Natural history and growth prediction model of pancreatic serous cystic neoplasms.

OBJECTIVE: Serous cystic neoplasms (SCN) are benign pancreatic cystic neoplasms that may require resection based on local complications and rate of growth. We aimed to develop a predictive model for the growth curve of SCNs to aid in the clinical decision making of determining need for surgical resection. METHODS: Utilizing a prospectively maintained pancreatic cyst database from a single institution, patients with SCNs were identified. Diagnosis confirmation included imaging, cyst aspiration, pathology, or expert opinion. Cyst size diameter was measured by radiology or surgery. Patients with interval imaging ≥3 months from diagnosis were included. Flexible restricted cubic splines were utilized for modeling of non-linearities in time and previous measurements. Model fitting and analysis were performed using R (V3.50, Vienna, Austria) with the rms package. RESULTS: Among 203 eligible patients from 1998 to 2021, the mean initial cyst size was 31 mm (range 5-160 mm), with a mean follow-up of 72 months (range 3-266 months). The model effectively captured the non-linear relationship between cyst size and time, with both time and previous cyst size (not initial cyst size) significantly predicting current cyst growth (p < 0.01). The root mean square error for overall prediction was 10.74. Validation through bootstrapping demonstrated consistent performance, particularly for shorter follow-up intervals. CONCLUSION: SCNs typically have a similar growth rate regardless of initial size. An accurate predictive model can be used to identify rapidly growing outliers that may warrant surgical intervention, and this free model (https://riskcalc.org/SerousCystadenomaSize/) can be incorporated in the electronic medical record.

Tumor Size Combined With CA-19 Level Improves Prediction of Survival of Patients With Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma Undergoing Perioperative Chemotherapy and Resection.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Five-year survival in pancreatic adenocarcinoma is less than 20%. While previous studies have postulated that a carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) threshold could predict outcome of resection, the role for CA19-9 in decision-making remains unclear. This study aims to assess whether CA19-9 levels combined with tumor size improve prediction of post-resection survival. METHOD: A retrospective analysis was conducted on 109 patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma who underwent perioperative chemotherapy followed by resection. The primary outcome of mortality was, divided into short (<1 year) or prolonged (>2 years). Univariate and multivariable analyses compared the tumor size-adjusted CA19-9 between the outcome groups. RESULTS: Twenty-seven (24.78%) and eighty-two (75.23%) patients were in the short survival and prolonged-survival groups, respectively. The mean CA19-9 was significantly greater in the short vs prolonged group (P < .001). Analyzing CA19-9 level by tumor size, the association of high CA19-9 and short survival was significant for small (≤2 cm) and large tumor (>4 cm), but not for intermediate-size tumors (2-4 cm). Adjusting for preoperative variable did not change this association. CONCLUSION: CA 19-9 in combination with tumor size better identifies patients with prolonged post-resection survival. This prediction is most accurate in patients with either small (≤2 cms) or large (>4 cms) tumors compared to intermediate-size tumors.

Intramucosal Extent as a Marker for Advanced Disease and Survival in Gallbladder Adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Gallbladder cancer (GBC) is the most common biliary tract malignancy and has a poor prognosis. The clinical significance of focal vs diffuse GBC remains unclear. METHODS: A retrospective review was conducted on all patients with non-metastatic GBC at a quaternary care center. Pathology was reviewed, and gallbladder cancer pattern was defined based on the extent of mucosal involvement; "diffuse" if the tumor was multicentric or "focal" if the tumor was only in a single location. Patients undergoing liver resection and portal lymphadenectomy were considered to have definitive surgery. The primary outcome was overall survival and assessed by Kaplan-Meier curves. RESULTS: 63 patients met study criteria with 32 (50.7%) having diffuse cancer. No difference was observed in utilization of definitive surgery between the groups (14 [43.8%] with focal and 12 [38.7%] with diffuse, P = .88). Lymphovascular invasion (P = .04) and higher nodal stage (P = .04) were more common with diffuse GBC. Median overall survival was significantly improved in those with focal cancer (5.1 vs 1.2 years, P = .02). Although not statistically significant, this difference in overall survival persisted in patients who underwent definitive surgery (4.3 vs 2.4 years, P = .70). DISCUSSION: Patients with diffuse involvement of the gallbladder mucosa likely represent a subset with aggressive biology and worse overall survival compared to focal disease. These findings may aid surgeons in subsequent surgical and medical decision-making for patients with GBC.

