ABSTRACT
On March 10, 2021, a new executive order to lift the mask mandate and allow businesses to open at 100 percent capacity, went into effect in the U.S. state of Texas. This was due to the decrease in the daily number of COVID-19 cases and deaths as the state continues to vaccinate the population. A simple compartmental model was used to assess the implications of the executive order on the ongoing vaccination program. Our simulation shows that approximately 51% of the entire population needs to be fully vaccinated to bring the control reproduction number to a value less than one (threshold condition needed for disease elimination) as compared to the 14.32% that has been fully vaccinated as of March 31, 2021. Hence, the need for an aggressive vaccination program if the state is to open businesses to full capacity and do not require the use of a face mask by the general public.
ABSTRACT
The coronavirus outbreak in the United States continues to pose a serious threat to human lives. Public health measures to slow down the spread of the virus involve using a face mask, social-distancing, and frequent hand washing. Since the beginning of the pandemic, there has been a global campaign on the use of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to curtail the spread of the virus. However, the number of cases, mortality, and hospitalization continue to rise globally, including in the United States. We developed a mathematical model to assess the impact of a public health education program on the coronavirus outbreak in the US. Our simulation showed the prospect of an effective public health education program in reducing both the cumulative and daily mortality of the novel coronavirus. Finally, our result suggests the need to obey public health measures as loss of willingness would increase the cumulative and daily mortality in the US.
