A New Time-Window Prediction Model For Traumatic Hemorrhagic Shock Based on Interpretable Machine Learning.

ABSTRACT: Early warning prediction of traumatic hemorrhagic shock (THS) can greatly reduce patient mortality and morbidity. We aimed to develop and validate models with different stepped feature sets to predict THS in advance. From the PLA General Hospital Emergency Rescue Database and Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III, we identified 604 and 1,614 patients, respectively. Two popular machine learning algorithms (i.e., extreme gradient boosting [XGBoost] and logistic regression) were applied. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was used to evaluate the performance of the models. By analyzing the feature importance based on XGBoost, we found that features in vital signs (VS), routine blood (RB), and blood gas analysis (BG) were the most relevant to THS (0.292, 0.249, and 0.225, respectively). Thus, the stepped relationships existing in them were revealed. Furthermore, the three stepped feature sets (i.e., VS, VS + RB, and VS + RB + sBG) were passed to the two machine learning algorithms to predict THS in the subsequent T hours (where T = 3, 2, 1, or 0.5), respectively. Results showed that the XGBoost model performance was significantly better than the logistic regression. The model using vital signs alone achieved good performance at the half-hour time window (AUROC = 0.935), and the performance was increased when laboratory results were added, especially when the time window was 1 h (AUROC = 0.950 and 0.968, respectively). These good-performing interpretable models demonstrated acceptable generalization ability in external validation, which could flexibly and rollingly predict THS T hours (where T = 0.5, 1) prior to clinical recognition. A prospective study is necessary to determine the clinical utility of the proposed THS prediction models.

Identification of novel gene and pathway targets for human epilepsy treatment.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to explore epilepsy-related mechanism so as to figure out the possible targets for epilepsy treatment. METHODS: The gene expression profile dataset GES32534 was downloaded from Gene Expression Omnibus database. We identified the differentially expressed genes (DEGs) by Affy package. Then the DEGs were used to perform gene ontology (GO) and pathway enrichment analyses. Furthermore, a protein-protein interaction (PPI) network was constructed with the DEGs followed by co-expression modules construction and analysis. RESULTS: Total 420 DEGs were screened out, including 214 up-regulated and 206 down-regulated genes. Functional enrichment analysis revealed that down-regulated genes were mainly involved in the process of immunity regulation and biological repairing process while up-regulated genes were closely related to transporter activity. PPI network analysis showed the top ten genes with high degrees were all down-regulated, among which FN1 had the highest degree. The up-regulated and down-regulated DEGs in the PPI network generated two obvious sub-co-expression modules, respectively. In up-co-expression module, SCN3B (sodium channel, voltage gated, type III beta subunit) was enriched in GO:0006814 ~ sodium ion transport. In down-co-expression module, C1QB (complement C1s), C1S (complement component 1, S subcomponent) and CFI (complement factor I) were enriched in GO:0006955 ~ immune response. CONCLUSION: The immune response and complement system play a major role in the pathogenesis of epilepsy. Additionally, C1QB, C1S, CFI, SCN3B and FN1 may be potential therapeutic targets for epilepsy.

Identification of novel gene and pathway targets for human epilepsy treatment

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to explore epilepsy-related mechanism so as to figure out the possible targets for epilepsy treatment. METHODS: The gene expression profile dataset GES32534 was downloaded from Gene Expression Omnibus database. We identified the differentially expressed genes (DEGs) by Affy package. Then the DEGs were used to perform gene ontology (GO) and pathway enrichment analyses. Furthermore, a protein-protein interaction (PPI) network was constructed with the DEGs followed by co-expression modules construction and analysis. RESULTS: Total 420 DEGs were screened out, including 214 up-regulated and 206 down-regulated genes. Functional enrichment analysis revealed that down-regulated genes were mainly involved in the process of immunity regulation and biological repairing process while up-regulated genes were closely related to transporter activity. PPI network analysis showed the top ten genes with high degrees were all down-regulated, among which FN1 had the highest degree. The up-regulated and down-regulated DEGs in the PPI network generated two obvious sub-co-expression modules, respectively. In up-co-expression module, SCN3B (sodium channel, voltage gated, type III beta subunit) was enriched in GO:0006814 ~ sodium ion transport. In down-co-expression module, C1QB (complement C1s), CIS (complement component 1, S subcomponent) and CFI (complement factor I) were enriched in GO:0006955 ~ immune response. CONCLUSION: The immune response and complement system play a major role in the pathogenesis of epilepsy. Additionally, C1QB, C1S, CFI, SCN3B and FN1 may be potential therapeutic targets for epilepsy.