Comparison of the efficacy of subcutaneous versus vaginal progesterone using a rescue protocol in vitrified blastocyst transfer cycles.

RESEARCH QUESTION: Does administration of subcutaneous (s.c.) progesterone support ongoing pregnancy rates (OPR) similar to vaginal progesterone using a rescue protocol in hormone replacement therapy frozen embryo transfer cycles? DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. Two sequential cohorts - vaginal progesterone gel (December 2019-October 2021; n=474) and s.c. progesterone (November 2021-November 2022; n=249) -were compared. Following oestrogen priming, s.c. progesterone 25 mg twice daily (b.d.) or vaginal progesterone gel 90 mg b.d. was administered. Serum progesterone was measured 1 day prior to warmed blastocyst transfer (i.e. day 5 of progesterone administration). In patients with serum progesterone concentrations <8.75 ng/ml, additional s.c. progesterone (rescue protocol; 25 mg) was provided. RESULTS: In the vaginal progesterone gel group, 15.8% of patients had serum progesterone <8.75 ng/ml and received the rescue protocol, whereas no patients in the s.c. progesterone group received the rescue protocol. OPR, along with positive pregnancy and clinical pregnancy rates, were comparable between the s.c. progesterone group without the rescue protocol and the vaginal progesterone gel group with the rescue protocol. After the rescue protocol, the route of progesterone administration was not a significant predictor of ongoing pregnancy. The impact of different serum progesterone concentrations on reproductive outcomes was evaluated by percentile (<10th, 10-49th, 50-90th and >90th percentiles), taking the >90th percentile as the reference subgroup. In both the vaginal progesterone gel group and the s.c. progesterone group, all serum progesterone percentile subgroups had similar OPR. CONCLUSIONS: Subcutaneous progesterone 25 mg b.d. secures serum progesterone >8.75 ng/ml, whereas additional exogenous progesterone (rescue protocol) was needed in 15.8% of patients who received vaginal progesterone. The s.c. and vaginal progesterone routes, with the rescue protocol if needed, yield comparable OPR.

The effect of ≤6 cm sized noncavity-distorting intramural fibroids on in vitro fertilization outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

IMPORTANCE: The potential detrimental effects of fibroids on natural fecundity and in vitro fertilization (IVF) outcomes may be influenced by their size, location, and number. The impact of small noncavity-distorting intramural fibroids on reproductive outcomes in IVF is still controversial, with conflicting results. OBJECTIVE(S): To determine whether women with noncavity-distorting intramural fibroids of ≤6 cm size have lower live birth rates (LBRs) in IVF than female age-matched controls with no fibroids. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE, Embase, Global Health, and Cochrane Library databases were searched from inception until July 1, 2022. STUDY SELECTION AND SYNTHESIS: Women undergoing IVF with noncavity-distorting intramural fibroids ≤6 cm constituted the study group (n = 520), whereas women with no fibroid formed the controls (n = 1392). Female age-matched subgroup analyses were performed to evaluate the impact of different cut-offs for size (≤6, ≤4, and ≤2 cm), location (the International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics [FIGO] type-3), and the number of fibroids on reproductive outcomes. Mantel-Haenszel odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used for outcome measures. All statistical analyses were performed using RevMan 5.4.1 MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): The primary outcome measure was LBR. Secondary outcome measures were clinical pregnancy, implantation, and miscarriage rates. RESULT(S): After adopting the eligibility criteria, 5 studies were included in the final analysis. Women with ≤6 cm noncavity-distorting intramural fibroids had significantly lower LBRs (OR: 0.48, 95% CI: 0.36-0.65, 3 studies, I2=0; low-certainty evidence) compared with women with no fibroids. A significant reduction in LBRs was noted in ≤4 cm but not in the ≤2 cm subgroups. The FIGO type-3 fibroids of 2-6 cm size were associated with significantly lower LBRs. Owing to a lack of studies, the impact of the number of noncavity-distorting intramural fibroids (single vs. multiple) on IVF outcomes could not be assessed. CONCLUSION(S): We conclude that 2-6 cm sized noncavity-distorting intramural fibroids have a deleterious effect on LBRs in IVF. The presence of FIGO type-3 fibroids of 2-6 cm size is associated with significantly lower LBRs. Conclusive evidence from high-quality randomized controlled trials, the reference standard study design for studies of health care interventions, is needed before myomectomy might be offered in daily clinical practice to women with such small fibroids before undergoing IVF treatment.

A drop in serum progesterone from oocyte pick-up +3 days to +5 days in fresh blastocyst transfer, using hCG-trigger and standard luteal support, is associated with lower ongoing pregnancy rates.

