Validation Study of Cardiovascular International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Edition, Australian Modification (ICD-10-AM) Codes in Administrative Healthcare Databases (ANZACS-QI 77).

BACKGROUND: Administrative healthcare databases can be utilised for research. The accuracy of the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Edition, Australian Modification (ICD-10-AM) coding of cardiovascular conditions in New Zealand is not known and requires validation. METHOD: International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Edition, Australian Modification coded discharges for acute coronary syndrome (ACS), heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF), in both primary and secondary diagnostic positions, were identified from four district health boards between 1 January 2019 and 31 June 2019. A sample was randomly selected for retrospective clinician review for evidence of the coded diagnosis according to contemporary diagnostic criteria. Positive predictive values (PPVs) for ICD-10-AM coding vs clinician review were calculated. This study is also known as All of New Zealand, Acute Coronary Syndrome-Quality Improvement (ANZACS-QI) 77. RESULTS: A total of 600 cases (200 for each diagnosis, 5.0% of total identified cases) were reviewed. The PPV of ACS was 93% (95% confidence interval [CI] 89%-96%), HF was 93% (95% CI 89%-96%) and AF was 96% (95% CI 92%-98%). There were no differences in PPV between district health boards. PPV for ACS were lower in Maori vs non-Maori (72% vs 96%; p=0.004), discharge from non-Cardiology vs Cardiology services (89% vs 96%; p=0.048) and ICD-10-AM coding for unstable angina vs myocardial infarction (81% vs 95%; p=0.011). PPV for HF were higher in the primary vs secondary diagnostic position (100% vs 89%; p=0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The PPVs of ICD-10-AM coding for ACS, HF, and AF were high in this validation study. ICD-10-AM coding can be used to identify these diagnoses in administrative databases for the purposes of healthcare evaluation and research.

Longitudinal NT-proBNP: Associations With Echocardiographic Changes and Outcomes in Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: The relationship of serial NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) measurements with changes in cardiac features and outcomes in heart failure (HF) remains incompletely understood. We determined whether common clinical covariates impact these relationships. METHODS AND RESULTS: In 2 nationwide observational populations with HF, the relationship of serial NT-proBNP measurements with serial echocardiographic parameters and outcomes was analyzed, further stratified by HF with reduced versus preserved left ventricular ejection fraction, inpatient versus outpatient enrollment, age, obesity, chronic kidney disease, atrial fibrillation, and attainment of ≥50% guideline-recommended doses of renin-angiotensin system inhibitors and ß-blockers. Among 1911 patients (mean±SD age, 65.1±13.4 years; 26.6% women; 62% inpatient and 38% outpatient), NT-proBNP declined overall, with more rapid declines among inpatients, those with obesity, those with atrial fibrillation, and those attaining ≥50% guideline-recommended doses. Each doubling of NT-proBNP was associated with increases in left ventricular volume (by 6.1 mL), E/e' (transmitral to mitral annular early diastolic velocity ratio) (by 1.4 points), left atrial volume (by 3.6 mL), and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (by -2.1%). The effect sizes of these associations were lower among patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction, atrial fibrillation, or advanced age (Pinteraction<0.001). A landmark analysis identified that an SD increase in NT-proBNP over 6 months was associated with a 27% increase in the risk of the composite event of HF hospitalization or all-cause death between 6 months and 2 years (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.27 [95% CI, 1.15-1.40]; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The relationships between NT-proBNP and structural/functional remodeling differed by age, presence of atrial fibrillation, and HF phenotypes. The association of increased NT-proBNP with increased risk of adverse outcomes was consistent in all subgroups.