Long term assessment of antibiotic prophylaxis and biliary microbiome in pancreaticoduodenectomy.

INTRODUCTION: Surgical site infections (SSI) can represent a major complication of pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). We summarize the outcomes of process improvement efforts to reduce the SSI rates in PD that includes replacing Cefazolin with Ceftriaxone-Metronidazole as antibiotic prophylaxis. Additional efforts included current assessment of biliary microbiome and potential prophylactic failures based on bile cultures and suspected antibiotic allergies. METHOD: A single-center review of PD patients from January-2012 to March-2021. Study groups were divided into Pre and Post May-2015 (Group 1 and 2, respectively) when Ceftriaxone-Metronidazole prophylaxis and routine intraoperative cultures were standardized. Univariate and multivariable analyses were conducted to assess groups' differences and association with SSI. RESULTS: Six hundred ninety patients identified [267(38.7%) and 423(61.3%) in Group 1 and Group2, respectively]. After antibiotic change, SSI rates decreased from 28.1% to 16.5% (incisional: 17.6%-7.5%, organ-space or abscess: 17.2%-13.0%), Group 1 and Group 2, respectively, P<0.001. Ceftriaxone-Metronidazole was used in 75.9% of patients Group 2. When adjusting for other covariates, an SSI-decrease was associated only with Ceftriaxone-Metronidazole (OR 0.34, P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Ongoing process improvement has resulted in decreased SSIs with Ceftriaxone-Metronidazole prophylaxis. The benefit of Ceftriaxone-Metronidazole is independent of the biliary microbiome. Improving prophylaxis for those with suspected penicillin allergy is warranted.

Correlation between physical status measures and frailty score in patients undergoing pancreatic resection.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to assess the correlation between validated measures of physical status in a prehabilitation regimen with an established frailty score and analyze changes in these measures after completion of a directed prehabilitation program among patients undergoing elective pancreatic resection. METHODS: Adult patients undergoing pancreatic resection from 2019-2021 were enrolled in a pilot prehabilitation program. Three validated measures of physical status were used: the 6-minute walk test, grip strength, and chair-stand test. The prehabilitation program comprised 7,500 steps, 30 grip strength exercises, and 100 chair-stand exercises daily. Patients' frailty score was calculated using the Modified Johns Hopkins Frailty score. Changes in physical status measures after prehabilitation and postoperative outcomes were compared. RESULTS: Thirty-two patients with a median age of 69.0 years (interquartile range = 59.5-76.3 years) were included. Patients' median duration of participation was 21.5 days (interquartile range = 16-29 days). There was a negative correlation between increasing frailty score and baseline the 6-minute walk test (R2 = 0.17) and chair-stand test (R2 = 0.18). Patients' mean the 6-minute walk test decreased at the end of the prehabilitation program, while grip strength and chair-stand test were unchanged. When stratified by low or intermediate and high frailty scores, the differences in the 6-minute walk test and chair-stand test were unchanged. Hospital duration of stay, complications, and 90-day readmission rates were not different between frailty groups (P > .05). CONCLUSION: Correlation of physical status measures with frailty score suggests only one of these measures is sufficient to estimate patients' preoperative physical status. A longer, more comprehensive prehabilitation program or an expedited operation are likely the best strategies to improve patient outcomes.

Clinical Significance of Postoperative Antibiotic Treatment for Positive Islet Cultures After Total Pancreatectomy With Islet Autotransplantation.