STUDY QUESTION: Do early- and mid-luteal serum progesterone (P4) levels impact ongoing pregnancy rates (OPRs) in fresh blastocyst transfer cycles using standard luteal phase support (LPS)? SUMMARY ANSWER: A drop in serum P4 level from oocyte pick-up (OPU) + 3 days to OPU + 5 days (negative ΔP4) is associated with a ∼2-fold decrease in OPRs. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: In fresh embryo transfer cycles, significant inter-individual variation occurs in serum P4 levels during the luteal phase, possibly due to differences in endogenous P4 production after hCG trigger and/or differences in bioavailability of exogenously administered progesterone (P) via different routes. Although exogenous P may alleviate this drop in serum P4 in fresh transfer cycles, there is a paucity of data exploring the possible impact on reproductive outcomes of a reduction in serum P4 levels. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: Using a prospective cohort study design, following the initial enrollment of 558 consecutive patients, 340 fulfilled the inclusion and exclusion criteria and were included in the final analysis. The inclusion criteria were: (i) female age ≤40 years, (ii) BMI ≤35 kg/m2, (iii) retrieval of ≥3 oocytes irrespective of ovarian reserve, (iv) the use of a GnRH-agonist or GnRH-antagonist protocol with recombinant hCG triggering (6500 IU), (v) standard LPS and (vi) fresh blastocyst transfer. The exclusion criteria were: (i) triggering with GnRH-agonist or GnRH-agonist plus recombinant hCG (dual trigger), (ii) circulating P4 >1.5 ng/ml on the day of trigger and (iii) cleavage stage embryo transfer. Each patient was included only once. The primary outcome was ongoing pregnancy (OP), as defined by pregnancy ≥12 weeks of gestational age. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: A GnRH-agonist (n = 53) or GnRH-antagonist (n = 287) protocol was used for ovarian stimulation. Vaginal progesterone gel (Crinone, 90 mg, 8%, Merck) once daily was used for LPS. Serum P4 levels were measured in all patients on five occasions: on the day of ovulation trigger, the day of OPU, OPU + 3 days, OPU + 5 days and OPU + 14 days; timing of blood sampling was standardized to be 3-5 h after the morning administration of vaginal progesterone gel. The delta P4 (ΔP4) level was calculated by subtracting the P4 level on the OPU + 3 days from the P4 level on the OPU + 5 days, resulting in either a positive or negative ΔP4. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: The median P4 (min-max) on the day of triggering, day of OPU, OPU + 3 days, OPU + 5 days and OPU + 14 days were 0.83 ng/ml (0.18-1.42), 5.81 ng/ml (0.80-22.72), 80.00 ng/ml (22.91-161.05), 85.91 ng/ml (15.66-171.78) and 13.46 ng/ml (0.18-185.00), respectively. Serum P4 levels uniformly increased from the day of OPU to OPU + 3 days in all patients; however, from OPU + 3 days to OPU + 5 days, some patients had a decrease (negative ΔP4; n = 116; 34.1%), whereas others had an increase (positive ΔP4; n = 220; 64.7%), in circulating P4 levels. Although the median (min-max) P4 levels on the day of triggering, the day of OPU, and OPU + 3 days were comparable between the negative ΔP4 and positive ΔP4 groups, patients in the former group had significantly lower P4 levels on OPU + 5 days [69.67 ng/ml (15.66-150.02) versus 100.51 ng/ml (26.41-171.78); P < 0.001] and OPU + 14 days [8.28 ng/ml (0.28-157.00) versus 19.01 ng/ml (0.18-185.00), respectively; P < 0.001]. A drop in P4 level from OPU + 3 days to OPU + 5 days (negative ΔP4) was seen in approximately one-third of patients and was associated with a significantly lower OPR when compared with positive ΔP4 counterparts [33.6% versus 49.1%, odds ratio (OR); 0.53, 95% CI; 0.33-0.84; P = 0.008]; this decrease in OPR was due to lower initial pregnancy rates rather than increased overall pregnancy loss rates. For negative ΔP4 patients, the magnitude of ΔP4 was a significant predictor of OP (adjusted AUC = 0.65; 95% CI; 0.59-0.71), with an optimum threshold of -8.73 ng/ml, sensitivity and specificity were 48.7% and 79.2%, respectively. BMI (OR; 1.128, 95% CI; 1.064-1.197) was the only significant predictor of having a negative ΔP4; the higher the BMI, the higher the risk of having a negative ΔP4. Among positive ΔP4 patients, the magnitude of ΔP4 was a weak predictor of OP (AUC = 0.56, 95% CI; 0.48-0.64). Logistic regression analysis showed that blastocyst morphology (OR; 5.686, 95% CI; 1.433-22.565; P = 0.013) and ΔP4 (OR; 1.013, 95% CI; 0.1001-1.024; P = 0.031), but not the serum P4 level on OPU + 5 days, were the independent predictors of OP. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: The physiological circadian pulsatile secretion of P4 during the mid-luteal phase is a limitation; however, blood sampling was standardized to reduce the impact of timing. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: Two measurements (OPU + 3 days and OPU + 5 days) of serum P4 may identify those patients with a drop in P4 (approximately one-third of patients) associated with ∼2-fold lower OPRs. Rescuing these IVF cycles with additional P supplementation or adopting a blastocyst freeze-all policy should be tested in future randomized controlled trials. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): None. S.C.E. declares receipt of unrestricted research grants from Merck and lecture fees from Merck and Med.E.A. P.H. has received unrestricted research grants from MSD and Merck, as well as honoraria for lectures from MSD, Merck, Gedeon-Richter, Theramex, and IBSA. H.Y. declares receipt of honorarium for lectures from Merck, IBSA and research grants from Merck and Ferring. The remaining authors declare that they have no conflict of interest. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: The study was registered at clinical trials.gov (NCT04128436).

Vitrified-warmed blastocyst transfer timing related to LH surge in true natural cycle and its impact on ongoing pregnancy rates.