The Prevalence and Management of Atrial Fibrillation in New Zealand Maori Detected through an Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Screening Program.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) screening was incorporated into an abdominal aortic aneurysm screening (AAA) program for New Zealand (NZ) Maori. METHODS: AF screening was performed as an adjunct to AAA screening of Maori men aged 60-74 years and women aged 65-74 years registered with primary health care practices in Auckland, NZ. Pre-existing AF was determined through coded diagnoses or medications in the participant's primary care record. Subsequent audit of the record assessed accuracy of pre-screening coding, medication use and clinical follow-up. RESULTS: Among 1,933 people successfully screened, the prevalence of AF was 144 (7.4%), of which 46 (2.4% of the cohort) were patients without AF coded in the medical record. More than half of these were revealed to be known AF but that was not coded. Thus, the true prevalence of newly detected AF was 1.1% (n=21). An additional 48 (2.5%) of the cohort had been coded as AF but were not in AF at the time of screening. Among the 19 at-risk screen-detected people with AF, 10 started appropriate anticoagulation therapy within 6 months. Of the nine patients who did not commence anticoagulation therapy, five had a subsequent adverse clinical outcome in the follow-up period, including one with ischaemic stroke; two had contraindications to anticoagulants. Among those with previously diagnosed AF, the proportion receiving anticoagulation therapy rose from 57% pre-screening to 83% at 6 months post-screening (p<0.0001); among newly diagnosed AF the proportion rose from 0% to 53% (p<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: AF screening is a feasible low-cost adjunct to AAA screening with potential to reduce ethnic inequities in stroke incidence. However, effective measures are needed to ensure that high-risk newly diagnosed AF is managed according to best practice guidelines.

Sex differences in outcomes after acute coronary syndrome vary with age: a New Zealand national study.

AIMS: This study investigated age-specific sex differences in short- and long-term clinical outcomes following hospitalization for a first-time acute coronary syndrome (ACS) in New Zealand (NZ). METHODS AND RESULTS: Using linked national health datasets, people admitted to hospital for a first-time ACS between January 2010 and December 2016 were included. Analyses were stratified by sex and 10-year age groups. Logistic and Cox regression were used to assess in-hospital death and from discharge the primary outcome of time to first cardiovascular (CV) readmission or death and other secondary outcomes at 30 days and 2 years. Among 63 245 people (mean age 69 years, 40% women), women were older than men at the time of the ACS admission (mean age 73 vs. 66 years), with a higher comorbidity burden. Overall compared with men, women experienced higher rates of unadjusted in-hospital death (10% vs. 7%), 30-day (16% vs. 12%) and 2-year (44% vs. 34%) death, or CV readmission (all P < 0.001). Age group-specific analyses showed sex differences in outcomes varied with age, with younger women (<65 years) at higher risk than men and older women (≥85 years) at lower risk than men: unadjusted hazard ratio of 2-year death or CV readmission for women aged 18-44 years = 1.51 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.21-1.84] and aged ≥85 years = 0.88 (95% CI 0.83-0.93). The increased risk for younger women was no longer significant after multivariable adjustment whereas the increased risk for older men remained. CONCLUSION: Men and women admitted with first-time ACS have differing age and comorbidity profiles, resulting in contrasting age-specific sex differences in the risk of adverse outcomes between the youngest and oldest age groups.

Development and validation of cardiovascular risk prediction equations in 76 000 people with known cardiovascular disease.

AIMS: Multiple health administrative databases can be individually linked in Aotearoa New Zealand, using encrypted identifiers. These databases were used to develop cardiovascular risk prediction equations for patients with known cardiovascular disease (CVD). METHODS AND RESULTS: Administrative health databases were linked to identify all people aged 18-84 years with known CVD, living in Auckland and Northland, Aotearoa New Zealand, on 1 January 2014. The cohort was followed until study outcome, death, or 5 years. The study outcome was death or hospitalization due to ischaemic heart disease, stroke, heart failure, or peripheral vascular disease. Sex-specific 5-year CVD risk prediction equations were developed using multivariable Fine and Gray models. A total of 43 862 men {median age: 67 years [interquartile range (IQR): 59-75]} and 32 724 women [median age: 70 years (IQR: 60-77)] had 14 252 and 9551 cardiovascular events, respectively. Equations were well calibrated with good discrimination. Increasing age and deprivation, recent cardiovascular hospitalization, Mori ethnicity, smoking history, heart failure, diabetes, chronic renal disease, atrial fibrillation, use of blood pressure lowering and anti-thrombotic drugs, haemoglobin A1c, total cholesterol/HDL cholesterol, and creatinine were statistically significant independent predictors of the study outcome. Fourteen per cent of men and 23% of women had predicted 5-year cardiovascular risk <15%, while 28 and 24% had ≥40% risk. CONCLUSION: Robust cardiovascular risk prediction equations were developed from linked routine health databases, a currently underutilized resource worldwide. The marked heterogeneity demonstrated in predicted risk suggests that preventive therapy in people with known CVD would be better informed by risk stratification beyond a one-size-fits-all high-risk categorization.

