Regional Variations in Pediatric Metabolic and Bariatric Surgeon Availability: A Call for Action.

INTRODUCTION: Obesity is a significant public health concern in children. The American Academy of Pediatrics recommends the use of metabolic and bariatric surgery (MBS) in children with severe obesity, however; MBS remains underutilized in part due to lack of access. This study aims to characterize the prevalence of pediatric obesity and compare this to regional pediatric MBS provider availability. METHODS: State-specific prevalence rates of childhood obesity in children aged 10-17 were obtained from the National Survey of Children's Health. The member directory provided by the American Society for Metabolic and Bariatric Surgeons was used to identify all pediatric MBS providers and used to calculate the prevalence of MBS providers by state. RESULTS: The five states with the highest prevalence rates of childhood obesity were Kentucky, Mississippi, Louisiana, West Virginia, and Alabama. The five states with the highest prevalence (per 100,000 children with obesity) of MBS providers doing pediatric cases were North Dakota, New Jersey, Kansas, New York, and Utah. Notably, there was a negative correlation between the states with the lowest prevalence of pediatric MBS providers and states with the highest prevalence of childhood obesity (r -0.40, ∗P = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrates significant state-to-state variation in the prevalence of pediatric obesity and MBS provider availability by state as a proxy for access to surgical care for pediatric obesity. Further work to establish accessible multidisciplinary pediatric weight loss centers is needed to ensure that children and adolescents with obesity receive thorough evaluation and have access to MBS.

Weight Loss After Laparoscopic Sleeve Gastrectomy in Children and Adolescents.

PURPOSE: For children and adolescents with severe obesity, metabolic and bariatric surgery including laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy (LSG) is increasingly used to facilitate weight loss and reduce associated medical problems. Outcomes of LSG are understudied among patients under age 15 years. We sought to examine surgical complications and weight loss outcomes among children and adolescents who underwent LSG. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is a single-center retrospective cohort analysis at a high-volume metropolitan children's hospital in the northeast USA between 2011 and 2021. Weight loss was assessed at routine follow-up appointments for up to 36 months postoperatively. RESULTS: There were 12 patients under 13 years of age (< 13), 45 from 13 up to 15 years of age (13-14), and 57 patients aged 15 years or over (≥ 15). Among all patients, 70% were female, 41% were Hispanic, and 18% were non-Hispanic Black. There were no operative mortalities. Two patients had surgical complications requiring reoperation. Follow-up beyond 6 months occurred for 62% of patients. Weight loss was evident for each group at all time points, and there was no statistically significant difference among groups at any time point. BMI Z-score reduction at 6 months was 1.53 for the < 13 group, 0.89 for the 13-14 group, and 0.86 for the ≥ 15 group and at 36 months was 1.79, 1.50, and 1.16, respectively. CONCLUSION: These results support that LSG is a safe and effective method of achieving weight loss for young adolescents with severe obesity. Strategies to promote postoperative follow-up are needed.

Underuse and Variability in Substance Use Screening Among Adult Trauma Patients in the U.S.: A Nationwide Retrospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize the rates and variability in substance screening among adult trauma patients in the U.S. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Emergency Department trauma visits provide a unique opportunity to identify patients with substance use disorders. Despite the existence of screening guidelines, underscreening and variability in screening practices remain. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study including adult trauma patients (18- 64-year-old) from the ACS-TQIP 2017-18 database. Multivariable logistic regressions were performed to adjust for demographics, clinical, and facility factors, and marginal probabilities were calculated using these multivariable models. The primary outcomes were substance screening and positivity, which were defined relative to the observation-weighted grand mean (mean). RESULTS: 2,048,176 patients were contained in the TQIP dataset, 809,878 (39.5%) were screened for alcohol (20.8% positive), and 617,129 (30.1%) were screened for drugs (37.3% positive). After all exclusion criteria were applied, 765,897 patients were included in the analysis, 394,391 (52.9%) were screened for alcohol (22.1% tested positive), and 279,531 (36.5%) were screened for drugs (44.3% tested positive). Among the patients included in our study, significant variability in screening rates existed with respect to demo-graphic, trauma mechanism, injury severity, and facility factors. Furthermore, in several cases, patient subpopulations who were less likely to be screened were in fact more likely to screen positive or vice versa. CONCLUSIONS: Effective substance-screening guidelines should be predicated on achieving universal screening. Current lapses in screening, along with the observed variability, likely affect different patient populations in disparate manners and lead to both under-detection as well as waste of valuable resources.

