Increasing pancreatic cancer is not paralleled by pancreaticoduodenectomy volumes in Brazil: A time trend analysis.

BACKGROUND: Currently, surgical resection represents the only curative treatment for pancreatic cancer (PC), however, the majority of tumors are no longer resectable by the time of diagnosis. The aim of this study was to describe time trends and distribution of pancreaticoduodenectomies (PDs) performed for treating PC in Brazil in recent years. METHODS: Data were retrospectively obtained from Brazilian Health Public System (namely DATASUS) regarding hospitalizations for PC and PD in Brazil from January 2008 to December 2015. PC and PD rates and their mortalities were estimated from DATASUS hospitalizations and analyzed for age, gender and demographic characteristics. RESULTS: A total of 2364 PDs were retrieved. Albeit PC incidence more than doubled, the number of PDs increased only 37%. Most PDs were performed in men (52.2%) and patients between 50 and 69 years old (59.5%). Patients not surgically treated and those 70 years or older had the highest in-hospital mortality rates. The most developed regions (Southeast and South) as well as large metropolitan integrated municipalities registered 76.2% and 54.8% of the procedures, respectively. LMIM PD mortality fluctuated, ranging from 13.6% in 2008 to 11.8% in 2015. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests a trend towards regionalization and volume-outcome relationships for PD due to PC, as large metropolitan integrated municipalities registered most of the PDs and more stable mortality rates. The substantial differences between PD and PC increasing rates reveals a limiting step on the health system resoluteness. Reduction in the number of hospital beds and late access to hospitalization, despite improvement in diagnostic methods, could at least in part explain these findings.

Pancreatic Cancer Incidence and Lethality Rates in Brazil: An Ecological Study.

OBJECTIVES: To describe incidence and lethality time trends rates of pancreatic cancer (PC) in Brazil. METHODS: Data from Brazilian Health National Public System (SUS) were retrospectively collected with regard to PC from January 2005 to December 2012. Pancreatic cancer incidence and lethality rates were estimated from SUS hospitalizations and in-hospital PC deaths and adjusted to total available hospital beds. RESULTS: From 2005 to 2012, a total of 36,332 admissions for PC were registered in Brazil. Pancreatic cancer incidence nearly doubled from 2.4/100,000 to 4.5/100,000, particularly among patients older than 70 years, whereas no difference in sex was noted. The greatest incidence rates increase (+109%) occurred in the northeast, a less developed region that has recently achieved significant economic advances. Dynamic changes were observed, notably a shift to increasing PC incidence in rural areas. Lethality rates increased from mean 25% to 27%, the highest rates registered in those 70 years or older. CONCLUSIONS: Overall increase trends in PC incidence and lethality were observed. Pancreatic cancer remains an urban disease in Brazil, the highest incidence found in the most developed regions as in large metropolitan integrated municipalities. Improvement in diagnosis, notification quality, a rapidly aging population, and a great demographic dynamism could in part explain this fact.