Using regionwide New Zealand health databases, methods of predicting hospitalization risk in patients with existing heart disease were developed. Using only data from health databases, it was possible to predict the risk accurately.Among patients with existing heart disease, the predicted risk varied markedly which could help improve preventive strategies.

A Risk Model to Predict Statin Non-Adherence Following an Acute Coronary Syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Patients at risk of statin non-adherence are often not identified during hospital admission with an acute coronary syndrome (ACS). METHODS: In 19,942 patients hospitalised for ACS, statin dispensing was determined from the national pharmaceutical dispensing database. A risk score for non-adherence was developed from a multivariable Poisson regression model of associations between risk factors and the statin Medication Possession Ratio (MPR) <0.8 6-18 months after hospital discharge. RESULTS: Statin MPR was <0.8 in 4,736 (24%) patients. MPR <0.8 was more likely in patients with a history of cardiovascular disease (CVD) (RR 3.79, CI 95% 3.42-4.20) and those without known CVD (RR 2.25, 95% CI 2.04-2.48) who were not taking a statin on ACS admission, compared to patients with low density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol <2 mmol/L who were on a statin. For patients taking a statin on admission, higher LDL was associated with MPR <0.8 (≥3 versus <2 mmol/L, RR 1.96, 95%CI 1.72-2.24). Other independent risk factors for MPR <0.8 were age <45 years, female, disadvantaged ethnic groups, and no coronary revascularisation during the ACS admission. The risk score, which included nine variables, had a C-statistic of 0.67. MPR was <0.8 in 12% of 5,348 patients with a score ≤5 (lowest quartile) and 45% of 5,858 patients with a score ≥11 (highest quartile). CONCLUSION: A risk score generated from routinely collected data predicts statin non-adherence in patients hospitalised with ACS. This may be used to target inpatient and outpatient interventions to improve medication adherence.

Prognostic modelling of clinical outcomes after first-time acute coronary syndrome in New Zealand.

OBJECTIVE: The Multi-Ethnic New Zealand Study of Acute Coronary Syndromes (MENZACS) was established to investigate the drivers of secondary events after first-time acute coronary syndrome (ACS), including addressing inequitable outcomes by ethnicity. Herein, the first clinical outcomes and prognostic modelling approach are reported. METHODS: First, in 28 176 New Zealanders with first-time ACS from a national registry, a clinical summary score for predicting 1-year death/cardiovascular readmission was created using Cox regression of 20 clinical variables. This score was then calculated in the 2015 participant MENZACS study to represent clinical risk. In MENZACS, Cox regression was used to assess N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) as a prognostic marker for death/cardiovascular readmission in four models, adjusting for (1) age and sex; (2) age, sex, ethnicity; (3) clinical summary score; (4) clinical summary score and ethnicity. RESULTS: Of the 2015 MENZACS participants (mean age 61 years, 79% male, 73% European, 14% Maori, 5% Pacific people), 2003 were alive at discharge. Of the 2003, 416 (20.8%) experienced all-cause death/cardiovascular readmission over a median of 3.5 years. In a simple model, age, male sex, Maori ethnicity and NT-proBNP levels were significant predictors of outcome. After adjustment for the clinical summary score, which includes age and sex, NT-proBNP and ethnicity were no longer statistically significant: log2(NT-proBNP) hazard ratio (HR) 1.03, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.98 to 1.08, p=0.305; Maori ethnicity HR 1.26, 95% CI 0.97 to 1.62, p=0.084. CONCLUSIONS: In 2015 patients with first-time ACS, recurrent events were common (20.8%). Increasing NT-proBNP levels and Maori ethnicity were predictors of death/cardiovascular readmission, but not after adjustment for the 20 clinical risk factors represented by the clinical summary score. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ACTRN12615000676516.

Guideline-Directed Medical Therapy Before and After Primary Prevention Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillator Implantation in New Zealand (ANZACS-QI 66).