Association Between Weight Promoting Medication Use and Weight Status Among Children and Adolescents in the United States.

OBJECTIVES: The objectives of this study were to 1) examine the prevalence of prescription medication use overall and 2) examine the association between weight promoting medication (WPM) use by therapeutic class and weight status among a nationally representative sample of the children and adolescents in the United States. This study also further investigated antidepressant medication use among this population. METHODS: This cross-sectional study used data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey from 2013 to 2018. Children and adolescents ages 2 to 19 years were included in this study. RESULTS: Of the 68,057,468 derived participants (34,507,154 [50.7%] male; 33,564,059 [49.3%] aged 2-10 years; 34,905,058 [51.3%] non-Hispanic White), 14,895,618 (22.2%) used a prescription medication in the prior 30 days, 21.7% (3,235,323) of which were considered weight promoting. There was no significant difference between weight status and WPM use for overall prescription medication use. Nevertheless, for overall antidepressant medication use, those with obesity were less likely to be prescribed antidepressant WPM when compared to those with normal weight (adjusted odds ratios 0.4; 95% confidence interval 0.2-0.7). CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that although there was no significant association between WPM use and weight status overall when examining the association by therapeutic class, most children with obesity were not using antidepressant WPM. This is reassuring and potentially an active attempt at avoiding the use of medications that have an exacerbating effect on weight gain. When choosing antidepressant medications, providers, parents, and patients consider the WPM effects and appropriately choose a medication best suited to the child's health status.

Trauma patients with limited English proficiency: Outcomes from two level one trauma centers.

BACKGROUND: Outcomes for surgical patients with limited English proficiency (LEP) may be worse compared to patients with English proficiency. We sought to evaluate the association of LEP with outcomes for trauma patients. METHODS: Admitted adult patients on trauma service at two Level One trauma centers from 2015 to 2019 were identified. RESULTS: 12,562 patients were included in total; 7.3% had LEP. On multivariable analyses, patients with LEP had lower odds of discharge to post-acute care versus home compared to patients with English proficiency (OR 0.69; 95% CI 0.58-0.83; p < 0.001) but had similar length of stay (Beta coefficient 1.16; 95% CI 0.00-2.32; p = 0.05), and 30-day readmission (OR 1.08; 95% CI 0.87-1.35; p = 0.46). CONCLUSIONS: Trauma patients with LEP had comparable short-term outcomes to English proficient patients but were less likely to be discharged to post-acute care facilities. The role of structural barriers, family preferences, and other factors merit future investigation.

Associations of cephalad drainage in neonatal veno-venous ECMO - A mixed-effects, propensity score adjusted retrospective analysis of 20 years of ELSO data.

BACKGROUND: Neurologic complications can occur during neonatal Veno-Venous (VV) ECMO. The addition of a cephalad drainage cannula (i.e., VVDL+V) to dual lumen cannulation (i.e., VVDL) has been advocated to reduce such complications, but previous studies have presented mixed results. METHODS: Data from the ECMO Registry of the Extracorporeal Life Support Organization was used to extract all neonates (≤28 days old) who underwent VV ECMO for respiratory support between 2000 and 2019. Primary outcomes were mortality, conversion to Veno-Arterial (VA) ECMO, pump flows, and complications. A mixed-effects, propensity score adjusted analysis was performed. RESULTS: 4,275 neonates underwent VV ECMO, 581 (13.6%) via VVDL+V cannulation, and 3,694 (86.4%) via VVDL. On unadjusted analyses, VVDL+V patients had higher rates of mortality (25.5% vs 19.0%, p<0.001), conversion to VA ECMO (14.5% vs 4.1%, p<0.001), and higher pump flows at 4 h from ECMO initiation (112.7 vs 105.5 mL/Kg/min, p<0.001), but lower at 24 h (100.3 vs 104.0 mL/Kg/min, p = 0.004), and a higher proportion of them experienced hemorrhagic (29.3% vs 18.3%, p<0.001), cardiovascular (60.8% vs 45.8%, p<0.001), and mechanical (42.5% vs 32.6%, p<0.001) complications compared to VVDL patients. After adjusting for propensity scores and the multi-level nature of ELSO data, there were no differences in neurologic outcomes, pump flows, or mortality. Rather, VVDL+V cannulation was associated with higher rates of conversion to VA ECMO (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 43.3, 95% CI 24.3 - 77.4, p<0.001), and increased mechanical (AOR 2.2, 95% CI 1.6 - 3.0, p<0.001) and hemorrhagic (AOR 2.0, 95% CI 1.4 - 3.0, p<0.001) complications. CONCLUSIONS: In this analysis, VVDL+V cannulation was not associated with any improvement in neurologic outcomes, pump flows, or mortality, but was rather associated with higher rates of conversion to Veno-Arterial ECMO, mechanical, and hemorrhagic complications.

