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Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 113(42): E6343-E6351, 2016 10 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27698135

ABSTRACT

Microbial natural products are an evolved resource of bioactive small molecules, which form the foundation of many modern therapeutic regimes. Ribosomally synthesized and posttranslationally modified peptides (RiPPs) represent a class of natural products which have attracted extensive interest for their diverse chemical structures and potent biological activities. Genome sequencing has revealed that the vast majority of genetically encoded natural products remain unknown. Many bioinformatic resources have therefore been developed to predict the chemical structures of natural products, particularly nonribosomal peptides and polyketides, from sequence data. However, the diversity and complexity of RiPPs have challenged systematic investigation of RiPP diversity, and consequently the vast majority of genetically encoded RiPPs remain chemical "dark matter." Here, we introduce an algorithm to catalog RiPP biosynthetic gene clusters and chart genetically encoded RiPP chemical space. A global analysis of 65,421 prokaryotic genomes revealed 30,261 RiPP clusters, encoding 2,231 unique products. We further leverage the structure predictions generated by our algorithm to facilitate the genome-guided discovery of a molecule from a rare family of RiPPs. Our results provide the systematic investigation of RiPP genetic and chemical space, revealing the widespread distribution of RiPP biosynthesis throughout the prokaryotic tree of life, and provide a platform for the targeted discovery of RiPPs based on genome sequencing.


Subject(s)
Biological Products , Computational Biology/methods , Genomics , Protein Biosynthesis/genetics , Ribosomes/metabolism , Algorithms , Cluster Analysis , Genomics/methods , Markov Chains , Peptides/genetics , Peptides/metabolism , Prokaryotic Cells/physiology , Protein Processing, Post-Translational , Reproducibility of Results
3.
Nat Chem Biol ; 12(12): 1007-1014, 2016 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27694801

ABSTRACT

Polyketides (PKs) and nonribosomal peptides (NRPs) are profoundly important natural products, forming the foundations of many therapeutic regimes. Decades of research have revealed over 11,000 PK and NRP structures, and genome sequencing is uncovering new PK and NRP gene clusters at an unprecedented rate. However, only ∼10% of PK and NRPs are currently associated with gene clusters, and it is unclear how many of these orphan gene clusters encode previously isolated molecules. Therefore, to efficiently guide the discovery of new molecules, we must first systematically de-orphan emergent gene clusters from genomes. Here we provide to our knowledge the first comprehensive retro-biosynthetic program, generalized retro-biosynthetic assembly prediction engine (GRAPE), for PK and NRP families and introduce a computational pipeline, global alignment for natural products cheminformatics (GARLIC), to uncover how observed biosynthetic gene clusters relate to known molecules, leading to the identification of gene clusters that encode new molecules.


Subject(s)
Multigene Family , Peptide Biosynthesis, Nucleic Acid-Independent , Peptides/metabolism , Polyketides/metabolism , Algorithms , Multigene Family/genetics , Peptide Biosynthesis, Nucleic Acid-Independent/genetics , Peptides/chemistry , Peptides/genetics , Polyketides/chemistry
4.
Nat Chem Biol ; 12(4): 233-9, 2016 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26829473

ABSTRACT

Antibiotics are essential for numerous medical procedures, including the treatment of bacterial infections, but their widespread use has led to the accumulation of resistance, prompting calls for the discovery of antibacterial agents with new targets. A majority of clinically approved antibacterial scaffolds are derived from microbial natural products, but these valuable molecules are not well annotated or organized, limiting the efficacy of modern informatic analyses. Here, we provide a comprehensive resource defining the targets, chemical origins and families of the natural antibacterial collective through a retrobiosynthetic algorithm. From this we also detail the directed mining of biosynthetic scaffolds and resistance determinants to reveal structures with a high likelihood of having previously unknown modes of action. Implementing this pipeline led to investigations of the telomycin family of natural products from Streptomyces canus, revealing that these bactericidal molecules possess a new antibacterial mode of action dependent on the bacterial phospholipid cardiolipin.


