[Individual prognosis of 3-year survival in patients subjected to radical surgery for colonic cancer]. / Individual'noe prognozirovanie 3-letnei vyzhivaemosti radikal'no operirovannykh bol'nykh rakom tolstoi kishki.

A procedure for individual prognosis of surgical treatment of large bowel cancer based on certain clinico-morphological factors is discussed. The procedure is based on the criterion of three-year survival. Computer was used in the evaluation of the prognostic value of each factor using the data available at the Center. The most informative factors were selected to develop a model which gives a reliable prognosis for each case. Application of a multivariate statistical method yielded an optimal combination of prognostic factors and a decision rule was constructed. The credibility of the rule as evaluated on the basis of an additional sample proved to be 91.4%.