ABSTRACT
â Flowering is a key process in the life cycle of a plant. Climate change is shifting flowering phenologies in the Northern Hemisphere, but studies with long data series at community level are scarce, and even more so those regarding the consequences of phenological changes for emerging ecological interactions. In the Mediterranean region, the effects of climate change are stronger than the global average and there is an urgent need to understand how biodiversity will be affected in this area. â In this study we investigated how the entire flowering phenology of a community comprising 51 perennial species from the south of the Iberian Peninsula changed from the decade of the 1980s to the 2020s. Furthermore, we have analysed the consequences of these changes for flowering order and co-flowering patterns. â We have found that the flowering phenology of the community has advanced by about 20 days, and was coherent with the increasing temperatures related to climate change. Individual species have generally advanced their entire flowering phenology (start and end) and increased their flowering duration. The early flowering has resulted in a re-organisation of the flowering order of the community and generated a new co-flowering assemblages of species, with a slight trend towards an increase of shared flowering time among species. â The advanced flowering phenology and changes on flower duration reported here were of unprecedented magnitude, showcasing the extreme effects of climate change on Mediterranean ecosystems. Furthermore, the effects were not similar among species, which could be attributed to differences in sensitivities of environmental cues for flowering. One consequence of these changes in flowering times is the ecological mismatches indicated by the changes in flower order and co-flowering between decades. The novel scenario may lead to new competition or facilitation interactions and to the loss or gain of pollinators.