Subject(s)
Anti-Bacterial Agents/pharmacology , Biological Products/pharmacology , Cardiolipins/biosynthesis , Gram-Positive Bacteria/drug effects , Peptides/pharmacology , Streptomyces/metabolism , Anti-Bacterial Agents/biosynthesis , Anti-Bacterial Agents/isolation & purification , Biological Products/isolation & purification , Biosynthetic Pathways , Cardiolipins/genetics , Colony Count, Microbial , Databases, Genetic , Drug Resistance, Bacterial/drug effects , Drug Resistance, Bacterial/genetics , Gram-Positive Bacteria/genetics , Gram-Positive Bacteria/growth & development , Gram-Positive Bacteria/metabolism , Microbial Sensitivity Tests , Multigene Family , Peptides/genetics , Peptides/isolation & purification , Web Browser
5.
Nucleic Acids Res ; 43(20): 9645-62, 2015 Nov 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26442528

ABSTRACT

Microbial natural products are an invaluable source of evolved bioactive small molecules and pharmaceutical agents. Next-generation and metagenomic sequencing indicates untapped genomic potential, yet high rediscovery rates of known metabolites increasingly frustrate conventional natural product screening programs. New methods to connect biosynthetic gene clusters to novel chemical scaffolds are therefore critical to enable the targeted discovery of genetically encoded natural products. Here, we present PRISM, a computational resource for the identification of biosynthetic gene clusters, prediction of genetically encoded nonribosomal peptides and type I and II polyketides, and bio- and cheminformatic dereplication of known natural products. PRISM implements novel algorithms which render it uniquely capable of predicting type II polyketides, deoxygenated sugars, and starter units, making it a comprehensive genome-guided chemical structure prediction engine. A library of 57 tailoring reactions is leveraged for combinatorial scaffold library generation when multiple potential substrates are consistent with biosynthetic logic. We compare the accuracy of PRISM to existing genomic analysis platforms. PRISM is an open-source, user-friendly web application available at http://magarveylab.ca/prism/.


Subject(s)
Biological Products/metabolism , Genomics/methods , Metabolome/genetics , Metabolomics/methods , Secondary Metabolism/genetics , Algorithms , Biosynthetic Pathways/genetics , Genome, Microbial , Peptide Synthases/genetics , Polyketides/chemistry
6.
Popul Stud (Camb) ; 68(1): 43-64, 2014 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23879768

ABSTRACT

To project the ethnic-group populations of local authorities in England to 2051, estimates of ethnic-specific fertility rates were needed. In the absence of ethnic information on birth records, we developed indirect estimation methods that use a combination of vital statistics, the census (both microdata and aggregate tables), and survey data (Labour Force Survey). We estimated age-specific and total fertility rates successively for five broad ethnic groups encompassed by all data-sets, and for eight ethnic groups encompassed by the 1991 and 2001 Censuses for England. We then used census data to disaggregate the estimates to the 16 ethnic groups required for the subnational projections and the Hadwiger function to estimate single-year-of-age estimates. We estimated the uncertainty around the fertility estimates and used a logistic model to project rates to 2021, after which we assumed rates would remain constant.


Subject(s)
Birth Rate/ethnology , Ethnicity/statistics & numerical data , Adolescent , Adult , Age Factors , Birth Rate/trends , England/epidemiology , Female , Forecasting , Humans , Models, Statistical , Vital Statistics , Young Adult
7.
Health Place ; 24: 1-10, 2013 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23999577

ABSTRACT

We investigate links between increasing longevity and health status in Thailand. Using data from 2002 and 2007 national surveys of the elderly, healthy life expectancies at older ages were estimated. Change depended on health indicator, gender and age. Self-reported health and self-care disability showed expansion of morbidity. Mobility disability change indicated compression but a wording change means this may be an artefact. We compare these findings with the 1990 and 2010 results of the Global Burden of Disease study. Using HLE based on disease prevalence, the GBD found that Thailand experienced small longevity gains and morbidity compression. Our findings suggest these results should be treated with caution, as, since 2000, Thailand has introduced universal health care.


Subject(s)
Health Status , Life Expectancy/trends , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Confidence Intervals , Female , Health Surveys , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Sex Distribution , Thailand
8.
Eur J Popul ; 28(4): 385-416, 2012 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23162180

ABSTRACT

Europe is currently experiencing an ageing population and slowing population growth of both the total and working-age populations. These trends are likely to continue. Even though population ageing will affect all European regions, different regions will be affected in different ways. Even under favorable conditions, 35-40 % of all NUTS2 regions will face a labor force decline. If economic conditions are poor, some regions may continue to grow, but 55-70 % of the regions will see a labor force decline by 10 % or more. In most regions of Eastern Europe, the labor force may decrease by more than 30 %. To keep regions prosperous (maintaining competitiveness) and to avoid worse inequality (maintaining cohesion), policy-makers must find ways to cope with these challenges through new fiscal and social policies, though policies directly affecting demographic and migratory trends may also be needed.

