Predictive Model for Estimating the Risk of Epilepsy After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: The RISE Score.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The occurrence of seizures after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is associated with a poorer functional and cognitive prognosis and less favorable quality of life. It would be of value to promptly identify patients at risk of epilepsy to optimize follow-up protocols and design preventive strategies. Our aim was to develop a predictive score to help stratify epilepsy risk in patients with aSAH. METHODS: This is a retrospective, longitudinal study of all adults with aSAH admitted to our center (2012-2021). We collected demographic data, clinical and radiologic variables, data on early-onset seizures (EOSs), and data on development of epilepsy. Exclusion criteria were previous structural brain lesion, epilepsy, and ≤7 days' follow-up. Multiple Cox regression was used to evaluate factors independently associated with unprovoked remote seizures (i.e., epilepsy). The best fitting regression model was used to develop a predictive score. Performance was evaluated in an external validation cohort of 308 patients using receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis. RESULTS: From an initial database of 743 patients, 419 met the inclusion criteria and were included in the analysis. The mean age was 60 ± 14 years, 269 patients (64%) were women, and 50 (11.9%) developed epilepsy within a median follow-up of 4.2 years. Premorbid modified Rankin Score (mRS) (hazard ratio [HR] 4.74 [1.8-12.4], p = 0.001), VASOGRADE score (HR 2.45 [1.4-4.2], p = 0.001), surgical treatment (HR 2.77 [1.6-4.9], p = 0.001), and presence of EOSs (HR 1.84 [1.0-3.4], p = 0.05) were independently associated with epilepsy. The proposed scale, designated RISE, scores 1 point for premorbid mRS ≥ 2 (R), VASOGRADE-Yellow (I, Ischemia), surgical intervention (S), and history of EOSs (E) and 2 points for VASOGRADE-Red. RISE stratifies patients into 3 groups: low (0-1), moderate (2-3), and high (4-5) risk (2.9%, 20.8%, and 75.7% developed epilepsy, respectively). On validation in a cohort from a different tertiary care center (N = 308), the new scale yielded a similar risk distribution and good predictive power for epilepsy within 5 years after aSAH (area under the curve [AUC] 0.82; 95% CI 0.74-0.90). DISCUSSION: The RISE scale is a robust predictor of post-SAH epilepsy with immediate clinical applicability. In addition to facilitating personalized diagnosis and treatment, RISE may be of value for exploring future antiepileptogenesis strategies.

Preclinical evidence of remote ischemic conditioning in ischemic stroke, a metanalysis update.

Remote ischemic conditioning (RIC) is a promising therapeutic approach for ischemic stroke patients. It has been proven that RIC reduces infarct size and improves functional outcomes. RIC can be applied either before ischemia (pre-conditioning; RIPreC), during ischemia (per-conditioning; RIPerC) or after ischemia (post-conditioning; RIPostC). Our aim was to systematically determine the efficacy of RIC in reducing infarct volumes and define the cellular pathways involved in preclinical animal models of ischemic stroke. A systematic search in three databases yielded 50 peer-review articles. Data were analyzed using random effects models and results expressed as percentage of reduction in infarct size (95% CI). A meta-regression was also performed to evaluate the effects of covariates on the pooled effect-size. 95.3% of analyzed experiments were carried out in rodents. Thirty-nine out of the 64 experiments studied RIPostC (61%), sixteen examined RIPreC (25%) and nine tested RIPerC (14%). In all studies, RIC was shown to reduce infarct volume (- 38.36%; CI - 42.09 to - 34.62%) when compared to controls. There was a significant interaction caused by species. Short cycles in mice significantly reduces infarct volume while in rats the opposite occurs. RIPreC was shown to be the most effective strategy in mice. The present meta-analysis suggests that RIC is more efficient in transient ischemia, using a smaller number of RIC cycles, applying larger length of limb occlusion, and employing barbiturates anesthetics. There is a preclinical evidence for RIC, it is safe and effective. However, the exact cellular pathways and underlying mechanisms are still not fully determined, and its definition will be crucial for the understanding of RIC mechanism of action.