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1.
Econ Anal Policy ; 78: 243-255, 2023 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36960383

ABSTRACT

This paper examines the responses of credit and business cycle to various policy actions of the Government of Indonesia during the COVID-19 crisis. Specifically, the paper addresses two key questions (1) How do the credit and business cycle behave during the COVID-19 crisis in Indonesia? (2) Do the central bank and government policy responses effectively stabilize the credit and business cycle? Using the concordance Index and DCC-GARCH methodology, we found that the COVID-19 crisis increased Indonesia's credit and business cycle co-movements. Similarly, using the mixed data sampling regression technique, our findings suggest fiscal policy measures and government support help the business cycle revival during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the monetary policy transmission is weak during the pandemic.

2.
MethodsX ; 10: 101988, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36593928

ABSTRACT

This paper re-examines the causality between stock returns and foreign portfolio investment (FPI) flows in the Indian context during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using the Covid-19 index constructed by Narayan et al. [19] and the Toda and Yamamoto Granger causality test, the study reveals that bi-directional causality runs from FPI flows to stock returns in the early period of the Covid-19 pandemic. Whereas after the peak of the pandemic, there is a unidirectional causality that runs from FPI flows to stock returns.•Bi-directional causality runs from FPI flows to stock return during the initial period of COVID.•In the second period, unidirectional causality runs from FPI flows to stock returns.

3.
MethodsX ; 10: 101990, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36590332

ABSTRACT

This study reassesses the dynamic relationship between stock, oil, foreign exchange markets, and COVID-19-induced uncertainty. For estimation, we utilize the monthly data from January 2020 to December 2021 and utilize panel vector autoregression econometric techniques in emerging market economies. The empirical findings reveal that heightened uncertainty during the pandemic had a negative impact on stock and oil, and foreign exchange markets. Findings further suggest that uncertainty during the pandemic slanted the relationship between oil and stock and foreign exchange markets due to the precautionary approach followed by economic agents. •COVID-19 uncertainty negatively impacted the oil, stock, and foreign exchange markets.•Uncertainty had a non-linear impact on stock and oil prices.•During the initial period of COVID-19, uncertainty distorted the relationship between oil, stock and exchange markets.

4.
Econ Anal Policy ; 70: 220-237, 2021 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33658744

ABSTRACT

Through a survey of the literature on the economics of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, this study explores the effects of the pandemic and proposes potential policy directions to mitigate its effects. Our survey reveals that adverse economic effects have been observed due to the COVID-19 pandemic in addition to fatalities. Furthermore, the survey indicates the need for greater coordination at national and international levels. This study concludes by suggesting coordination among monetary, macroprudential, and fiscal policies (trio) to mitigate the adverse economic effects of COVID-19. Finally, this study explores potential directions for future research.

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