The impact of broadening COVID-19 testing eligibility on communities of color - A lesson for overcoming structural barriers to health care.

CDC guidelines for COVID-19 testing in March 2020 did not prioritize underserved communities. We present the effect that expanding COVID-19 testing had for residents of the predominantly Hispanic city of Chelsea, MA, which had the highest case rate in the state. Results were compared to another city with similar demographics, Lynn, MA, where testing eligibility remained unchanged. Institutional data were used to identify outpatient visits for influenza-like illness or COVID-19 exposure, COVID-19 tests, and hospitalizations for confirmed COVID-19 between 3/30/2020-4/28/2020. Multivariable logistic regressions were used to compare outcomes before and after the change in testing eligibility occurred on 4/13/2020. A total of 3,060 patients were included, 1,374 Chelsea residents and 1,686 Lynn residents. After guidelines changed, Chelsea residents were more likely to present as outpatients (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 4.2, p < 0.001) and less likely to be hospitalized (AOR 0.2, p < 0.001). They were more likely to be tested (AOR 8.8, p < 0.001), but less likely to test positive (AOR 0.6, p = 0.05). Lynn residents were also more likely to be tested after 4/13/2020 (AOR 1.9, p < 0.001), but no significant differences in visit acuity or test positivity were observed. This study demonstrates how broadening testing eligibility for one highly affected, predominantly Hispanic community was associated with an increase in outpatient presentations and a concomitant decrease in test positivity and hospitalizations. These results highlight the impact of improved access to care on utilization of services among underserved communities, a lesson that is especially crucial as we continue to grapple with the COVID pandemic.

Bias and discrimination in surgery: Where are we and what can we do about it?

Bias is an inclination or preconceived outlook that favors toward or against an idea, person, or group. It manifests in implicit and explicit ways throughout all aspects and institutions of society. These cognitive shortcuts are often based on stereotypes and can lead to prejudice and discrimination in medicine as they mediate interactions with patients, between providers, and at the institutional level. It is important to understand the drivers and consequences of bias in order to overcome barriers to representation, equity, and inclusion. This paper provides definitions of bias; discusses its manifestations across academic medicine at the institutional and individual levels; and concludes by examining techniques to reduce bias and measure progress. Equity for patients, families, and members of the broader surgical community cannot be achieved without reducing bias and discrimination. We call for action to increase intentional efforts that reduce the influences of bias in healthcare, research, and education, particularly in the field of pediatric surgery.

Enhancing Patient-Centered Surgical Care With Mobile Health Technology.

From smartphones or wearables to portable physiologic sensors and apps, healthcare is witnessing an exponential growth in mHealth-digital health tools used to support medical and surgical care, as well as public health. In surgery, there is interest in harnessing the capabilities of mHealth to improve the quality of patient-centered care delivery. Digitally delivered surveys have enhanced patient-reported outcome measurement and patient engagement throughout care. Wearable devices and sensors have allowed for the assessment of physical fitness before surgery and during recovery. Smartphone-based digital phenotyping has introduced novel methods of integrating multiple data streams (accelerometer, global positioning system, call and text logs) to create multidimensional digital health footprints for patients following surgery. Yet, with all the technological sophistication and 'big data' mHealth provides, widespread implementation has been elusive. Do clinicians and patients find these data valuable or clinically actionable? How can mHealth become integrated into the day-to-day workflows of surgical systems? Do these data represent opportunities to address disparities of care or worsen them? In this review, we discuss experiences and future opportunities to use mHealth to enhance patient-centered surgical care.