RESEARCH QUESTION: Does the timing of warmed blastocyst transfer in true natural cycle (tNC) differ according to six different commonly used definitions of LH surge, and do differences in timing have any impact on ongoing pregnancy rate (OPR)? DESIGN: Prospective monitoring, including repeated blood sampling and ultrasound analyses of 115 warmed blastocyst transfer cycles performed using tNC between January 2017 and October 2021. RESULTS: The reference timing of follicular collapse +5 days would be equivalent to LH surge +6 days in only 5.2-41.2% of the cycles employing the six different definitions of the LH surge. In contrast, the reference timing was equivalent to LH surge +7 days in the majority of cycles (46.1-69.5%) and less commonly to LH surge +8 days (1.8-38.3%) and +9 days (0-10.4%). For each definition of the LH surge, the OPR were comparable among the different warmed blastocyst transfer timings related to the LH surge (LH surge +6/+7/+8/+9 days). When logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the independent effect of variation of warmed blastocyst transfer timing (LH surge +6/+7/+8/+9 days) on OPR and taking LH surge +6 days as the reference, change in timing was not an independent predictor of OPR for any of the definitions of the LH surge. CONCLUSIONS: Employing a policy of performing warmed blastocyst transfer on follicular collapse +5 days and using six different definitions of the LH surge, vitrified-warmed embryo transfer timing is indeed equivalent to LH surge +7/+8 and even +9 days in a significant proportion of tNC with comparable reproductive outcomes.

The LH surge and ovulation re-visited: a systematic review and meta-analysis and implications for true natural cycle frozen thawed embryo transfer.

BACKGROUND: Efficient and safe embryo vitrification techniques have contributed to a marked worldwide increase in the use of elective frozen embryo transfer (FET). Pinpointing the day of ovulation, more commonly by documentation of the LH surge and less commonly by ultrasonography, is crucial for timing of FET in a true natural cycle (t-NC) to maximize the reproductive outcome. OBJECTIVE AND RATIONALE: The definition of the onset of the LH surge should be standardized in t-NC FET cycles; however, a clear definition is lacking in the available literature. The first search question concerns the definition of the onset of the LH surge in a natural cycle. The second search question relates to the duration between the onset of the LH surge and ovulation. SEARCH METHODS: We searched PubMed, Web of Science and Cochrane Library databases for two search questions from inception until 31 August 2021. 'Luteinizing hormone'[MeSH] OR 'LH' AND 'surge' terms were used to identify eligible articles to answer the first question, whereas 'Luteinizing hormone'[MeSH] OR 'LH' AND 'surge' OR 'rise' AND 'ovulation'[MeSH] OR 'follicular rupture' OR 'follicular collapse' were the terms used regarding the second question. The included publications were all written in the English language, conducted in women of reproductive age with regular ovulatory cycles and in whom serial serum or urine LH measurement was performed. For the quality and risk of bias assessment of the included studies, the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology and modified Newcastle Ottawa Scale were used. OUTCOMES: A total of 10 and 8 studies were included for search Questions 1 and 2, respectively. Over the years, through different studies and set-ups, testing in either serum or urine, different definitions for the onset of the LH surge have been developed without a consensus. An increase in LH level varying from 1.8- to 6-fold above the baseline LH level was used in seven studies and an increase of at least two or three standard deviations above the mean of the preceding LH measurements was used in two studies. An LH level exceeding the 30% of the amplitude (peak-baseline LH level) of the LH surge was defined as the onset day by one study. A marked inter-personal variation in the time interval between the onset of the LH surge and ovulation was seen, ranging from 22 to 56 h. When meta-analysis was performed, the mean duration in hours between the onset of the LH surge and ovulation was 33.91 (95% CI = 30.79-37.03: six studies, 187 cycles). WIDER IMPLICATIONS: The definition of the onset of the LH surge should be precisely defined in future well-designed studies employing state-of-art laboratory and ultrasonographic equipment. The window of implantation in a natural cycle is still a black box, and future research is warranted to delineate the optimal interval to time the embryo transfer in t-NC FET cycles. Randomized controlled trials employing different precise endocrine and/or ultrasonographic criteria for timing of FET in a t-NC are urgently required.

Preparation of the Endometrium for Frozen Embryo Transfer: A Systematic Review.

Despite the worldwide increase in frozen embryo transfer, the search for the best protocol to prime endometrium continues. Well-designed trials comparing various frozen embryo transfer protocols in terms of live birth rates, maternal, obstetric and neonatal outcome are urgently required. Currently, low-quality evidence indicates that, natural cycle, either true natural cycle or modified natural cycle, is superior to hormone replacement treatment protocol. Regarding warmed blastocyst transfer and frozen embryo transfer timing, the evidence suggests the 6th day of progesterone start, LH surge+6 day and hCG+7 day in hormone replacement treatment, true natural cycle and modified natural cycle protocols, respectively. Time corrections, due to inter-personal differences in the window of implantation or day of vitrification (day 5 or 6), should be explored further. Recently available evidence clearly indicates that, in hormone replacement treatment and natural cycles, there might be marked inter-personal variation in serum progesterone levels with an impact on reproductive outcomes, despite the use of the same dose and route of progesterone administration. The place of progesterone rescue protocols in patients with low serum progesterone levels one day prior to warmed blastocyst transfer in hormone replacement treatment and natural cycles is likely to be intensively explored in near future.

Double or dual stimulation in poor ovarian responders: where do we stand?

Recent advances in our recognition of two to three follicular waves of development in a single menstrual cycle has challenged the dogmatic approach of ovarian stimulation for in vitro fertilization starting in the early follicular phase. First shown in veterinary medicine and thereafter in women, luteal phase stimulation-derived oocytes are at least as competent as those retrieved following follicular phase stimulation. Poor ovarian responders still remain a challenge for many decades simply because they do not respond to ovarian stimulation. Performing follicular phase stimulation and luteal phase stimulation in the same menstrual cycle, named as double stimulation/dual stimulation, clearly increases the number of oocytes, which is a robust surrogate marker of live birth rate in in vitro fertilization across all female ages. Of interest, apart from one study, the bulk of evidence reports significantly higher number of oocytes following luteal phase stimulation when compared with follicular phase stimulation; hence, performing double stimulation/dual stimulation doubles the number of oocytes leading to a marked decrease in patient drop-out rate which is one of the major factors limiting cumulative live birth rates in such poor prognosis patients. The limited data with double stimulation/dual stimulation-derived embryos is reassuring for obstetric and neonatal outcome. The mandatory requirement of freeze-all and lack of cost-effectiveness data are limitations of this novel approach. Double stimulation/dual stimulation is an effective strategy when the need to obtain oocytes is urgent, including patients with malignant diseases undergoing oocyte cryopreservation and patients of advanced maternal age or with reduced ovarian reserve.

