Mortality at 30 and 90 days in elderly patients with pulmonary embolism: a retrospective cohort study.

Pulmonary Embolism (PE) incidence increases with age. Data on mortality and prognosis in elderly patients with suspected PE are lacking. (1) To assess 30- and 90-day mortality in subjects with PE from an elderly population seen in the emergency department (ED); (2) to test the prognostic accuracy of a simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (sPESI) coupled to a highly sensitive cardiac Troponin T (hs-cTnT) level. A retrospective cohort study was performed, including patients evaluated in the ED of Vimercate Hospital for clinically suspected PE from 2010 to 2012. Study population: n = 470, 63.4% women, mean age ± SD 73.06 ± 16.0 years, 40% aged ≥80 and 77.7% ≥65 years old, confirmed PE: 22.6% (106 cases). Within 30 and 90 days, mortality among patients with confirmed PE was 14.2% (8.8-22.0) and 20.8% (16.5-41.7). In subjects aged ≥80 years, 30-day mortality was 18.9% among patients with confirmed PE, and 12.6% among those with PE excluded (p = 0.317). Ninety-day mortality rates were 29.7 and 19.9%, respectively (p = 0.193). In patients with confirmed PE, Negative Predictive Value of sPESI was 94.1% (80.3-99.3) for 30 days and 88.2% (72.3-96.7) for 90-day mortality. Adding the hs-cTnT level to sPESI did not improve its performance. (1) In an elderly population referring to the ED with clinically suspected PE, mortality was high both in subjects with and without confirmed PE; (2) the ability of sPESI and hs-cTnT to predict PE mortality seems to be lower than reported in studies based on data from younger populations. Better risk stratification tools will be necessary to improve clinical management in this setting.

A higher d-dimer threshold safely rules-out pulmonary embolism in very elderly emergency department patients.

INTRODUCTION: D-dimer is commonly used in the workup of suspected Pulmonary Embolism (PE), but its specificity decreases with age. We evaluated whether using a higher cutoff value for D-dimer could increase the test specificity without reducing its sensitivity for ruling-out PE in elderly and very elderly patients presenting to the Emergency Department (ED). MATERIAL AND METHODS: All patients with D-dimer and pulmonary Computed Tomography Angiography (CTA) performed in the ED of Vimercate Hospital, from 2010 through 2012 for clinical suspicion of PE were included in this retrospective cohort study. RESULTS: Study population 481 patients (63.4% women, mean age 73.0 ± 16.1 years, confirmed PE 22.5%). In very elderly patients (aged 80 or more years, n=191), compared with standard 490 ng/mL D-dimer threshold, both higher fixed (1000 ng/mL) and age-adjusted cutoffs increase the specificity of D-dimer for the exclusion of PE maintaining a Negative Predictive Value of 100%. Potentially avoided CTAs were 12(6.3%) using 1000 ng/mL cutoff and 10(5.2%) age-adjusted. In very elderly patients the Number Needed to Test was incalculable for the standard cutoff (0 cases), 16 for 1000 ng/mL and 19 for age-adjusted. In patients with PE, index episode mortality was 6.5%, and death occurred only in subjects with D-dimer values above 1000ng/mL and age-adjusted thresholds. CONCLUSION: For very elderly patients with suspected PE in ED, both higher fixed D-dimer (1000 ng/mL) and age-adjusted thresholds increase test specificity for excluding PE without reducing its sensitivity, leading to a safe reduction in the number of CTAs.