ABSTRACT
Objective To determinate the prognostic value of procalcitonin (PCT) and C-reactive protein (CRP) changes during the first two days of admission to the ICU with sepsis and/or septic shock, and to compare it with changes in Acute Physiology And Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE-II) and Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) prognostic scores. Methods A single-center prospective observational study was performed. Fifty consecutive patients admitted to the ICU, diagnosed of severe sepsis/septic shock were included. We considered risk factors for infection: diabetes mellitus, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), previous antibiotic treatment, central intravascular catheter, bladder catheter, active neoplasia. Results Median aged 67(52-75) years with median APACHE-II 19(14-25) points and SOFA scores 7(5-11) points on admission, and 28-day mortality of 42%. When we studied the relationship between mortality and the changes between the day of admission and the second day of the variables studied, we found that APACHE-II (p = 0.001) and SOFA (p = 0.002) between admission and second day raised significantly in no survivors, with no significant changes in CRP and PCT. Multivariate analysis showed that mortality was significantly associated to changes in SOFA score (odds ratio [OR], 2.13; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.18-3.86) and to the presence of one or more risk factors for infection (OR, 6.01; 95% CI, 1.01-35.78) but not with PCT changes. Mortality was also related to the variations between the day of admission and the fifth day on APACHE-II (p = 0.002), SOFA (p < 0.001) and PCT (p = 0.012). Conclusions Changes in SOFA and APACHE-II scores between admission and second day in ICU septic patients are more sensitive mortality predictors than the observed changes in CRP and PCT values. Changes in PCT levels between the day of ICU admission and the fifth day are significantly related to mortality and may be useful as an additional marker in patient outcome.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to explore the diagnostic and prognostic value of soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cell 1 (sTREM-1), soluble cluster of differentiation 14 (sCD14), soluble cluster of differentiation 163 (sCD163), interleukin-6 (IL-6), procalcitonin (PCT), and C-reactive protein (CRP) serum levels for patients with severe sepsis and septic shock in an intensive care unit (ICU). METHODS: Fifty patients admitted at the ICU with the diagnosis of severe sepsis or septic shock were studied. SOFA and APACHE II scores as well as serum biomarkers were measured at days 0, 2 and 5. The influence of these variables on 28-day mortality was analyzed. Twenty healthy individuals served as controls. RESULTS: Baseline serum concentrations of sTREM-1, sCD163, IL-6 and PCT correlated with SOFA score. Only sTREM-1 levels correlated with APACHE II score. The 28-day mortality rate for all patients was 42%. The absence of risk factors for infection, presence of septic shock, baseline values of sCD14 and decrease of PCT and IL-6 from baseline to day 5 were variables associated to mortality in the univariate analysis. The unique independent factor associated to mortality in the multivariate analysis was a decrease of PCT higher than 50% from days 0 to 5. CONCLUSIONS: Serum levels of sTREM-1 are correlated with the severity of sepsis. A 50% decrease of PCT was the unique variable associated with survival in the multivariate analysis.
