flow VAD ('pVAD') or continuous-flow VAD ('contVAD') implantation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 118 patients with INTERMACS profile >1 at baseline, who died, or fully completed a 24-month follow-up free from HTX were included into this retrospective analysis. All-cause mortality at 24 months was assessed and compared between the three groups. RESULTS: Fifty (42%) patients were managed conservatively, 25 (21%) received a pVAD and 43 (36%) a contVAD. NT-proBNP values were comparable between the three groups (median 4402 (IQR 2730-13390) pg/mL, 3580 (1602-6312) pg/mL and 3693 (2679-8065) pg/mL, P = 0·256). Mean survival was 18·6 (95% CI 16·2-21·0) months for patients managed conservatively, 7·0 (3·9-10·0) for pVAD and 20·5 (18·2-22·8) for contVAD (overall log-rank test P < 0·001). Conservatively managed patients spent a mean of 22·4 (95% CI 22·1-22·8), pVAD 17·7 (15·4-20·1) and contVAD 21·6 (21·2-22·1) months out of hospital (conservative vs. pVAD P < 0·001; conservative vs. contVAD P = 0·015; pVAD vs. contVAD P < 0·001). CONCLUSIONS: In accordance with the literature, contVAD resulted in a significantly better clinical outcome than pVAD implantation. However, conservative management with current optimal medical therapy appears to remain a valuable option for patients with advanced HF.

Cardiovascular biomarkers in patients with cancer and their association with all-cause mortality.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with cancer may display elevated levels of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and high-sensitive troponin T (hsTnT) without clinical manifestation of cardiac disease. This study aimed to evaluate circulating cardiovascular hormones and hsTnT and their association with mortality in cancer. METHODS: We prospectively enrolled 555 consecutive patients with a primary diagnosis of cancer and without prior cardiotoxic anticancer therapy. N-terminal pro BNP (NT-proBNP), mid-regional pro-atrial natriuretic peptide (MR-proANP), mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin (MR-proADM), C-terminal pro-endothelin-1 (CT-proET-1), copeptin, hsTnT, proinflammatory markers interleukin 6 (IL-6) and C reactive protein (CRP), and cytokines serum amyloid A (SAA), haptoglobin and fibronectin were measured. All-cause mortality was defined as primary endpoint. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 25 (IQR 16-31) months, 186 (34%) patients died. All cardiovascular hormones and hsTnT levels rose with tumour stage progression. All markers were significant predictors of mortality with HRs per IQR of 1.54 (95% CI 1.24 to 1.90, p<0.001) for NT-proBNP, 1.40 (95% CI 1.10 to 1.79, p<0.01) for MR-proANP, 1.31 (95% CI 1.19 to 1.44, p<0.001) for MR-proADM, 1.21 (95% CI 1.14 to 1.30, p<0.001) for CT-proET-1, 1.22 (95% CI 1.04 to 1.42, p=0.014) for copeptin and 1.21 (95% CI 1.13 to 1.32, p<0.001) for hsTnT, independent of age, gender, tumour entity and stage, and presence of cardiac comorbidities. NT-proBNP, MR-proANP, MR-proADM and hsTnT displayed a significant correlation with IL-6 and CRP. CONCLUSIONS: Circulating levels of cardiovascular peptides like NT-proBNP, MR-proANP, MR-proADM, CT-pro-ET-1 and hsTnT were elevated in an unselected population of patients with cancer prior to induction of any cardiotoxic anticancer therapy. The aforementioned markers and copeptin were strongly related to all-cause mortality, suggesting the presence of subclinical functional and morphological myocardial damage directly linked to disease progression.

Fibroblast Growth Factor 23 Is an Independent and Specific Predictor of Mortality in Patients With Heart Failure and Reduced Ejection Fraction.

