Bayesian statistical evaluation of peak area measurements in gamma spectrometry.

We analyze results from determinations of peak areas for a radioactive source containing several radionuclides. The statistical analysis was performed using Bayesian methods based on the usual Poisson model for observed counts. This model does not appear to be a very good assumption for the counting system under investigation, even though it is not questioned as a whole by the inferential procedures adopted. We conclude that, in order to avoid incorrect inferences on relevant quantities, one must proceed to a further study that allows us to include missing influence parameters and to select a model explaining the observed data much better.

A statistical model investigating the prevalence of tuberculosis in New York City using counting processes with two change-points.

We considered a Bayesian analysis for the prevalence of tuberculosis cases in New York City from 1970 to 2000. This counting dataset presented two change-points during this period. We modelled this counting dataset considering non-homogeneous Poisson processes in the presence of the two-change points. A Bayesian analysis for the data is considered using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Simulated Gibbs samples for the parameters of interest were obtained using WinBugs software.

Allelic penetrance approach as a tool to model two-locus interaction in complex binary traits.

Many binary phenotypes do not follow a classical Mendelian inheritance pattern. Interaction between genetic and environmental factors is thought to contribute to the incomplete penetrance phenomena often observed in these complex binary traits. Several two-locus models for penetrance have been proposed to aid the genetic dissection of binary traits. Such models assume linear genetic effects of both loci in different mathematical scales of penetrance, resembling the analytical framework of quantitative traits. However, changes in phenotypic scale are difficult to envisage in binary traits and limited genetic interpretation is extractable from current modeling of penetrance. To overcome this limitation, we derived an allelic penetrance approach that attributes incomplete penetrance to the stochastic expression of the alleles controlling the phenotype, the genetic background and environmental factors. We applied this approach to formulate dominance and recessiveness in a single diallelic locus and to model different genetic mechanisms for the joint action of two diallelic loci. We fit the models to data on the genetic susceptibility of mice following infections with Listeria monocytogenes and Plasmodium berghei. These models gain in genetic interpretation, because they specify the alleles that are responsible for the genetic (inter)action and their genetic nature (dominant or recessive), and predict genotypic combinations determining the phenotype. Further, we show via computer simulations that the proposed models produce penetrance patterns not captured by traditional two-locus models. This approach provides a new analysis framework for dissecting mechanisms of interlocus joint action in binary traits using genetic crosses.