Cumulative delivery rate per aspiration IVF/ICSI cycle in POSEIDON patients: a real-world evidence study of 9073 patients.

STUDY QUESTION: What is the cumulative delivery rate (CDR) per aspiration IVF/ICSI cycle in low-prognosis patients as defined by the Patient-Oriented Strategies Encompassing IndividualizeD Oocyte Number (POSEIDON) criteria? SUMMARY ANSWER: The CDR of POSEIDON patients was on average ∼50% lower than in normal responders and varied across POSEIDON groups; differences were primarily determined by female age, number of embryos obtained, number of embryo transfer (ET) cycles per patient, number of oocytes retrieved, duration of infertility, and BMI. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: The POSEIDON criteria aim to underline differences related to a poor or suboptimal treatment outcome in terms of oocyte quality and quantity among patients undergoing IVF/ICSI, and thus, create more homogenous groups for the clinical management of infertility and research. POSEIDON patients are presumed to be at a higher risk of failing to achieve a live birth after IVF/ICSI treatment than normal responders with an adequate ovarian reserve. The CDR per initiated/aspiration cycle after the transfer of all fresh and frozen-thawed/warmed embryos has been suggested to be the critical endpoint that sets these groups apart. However, no multicenter study has yet substantiated the validity of the POSEIDON classification in identifying relevant subpopulations of patients with low-prognosis in IVF/ICSI treatment using real-world data. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: Multicenter population-based retrospective cohort study involving 9073 patients treated in three fertility clinics in Brazil, Turkey and Vietnam between 2015 and 2017. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Participants were women with infertility between 22 and 42 years old in their first IVF/ICSI cycle of standard ovarian stimulation whose fresh and/or frozen embryos were transferred until delivery of a live born or until all embryos were used. Patients were retrospectively classified according to the POSEIDON criteria into four groups based on female age, antral follicle count (AFC), and the number of oocytes retrieved or into a control group of normal responders (non-POSEIDON). POSEIDON patients encompassed younger (<35 years) and older (35 years or above) women with an AFC ≥5 and an unexpected poor (<4 retrieved oocytes) or suboptimal (4-9 retrieved oocytes) response to stimulation, and respective younger and older counterparts with an impaired ovarian reserve (i.e. expected poor responders; AFC <5). Non-POSEIDON patients were those with AFC ≥5 and >9 oocytes retrieved. CDR was computed per one aspirated cycle. Logistic regression analysis was carried out to examine the association between patient classification and CDR. MAIN RESULTS AND ROLE OF CHANCE: The CDR was lower in the POSEIDON patients than in the non-POSEIDON patients (33.7% vs 50.6%; P < 0.001) and differed across POSEIDON groups (younger unexpected poor responder [Group 1a; n = 212]: 27.8%, younger unexpected suboptimal responder [Group 1b; n = 1785]: 47.8%, older unexpected poor responder [Group 2a; n = 293]: 14.0%, older unexpected suboptimal responder [Group 2b; n = 1275]: 30.5%, younger expected poor responder [Group 3; n = 245]: 29.4%, and older expected poor responder [Group 4; n = 623]: 12.5%. Among unexpected suboptimal/poor responders (POSEIDON Groups 1 and 2), the CDR was twice as high in suboptimal responders (4-9 oocytes retrieved) as in poor responders (<4 oocytes) (P = 0.0004). Logistic regression analysis revealed that the POSEIDON grouping, number of embryos obtained, number of ET cycles per patient, number of oocytes collected, female age, duration of infertility and BMI were relevant predictors for CDR (P < 0.001). LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: Our study relied on the antral follicle count as the biomarker used for patient classification. Ovarian stimulation protocols varied across study centers, potentially affecting patient classification. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: POSEIDON patients exhibit lower CDR per aspirated IVF/ICSI cycle than normal responders; the differences are mainly determined by female age and number of oocytes retrieved, thereby reflecting the importance of oocyte quality and quantity. Our data substantiate the validity of the POSEIDON criteria in identifying relevant subpopulations of patients with low-prognosis in IVF/ICSI treatment. Efforts in terms of early diagnosis, prevention, and identification of specific interventions that might benefit POSEIDON patients are warranted. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): Unrestricted investigator-sponsored study grant (MS200059_0013) from Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany. The funder had no role in study design, data collection, analysis, decision to publish or manuscript preparation. S.C.E. declares receipt of unrestricted research grants from Merck and lecture fees from Merck and Med.E.A. H.Y. declares receipt of payment for lectures from Merck and Ferring. L.N.V. receives speaker fees and conferences from Merck, Merck Sharp and Dohme (MSD) and Ferring and research grants from MSD and Ferring. J.F.C. declares receipt of statistical services fees from ANDROFERT Clinic. T.M.H. received speaker fees and conferences from Merck, MSD and Ferring. P.H. declares receipt of unrestricted research grants from Merck, Ferring, Gedeon Richter and IBSA and lecture fees from Merck, Gedeon Richter and Med.E.A. C.A. declares receipt of unrestricted research grants from Merck and lecture fees from Merck. The remaining authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.