INTRODUCTION: Guidelines recommend angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEi)/angiotensin receptor blockers (ARB)/angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitors (ARNI); beta blockers; and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRA) in patients with symptomatic heart failure and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction before consideration of primary prevention implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD). This study aims to investigate dispensing rates of guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) before and after primary prevention ICD implantation in New Zealand. METHODS: All patients receiving a primary prevention ICD between 2009 and 2018 were identified using nationally collected data on all public hospital admissions in New Zealand. This was anonymously linked to national pharmaceutical data to obtain medication dispensing. Medications were categorised as low dose (<50% of target dose), 50-99% of target dose or target dose based on international guidelines. RESULTS: Of the 1,698 patients identified, ACEi/ARB/ARNI, beta blockers and MRA were dispensed in 80.2%, 83.6% and 45.4%, respectively, prior to ICD implant. However, ≥50% target doses of each medication class were dispensed in only 51.8%, 51.8% and 34.5%, respectively. Only 15.8% of patients were receiving ≥50% target doses of all three classes of medications. In the 1,666 patients who survived 1 year after ICD implant, the proportions of patients dispensed each class of medications remained largely unchanged. CONCLUSION: Dispensing of GDMT was suboptimal in patients before and after primary prevention ICD implantation in New Zealand, and only a minority received ≥50% target doses of all classes of medication. Interventions are needed to optimise use of these standard evidence-based medications to improve clinical outcomes and avoid unnecessary device implantation.

Relationship Between Soluble Transferrin Receptor and Clinical Outcomes in Patients With Heart Failure According to Ejection Fraction Phenotype: The New Zealand PEOPLE Study.

BACKGROUND: Iron deficiency (ID) is highly prevalent in patients with heart failure (HF) but its impact on prognosis in HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) remains unclear. We assessed whether ID defined by soluble transferrin receptor (sTfR) criteria is independently associated with all-cause mortality in patients with HFpEF, and evaluated its comparative prognostic performance to ID definitions in common clinical use. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data were analyzed from 788 patients (36% HFpEF) in a prospective multicenter HF cohort study. Baseline plasma samples were analyzed with respect to 4 definitions of ID: sTfR of ≥1.59 mg/L (IDsTfR1), sTfR of ≥1.76 mg/L (IDsTfR2), ferritin of <100 µg/L, or ferritin of 100-300 µg/L + transferrin saturation of <20% (IDFerritin), and transferrin saturation of <20% (IDTsat). In multivariable Cox models IDsTfR2 (hazard ratio [HR] 1.84, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.23-2.75) and IDTsat (HR, 1.69, 95% CI 1.10-2.59) were both independently associated with all-cause mortality in patients with HFpEF, whereas IDsTfR1 (HR 1.41, 95% CI 0.92-2.16) and IDFerritin (HR 1.19, 95% CI 0.77-1.85) were not. On inclusion of patients with HF with reduced EF, IDsTfR1 (HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.13-1.86) gained significance, but IDFerritin (HR 1.21, 95% CI 0.95-1.54) did not. For each pair of definitions intra-patient concordance was approximately 65%. CONCLUSION: ID defined by sTfR criteria is independently associated with all-cause mortality in patients with HFpEF. Poor concordance between ID definitions suggests that iron biomarkers do not reflect the same pathological process in the complex relationship between iron and HF. Therefore, which definition should guide iron replacement needs further evaluation.

Ten-year trends in cardiac implantable electronic devices in New Zealand: a national data linkage study (ANZACS-QI 51).

BACKGROUND: Implant rates for cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIED), including permanent pacemakers (PPM) and implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICD), have increased globally in recent decades. AIMS: This is the first national study providing a contemporary analysis of national CIED implant trends by sex-specific age groups over an extended period. METHODS: Patient characteristics and device type were identified for 10 years (2009-2018) using procedure coding in the National Minimum Datasets, which collects all New Zealand (NZ) public hospital admissions. CIED implant rates represent implants/million population. RESULTS: New PPM implant rates increased by 4.6%/year (P < 0.001), increasing in all age groups except patients <40 years. Males received 60.1% of new PPM implants, with higher implant rates across all age groups compared with females. The annual increase in age-standardised implant rates was similar for males and females (3.4% vs 3.0%; P = 0.4). By 2018 the overall PPM implant rate was 538/million. New ICD implant rates increased by 4.2%/year (P < 0.001), increasing in all age groups except patients <40 and ≥ 80 years. Males received 78.1% of new ICD implants, with higher implant rates across all age groups compared to females. The annual increase in age-standardised implant rates was higher in males compared with females (3.5% vs 0.7%; P < 0.001). By 2018 the overall ICD implant rate was 144/million. CONCLUSION: CIED implant rates have increased steadily in NZ over the past decade but remain low compared with international benchmarks. Males had substantially higher CIED implant rates compared with females, with a growing gender disparity in ICD implant rates.