10.
Heart ; 98(3): 202-6, 2012 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21917661

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to examine the accuracy in predicting pathway location in children with Wolff-Parkinson-White syndrome for each of seven published algorithms. PATIENTS AND INTERVENTIONS: ECGs from 100 consecutive children with Wolff-Parkinson-White syndrome undergoing electrophysiological study were analysed by six investigators using seven published algorithms, six of which had been developed in adult patients. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Accuracy and concordance of predictions were adjusted for the number of pathway locations. RESULTS: Accessory pathways were left-sided in 49, septal in 20 and right-sided in 31 children. Overall accuracy of prediction was 30-49% for the exact location and 61-68% including adjacent locations. Concordance between investigators varied between 41% and 86%. No algorithm was better at predicting septal pathways (accuracy 5-35%, improving to 40-78% including adjacent locations), but one was significantly worse. Predictive accuracy was 24-53% for the exact location of right-sided pathways (50-71% including adjacent locations) and 32-55% for the exact location of left-sided pathways (58-73% including adjacent locations). CONCLUSIONS: All algorithms were less accurate in our hands than in other authors' own assessment. None performed well in identifying midseptal or right anteroseptal accessory pathway locations.


Subject(s)
Accessory Atrioventricular Bundle/diagnosis , Algorithms , Cardiac Catheterization/methods , Electrocardiography/methods , Heart Rate/physiology , Wolff-Parkinson-White Syndrome/diagnosis , Accessory Atrioventricular Bundle/complications , Accessory Atrioventricular Bundle/physiopathology , Adolescent , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Male , Predictive Value of Tests , Prognosis , Reproducibility of Results , Wolff-Parkinson-White Syndrome/etiology , Wolff-Parkinson-White Syndrome/physiopathology
11.
Afr J Lab Med ; 1(1): 8, 2012.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29062728

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To determine if use of basic laboratory tests improves diagnosis and treatment outcomes in outpatients attending rural primary health care facilities. SETTING: Six rural health centres in Kenya. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study to observe change in diagnosis and treatment made by clinical officers after laboratory testing in outpatients attending six rural health centres in Kenya. SUBJECT: The diagnosis and treatment of 1134 patients attending outpatient services in six rural health centres were compared before and after basic laboratory testing. Essential clinical diagnostic equipment and laboratory tests were established at each health centre. Clinical officers and laboratory technicians received on-site refresher training in good diagnostic practices and laboratory procedures before the study began. RESULTS: Laboratory tests were ordered on 704 (62.1%) patients. Diagnosis and treatment were changed in 45% of tested patients who returned with laboratory results (21% of all patients attending the clinics). 166 (23.5%) patients did not return to the clinician for a final diagnosis and management decision after laboratory testing. Blood slide examination for malaria parasites, wet preparations, urine microscopy and stool microscopy resulted in most changes to diagnosis. There was no significant change in drug costs after laboratory testing. The greatest changes in numbers of recorded diseases following laboratory testing was for intestinal worms (53%) and malaria (21%). CONCLUSION: Effective use of basic laboratory tests at primary health care level significantly improves diagnosis and patient treatment. Use of laboratory testing can be readily incorporated into routine clinical practice. On-site refresher training is an effective means of improving the quality of patient care and communication between clinical and laboratory staff.

12.
Afr. j. lab. med. (Online) ; 1(1): 1-5, 2012. ilus
Article in English | AIM (Africa) | ID: biblio-1257287

ABSTRACT

Objective: To determine if use of basic laboratory tests improves diagnosis and treatment outcomes in outpatients attending rural primary health care facilities. Setting: Six rural health centres in Kenya.Design: Cross-sectional study to observe change in diagnosis and treatment made by clinical officers after laboratory testing in outpatients attending six rural health centres in Kenya.Subject: The diagnosis and treatment of 1134 patients attending outpatient services in six rural health centres were compared before and after basic laboratory testing. Essential clinical diagnostic equipment and laboratory tests were established at each health centre. Clinical officers and laboratory technicians received on-site refresher training in good diagnostic practices and laboratory procedures before the study began. Results: Laboratory tests were ordered on 704 (62.1) patients. Diagnosis and treatment were changed in 45of tested patients who returned with laboratory results (21 of all patients attending the clinics). 166 (23.5 of all patients attending the clinics). 166 (23.5) patients did not return to the clinician for a final diagnosis and management decision after laboratory testing. Blood slide examination for malaria parasites; wet preparations; urine microscopy and stool microscopy resulted in most changes to diagnosis. There was no significant change in drug costs after laboratory testing. The greatest changes in numbers of recorded diseases following laboratory testing was for intestinal worms (53) and malaria (21). Conclusion: Effective use of basic laboratory tests at primary health care level significantly improves diagnosis and patient treatment. Use of laboratory testing can be readily incorporated into routine clinical practice. On-site refresher training is an effective means of improving the quality of patient care and communication between clinical and laboratory staff