BACKGROUND: Strategies to improve risk prediction are of major importance in patients with heart failure (HF). Fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF-23) is an endocrine regulator of phosphate and vitamin D homeostasis associated with an increased cardiovascular risk. We aimed to assess the prognostic effect of FGF-23 on mortality in HF patients with a particular focus on differences between patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction and patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). METHODS AND RESULTS: FGF-23 levels were measured in 980 patients with HF enrolled in the Ludwigshafen Risk and Cardiovascular Health (LURIC) study including 511 patients with HFrEF and 469 patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction and a median follow-up time of 8.6 years. FGF-23 was additionally measured in a second cohort comprising 320 patients with advanced HFrEF. FGF-23 was independently associated with mortality with an adjusted hazard ratio per 1-SD increase of 1.30 (95% confidence interval, 1.14-1.48; P<0.001) in patients with HFrEF, whereas no such association was found in patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction (for interaction, P=0.043). External validation confirmed the significant association with mortality with an adjusted hazard ratio per 1 SD of 1.23 (95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.60; P=0.027). FGF-23 demonstrated an increased discriminatory power for mortality in addition to N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (C-statistic: 0.59 versus 0.63) and an improvement in net reclassification index (39.6%; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: FGF-23 is independently associated with an increased risk of mortality in patients with HFrEF but not in those with HF with preserved ejection fraction, suggesting a different pathophysiologic role for both entities.

Association of endostatin with mortality in patients with chronic heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Experimental data imply that in decompensated heart failure (HF), the anti-angiogenic factor endostatin is increased. This study aimed to investigate whether the angiogenesis inhibitor endostatin is related to the risk of all-cause mortality in a prospective cohort study of chronic HF patients. METHODS: In this prospective observational cohort study, endostatin serum concentrations were determined in patients with chronic HF. Mortality data were recorded during a median follow-up of 31 months. RESULTS: One fifty one patients were included. The overall mortality rate was 20%. Baseline endostatin concentrations > 245 ng/mL were associated with higher risk of all-cause mortality [HR 8·7 (95% CI 2·5-30·0); P = 0·001] in the multivariate analysis as compared to endostatin concentrations ≤ 245 ng/mL. When both endostatin and NT-proBNP were above the calculated cut-off of 245 ng/mL and 2386 pg/mL, respectively, the prognostic utility of both biomarkers increased [HR 40·8 (95% CI 4·7-354·6); P = 0·001] compared with values lower than the cut-offs. CONCLUSIONS: Serum endostatin concentrations are independently associated with all-cause mortality. Furthermore, combination of endostatin and NT-proBNP discriminates patients at high risk.

CD4+ CD28(null) cells are an independent predictor of mortality in patients with heart failure.

AIMS: Immune activation and subsequent release of proinflammatory cytokines plays a central role in the pathophysiology of chronic heart failure (CHF). Cytotoxic CD4(+)CD28(null) cells are generated under inflammatory conditions and implicated in a variety of pathological processes like atherosclerosis and autoimmune diseases. The study aim was to assess the impact of CD4(+)CD28(null) cells on survival in CHF patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: Circulating lymphocytes from 107 CHF patients were analyzed for the distribution of CD4 subsets by flow cytometry. During a median follow-up of 23 months, 22 (20%) persons died. CD4(+)CD28(null) cells independently predicted all-cause mortality with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.88 per 1-standard deviation increase (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.26-2.79, P = 0.002) and with a HR of 1.83 for cardiovascular mortality (95% CI: 1.18-2.86, P = 0.008), respectively. Further, we found a significant association with NT-proBNP (r = 0.23). CONCLUSION: Circulating CD4(+)CD28(null) cells are associated with CHF severity and are a strong and independent predictor of mortality in CHF fostering the implication of the immune system in CHF pathophysiology.

Estimated glomerular filtration rate and albuminuria: true predictors of cardiovascular events in obese patients with type 2 diabetes?

