ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: To identify predictors of adverse perinatal outcomes in pregnancies with fetal growth restriction (FGR) using a combination of maternal clinical factors and simple ultrasound parameters and develop a risk-scoring model for predicting adverse perinatal outcomes. METHODS: A retrospective study of 370 non-anomalous singleton pregnancies with FGR was conducted. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with adverse perinatal outcomes; P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. The discriminative ability was measured with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). A weighted score for each predictor was calculated. RESULTS: Adverse perinatal outcomes occurred in 165/370 (44.6%) cases. There were eight predictive factors, including a history of pregnancy-induced hypertension (PIH) (score = 1), chronic hypertension (score = 3), PIH (score = 2), maternal weight gain less than 8 kg (score = 1), early-onset FGR (score = 1), estimated fetal weight less than 5th percentile (score = 2), amniotic fluid index less than 5 cm (score = 3), and abnormal umbilical artery Doppler (score = 2), with total scores ranging from 0 to 15. AUC for the eight-item predictive model was 0.799 (95% confidence interval 0.753-0.845). CONCLUSION: A combination of maternal clinical factors and simple ultrasound parameters showed acceptable predictive performance for adverse perinatal outcomes in FGR.