Subject(s)
Diagnostic Techniques and Procedures , Laboratories , Primary Health Care , Rural Health , Treatment Outcome
13.
Pediatr Pulmonol ; 45(3): 263-9, 2010 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20146397

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Despite improved medical therapy, transplantation (Tx) represents the only option for end-stage pulmonary vascular disease. METHODS: Clinical data of children with idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension (IPAH) referred for Tx assessment between January 2002 and June 2007 were related to listing decision and outcome. RESULTS: Seven of the 14 children assessed for Tx were listed. Five were transplanted (lung Tx, n = 3; heart-lung Tx, n = 2) and two died on the waiting list. Mean age at diagnosis was 3.7 (0.4-9.5) years. Time from diagnosis to listing was 3.6 years (range 1.4-9.3). Children listed were in a worse functional class (WHO 3.5 vs. 2.5; P = 0.0006), had a lower SpO(2) on exercise (76.5% vs. 89%; P = 0.0001) and a shorter 6-min walk distance (154 m vs. 330 m; P < 0.01) than those not listed. Right ventricular function was worse in those listed (P = 0.03), as was pulmonary vascular resistance index (PVRI) on vasodilator testing (34 U m(2) vs. 14.6 U m(2); P = 0.03). Age at diagnosis and at assessment, weight, height, mean pulmonary artery pressure, baseline PVRI, B-type natriuretic peptide, spirometry and resting-SO(2) did not differ between the two groups. For the five children transplanted, median waiting time was 81 days. Age at Tx was 5.4 years. After 2.8 years all transplanted children are alive with a good functional outcome. Two patients died on the active waiting list. All children considered too well for listing are still alive and stable on treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Outcome after transplantation in children with IPAH has been encouraging. Defining listing criteria for these patients remains a challenge.


Subject(s)
Hypertension, Pulmonary/surgery , Lung Transplantation , Patient Selection , Adolescent , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Infant , Male , Recovery of Function , Retrospective Studies , Survival Analysis
14.
J Heart Lung Transplant ; 28(12): 1279-84, 2009 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19864164

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Basiliximab is an anti-CD25 monoclonal antibody used as induction therapy in solid-organ transplantation. In this study we aim to determine whether pre-operative administration of basiliximab is beneficial in preventing early heart allograft rejection. METHODS: In this investigation we assess the effect of pre-implantation basiliximab on CD25 count and on acute rejection in children undergoing cardiothoracic transplantation. The notes of all children undergoing cardiothoracic transplantation at the Great Ormond Street Hospital between January 2000 and June 2007 were retrospectively reviewed. One hundred twenty-one heart transplant recipients were included: 29 patients did not receive basiliximab; 33 patients received basiliximab after coming off cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB); and 59 patients received basiliximab prior to organ implantation. RESULTS: All patients receiving basiliximab had an effectively suppressed CD25 count (<0.2%) on Days 1 and 10 post-transplant. Freedom from Grade 3A or greater rejection in the first year was significantly greater in the pre-implantation basiliximab group than in the post-implantation and no-basiliximab groups (95%, 70% and 72%, respectively; p = 0.02). Induction regimen was the only significant explanatory variable after multivariate Cox regression. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study confirm that basiliximab is effective at suppressing CD25 count whether given pre- or post-CPB. Basiliximab before transplantation appeared to reduce acute rejection, whereas post-CPB administration did not suggest similar effects. These findings require independent validation in randomized trials and further studies should seek to mechanistically delineate these observations.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Monoclonal/administration & dosage , Graft Rejection/prevention & control , Heart Transplantation , Immunosuppressive Agents/administration & dosage , Preoperative Care/methods , Recombinant Fusion Proteins/administration & dosage , Acute Disease , Basiliximab , Biopsy , Child , Dose-Response Relationship, Drug , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Graft Rejection/epidemiology , Graft Rejection/immunology , Humans , Incidence , Interleukin-2 Receptor alpha Subunit/immunology , Lymphocyte Count , Male , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies , Survival Rate , T-Lymphocytes/immunology , Time Factors , Transplantation, Homologous , United Kingdom/epidemiology
15.
Soc Sci Med ; 69(11): 1592-607, 2009 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19781840