BACKGROUND: The widely used MDRD formula underestimates kidney function in obese patients with diabetes mellitus. Therefore we aimed to evaluate the predictive value of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) for cardiovascular events in a typical cohort of patients with diabetes mellitus. METHODS: A total of 988 patients were analyzed. Cox regression models including the variables HbA1c, age, duration of diabetes, eGFR and urinary albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR) were run. First the whole collective was analyzed, in a second step the cohort was split into four different groups according to body mass index (BMI) and eGFR (Group 1, 475 Pts: eGFR > 60 ml/min; BMI < 30 kg/m(2), Group 2, 274 Pts: eGFR > 60 ml/min;BMI > 30 kg/m(2), Group 3, 110 Pts,: eGFR < 60 ml/min; BMI > 30 kg/m(2) and Group 4, 129 Pts.: eGFR < 60 ml/min;BMI < 30 kg/m(2)). eGFR was calculated using MDRD, Cockroft-Gault, and CKD-EPI formula. The endpoint was defined as unplanned cardiovascular hospitalization. RESULTS: Patients (571 male, 417 female) were 61 ± 22 years of age, mean duration of diabetes was 14.3 ± 12.3 years. After a median follow-up of 29 months 95 (9.6 %) patients reached the defined endpoint. The first model, including all patients showed that UACR (HR 1.001, p < 0.001) and eGFR (HR 0.957, p < 0.001) were significant predictors of the composite endpoint. In obese patients eGFR completely lost its predictive value for cardiovascular events. The prevalence of normoalbuminuria in patients with an eGFR below 60 ml/min was 59.4 %. CONCLUSION: In obese patients eGFR is not predictive for cardiovascular events.

Cardiac magnetic resonance postcontrast T1 time is associated with outcome in patients with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction.

BACKGROUND: The underlying pathophysiology of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFPEF) is incompletely understood, but myocardial extracellular matrix accumulation is thought to play a major role. Our aims were to estimate myocardial extracellular matrix using cardiac magnetic resonance T1 mapping and to assess the relationship between pathobiology/pathophysiology and prognosis. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients with suspected HFPEF (n=100) were enrolled in this prospective, observational study. Confirmatory diagnostic tests, cardiac magnetic resonance imaging including T1 mapping, and invasive hemodynamic assessments were performed at baseline. Sixty-one patients with confirmed HFPEF entered a longitudinal outcome-monitoring phase (mean, 22.9±5.0 months), during which 16 had a cardiac event. Cardiac magnetic resonance T1 time (hazard ratio, 0.99; 95% confidence interval, 0.98-0.99; P=0.046), left atrial area (hazard ratio, 1.08; 95% confidence interval, 1.03-1.13; P<0.01), and pulmonary vascular resistance (hazard ratio, 1.01; 95% confidence interval, 1.00-1.01; P=0.03) were significantly associated with cardiac events. Patients with T1 times below the median (<388.3 ms) were at greater risk of cardiac events than the rest of the group (P<0.01). Extracellular matrix of left ventricular biopsies (n=9), quantified by TissueFAXS technology correlated with T1 time (R=0.98; P<0.01). T1 time also correlated with right ventricular-pulmonary arterial coupling (pulmonary vascular resistance: R=-0.36; P<0.01; right ventricular ejection fraction: R=0.28; P=0.01). CONCLUSIONS: In the present preliminary study, cardiac magnetic resonance postcontrast T1 time is associated with prognosis in HFPEF, suggesting postcontrast T1 as possible biomarker for HFPEF.

PONTIAC (NT-proBNP selected prevention of cardiac events in a population of diabetic patients without a history of cardiac disease): a prospective randomized controlled trial.