Subcutaneous luteal phase progesterone rescue rectifies ongoing pregnancy rates in hormone replacement therapy vitrified-warmed blastocyst transfer cycles.

RESEARCH QUESTION: Will luteal phase rescue with additional progesterone increase serum progesterone concentrations and improve reproductive outcomes in patients with low serum progesterone concentrations undergoing hormone replacement therapy (HRT) cycles? DESIGN: Case-control study including 40 consecutive patients with serum progesterone concentrations <8.75 ng/ml on the 5th day of progesterone supplementation who underwent rescue with a daily bolus of 25 mg s.c. progesterone, starting on the afternoon of the 5th day of progesterone administration. For every patient who underwent progesterone rescue, three patients matched by age, body mass index, number of previous attempts and number of blastocysts transferred, with serum progesterone concentration >8.75 ng/ml on the 5th day of progesterone administration served as controls (n = 120). The main outcome measure was ongoing pregnancy rate (OPR). RESULTS: Baseline demographic features and embryological data of the rescue and control groups were comparable. As expected, the mean serum progesterone concentration was lower in the rescue group on the 5th day of progesterone administration (7.84 ± 0.92 versus 15.32 ± 5.02 ng/ml; P < 0.001). Following rescue, the mean serum progesterone concentration on the day of vitrified-warmed embryo transfer (6th day of progesterone administration) was 33.43 ± 10.83 ng/ml (range 14.61-82.64 ng/ml), and the OPR of the rescue and control groups were comparable. CONCLUSIONS: In patients undergoing HRT vitrified-warmed blastocyst transfer with serum progesterone concentrations lower than 8.75 ng/ml 1 day prior to the scheduled embryo transfer (6th day of progesterone administration), additional supplementation with a 25 mg s.c. daily progesterone dose seems to rescue the cycle, resulting in OPR comparable to those of patients with serum progesterone >8.75 ng/ml.

Low Prognosis by the POSEIDON Criteria in Women Undergoing Assisted Reproductive Technology: A Multicenter and Multinational Prevalence Study of Over 13,000 Patients.

Objective: To estimate the prevalence of low-prognosis patients according to the POSEIDON criteria using real-world data. Design: Multicenter population-based cohort study. Settings: Fertility clinics in Brazil, Turkey, and Vietnam. Patients: Infertile women undergoing assisted reproductive technology using standard ovarian stimulation with exogenous gonadotropins. Interventions: None. Main outcome measures: Per-period prevalence rates of POSEIDON patients (overall, stratified by POSEIDON groups and by study center) and the effect of covariates on the probability that a patient be classified as "POSEIDON". Results: A total of 13,146 patients were included. POSEIDON patients represented 43.0% (95% confidence interval [CI] 42.0-43.7) of the studied population, and the prevalence rates varied across study centers (range: 38.6-55.7%). The overall prevalence rates by POSEIDON groups were 44.2% (group 1; 95% CI 42.6-45.9), 36.1% (group 2; 95% CI 34.6-37.7), 5.2% (group 3; 95% CI 4.5-6.0), and 14.4% (group 4; 95% CI: 13.3-15.6). In general, POSEIDON patients were older, had a higher body mass index (BMI), lower ovarian reserve markers, and a higher frequency of female factor as the primary treatment indication than non-POSEIDON patients. The former required larger doses of gonadotropin for ovarian stimulation, despite achieving a 2.5 times lower number of retrieved oocytes than non-POSEIDON patients. Logistic regression analyses revealed that female age, BMI, ovarian reserve, and a female infertility factor were relevant predictors of the POSEIDON condition. Conclusions: The estimated prevalence of POSEIDON patients in the general population undergoing ART is significant. These patients differ in clinical characteristics compared with non-POSEIDON patients. The POSEIDON condition is associated with female age, ovarian reserve, BMI, and female infertility. Efforts in terms of diagnosis, counseling, and treatment are needed to reduce the prevalence of low-prognosis patients.

Antral follicle count and anti-Müllerian hormone to classify low-prognosis women under the POSEIDON criteria: a classification agreement study of over 9000 patients.

