ABSTRACT
There is a need for biomarkers to improve the clinical benefit from systemic treatment of colorectal cancer. We designed a prospective, clinical study where patients receiving regorafenib as last-line treatment had sequential blood samples drawn. Effect and toxicity was monitored. The primary clinical endpoint was progression free survival (PFS). Cell-free circulating tumor (ct) DNA was measured as either the fraction with Neuropeptide Y (NPY) methylated DNA or KRAS/NRAS/BRAF mutated ctDNA. One hundred patients were included from three Danish centers. Among 95 patients who received regorafenib for at least two weeks, the median PFS was 2.1 months (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.8-3.3) and the median overall survival (OS) was 5.2 months (95% CI 4.3-6.5). Grade 3-4 toxicities were reported 51 times, most frequently hypertension, hand-food syndrome, and skin rash. In the biomarker population of 91 patients, 49 could be monitored using mutated DNA and 90 using methylated DNA. There was a strong correlation between mutated and methylated DNA. The median survival for patients with a level of methylated ctDNA above the median was 4.3 months compared to 7.6 months with ctDNA below the median, p < 0.001. The median time from increasing methylated ctDNA to disease progression was 1.64 months (range 0.46-8.38 months). In conclusion, NPY methylated ctDNA was a universal liquid biopsy marker in colorectal cancer patients treated with regorafenib. High baseline levels correlated with short survival and changes during treatment may predict early effect and later progression. We suggest plasma NPY methylation analysis as an easy and universally applicable method for longitudinal monitoring of ctDNA in metastatic colorectal cancer patients.