ABSTRACT

As an input to projections of sub-national populations by ethnicity, this paper develops the first estimates of the mortality risks experienced by the UK ethnic groups. Two estimates were developed using alternative methods. In the first, UK 2001 Census data on limiting long-term illness to predict mortality levels and regression equations between local Standardized Illness and Mortality Ratios for all ethnicities are assumed to apply to individual ethnic groups. In the second, the geographical distribution of ethnic groups by local areas is combined with local mortality for all ethnicities to estimate national mortality rates by ethnicity, which are then employed to estimate local ethnic mortality. A comparison of the two estimates indicates that the method based on illness rates produces more plausible outcomes. The local SMRs produced for each ethnic group were used to generate ethnic group life tables for 432 UK local authority areas in 2001, which included estimates of survivorship probabilities by single year of age, gender and ethnic group for each local area for use in a projection model.


Subject(s)
Epidemiologic Methods , Ethnicity/statistics & numerical data , Mortality/ethnology , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Censuses , Child , Child, Preschool , Cultural Characteristics , Demography , Female , Health Status , Humans , Infant , Linear Models , Male , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , Sex Factors , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Young Adult
16.
Cardiol Young ; 17(5): 512-6, 2007 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17868500

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Temporary percutaneous epicardial pacing wires are routinely placed in children following cardiac surgery. There is uncertainty in clinical practice about the optimum timing for their removal, and practice varies widely both within and between different institutions. AIM: The aim of our study was to describe the use of temporary pacing in children undergoing cardiac surgery. METHODS: We performed a prospective audit of 140 children following cardiac surgery in two institutions. Information on diagnosis, surgical procedure, occurrence of arrhythmias, use of pacing wires, timing of removal of the wire, and complications related to removal was recorded on a daily basis from clinical records. RESULTS: We studied 140 patients undergoing a total of 141 operations. Of these, 39 (28%) required pacing postoperatively. In 38, pacing was required within the first 24 hours. One patient, who was in nodal rhythm for the first 24 hours, required pacing on the second postoperative day, while 29 patients required pacing beyond the first 24 hours. No patient in sinus rhythm on the first postoperative day required new pacing after this time. The median time to removal of the pacing wires was 4.5 days, with an inter-quartile range from 2 to 9 days. Complications included malfunction of atrial wires in 2 patients. CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows that no patient who was in sinus rhythm for the first 24 hours post-operatively required pacing before their discharge from hospital. This suggests that, in those patients in a stable state of sinus rhythm, and who have not required pacing within the first 24 hours, it may be safe to remove pacing wires after 24 hours. This could be timed to coincide with the removal of chest drains, thus avoiding the need for multiple distressing procedures.


Subject(s)
Heart Defects, Congenital/surgery , Pacemaker, Artificial , Child , Device Removal/adverse effects , Humans , Prospective Studies , Time Factors
17.
Vet Parasitol ; 148(2): 75-82, 2007 Sep 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17614201

ABSTRACT

This prospective, cross-sectional, observational study was designed to determine the association between the hormones of the pituitary-adrenal and pituitary-thyroid axes and outcome in dogs with naturally occurring Babesia canis rossi babesiosis. Ninety-five dogs with canine babesiosis were studied and blood samples were obtained from the jugular vein in each dog prior to treatment at admission to hospital. Serum cortisol, adrenocorticotrophic hormone (ACTH), thyroxine, free thyroxine and thyrotropin (TSH) concentrations were measured. Diagnosis was confirmed by polymerase chain reaction and reverse line blot and dogs infected with Babesia canis vogeli or Ehrlichia canis were excluded. Three outcomes were defined: hospitalization with subsequent death (n=7); hospitalization followed by recovery (n=56); and treatment as an outpatient (n=32). Serum cortisol and ACTH concentrations were significantly higher in the dogs that died, compared to hospitalized dogs that survived and compared to dogs treated as outpatients. Serum T4 and free T4 concentrations were significantly lower in the dogs that died, compared to the hospitalized dogs that survived and compared to dogs treated as outpatients. Serum TSH concentrations were not significantly different between any of the groups. Mortality was significantly associated with high cortisol and high ACTH concentrations and with low T4 and fT4 concentrations in dogs suffering from B. canis rossi babesiosis.