Racially Conscious Cancer Screening Guidelines: A Path Towards Culturally Competent Science.

OBJECTIVE: To review the racial composition of the study populations that the current USPSTF screening guidelines for lung, breast, and colorectal cancer are based on, and the effects of their application across non-white individuals. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: USPSTF guidelines commonly become the basis for establishing standards of care, yet providers are often unaware of the racial composition of the study populations they are based on. METHODS: We accessed the USPSTF screening guidelines for lung, breast, and colorectal cancer via their website, and reviewed all referenced publications for randomized controlled trials (RCTs), focusing on the racial composition of their study populations. We then used PubMed to identify publications addressing the generalizability of such guidelines across non-white individuals. Lastly, we reviewed all guidelines published by non-USPSTF organizations to identify the availability of race-specific recommendations. RESULTS: Most RCTs used as basis for the current USPSTF guidelines either did not report race, or enrolled cohorts that were not representative of the U.S. population. Several studies were identified demonstrating the broad application of such guidelines across non-white individuals can lead to underdiagnosis and higher levels of advanced disease. Nearly all guideline-issuing bodies fail to provide race-specific recommendations, despite often acknowledging increased disease burden among non-whites. CONCLUSION: Concerted efforts to overcome limitations in the generalizability of RCTs are required to provide screening guidelines that are truly applicable to non-white populations. Broader policy changes to improve the pipeline for minority populations into science and medicine are needed to address the ongoing lack of diversity in these fields.

The impact of social determinants of health on the overall wellbeing of children: A review for the pediatric surgeon.

Disparities in health care access, quality, and outcomes for pediatric patients, and their relationship to race and socioeconomic status (SES) have been extensively documented. The underlying causes behind such disparities have been less carefully studied, as clinicians and researchers often fail to look past immutable features such as race, into modifiable factors like social determinants of health (SDOH). A child's environment affects their patterns of social engagement, sense of security, and overall well-being. Resources such as affordable housing, access to education, public safety, and availability of healthy foods and safe play spaces impact and enhance quality of life, and have significant influence on both health and health care outcomes. These upstream indicators are often unrecognized or misidentified as health concerns. Few pediatric surgery publications discuss SDOH and their effects on children. This paper aims to introduce the five domains of SDOH (economic stability, education, social and community context, health and healthcare, and neighborhood and built environment) along with strategies to identify and address needs in these domains from a provider, hospital, and health system's perspective. It is anticipated that this information will serve as a foundation for pediatric surgeons to understand and develop processes that ameliorate disparities related to SDOH and improve surgical outcomes and the well-being of all children.

Non-English Primary Language is Associated with Emergency Surgery for Diverticulitis.

BACKGROUND: Language barriers can limit access to care for patients with a non-English primary language (NEPL). The objective of this study was to define the association between primary language and emergency versus elective surgery among diverticulitis patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of adult patients from the 2009-2014 New Jersey State Inpatient Database. Patients were included if they had primary language data and underwent a partial colon resection for diverticulitis. Primary language was dichotomized into NEPL versus English primary language (EPL). The primary outcome was surgical admission type - urgent/emergent (referred to as "emergency") versus elective. Descriptive and multivariable analyses were performed. RESULTS: A total of 9,453 patients underwent surgery for diverticulitis, of which 592 (6.3%) had NEPL. Among NEPL patients, 300 (51%) had Spanish as primary language and 292 (49%) had another non-Spanish primary language. Patients with NEPL and EPL were similar in age (median age 58 versus 59 years; P = 0.54) and sex (52% versus 53% female; P = 0.45). Patients with NEPL were less likely to have commercial insurance (45% versus 59%; P <0.001). On multivariable analysis, compared to patients with EPL, NEPL was associated with increased odds of emergency surgery for diverticulitis (OR 1.35; 95% Confidence Interval 1.13-1.62; P = 0.001) CONCLUSION: Patients with NEPL have higher odds of emergency versus elective surgery for diverticulitis compared to patients with EPL. Further research is needed to examine differences in referral pathways, patient-provider communication, and health literacy that may hinder access to elective surgery in patients with diverticulitis.