STUDY QUESTION: What is the agreement between antral follicle count (AFC) and anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) levels when used to patient classification according to the Patient-Oriented Strategies Encompassing IndividualizeD Oocyte Number (POSEIDON) criteria? SUMMARY ANSWER: Our study indicates a strong agreement between the AFC and the AMH levels in classifying POSEIDON patients; thus, either can be used for this purpose, although one in four women will have discordant values when both biomarkers are used. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: According to the POSEIDON criteria, both AFC and AMH may be used to classify low-prognosis patients. Proposed AFC and AMH thresholds of 5 and 1.2 ng/ml, respectively, have their basis in published literature; however, no study has yet determined the reproducibility of patient classification in comparing one biomarker with the other, nor have their thresholds ever been validated within this patient population. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: A population-based cohort study involving 9484 consecutive patients treated in three fertility clinics in Brazil, Turkey and Vietnam between 2015 and 2017. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Participants were infertile women between 22 and 46 years old in their first in vitro fertilization/intracytoplasmic sperm injection cycle of standard ovarian stimulation with exogenous gonadotropins whose baseline ovarian reserves had been assessed by both AFC and AMH. Details of pre- and post-treatment findings were input into a coded research file. Two indicators of interest were created to classify patients according to the POSEIDON criteria based upon AFC and AMH values. Patients who did not fit any of the four POSEIDON groups were classified as non-POSEIDON. AFC was determined in the early follicular phase using two-dimensional (2D) transvaginal ultrasonography, whereas AMH values were based on the modified Beckman Coulter generation II enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Agreement rates were computed between AFC and AMH to classify patients using Cohen's kappa statistics. Logistic regression analyzes were carried out to examine the association between ovarian markers and low (<4) and suboptimal (4-9) oocyte yield. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: The degree of agreement in classifying patients according to POSEIDON groups was strong overall (kappa = 0.802; 95% CI: 0.792-0.811). A total of 73.8% of individuals were classified under the same group using both biomarkers. The disagreement rates were ∼26% and did not diverge when AFC or AMH was used as the primary biomarker criterion. Significant regression equations were found between ovarian markers and oocyte yield (P < 0.0001). For low oocyte yield, the optimal AFC and AMH cutoff values were 5 and 1.27 ng/ml with sensitivities of 0.61 and 0.66, specificities of 0.81 and 0.72, and AUC receiver operating characteristics of 0.791 and 0.751, respectively. For suboptimal oocyte yield respective AFC and AMH cutoffs were 12 and 2.97 ng/ml with sensitivities of 0.74 and 0.69, specificities of 0.76 and 0.66 and AUCs of 0.81 and 0.80. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: Our study relied on 2D transvaginal sonography to quantify the AFC and manual Gen II assay for AMH determination and classification of patients. AMH data must be interpreted in an assay-specific manner. Treatment protocols varied across centers potentially affecting patient classification. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: Three of four patients will be classified the same using either AFC or AMH values. Both biomarkers provide acceptable and equivalent accuracy in predicting oocyte yield further supporting their use and proposed thresholds in daily clinical practice for patient classification according to the POSEIDON criteria. However, the sensitivity of POSEIDON thresholds in predicting low oocyte yield is low. Clinicians should adopt the biomarker that may best reflect their clinical setting. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): Unrestricted investigator-sponsored study grant (MS200059_0013) from Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany. The funder had no role in study design, data collection, analysis, decision to publish or manuscript preparation. S.C.E. declares receipt of unrestricted research grants from Merck and lecture fees from Merck and Med.E.A. H.Y. declares receipt of payment for lectures from Merck and Ferring. L.N.V. receives speaker fees and conferences from Merck, Merck Sharp and Dohme (MSD) and Ferring and research grants from MSD and Ferring. T.M.H. received speaker fees and conferences from Merck, MSD and Ferring. The remaining authors have nothing to disclose. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: not applicable.

Comparison of single euploid blastocyst transfer cycle outcome derived from embryos with normal or abnormal cleavage patterns.

RESEARCH QUESTION: To assess incidence of abnormal cleavage among biopsied blastocysts; to compare euploidy rates of the blastocysts with abnormal and normal cleavage; and to compare single euploid blastocyst transfer (SEBT) outcome derived from embryos with normal or abnormal cleavage. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data in a private IVF clinic. Consecutive 554 patients (749 cycles) undergoing preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidy (n = 497; 671 cycles) or monogenic diseases (n = 57; 78 cycles) were included. All assessments for abnormal cleavage were carried out retrospectively; presence of abnormal cleavage was not a factor in deciding which euploid embryo to transfer. A total of 1015 blastocysts were biopsied and 295 SEBT procedures were carried out. Main outcome measure was live birth rate (LBR). RESULTS: Incidence of reverse cleavage, direct cleavage, and reverse plus direct cleavage, were 7.7%, 6.4% and 2.3%, respectively. Of the 1015 biopsied blastocysts, 35.0% were euploid. Blastocysts with abnormal cleavage, in total, had a significantly higher euploidy rate compared with blastocysts with normal cleavage (44.6% [74/166] versus 33.1% [281/849]; P = 0.017). The LBR after SEBT with normal, reverse and direct cleavage, and direct cleavage plus reverse cleavage, was 133/238 (55.9%), 6/26 (23.1%), 8/24 (33.3%) and 0/3 (0.0%) (P < 0.001). Generalized estimating equation analysis showed that the presence of abnormal cleavage pattern was the only independent predictor of LBR (OR 0.316; 95% CI 0.115 to 0.867; P = 0.013). CONCLUSIONS: Blastocysts with direct or reverse cleavage should be biopsied in preimplantation genetic testing cycles if they are morphologically eligible. Euploid blastocysts with abnormal cleavage, however, have approximately half the LBR of those euploid blastocyst with normal cleavage, hence, blastocysts with abnormal cleavage should have lower priority for transfer.

Addition of intramuscular progesterone to vaginal progesterone in hormone replacement therapy in vitrified-warmed blastocyst transfer cycles.

RESEARCH QUESTION: Does intramuscular progesterone supplementation ensure ongoing pregnancy rates (OPR) comparable with vaginal progesterone only in hormone replacement therapy cycles for vitrified-warmed embryo transfer; and is there a window of serum progesterone concentration out of which reproductive outcomes may be negatively affected? DESIGN: Retrospective longitudinal cohort study carried out at a single IVF clinic. In total, 475 consecutive, day-5 to day-6 vitrified-warmed embryo transfer cycles using hormone replacement therapy regimen were included. Vaginal progesterone only was given to 143 patients; supplementation of vaginal progesterone only with intramuscular progesterone supplementation every third day was given to 332 patients. On the sixth day of progesterone administration, immediately before frozen-thawed embryo transfer, circulating progesterone levels were measured. Main outcome measure was OPR. RESULTS: The baseline demographic features and embryological data of the vaginal progesterone only and intramuscular progesterone supplementation groups were comparable. The OPR were 48.3% and 51.8%, respectively (P = 0.477). Neither the circulating progesterone level nor the type of progesterone administration were independent predictors of OPR. The effect of serum progesterone levels on OPR was evaluated by percentiles (<10%, 10-49%, 50-90% and >90%), taking 50-90% as the reference sub-group. All percentiles in the intramuscular progesterone supplementation group and in the vaginal progesterone only group had similar OPR. CONCLUSIONS: Intramuscular progesterone supplementation every third day, overall, does not enhance OPR compared with vaginal progesterone only.