OBJECTIVES: The study sought to assess the primary preventive effect of neurohumoral therapy in high-risk diabetic patients selected by N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP). BACKGROUND: Few clinical trials have successfully demonstrated the prevention of cardiac events in patients with diabetes. One reason for this might be an inaccurate selection of patients. NT-proBNP has not been assessed in this context. METHODS: A total of 300 patients with type 2 diabetes, elevated NT-proBNP (>125 pg/ml) but free of cardiac disease were randomized. The "control" group was cared for at 4 diabetes care units; the "intensified" group was additionally treated at a cardiac outpatient clinic for the up-titration of renin-angiotensin system (RAS) antagonists and beta-blockers. The primary endpoint was hospitalization/death due to cardiac disease after 2 years. RESULTS: At baseline, the mean age of the patients was 67.5 ± 9 years, duration of diabetes was 15 ± 12 years, 37% were male, HbA1c was 7 ± 1.1%, blood pressure was 151 ± 22 mm Hg, heart rate was 72 ± 11 beats/min, median NT-proBNP was 265.5 pg/ml (interquartile range: 180.8 to 401.8 pg/ml). After 12 months there was a significant difference between the number of patients treated with a RAS antagonist/beta-blocker and the dosage reached between groups (p < 0.0001). Blood pressure was significantly reduced in both (p < 0.05); heart rate was only reduced in the intensified group (p = 0.004). A significant reduction of the primary endpoint (hazard ratio: 0.351; 95% confidence interval: 0.127 to 0.975, p = 0.044) was visible in the intensified group. The same was true for other endpoints: all-cause hospitalization, unplanned cardiovascular hospitalizations/death (p < 0.05 for all). CONCLUSIONS: Accelerated up-titration of RAS antagonists and beta-blockers to maximum tolerated dosages is an effective and safe intervention for the primary prevention of cardiac events for diabetic patients pre-selected using NT-proBNP. (Nt-proBNP Guided Primary Prevention of CV Events in Diabetic Patients [PONTIAC]; NCT00562952).

Prognostic utility of the Seattle Heart Failure Score and amino terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide in varying stages of systolic heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac transplantation represents the best procedure to improve long-term clinical outcome in advanced chronic heart failure (CHF), if pre-selection criteria are sufficient to outweigh the risk of the failing heart over the risk of transplantation. Although the cornerstone of success, risk assessment in heart transplant candidates is still under-investigated. Amino terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is regarded as the best predictor of outcome in CHF, and the Seattle Heart Failure Score (SHFS), including clinical markers, is widely used if NT-proBNP is unavailable. METHODS: The present study assessed the predictive value for all-cause death of the SHFS in CHF patients and compared it with NT-proBNP in a multivariate model including established baseline parameters known to predict survival. RESULTS: A total of 429 patients receiving stable HF-specific pharmacotherapy were included and monitored for 53.4 ± 20.6 months. Of these, 133 patients (31%) died during follow-up. Several established predictors of death on univariate analysis proved significant for the total study cohort. Systolic pulmonary arterial pressure (hazard ratio [HR], 1.03; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-1.05); p < 0.001, Wald 15.1), logNT-proBNP (HR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.22-1.86; p < 0.001, Wald 14.9), and the SHFS (HR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.99-1.00; p < 0.001, Wald 12.6) remained within the stepwise multivariate Cox regression model as independent predictors of all-cause death. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed an area under the curve of 0.802 for logNT-proBNP and 0.762 for the SHFS. CONCLUSIONS: NT-proBNP is a more potent marker to identify patients at the highest risk. If the NT-proBNP measurement is unavailable, the SHFS may serve as an adequate clinical surrogate to predict all-cause death.

Renal function in heart failure: a disparity between estimating function and predicting mortality risk.

AIMS: To compare the predictive value of estimated renal function calculated by the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (eGFR(CKD-EPI)), four-variable Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (eGFR(MDRD-4)), and Cockcroft-Gault [estimated creatinine clearance (eCcr)] equation in terms of all-cause mortality in heart failure. Renal function is an important prognostic factor in heart failure. Established methods of estimating renal function are known to under-/overestimate true function in certain settings. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 800 systolic heart failure outpatients (mean age 57 ± 11.5 years, 82% male) were studied over a median follow-up of 121 (Q1-Q3: 110-130) months. The highest systematic difference was seen between eCcr and eGFR(MDRD-4) [+12.33 points (mean), 95% limits of agreement -22.35 to 47.01; generalized kappa = 0.36]. eGFR(MDRD-4) and eGFR(CKD-EPI) were the most similar [-4.16 points (mean), 95% limits of agreement -11.56 to 3.25; generalized kappa = 0.74]. Up to 35.4% of patients were reclassified into different estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) categories when comparing eGFR(CKD-EPI) with eCcr and eGFR(MDRD-4). eGFR(CKD-EPI) performed marginally better in terms of predicting all-cause mortality than eGFR(MDRD-4), as univariate areas under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC), marginal and partial proportions of explained variation (PEV), net reclassification improvement (NRI), and the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) for 5 years of follow-up were significantly higher for eGFR(CKD-EPI) than for eGFR(MDRD-4). CONCLUSION: In this cohort of heart failure patients, eGFR(CKD-EPI) was marginally better in predicting all-cause mortality than eGFR(MDRD-4). Estimated function differed widely between equations and is likely to have an effect on therapy choice.

