Prediction of Sudden Cardiac Death With Ultra-Short-Term Heart Rate Fluctuations.

BACKGROUND: Conventional measures of heart rate variability (HRV) have shown only modest associations with sudden cardiac death (SCD). Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA), with novel methodological developments to evaluate the short-term scaling exponent, is a potentially superior method compared to conventional HRV tools. OBJECTIVES: In this study, the authors studied the analysis of the association between DFA and SCD. METHODS: The investigators studied the predictive value of ultra-short-term heart rate fluctuations (1-minute electrocardiogram samples) with DFA at rest and during different stages of physical exertion for incident SCD among 2,794 participants undergoing clinical exercise testing in the prospective FINCAVAS (Finnish Cardiovascular Study). The novel key DFA measure, the short-scale scaling exponent computed with second-order detrending (DFA2 α1), was the main exposure variable. SCDs were defined by American Heart Association/European Society of Cardiology criteria using death certificates with written accounts of the events. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 8.3 years (Q1-Q3: 6.4-10.5), 83 SCDs occurred. DFA2 α1 measured at rest (but not in exercise) associated highly significantly with the risk of SCD, with 1-SD lower values associating with a 2.4-fold (Q1-Q3: 2.0-3.0) risk (P < 0.001). The results persisted when adjusting for other major risk factors for SCD, including age, cardiovascular morbidities, cardiorespiratory fitness, heart rate reduction, and left ventricular ejection fraction. Associations between conventional HRV parameters (measured at any stage of exercise or at rest) and SCD were substantially weaker and statistically nonsignificant after adjusting for other risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Ultra-short-term DFA2 α1, when measured at rest, is a powerful and independent predictor of SCD. The association between DFA2 α1 and SCD is modified by physical exertion.

Accurate QT correction method from transfer entropy.

Background: The QT interval in the electrocardiogram (ECG) is a fundamental risk measure for arrhythmic adverse cardiac events. However, the QT interval depends on the heart rate and must be corrected accordingly. The present QT correction (QTc) methods are either simple models leading to under- or overcorrection, or impractical in requiring long-term empirical data. In general, there is no consensus on the best QTc method. Objective: We introduce a model-free QTc method-AccuQT-that computes QTc by minimizing the information transfer from R-R to QT intervals. The objective is to establish and validate a QTc method that provides superior stability and reliability without models or empirical data. Methods: We tested AccuQT against the most commonly used QT correction methods by using long-term ECG recordings of more than 200 healthy subjects from PhysioNet and THEW databases. Results: AccuQT overperforms the previously reported correction methods: the proportion of false-positives is reduced from 16% (Bazett) to 3% (AccuQT) for the PhysioNet data. In particular, the QTc variance is significantly reduced and thus the RR-QT stability is increased. Conclusion: AccuQT has significant potential to become the QTc method of choice in clinical studies and drug development. The method can be implemented in any device recording R-R and QT intervals.

Estimation of physiological exercise thresholds based on dynamical correlation properties of heart rate variability.

Aerobic and anaerobic thresholds of the three-zone exercise model are often used to evaluate the exercise intensity and optimize the training load. Conventionally, these thresholds are derived from the respiratory gas exchange or blood lactate concentration measurements. Here, we introduce and validate a computational method based on the RR interval (RRI) dynamics of the heart rate (HR) measurement, which enables a simple, yet reasonably accurate estimation of both metabolic thresholds. The method utilizes a newly developed dynamical detrended fluctuation analysis (DDFA) to assess the real-time changes in the dynamical correlations of the RR intervals during exercise. The training intensity is shown to be in direct correspondence with the time- and scale-dependent changes in the DDFA scaling exponent. These changes are further used in the definition of an individual measure to estimate the aerobic and anaerobic threshold. The results for 15 volunteers who participated in a cyclo-ergometer test are compared to the benchmark lactate thresholds, as well as to the ventilatory threshods and alternative HR-based estimates based on the maximal HR and the conventional detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA). Our method provides the best overall agreement with the lactate thresholds and provides a promising, cost-effective alternative to conventional protocols, which could be easily integrated in wearable devices. However, detailed statistical analysis reveals the particular strengths and weaknessess of each method with respect to the agreement and consistency with the thresholds-thus underlining the need for further studies with more data.