PGT for aneuploidy does not affect three-cycle cumulative IVF discontinuation rate in women of advanced maternal age.

RESEARCH QUESTION: Does preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidy (PGT-A) influence the discontinuation rate in women with advanced maternal age (AMA) undergoing IVF? DESIGN: Retrospective longitudinal cohort study carried out at a single IVF clinic in Turkey. In total, 401 consecutive AMA cases were included. Discontinuation rates of pre-intervention (conventional IVF; June 2013 to October 2014; 203 couples; 270 cycles) and post-intervention (PGT-A; April 2015 to June 2016; 198 couples; 285 cycles) periods were compared. To delineate the reason for discontinuation, a telephone survey was conducted. Primary outcome measure was cumulative discontinuation rate before completing three cycles of IVF treatment without achieving an ongoing pregnancy. RESULTS: The discontinuation rates after the first and second failed cycles were comparable between the two arms as were the cumulative discontinuation rates before completing three cycles. The cumulative ongoing pregnancy rate per embryo transfer was significantly higher in the PGT-A arm (43.2% versus 16.8%; P < 0.001). The cumulative ongoing pregnancy rate per patient was comparable between the two arms (20.7% versus 16.3%, respectively). Female age was the only significant contributor to treatment discontinuation (hazard ratio [HR] 1.07; 95% CI 1.09 to 1.13). Of the 296 couples discontinuing treatment in both arms, 179 (179/296 [60.5%]) participated in the survey; overall, psychological burden was the main reason for treatment discontinuation (37/179 [20.7%]). CONCLUSIONS: About 90% of AMA cases not achieving an ongoing pregnancy discontinue IVF treatment before completing three cycles. Discontinuation rate is not reduced by carrying out PGT-A. Female ageing is the only significant contributor, with a hazard of discontinuing further IVF treatment of 7% with female ageing of 1-year.

Validation of ART Calculator for Predicting the Number of Metaphase II Oocytes Required for Obtaining at Least One Euploid Blastocyst for Transfer in Couples Undergoing in vitro Fertilization/Intracytoplasmic Sperm Injection.

This multicenter study evaluated the reliability of the recently published ART calculator for predicting the minimum number of metaphase II (MII) oocytes (MIImin) to obtain at least one euploid blastocyst in patients undergoing in vitro fertilization/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (IVF/ICSI). We used clinical and embryonic retrospective data of 1,464 consecutive infertile couples who underwent IVF/ICSI with the intention to have preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidy. The validation procedure followed a stepwise approach. Firstly, we assessed the distribution of euploid blastocysts per patient and found that it followed a negative binomial distribution. Secondly, we used generalized linear models and applied the Lasso procedure-including MII oocytes to adjust the data-to select the factors predicting the response variable "euploid blastocyst." Third, a logistic regression model-fit to the binomial response euploid (yes/no) for each MII oocyte-was built using the relevant factors. The observational unit was the "woman" whereas the response was the pair (m, n), where n is the number of retrieved MII oocytes and m the corresponding number of euploid blastocysts. The model was internally validated by randomly splitting the data into training and validation sets. The R-squares (~0.25) and the area under the ROC curve (~0.70) did not differ between the training and validation datasets. Fourth, mathematical equations and the calculated probabilities generated by the validation model were used to determine the MIImin required for obtaining at least one euploid blastocyst according to different success probabilities. Lastly, we compared the fittings generated by the validation model and the ART calculator and assessed the predictive value of the latter using the validation dataset. The fittings were sufficiently close for both the estimated probabilities of blastocyst euploid per MII oocyte (r = 0.91) and MIImin (r = 0.88). The ART calculator positive predictive values, i.e., the frequency of patients with at least one euploid blastocyst among those who achieved the estimated MIImin, were 84.8%, 87.5%, and 90.0% for 70%, 80%, and 90% predicted probabilities of success, respectively. The ART calculator effectively predicts the MIImin needed to achieve at least one euploid blastocyst in individual patients undergoing IVF/ICSI. The prediction tool might be used for counseling and planning IVF/ICSI treatments.

Duration of blastulation may be associated with ongoing pregnancy rate in single euploid blastocyst transfer cycles.

Not all euploid embryos implant, necessitating additional tools to select viable blastocysts in preimplantation genetic screening cycles. In this retrospective cohort study, 129 consecutive patients who underwent 129 single euploid blastocyst transfers in cryopreserved embryo transfer cycles were included. All embryos were individually cultured in a time-lapse incubator from intracytoplasmic sperm injection up to trophoectoderm biopsy. Twenty-three time-lapse morphokinetic variables were tested among patients with (n = 68) or without (n = 61) ongoing pregnancy. All 23 time-lapse morphokinetic variables, apart from duration of blastulation (tB-tSB), were comparable between patients with or without ongoing pregnancy. Duration of blastulation was significantly shorter in patients with ongoing pregnancy (8.1 ± 3.2 versus 9.5 ± 3.4 h; P = 0.014); shorter duration of blastulation remained an independent predictor for ongoing pregnancy, when tested by logistic regression analysis (OR 0.81; 95% CI 0.70 to 0.93). One important limitation of this study, and a reason for caution, is the use of multiple comparisons, which can lead to differences at the 0.05 level simply by chance or random variation. Nonetheless, the study suggests that when more than one euploid blastocyst is available, priority might be given to those with a shorter duration of blastulation.