OBJECTIVES: Islet cultures are routinely performed in total pancreatectomy with islet autotransplantation (TPIAT), and the need for empiric antibiotic treatment based on culture results is unknown. We evaluated the effect of postoperative antibiotic treatment for positive islet cultures on clinical infection. METHODS: Seventy-nine patients undergoing TPIAT were reviewed. Prophylactic perioperative ceftriaxone and metronidazole were administered, and transplanted islet preparations included ciprofloxacin. Postoperative antibiotics were not routinely given for positive cultures unless a clinical infection was suspected. The primary end point was 30-day infectious complications. RESULTS: Fifty-one patients (65%) had a positive culture. Overall, 39 patients (87%) had organisms susceptible to our perioperative antibiotic regimen. There was no difference in the infectious complication rate between those with positive compared with negative cultures (16% vs 29%, P = 0.17). Patients with a positive culture had similar 30-day postoperative infectious complication rates whether receiving postoperative antibiotics (n = 7) or not (14% vs 16%, P = 0.91). Only 1 patient had a correlation of clinical and islet cultures. CONCLUSIONS: Beyond prophylactic antibiotics, empiric antibiotic treatment for a positive culture is not warranted and provides a rationale for the abandonment of routine cultures in TPIAT.

Factors that Minimize Curative Resection for Gallbladder Adenocarcinoma: an Analysis of Clinical Decision-Making and Survival.

BACKGROUND: Gallbladder adenocarcinoma has a poor prognosis as it is often diagnosed incidentally, and patients have a high risk for residual and occult metastatic disease. Expert guidelines recommend definitive surgery for ≥T1b tumors; however, surgical management is inconsistent. This study evaluates the factors that affect the completion of radical resection with portal lymphadenectomy and its impact on survival. METHODS: A retrospective review of patients who underwent surgery for gallbladder cancer from 2008 to 2017 at an academic institution was performed. Patients were analyzed based on whether they underwent definitive surgical resection. Patient factors and clinical decision-making were analyzed; overall survival was compared using Kaplan-Meier analysis. RESULTS: Seventy-five patients with ≥T1b tumors were identified, of who 32 (42.7%) underwent definitive resection. Fifty-four (72%) patients had gallbladder cancer identified as an incidental diagnosis following laparoscopic cholecystectomy. Among patients who did not undergo definitive resection, the underlying factors were varied. Only 24 (55.8%) patients in the non-definitive resection group were seen by surgical oncology. Among patients who underwent re-operation for definitive resection, 12 (38.7%) were upstaged on final pathology. Of the 43 patients who did not undergo definitive resection, 4 (9.3%) had metastatic disease identified during attempted re-resection. Patients who underwent definitive resection had a significantly longer median overall survival compared to those who did not (4.3 v. 1.9 years, p = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Patients undergoing definitive resection have a significantly improved survival, including as part of a re-operative strategy. Universal referral to a surgical specialist is a modifiable factor resulting in increased definitive resection rates.

Survival impact based on hepatic artery lymph node status in pancreatic adenocarcinoma: A study of patients receiving modern chemotherapy.

BACKGROUND: Chemotherapy for pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has significantly improved in recent years. While the involvement of the hepatic artery lymph node (HALN; station 8a lymph node) likely represents advanced disease, a comparison to patients with metastases on modern chemotherapy is lacking. METHODS: Patients who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy with HALN sent for pathologic review at a single institution from 2003 to 2018 were reviewed. Patients who presented with liver-only metastases at the time of PDAC diagnosis (Stage IV) and received chemotherapy were identified. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression modeling was utilized and overall survival (OS) was estimated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. RESULTS: Of the 112 patients with a HALN sent for analysis, 17 (15%) were positive and 13 (76%) received chemotherapy. Ninety-four stage IV patients were identified and were significantly more likely to have received a multiagent rather than single-agent chemotherapy regimen compared to HALN positive patients (79.8% vs. 38.5%, p < .001). Median OS was significantly longer in all patients who underwent surgical resection, regardless of HALN status, compared to stage IV patients. CONCLUSIONS: Patients undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy with HALN positivity have significantly improved OS compared to patients with stage IV disease. HALN involvement does not significantly alter survival among resected patients and does not warrant preoperative endoscopic ultrasound-guided biopsy.