Regional variation in cardiac implantable electronic device implants trends in New Zealand over the past decade (ANZACS-QI 54).

BACKGROUND: Permanent pacemaker (PPM) and implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) implant rates have increased in New Zealand over the past decade. AIMS: To provide a contemporary analysis of regional variation in implant rates. METHODS: New PPM and ICD implants in patients aged ≥15 years were identified for 10 years (2009-2018) using procedure coding in the National Minimum Datasets, which collects all New Zealand public hospital admissions. Age-standardised new implant rates per million adult population were calculated for each of the four regions (Northern, Midland, Central and Southern) and the 20 district health boards (DHB) across those regions. Trend analysis was performed using joinpoint regression. RESULTS: New PPM implant rates increased nationally by 3.4%/year (P < 0.001). The Northern region had the highest new PPM implant rate, increasing by 4.5%/year (P < 0.001). Excluding DHB with <50 000 people, the new PPM implant rate for 2017/2018 was highest in Counties Manukau DHB (854.3/million; 95% confidence interval (CI): 774.9-933.6/million) and lowest in Canterbury DHB (488.6/million; 95% CI: 438.1-539.0/million). New ICD implant rates increased nationally by 3.0%/year (P = 0.002). The Midland region had the highest new ICD implant rate, increasing by 3.8%/year (P = 0.013). Excluding DHB with <50 000 people, the new ICD implant rate for 2017-2018 was highest in the Bay of Plenty DHB (228.5/million; 95% CI: 180.4-276.6/million) and lowest in Canterbury DHB (90.2/million; 95% CI: 69.9-110.4/million). CONCLUSION: There was significant variation in PPM and ICD implant rates across regions and DHB, suggesting potential inequity in patient access across New Zealand.

Predicting cardiovascular disease risk across the atherosclerotic disease continuum.

AIMS: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) guidelines dichotomize populations into primary and secondary prevention. We sought to develop a risk equation for secondary prevention of CVD that complements existing equations for primary prevention of CVD, and to describe the distributions of CVD risk across the population. METHODS AND RESULTS: Adults aged 30-79 years who had routine CVD risk assessment in 2007-16 were identified from a large primary care cohort (PREDICT) with linkage to national and regional datasets. The 5-year risk of developing CVD among people without atherosclerotic CVD (ASCVD) was calculated using published equations (PREDICT-1°). A new risk equation (PREDICT-2°) was developed from Cox regression models to estimate the 5-year risk of CVD event recurrence among patients with known ASCVD. The outcome for both equations was hospitalization for a CVD event or cardiovascular death. Of the 475 161 patients, 12% (57 061) had ASCVD. For those without ASCVD, median (interquartile range) 5-year risks with the PREDICT-1° score were women 2.2% (1.2-4.2%), men 3.5% (2.0-6.6%), and whole group 2.9% (1.6-5.5%). For those with ASCVD, the 5-year risks with the new PREDICT-2° equation were women 21% (15-33%), men 23% (16-35%), and whole group 22% (16-34%). CONCLUSION: We developed CVD risk scores for people with ASCVD (PREDICT-2°) to complement the PREDICT-1° scores. Median CVD risk is eight-fold higher among those with ASCVD than those without; however, there was overlap and the widest distribution of CVD risk was among people with ASCVD. This study describes a CVD risk continuum and the limitations of a 'one size fits all' approach to assessing risk in people with ASCVD.

Cardiovascular risk prediction in healthy older people.

Identification of individuals with increased risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) is important. However, algorithms specific to the elderly are lacking. Data were analysed from a randomised trial involving 18,548 participants ≥ 70 years old (mean age 75.4 years), without prior cardiovascular disease events, dementia or physical disability. MACE included coronary heart disease death, fatal or nonfatal ischaemic stroke or myocardial infarction. Potential predictors tested were based on prior evidence and using a machine-learning approach. Cox regression analyses were used to calculate 5-year predicted risk, and discrimination evaluated from receiver operating characteristic curves. Calibration was also assessed, and the findings internally validated using bootstrapping. External validation was performed in 25,138 healthy, elderly individuals in the primary care environment. During median follow-up of 4.7 years, 594 MACE occurred. Predictors in the final model included age, sex, smoking, systolic blood pressure, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c), non-HDL-c, serum creatinine, diabetes and intake of antihypertensive agents. With variable selection based on machine-learning, age, sex and creatinine were the most important predictors. The final model resulted in an area under the curve (AUC) of 68.1 (95% confidence intervals 65.9; 70.4). The model had an AUC of 67.5 in internal and 64.2 in external validation. The model rank-ordered risk well but underestimated absolute risk in the external validation cohort. A model predicting incident MACE in healthy, elderly individuals includes well-recognised, potentially reversible risk factors and notably, renal function. Calibration would be necessary when used in other populations.