Subject(s)
Adrenocorticotropic Hormone/blood , Babesiosis/veterinary , Dog Diseases/mortality , Hydrocortisone/blood , Animals , Antiprotozoal Agents/therapeutic use , Babesia , Babesiosis/blood , Babesiosis/drug therapy , Babesiosis/mortality , Biomarkers/blood , Cross-Sectional Studies , Dog Diseases/blood , Dog Diseases/drug therapy , Dogs , Female , Male , Predictive Value of Tests , Prognosis , Prospective Studies , Severity of Illness Index , Thyrotropin/blood , Thyroxine/blood , Treatment Outcome
18.
Pediatr Transplant ; 11(3): 327-31, 2007 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17430492

ABSTRACT

We describe four patients with Barth syndrome who have undergone successful orthotopic heart transplantation. Patients are one, seven, 12.5 and 14.7 yr post-transplantation. One episode of severe infection occurred. Renal dysfunction and coronary allograft vasculopathy do not appear accelerated over non-Barth patients. Despite withholding purine synthesis inhibitors, these patients have not demonstrated an increased rate of rejection.


Subject(s)
Cardiomyopathies/etiology , Cardiomyopathies/surgery , Genetic Diseases, X-Linked/complications , Heart Transplantation , Metabolism, Inborn Errors/complications , Adolescent , Child , Child, Preschool , Humans , Infant , Male , Syndrome , Treatment Outcome
19.
Circulation ; 115(13): 1798-805, 2007 Apr 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17353448

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection has been implicated as a cause of posttransplantation coronary artery disease in adults. The purpose of this retrospective observational study was to evaluate the effect of CMV on outcome after heart transplantation in children. METHODS AND RESULTS: Risk factors tested were recipient age, sex, and pretransplantation CMV serology; use of anti-CMV prophylaxis; posttransplantation evidence of CMV infection; and donor CMV serology. Transplantations were stratified traditionally according to CMV risk as low risk (recipient negative/donor negative), intermediate risk (recipient positive), and high risk (recipient negative/donor positive). Primary outcome measures were (1) development of coronary artery vasculopathy, (2) mortality (or graft loss) that occurred outside the early postoperative period, and (3) death (or graft loss) due to vasculopathy. Analysis was by proportional hazards modeling. A total of 165 children underwent heart transplantation, with a mean age at transplantation of 7.8 (SD 5.6) years. Thirty-two children had laboratory evidence of CMV infection after transplantation, but only 6 developed CMV disease or syndrome. Traditional CMV risk stratification correlated well with CMV infection but did not predict mortality, coronary artery disease, or coronary death. In contrast, positive recipient CMV was the only independent predictor of all 3 outcome measures: coronary artery disease (hazard ratio=3.6), all-cause mortality (partial hazard ratio=4.1), and coronary death (hazard ratio=4.6). CONCLUSIONS: In children, pretransplantation recipient CMV status is a more powerful predictor for the development of clinically significant vasculopathy and subsequent death than traditional risk stratification. This phenomenon warrants further investigation.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Viral/blood , Coronary Disease/etiology , Cytomegalovirus Infections/complications , Heart Transplantation , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Adolescent , Adult , Antilymphocyte Serum/adverse effects , Antilymphocyte Serum/therapeutic use , Antiviral Agents/administration & dosage , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Child , Child, Preschool , Coronary Disease/mortality , Coronary Disease/prevention & control , Cytomegalovirus/immunology , Cytomegalovirus/pathogenicity , Cytomegalovirus Infections/blood , Cytomegalovirus Infections/prevention & control , Disease-Free Survival , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Ganciclovir/administration & dosage , Ganciclovir/analogs & derivatives , Ganciclovir/therapeutic use , Graft Survival , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Postoperative Complications/prevention & control , Postoperative Complications/virology , Predictive Value of Tests , Premedication , Proportional Hazards Models , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Sample Size , Tissue Donors , Transplantation, Homologous , Treatment Outcome , Valganciclovir , Virus Diseases/complications , Virus Latency
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