Annual Incidence of Hospitalization for Nonfatal Firearm-Related Injuries in New York From 2005 to 2016.

Importance: In the US, approximately 40 000 people die due to firearm-related injuries annually. However, nonfatal firearm-related injuries are less precisely tracked. Objectives: To assess the annual incidence of hospitalization for nonfatal firearm-related injuries in New York and to compare the annual incidence by sex, race/ethnicity, county of residence, and calendar years. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cross-sectional study used data from the New York Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System for patients aged 15 years or older who presented to an emergency department in New York with nonfatal firearm-related injuries from January 1, 2005, to December 31, 2016. Data were analyzed from January 15, 2019, to April 21, 2021. Exposure: A nonfatal firearm-related injury, defined by International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification and International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification codes. Main Outcomes and Measures: The annual incidence of nonfatal firearm-related injuries was calculated by determining the number of patients with a nonfatal firearm-related injury each year divided by the total population of New York. Results: The study included 31 060 unique patients with 35 059 hospital encounters for nonfatal firearm-related injuries. The mean (SD) age at admission was 28.5 (11.9) years; most patients were male (90.6%) and non-Hispanic Black individuals (62.0%). The overall annual incidence was 18.4 per 100 000 population. Although decreasing trends of annual incidence were observed across the state during the study period, this trend was not present in all 62 counties, with 32 counties (51.6%) having an increase in the incidence of injuries between 2005 and 2010 and 29 (46.8%) having an increase in the incidence of injuries between 2010 and 2015. In 19 of the 30 counties (63.3%) that had a decrease in incidence in earlier years, the incidence increased in later years. Conclusions and Relevance: The annual incidence of hospitalization for nonfatal firearm-related injuries in New York during the study period was 18.4 per 100 000 population. Reliable tracking of nonfatal firearm-related injury data may be useful for policy makers, hospital systems, community organizers, and public health officials as they consider resource allocation for trauma systems and injury prevention programs.

Differences in outcomes after emergency general surgery between Hispanic subgroups in the New Jersey State Inpatient Database (2009-2014): The Hispanic population is not monolithic.

BACKGROUND: Our aim was to examine differences in clinical outcomes between Hispanic subgroups who underwent emergency general surgery (EGS). METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of the HCUP State Inpatient Database from New Jersey (2009-2014), including Hispanic and non-Hispanic White (NHW) adult patients who underwent EGS. Multivariable analyses were performed on outcomes including 7-day readmission and length of stay (LOS). RESULTS: 125,874 patients underwent EGS operations. 22,971 were Hispanic (15,488 with subgroup defined: 7,331 - Central/South American; 4,254 - Puerto Rican; 3,170 - Mexican; 733 - Cuban). On multivariable analysis, patients in the Central/South American subgroup were more likely to be readmitted compared to the Mexican subgroup (OR 2.02; p < 0.001, respectively). Puerto Rican and Central/South American subgroups had significantly shorter LOS than Mexican patients (Puerto Rico -0.58 days; p < 0.001; Central/South American -0.30 days; p = 0.016). CONCLUSIONS: There are significant differences in EGS outcomes between Hispanic subgroups. These differences could be missed when data are aggregated at Hispanic ethnicity.

Relationship Between Diverticular Disease and Incisional Hernia After Elective Colectomy: a Population-Based Study.