Fibrinogen and hemoglobin predict near future cardiovascular events in asymptomatic individuals.

To identify circulating proteins predictive of acute cardiovascular disease events in the general population, we performed a proteomic screen in plasma from asymptomatic individuals. A "Discovery cohort" of 25 individuals who subsequently incurred a cardiovascular event within 3 years (median age = 70 years, 80% male) was matched to 25 controls remaining event-free for > 5 years (median age = 72 years, 80% male). Plasma proteins were assessed by data independent acquisition mass spectrometry (DIA-MS). Associations with cardiovascular events were tested using Cox regression, adjusted for the New Zealand Cardiovascular Risk Score. Concentrations of leading protein candidates were subsequently measured with ELISAs in a larger (n = 151) independent subset. In the Discovery cohort, 76 plasma proteins were robustly quantified by DIA-MS, with 8 independently associated with cardiovascular events. These included (HR = hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] above vs below median): fibrinogen alpha chain (HR = 1.84 [1.19-2.84]); alpha-2-HS-glycoprotein (also called fetuin A) (HR = 1.86 [1.19-2.93]); clusterin isoform 2 (HR = 1.59 [1.06-2.38]); fibrinogen beta chain (HR = 1.55 [1.04-2.30]); hemoglobin subunit beta (HR = 1.49 [1.04-2.15]); complement component C9 (HR = 1.62 [1.01-2.59]), fibronectin isoform 3 (HR = 0.60 [0.37-0.99]); and lipopolysaccharide-binding protein (HR = 1.58 [1.00-2.49]). The proteins for which DIA-MS and ELISA data were correlated, fibrinogen and hemoglobin, were analyzed in an Extended cohort, with broader inclusion criteria and longer time to events, in which these two proteins were not associated with incident cardiovascular events. We have identified eight candidate proteins that may independently predict cardiovascular events occurring within three years in asymptomatic, low-to-moderate risk individuals, although these appear not to predict events beyond three years.

Acute coronary syndrome registry enrolment status: differences in patient characteristics and outcomes and implications for registry data use (ANZACS-QI 36).

AIMS: Clinical registry-derived data are widely used to represent patient populations. In New Zealand (NZ), a national registry-the All New Zealand Acute Coronary Syndrome Quality Improvement (ANZACS-QI) registry-aims to include all patients undergoing coronary angiography; other acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients are also registered but without complete capture. This study compares national hospitalization data of all first-time ACS admissions in NZ with patients in the ANZACS-QI registry, to investigate the use of clinical registry-derived data in research and in assessing clinical care. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients admitted with first-time ACS in the NZ National Hospitalisation Dataset between 1 January 2015 and 31 December 2016 were included. Clinical characteristics and time to 12-month clinical outcomes were compared between patients captured and not-captured in the registry. A total of 16 569 patients were admitted with first-time ACS, median age 69 years, 61% male; 60% (n = 9918) were enrolled in ANZACS-QI. Registry-captured patients were younger, more often male, and with a lower comorbidity burden than non-captured patients. Overall, 16% patients died within 12 months, 15% experienced a non-fatal cardiovascular (CV) readmission, and 28% either died or were readmitted. Patients not captured in the registry were more than twice as likely to have experienced death or a non-fatal CV readmission within 12 months as captured patients. CONCLUSIONS: First-time ACS patients captured in the ANZACS-QI registry had very different clinical characteristics and outcomes than those not captured. Cardiovascular registry-derived data are dependent on registry design and may not be representative of the wider patient population; this must be considered when using registry-derived data.

Ethnic variation in the trends of new implantable cardioverter defibrillator implants in New Zealand 2005-2019 (ANZACS-QI 63).