Impact of tricuspid regurgitation on survival in patients with chronic heart failure: unexpected findings of a long-term observational study.

AIMS: Tricuspid regurgitation (TR) is common in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) but its prognostic impact is unclear. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 576 consecutive patients with CHF were prospectively included. The impact of moderate and severe (significant) TR on the combined endpoint death/heart transplantation/left ventricular-assist device implantation was assessed. Patients were followed for 5.8 ± 4.2 (maximum 14.4) years. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a worse outcome of patients with significant TR (P < 0.0001). By multivariable analysis, amino terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) (P = 0.0028), systolic left ventricular function (LVF) (P = 0.0014), serum sodium, NYHA functional class, systolic blood pressure, right atrial size (all P = 0.0001), but not TR were significantly related with the outcome. However, as soon as the strong interaction between TR and LVF was included in the model, significant TR determined outcome as well (P = 0.0059). Therefore, in a second analysis patients were stratified for LVF. In patients with mildly or moderately impaired LVF, TR was significantly related with the outcome (HR: 1.368, CI: 1.070-1.748, P = 0.0125), whereas in patients with severely depressed LVF it was not (P = 0.1401). As a proof of concept, we additionally stratified patients according to serum NT-proBNP concentrations. In patients with NT-proBNP concentrations below the median (≤ 280 fmol/mL), TR was related with the outcome (HR: 2.512, CI: 1.127-5.597, P = 0.0242) but it was not in patients with NT-proBNP concentrations above the median (P = 0.3935). CONCLUSION: The prognostic impact of TR depends on the severity of CHF. While TR was significantly related with excess mortality in mild to moderate CHF, it provided no additive value in advanced disease when compared with established risk factors.

A multi-biomarker risk score improves prediction of long-term mortality in patients with advanced heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Accurate risk prediction is important for an adequate management of heart failure (HF) patients. We assessed the incremental prognostic ability of a multi-biomarker approach in advanced HF. METHODS: In 349 patients with advanced HF (median 75 years, 66% male) we investigated the incremental prognostic value of 12 novel biomarkers involved in different pathophysiological pathways including inflammation, immunological activation, oxidative stress, cell growth, remodeling, angiogenesis and apoptosis. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 4.9 years 55.9% of patients died. Using multivariable Cox regression and bootstrap variable-selection age, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and the following 5 novel biomarkers were retained in the best mortality prediction model: the chemokine fractalkine, the angiogenic and mitogenic hepatocyte growth factor (HGF), the growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) influencing cardiac remodeling and apoptosis, and the 2 pro-apoptotic molecules soluble apoptosis-stimulating fragment (sFAS) and soluble tumor necrosis factor-related apoptosis-inducing ligand (sTRAIL). This multi-biomarker score had strong discriminatory power for 5-year mortality (area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve [AUC]=0.81) and improved risk prediction beyond the prognostic power of a comprehensive conventional risk score including known clinical predictors and NT-proBNP (AUC=0.77). Net reclassification confirmed a significant improvement of individual risk prediction (p=0.003). CONCLUSIONS: Risk prediction by a multi-biomarker score is superior to a conventional risk score including clinical parameters and NT-proBNP. Additional predictive information from different biological pathways reflects the multisystemic character of HF.