BACKGROUND: Recent genetic studies identified common mutations between diverticular disease and connective tissue disorders, some of which are associated with abdominal wall hernias. Scarce data exists, however, shedding light on the potential clinical implications of this shared etiology, particularly in the era of laparoscopic surgery. METHODS: The New York Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System database was used to identify adult patients undergoing elective sigmoid and left hemicolectomy (open or laparoscopic) from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2016, for diverticulitis or descending/sigmoid colon cancer. The incidences of incisional hernia diagnosis and repair were compared using competing risks regression models, clustered by surgeon and adjusted for a host of demographic/clinical variables. Subsequent abdominal surgery and death were considered competing risks. RESULTS: Among 8279 patients included in the study cohort, 6811 (82.2%) underwent colectomy for diverticulitis and 1468 (17.8%) for colon cancer. The overall 5-year risk of incisional hernia was 3.5% among patients with colon cancer, regardless of colectomy route, which was significantly lower than that among diverticulitis patients after both open (10.7%; p < 0.001) and laparoscopic (7.2%; p = 0.007) colectomies. Multivariable analyses demonstrated that patients with diverticulitis experienced a two-fold increase in the risk for hernia diagnosis (aHR 1.8; p < 0.001) and repair (aHR 2.1; p < 0.001), and these findings persisted after stratification by colectomy route. CONCLUSIONS: Patients undergoing elective colectomy for diverticulitis, including via laparoscopic approach, experience higher rates of incisional hernia compared with patients undergoing similar resections for colon cancer. When performing resections for diverticulitis, surgeons should strongly consider adherence to evidence-based guidelines for fascial closure to prevent this important complication.

Exploring Pediatric Obesity Training, Perspectives, and Management Patterns Among Pediatric Primary Care Physicians.

OBJECTIVE: Significant variability exists in the amount of formal obesity training obtained by physicians caring for pediatric patients. The study objective was to assess the relationship between formal obesity training and pediatrics physicians' perceptions, practice patterns, overall knowledge, and confidence during management of pediatric obesity. METHODS: An anonymous survey was distributed via email from February 2020 through March 2020 at a large academic system. Internal medicine/pediatrics (46 total) and pediatrics (104 total) primary care providers were selected. Data were collected on the total number of obesity-related training hours by quartiles, demographics, physicians' clinical practice patterns, and physicians' knowledge of pediatric obesity management, along with their perceptions, attitudes, and beliefs. RESULTS: A total of 73 survey participants completed the survey: 69% were female, 77% were older than 40 years, and 74% were White. Physicians with the highest training were most likely to feel confident when managing pediatric obesity. However, only 20% of all physicians felt confident providing pre- and post-bariatric surgery care, and just 6% of physicians self-reported achieving management success. CONCLUSIONS: Increased obesity training improves physicians' confidence and leads to familiarity with management guidelines. Formal obesity training should be prioritized during residency and beyond so that physicians who care for pediatric patients are better equipped to offer unbiased and effective care.

Simulated Volume-Based Regionalization of Complex Procedures: Impact on Spatial Access to Care.

OBJECTIVE: This study simulates the regionalization of pancreatectomies to assess its impact on spatial access in terms of patient driving times. BACKGROUND: Although policies to regionalize complex procedures to high-volume centers may improve outcomes, the impact on patient access is unknown. METHODS: Patients who underwent pancreatectomies from 2005 to 2014 were identified from California's statewide database. Round-trip driving times between patients' home ZIP code and hospital addresses were calculated via Google Maps. Regionalization was simulated by eliminating hospitals performing <20 pancreatectomies/yr, and reassigning patients to the next closest hospital that satisfied the volume threshold. Sensitivity analyses were performed for New York and Medicare patients to assess for influence of geography and insurance coverage, respectively. RESULTS: Of 13,317 pancreatectomies, 6335 (47.6%) were performed by hospitals with <20 cases/yr. Patients traveled a median of 49.8 minutes [interquartile range (IQR) 30.8-96.2] per round-trip. A volume-restriction policy would increase median round-trip driving time by 24.1 minutes (IQR 4.5-53.5). Population in-hospital mortality rates were estimated to decrease from 6.7% to 2.8% (P < 0.001). Affected patients were more likely to be racial minorities (44.6% vs 36.5% of unaffected group, P < 0.001) and covered by Medicaid or uninsured (16.3% vs 9.8% of unaffected group, P < 0.001). Sensitivity analyses revealed a 17.8 minutes increment for patients in NY (IQR 0.8-47.4), and 27.0 minutes increment for Medicare patients (IQR 6.2-57.1). CONCLUSIONS: A policy that limits access to low-volume pancreatectomy hospitals will increase round-trip driving time by 24 minutes, but up to 54 minutes for 25% of patients. Population mortality rates may improve by 1.5%.