AIMS: Ethnic variation in implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) implant rates have been reported internationally but have not previously been examined in New Zealand. This study examined trends in new ICD implants by ethnicity over an extended period. METHODS: All patients who received a new ICD implant between 2005 and 2019 were identified using the National Minimum Dataset, which collects information on all public hospital admissions in New Zealand. Ethnicity was classified using the following standard prioritisation: Maori, Pacific, Asian and European/Other. New ICD implant rates were analysed by ethnicity and age groups. RESULTS: A total of 5,514 new ICDs were implanted. New ICD implant rates increased from 41.4/million in 2005 to 98.2/million in 2019, an average increase of 5.4%/year (p<0.01). The highest age-standardised implant rates were among Maori, followed by Pacific, European/Other and Asian ethnicities. The largest increase was seen in Pacific people at 8.9%/year (p<0.01), followed by Maori and Asian people at 4.7%/year and 4.3%/year respectively (both p<0.01). In European/Other patients, ICD implant rates increased by 10.3%/year (p<0.01) between 2005 to 2012, then plateaued at -0.4%/year (p=0.71) between 2012 to 2019. By 2019, the age-standardised implant rates in Maori and Pacific people were two-fold higher than European/Others. CONCLUSION: There is marked ethnic variation in ICD implant rates in New Zealand. The higher implant rates in Maori and Pacific parallel known ethnic differences in rates of underlying cardiac disease. The more rapid increase in implant rates in these ethnic groups may represent more equitable treatment over time.

Outcomes for working age patients after first-time acute coronary syndrome - ANZACS-QI 35.

BACKGROUND: Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) events and the ongoing burden of disease can have a significant impact on the subsequent life-course of working age people. METHODS: We report 12-month clinical outcomes for 10,822 patients hospitalized with first-time ACS between 2015-2016 and enrolled in the All New Zealand Acute Coronary Syndrome Quality Improvement (ANZACS-QI) registry, with a focus on people of working age (defined as <65 years). RESULTS: Nearly half (48%) of first-time ACS occurred in people of working age. Compared to those >65 years, these patients had a high burden of cardiovascular risk factors, and were more likely to be male (75% vs 60%), to be of non-European ethnicity (36% vs 15%), and to be living in areas of high deprivation. Subsequent clinical events were common in the younger patients, with 15% dying or being readmitted for cardiovascular causes within 12 months despite high rates of angiography (96%), revascularization (74%) and evidence-based medical therapy at the time of the index ACS event. CONCLUSIONS: The high risk factor burden and subsequent high rate of clinical events in working age patients reinforces the need for a longer-term focus on strategies to improve clinical outcomes following first-time ACS.

The importance of considering both primary and secondary diagnostic codes when using administrative health data to study acute coronary syndrome epidemiology (ANZACS-QI 47).

AIMS: Routinely collected health administrative data have become an important data source for investigators assessing disease epidemiology. Our aim was to investigate the implications of identifying acute coronary syndrome (ACS) events in New Zealand (NZ) national hospitalization data using either the first (primary) or subsequent (secondary) codes. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using national health datasets, we identified all NZ hospitalizations (2014-16) for patients ≥20 years with a primary or secondary International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision, Australian Modification (ICD10-AM) ACS code. Outcomes included 1-year all-cause and cause-specific mortality, hospitalized non-fatal myocardial infarction, heart failure, stroke, or major bleeding, and a composite comprising these outcomes. Of 35 646 ACS hospitalizations, 78.5% were primary and 21.5% secondary diagnoses. Compared to primary coding, patients with a secondary diagnosis were older (mean 77 vs. 69 years), more likely to be females (48% vs. 36%), had more comorbidity, and were less likely to receive coronary angiography or revascularization. Higher adverse event rates were observed for the secondary diagnosis group including a three-fold higher 1-year mortality (40% vs. 13%) and two-fold higher composite adverse outcome (54% vs. 26%). The use of primary codes alone, rather than combined primary and secondary codes, resulted in overestimation of coronary angiography and revascularization rates, and underestimation of the 1-year case fatality (13.1% vs. 19.0%) and composite adverse event rate (26% vs. 32%). CONCLUSION: Patient characteristics and outcomes of ACS events recorded as primary vs. secondary codes are very different. These findings have important implications for designing studies utilizing ICD10-AM codes.