External validation of the MRI-DRAGON score: early prediction of stroke outcome after intravenous thrombolysis.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The aim of our study was to validate in an independent cohort the MRI-DRAGON score, an adaptation of the (CT-) DRAGON score to predict 3-month outcome in acute ischemic stroke patients undergoing MRI before intravenous thrombolysis (IV-tPA). METHODS: We reviewed consecutive (2009-2013) anterior circulation stroke patients treated within 4.5 hours by IV-tPA in the Lille stroke unit (France), where MRI is the first-line pretherapeutic work-up. We assessed the discrimination and calibration of the MRI-DRAGON score to predict poor 3-month outcome, defined as modified Rankin Score >2, using c-statistic and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test, respectively. RESULTS: We included 230 patients (mean ±SD age 70.4±16.0 years, median [IQR] baseline NIHSS 8 [5]-[14]; poor outcome in 78(34%) patients). The c-statistic was 0.81 (95%CI 0.75-0.87), and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test was not significant (p = 0.54). CONCLUSIONS: The MRI-DRAGON score showed good prognostic performance in the external validation cohort. It could therefore be used to inform the patient's relatives about long-term prognosis and help to identify poor responders to IV-tPA alone, who may be candidates for additional therapeutic strategies, if they are otherwise eligible for such procedures based on the institutional criteria.

Outcome of patients with atrial fibrillation after intravenous thrombolysis for cerebral ischaemia.

The question of whether i.v. rt-PA is beneficial in patients with ischaemic stroke and atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unresolved. Our objective was to evaluate the outcome of patients with AF who received i.v. rt-PA for stroke in the registries of Lille (France) and Belgrade (Serbia). End-points were poor outcome [modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 3-6], and symptomatic haemorrhagic transformation (sHT) according to ECASS3. Of 734 consecutive patients, 155 (21.2 %) had AF. The unadjusted comparison found patients with AF to be 12 years older, more likely to be women, to have hypertension, and baseline INR > 1.2, and less likely to be smokers. They had higher baseline NIHSS scores, diastolic blood pressure, and serum glucose concentrations, and lower platelet counts. They did not differ for sHT (5.8 vs. 5.5 %; p = 0.893), but they more frequently had poor outcomes (52.3 vs. 35.2 %; p < 0.001) and death (21.9 vs. 9.0 %; p < 0.001). The only independent predictor of sHT was baseline NIHSS (adjOR 1.05 per 1 point increase; 95 % CI 1.01-1.10). Independent variables associated with poor outcome were age (adjOR 1.04 for 1 year increase; 95 % CI 1.03-1.06), baseline NIHSS (adjOR 1.17 per 1 point increase; 95 % CI 1.13-1.21), and sHT (adjOR 47.6; 95 % CI 10.2-250) but not AF. In patients treated with i.v. rt-PA for cerebral ischaemia, those with AF have worse outcomes because they are older and have more severe strokes at admission. This result suggests that we should focus on prevention and research of more aggressive strategies at the acute stage.

Baseline serum glucose concentration and symptomatic haemorrhagic transformation in non-diabetic stroke patients treated by intravenous thrombolysis.

Intravenous (i.v.) recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rt-PA) improves outcome in ischaemic stroke, despite an increased risk of symptomatic haemorrhagic transformation (sHT). A higher baseline serum glucose concentration is associated with an increased risk of sHT. However, as most studies did not exclude diabetic patients, this effect may be partially due to diabetic micro-angiopathy. Our objective was to test the hypothesis that baseline serum glucose concentration is associated with sHT in non-diabetic patients treated by i.v. rt-PA. We analysed the influence of baseline serum glucose concentrations on sHT (ECASS2 definition) in consecutive non-diabetic patients treated by i.v. rt-PA for ischaemic stroke. Secondary end-points were death (<7 days, 8 days to 3 months, all deaths <3 months), and unfavourable outcome at 3 months (modified Rankin scale 2-6 if different from the pre-stroke value). Five hundred and five consecutive patients met inclusion criteria [242 men (47.9 %); median age 71 years (interquartile range, IQR) 57-81; median baseline national institutes of health stroke scale score 12 (IQR 6-17)]. Thirty-seven had sHT (7.3 %). After adjustment, baseline serum glucose concentrations were independently associated with sHT (adjOR: 1.176 for 1 mmol/l increase; 95 % CI: 1.020-1.357: p = 0.025). Increased admission serum glucose concentrations in non-diabetic patients treated by i.v. rt-PA for cerebral ischaemia are associated with sHT. Whether lowering serum glucose lowers the risk of sHT needs to be evaluated.