Generation of nighttime pedestrian fatal precrash scenarios at junctions in Tamil Nadu, India, using cluster correspondence analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Modern transportation amenities and lifestyles have changed people's behavioral patterns while using the road, specifically at nighttime. Pedestrian and driver maneuver behaviors change based on their exposure to the environment. Pedestrians are more vulnerable to fatal injuries at junctions due to increased conflict points with vehicles. Generation of precrash scenarios allows drivers and pedestrians to understand errors on the road during driver maneuvering and pedestrian walking/crossing. This study aims to generate precrash scenarios using comprehensive nighttime fatal pedestrian crashes at junctions in Tamil Nadu, India. METHODS: Though numerous studies were available on identifying pedestrian crash patterns, only some focused on identifying crash patterns at junctions at night. We used cluster correspondence analysis (CCA) to address this research gap to identify the patterns in nighttime pedestrian fatal crashes at junctions. Further, high-risk precrash scenarios were generated based on the positive residual means available in each cluster. This study used crash data from the Road Accident Database Management System of Tamil Nadu State in India from 2009 to 2018. Characteristics of pedestrians, drivers, vehicles, crashes, light, and roads were input to the CCA to find optimal clusters using the average silhouette width, Calinski-Harabasz measure, and objective values. RESULTS: CCA found 4 clusters with 2 dimensions as optimal clusters, with an objective value of 3.3618 and a valence criteria ratio of 80.03%. Results from the analysis distinctly clustered the pedestrian precrash behaviors: Clusters 1 and 2 on pedestrian walking behaviors and clusters 3 and 4 on crossing behaviors. Moreover, a hidden pattern was observed in cluster 4, such as transgender drivers involved in fatal pedestrian crashes at junctions at night. CONCLUSION: The generated precrash scenarios may be used to train drivers (novice and inexperienced for nighttime driving), test scenario creation for developing advanced driver/rider assistance systems, hypothesis creation for researchers, and planning of effective strategic interventions for engineers and policymakers to change pedestrian and driver behaviors toward sustainable safety on Indian roads.

Visual hazardous models: A hybrid approach to investigate road hazardous events.

Road users (drivers, passengers, pedestrians, and Animals) are exposed to hazardous events during their commute. With 23 % of global fatalities among pedestrians, their safety continues to be a principal interest for policymakers worldwide. Owing to limited budgets available, there is a growing emphasis on data-driven stochastic models to decide on policies. However, statistical models have limitations due to crash data having redundant features, inherent heterogeneity, and unobserved characteristics. The random parameter model framework addresses the unobserved heterogeneity, but redundant features and inherent heterogeneity among the data's characteristics still compute the biased estimates. This is further complicated if the data has spatiotemporal attributes. To address this, we developed two visual hazardous (VH) models: (i) addresses the unobserved heterogeneity in the data, and (ii) addresses the dimensionality, inherent heterogeneity among the characteristics and unobserved heterogeneity in the collected data after spatiotemporal pattern identification. The feature selection model reduces the dimensionality, whereas latent class clustering classifies the data into maximum heterogeneity between classes. This integration reduces bias in the estimates. As a use-case, pedestrian crosswalk crashes for a decade (2009-2018) in the Indian state of Tamil Nadu extracted from the Road Accident Database Management System (RADMS) was used to understand model performance. This data comprises the crash location, road, vehicle, driver, pedestrian, and environment details. Results show that visual hazardous model 2 allows for generating crash scenarios with five homogeneous sub-classes and the magnitude with marginal effects of contributing factors impacting it. For example, pedestrians during their crosswalks are likely to sustain 82% more chance of fatal/grievous injuries on expressways (posted speed limit: 100 km per hour) in annual hazardous zone locations. Working pedestrian age group (25-64 years), an older pedestrian (>64 years), the pedestrian position on a pedestrian crossing and not in the centre of the road, pedestrian action: walking along the edge of the road, multiple lanes, two lanes, paved shoulder, straight and flat road, motorcycle, bus, truck, medium-duty vehicle, illegal driver (<=17 years), going ahead/ overtaking, high speed, expressways, and rural region were statistically significant (positively) contributing to the fatal/grievous injury pedestrian crashes during their crosswalk. This technique serves as a structure for engineers, researchers, and policymakers to formulate effective countermeasures that enhance road safety.

Investigation of factors contributing to injury severity in single vehicle motorcycle crashes in India.

Single-vehicle crashes are of major concern in both developed as well as in Low Middle Income Countries due to the severity of injuries, particularly fatal accidents. In India, a significant proportion of crashes are single-vehicle crashes. The vehicles which are involved in accidents due to causes such as self skidding, hitting stationary objects, trees that are simply contributed by the drivers themselves are referred to as out-of-control single-vehicle crashes. The main objective of this study is to evaluate the risk factors associated with single-vehicle motorcycle collisions in Tamilnadu, India and identifies the unique characteristics and injury outcomes associated with these collisions. Crash dataset for the present study was prepared from the police-reported crashes for the past nine years that occurred within the state of Tamilnadu between 2009 and 2017. The identified contributory factors which influence injury severity include driver characteristics, crash-related factors, traffic-related factors, vehicle and environment-related factors. In this study, injury severity is classified into three categories, i.e. fatal, serious, and minor injuries. Since the outcome of the injury severity could be measured on an ordinal scale, a discrete ordered outcome model, an ordered logit model is applied. To summarise the results, thirteen of the studied factors are found to have a significant influence on the injury severity of drivers. Results show that the likelihood of fatal injuries increases in crashes where motorcyclists hit stationary fixed objects, hit trees, ran-off road, inclement weather conditions, urban areas. It is also found that winter season, north districts of Tamilnadu, single and two-lane roads, highways, village roads and, other district roads, daylight conditions, drivers who are younger and working-age group, overtaking from left, taking u-turn are associated with less likelihood of fatal crashes. To increase the overall safety of the roads, targeted countermeasures may be designed in light of injury severity of the drivers with respect to single-vehicle crashes also. This study provides useful insights for reducing injury severity in single-vehicle motorcycle crashes.