Risk factors and outcome in European cardiac surgery: analysis of the EuroSCORE multinational database of 19030 patients.

OBJECTIVE: To assess risk factors for mortality in cardiac surgical adult patients as part of a study to develop a European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE). METHODS: From September to November 1995, information on risk factors and mortality was collected for 19030 consecutive adult patients undergoing cardiac surgery under cardiopulmonary bypass in 128 surgical centres in eight European states. Data were collected for 68 preoperative and 29 operative risk factors proven or believed to influence hospital mortality. The relationship between risk factors and outcome was assessed by univariate and logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Mean age (+/- standard deviation) was 62.5+/-10.7 (range 17-94 years) and 28% were female. Mean body mass index was 26.3+/-3.9. The incidence of common risk factors was as follows: hypertension 43.6%, diabetes 16.7%, extracardiac arteriopathy 2.9%, chronic renal failure 3.5%, chronic pulmonary disease 3.9%, previous cardiac surgery 7.3% and impaired left ventricular function 31.4%. Isolated coronary surgery accounted for 63.6% of all procedures, and 29.8% of patients had valve operations. Overall hospital mortality was 4.8%. Coronary surgery mortality was 3.4% In the absence of any identifiable risk factors, mortality was 0.4% for coronary surgery, 1% for mitral valve surgery, 1.1% for aortic valve surgery and 0% for atrial septal defect repair. The following risk factors were associated with increased mortality: age (P = 0.001), female gender (P = 0.001), serum creatinine (P = 0.001), extracardiac arteriopathy (P = 0.001), chronic airway disease (P = 0.006), severe neurological dysfunction (P = 0.001), previous cardiac surgery (P = 0.001), recent myocardial infarction (P = 0.001), left ventricular ejection fraction (P = 0.001), chronic congestive cardiac failure (P = 0.001), pulmonary hypertension (P = 0.001), active endocarditis (P = 0.001), unstable angina (P = 0.001), procedure urgency (P = 0.001), critical preoperative condition (P = 0.001) ventricular septal rupture (P = 0.002), noncoronary surgery (P = 0.001), thoracic aortic surgery (P = 0.001). CONCLUSION: A number of risk factors contribute to cardiac surgical mortality in Europe. This information can be used to develop a risk stratification system for the prediction of hospital mortality and the assessment of quality of care.

[Assessment of the quality of health care: heart surgery]. / Strumenti di verifica della qualità: l'esempio della cardiochirurgia.

In the process of health planning and of the evaluation of health care, there is growing interest in assessing the quality of medical care. Traditionally, quality indexes are divided into three groups: structure, process and outcome. The first two indexes can be measured more easily and quickly, but outcome indexes are more appropriate care indicators for both health planners and patients. The introduction of quality assessment means that physicians work in order to achieve the required standards even if it does not increase the real quality of care, that data are systematically biased in order to increase the quality score and, lastly, that physicians do not rely on case-mix statistical adjustment of results. All these problems have already been evaluated by the Health Department of New York State. Since 1989, outcome data of open-heart surgery have been monitored in all cardiac surgery centers in the state. It is still open to debate whether the decreased mortality in New York State is due to the quality assessment program, to the migration of sicker patients to nearby states, or to the refusal of heart surgeons to operate on high-risk patients. In Italy as well, new rules have been introduced into health legislation in order to assess the quality of health care. Even if methodological and legislative instruments to assess quality of care are still not completely reliable in terms of assessing the quality of care with simple and effective methods, this does not exclude the need to proceed in assessing the quality of health care.

Preoperative evaluation in non-cardiac surgery: cardiac risk assessment.

Nine hundred and ninety patients, ages 20 years or older, undergoing non-cardiac elective surgery were prospectively studied to identify high cardiac risk preoperative factors in a case-mix population and to assess cardiological risk. The prevalence of major cardiac complications was 2.3%, including 0.8% mortality. Univariate analysis showed that: age; history of chest pain; dyspnea; hypertension; presence of systolic murmur and third sound; diastolic pressure greater than 95 mmHg; electrocardiogram left ventricular hypertrophy; cardiothoracic ratio greater than 0.5 and valvular calcifications are associated with cardiac complications (p = 0.001-0.02), with low sensitivity (range: 14-38%) and high specificity (range: 85-98%). Cardiological referral was required for 169 patients (17%) that showed a higher prevalence of cardiovascular diseases (85%) and of cardiac complications (5.3%). Cardiologists required further tests for 13 patients (7.7%) and modified therapy for 93 (55%). High cardiac risk patients are identified preoperatively in current practice and cardiological referral is frequent; further studies are mandatory to evaluate the most effective and efficacious procedures.

A quality control method in cardiac surgical outcome: experience in 462 patients.

The aim of our study is to verify the reliability, reproductiveness and simplicity of a method to control cardiac surgical results. We divided 462 adult patients, operated on for acquired heart disease from October 1989 to January 1991, into five classes according to an individual score which was predictive for their operative mortality risk. The score resulted from 15 different risk factors tested with univariate and multivariate analysis against one event: operative death. The total number of deaths was 12: 2, 2, 1, 2, 5 for each class respectively. When comparing the predicted versus our observed mortality, we found no statistically significant difference, using the chi-squared test. The method we used is highly predictive for surgical mortality risk: it makes the results objectively comparable among different institutions; it is useful as a self-controlled quality method for cardiac surgical activity in any single institution.

Comparative analysis between clinical requests and magnetic resonance imaging results in neurological diseases.

In order to rationalize the use of MR, which is a high cost technology and not widely available, we analysed comparatively the reasons of test requests and MR diagnosis. We selected three groups of motivations for requests: diagnosis, symptoms and aspecific symptoms: they all were related with MR results classifying concordance, negativity and discordance groups. The results were evaluated also considering whether the patients were hospitalized or outpatients and in relation to the brain, the cervical, thoracic and lumbar regions. Within the general group we found a negativity of 36%, which increases to 52.5% if the motivation of the exam was a symptom and to 88% if the symptom was aspecific, whereas it fell to 26% with the request belonging to the group diagnosis. Concordance was higher in the brain and in the cervical spine (62% and 61%) whereas it was 46% in thoracic and lumbar spine and higher, even if not statistically significative, in the group of hospitalized patients compared to the outpatients.