Projecting Cancer Incidence for 2025 in the 2 Largest Populated Cities in Vietnam.

The population size and projected demographics of Vietnam's 2 largest cities, Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC) and Hanoi, will change dramatically over the next decade. Demographic changes in an aging population coupled with income growth and changes in lifestyle will result in a very different distribution of common cancers in the future. The study aimed to project the number of cancer incidence in the 2 largest populated cities in Vietnam for the year 2025. Cancer incidence data from 2004 to 2013 collected from population-based cancer registries in these 2 cities were provided by Vietnam National Cancer Institute. Incidence cases in 2013 and the previous decades average annual percent changes of age-standardized cancer incidence rates combined with expected population growth were modeled to project cancer incidence for each cancer site by gender to 2025. A substantial double in cancer incidence from 2013 to 2025 resulted from a growing and aging population in HCMC and Hanoi. Lung, colorectum, breast, thyroid, and liver cancers, which represent 67% of the overall cancer burden, are projected to become the leading cancer diagnoses by 2025 regardless of genders. For men, the leading cancer sites in 2025 are predicted to be lung, colorectum, esophagus, liver, and pharynx cancer, and among women, they are expected to be breast, thyroid, colorectum, lung, and cervical cancer. We projected an epidemiological transition from infectious-associated cancers to a high burden of cancers that have mainly been attributed to lifestyle in both cities. We predicted that with 16.9% growth in the overall population and dramatic aging with these 2 urban centers, the burdens of cancer incidence will increase sharply in both cities over the next decades. Data on projections of cancer incidence in both cities provide useful insights for directing appropriate policies and cancer control programs in Vietnam.

Granulomatous mastitis: the histological differentials.

BACKGROUND: The management of granulomatous mastitis depends on the causative factor, and accurate diagnosis in distinguishing between idiopathic granulomatous mastitis (IGM) and tuberculous mastitis (TBM) is indispensable. This is particularly problematic in the cases of granulomatous mastitis in which the microbiological studies are negative. In this study, in a large cohort, the histological features for IGM and TBM were compared. METHODS: The histopathology files from the two participating hospitals were searched for cases of granulomatous inflammation of the breast over an 8-year period. The parameters assessed included age of patient, lesional size, systemic and local symptoms, and histological findings of inflammatory cells, granulomas, necrosis, multinucleated giant cells, fibrosis and calcifications. RESULTS: 29 cases of IGM and 33 cases of TBM were included in this study. A significant difference was seen between the two groups with regard to patient age (t=2.52, p<0.05) and lesional size (t=-5.56, p<0.01). TBM occurred in a significantly younger population, and demonstrated larger lesional sizes than IGM. There was no difference between the number of cases showing mass, local and systemic symptoms. Comparing the different histological features, the TBM group showed significantly more fibrosis, eosinophils and necrosis, whereas the IGM group showed significantly more plasma cells. Taking all the cases together as one group to evaluate the relationship between the histological parameters, there was significant positive correlation between eosinophils and fibrosis (r(s)=0.39, p<0.01), and negative correlation between vague and well-formed granulomas (r(s)=-0.38, p<0.01). CONCLUSION: TBM was more likely to occur in younger patients, with a larger clinical mass at presentation. Histologically, TBM tends to show more eosinophils and necrosis, and IGM is associated with more plasma cells. The characteristics of the granulomas and giant cells were not distinguishing features.