Live birth rates in various subgroups of poor ovarian responders fulfilling the Bologna criteria.

The European Society of Human Reproduction and Embryology published Bologna criteria to generate a definition of poor ovarian responders (PORs). However, there are few data on whether PORs are homogenous for ovarian response or live birth rates (LBRs). In this retrospective study, 821 patients fulfilling Bologna criteria and undergoing intracytoplasmic sperm injection were stratified into four groups: Group A: female age ≥40 with a previous poor response (cycle cancelled or ≤3 oocytes) (105 patients, 123 cycles); Group B: female age ≥40 with an antral follicle count (AFC) < 7 (159 patients, 253 cycles); Group C: AFC <7 with a previous poor response (350 patients, 575 cycles); and Group D: female age ≥40 with an AFC <7 and previous poor response (207 patients, 306 cycles). Cluster data analysis was performed. Although median number of oocytes was higher in Group B (P < 0.001), higher implantation (P = 0.024) and LBR per embryo transfer (P < 0.001) or cycle (P = 0.001) were noted in Group C. We conclude that, once a patient fulfils Bologna criteria, prognosis is poor, with fewer than 10% recorded LBRs per cycle. However, the LBRs are not homogenous and 'young proven' PORs have the most favourable pregnancy outcome.

Time-lapse morphokinetic assessment has low to moderate ability to predict euploidy when patient- and ovarian stimulation-related factors are taken into account with the use of clustered data analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To study whether time-lapse morphokinetic (TLM) assessment predicts ploidy status when patient- and ovarian stimulation-related factors are taken into account. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Private IVF clinic. PATIENT(S): In total, 103 consecutive patients (415 blastocysts) were included. All embryos were individually cultured in a time-lapse incubator from intracytoplasmic sperm injection up to trophectoderm biopsy. Following trophectoderm biopsy on day 5 or 6, blastocysts were vitrified and 23 TLM parameters were analyzed. INTERVENTION(S): Correlations between patient- and ovarian stimulation-related factors and TLM parameters were tested in a multilevel mixed-effects linear regression model and assessed by means of intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Predictive ability of TLM parameters for euploidy. RESULT(S): The majority of TLM parameters had ICCs of 16%-47%. None of the patient- or ovarian stimulation-related factor had any systematic effect on any TLM parameter; however, body mass, total FSH dose, duration of infertility, number of previous cycles, antral follicle count, ovarian stimulation protocol, and E2 on the trigger day had a significant impact on some TLM parameters. With the use of multilevel mixed-effects logistic regression analysis, of the ten TLM parameters that were initially noted to be significantly different among euploid and aneuploid blastocysts in the univariate analysis, only five remained significant. However, the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves at regression analysis were low, ranging from 0.55 to 0.63. CONCLUSION(S): Five TLM parameters, all related to timing of blastocyst development, have limited ability to predict euploidy when patient- and ovarian stimulation-related factors are taken into account.

Preparation of endometrium for frozen embryo replacement cycles: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the best protocol to prepare endometrium for frozen embryo replacement (FER) cycles. METHODS: This study is a systematic review and meta-analysis. Following PubMed and OvidSP search, a total of 1166 studies published after 1990 were identified following removal of duplicates. Following exclusion of studies not matching our inclusion criteria, a total of 33 studies were analyzed. Primary outcome measure was live birth. The following protocols, including true natural cycle (tNC), modified natural cycle (mNC), artificial cycle (AC) with or without suppression, and mild ovarian stimulation (OS) with gonadotropin (Gn) or aromatase inhibitor (AI), were compared. RESULTS: No statistically significant difference for both clinical pregnancy and live birth was noted between tNC and mNC groups. When tNC and AC without suppression groups are compared, there was a statistically significant difference in clinical pregnancy rate in favor of tNC, whereas it failed to reach statistical significance for live birth. When tNC and AC with suppression groups are compared, there was a statistically significant difference in live birth rate favoring the latter. Similar pregnancy outcome was noted among mNC versus AC with or without suppression groups. Similarly, no difference in clinical pregnancy and live birth was noted when ACs with or without suppression groups are compared. CONCLUSIONS: There is no consistent superiority of any endometrial preparation for FER. However, mNC has several advantages (being patient-friendly; yielding at least equivalent or better pregnancy rates when compared with tNC and AC with or without suppression; may not require LPS). Mild OS with Gn or AI may be promising.

Coexistence of preeclampsia and inherited thrombophilia in Turkish pregnant women.

BACKGROUND/AIM: To examine the relationship of inherited thrombophilia and other thrombotic risk factors with preeclampsia (PE) in a population of pregnant Turkish women. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a case cross-sectional study in which 70 women with PE and 60 normal pregnant women were studied to find out the frequency of women with risk factors including inherited thrombophilia among preeclamptic cases. RESULTS: Hemoglobin, platelet count, uric acid, vitamin B12, folic acid, copper, homocysteine, plasminogen activator inhibitor-1, fibrinogen, protein S, protein C, activated protein C resistance values show significant differences in women with PE in comparison to women with normal pregnancy. CONCLUSION: There may be a link between inherited thrombophilia and PE, at least in a sample of Turkish pregnant women. We also propose that the association between thrombophilia and PE is stronger than suggested previously. Furthermore, copper is selectively elevated in women with PE as an independent marker.