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1.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-22269041

ABSTRACT

BackgroundSince identification, infections by new SARS-CoV-2 variant Omicron are rapidly increasing worldwide. There is huge gap of knowledge regarding virus behaviour in the population from low and middle income countries. Delhi being unique population with a high seropositivity and vaccination rate against COVID-19 infection. We aimed to study the epidemiological and clinical presentations of few early cases of community spread of Omicron infection in the state. MethodsThis is a prospective study where respiratory specimen from all RT-PCR confirmed positive cases between November 25th-December 23rd 2021 collected from five districts of Delhi were subjected to whole genome sequencing. Complete demographic and clinical details were recorded. We also analyzed the formation of local and familial clusters and eventual community transmission. FindingsOut of the 264 cases included during study period, 68.9% (n=182)were identified as Delta and its sub-lineages while 31.06% (n=82) were Omicron with BA.1 as the predominant sub-lineage (73.1%). Most of the Omicron cases were asymptomatic (n=50,61%) and not requiring any hospitalizations. A total of 72 (87.8%) cases were fully vaccinated. 39.1% (n=32) had a history of travel and/or contacts while 60.9 (n=50) showed a community transmission. A steep increase in the daily progression of Omicron cases with its preponderance in the community was observed from 1.8% to 54%. InterpretationThis study is among the first from India to provide the evidence of community transmission of Omicron with significantly increased breakthrough infections, decreased hospitalization rates, and lower rate of symptomatic infections among individuals with high seropositivity against SARS-CoV-2 infections.

2.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21263331

ABSTRACT

BackgroundWe report the findings of a large follow-up community-based serosurvey and correlating it with the COVID-19 test-positivity rate and the case load observed during the peak of the second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic in Delhi, India. MethodsIndividuals of age [≥]5 years were recruited from 274 wards of the state (population [~] 19.6 million) during January 11 to January 22 2021. A total of 100 participants each were included from all the wards for a net sample size of [~]28,000. A multi-stage sampling technique was applied for selection of participants for the household serosurvey. Anti SARS CoV-2 IgG antibodies were detected by using the VITROS assay (90% Sn, 100% Sp). ResultsAntibody positivity was observed in 14,298 (50.76%) of the 28,169 samples. The age, sex and district population weighted seroprevalence of the IgG SARS-CoV-2 was 50.52% (95% C.I. 49.94-51.10) and after adjustment for assay characteristics was 56.13% (95% C.I. 55.49-56.77). On adjusted analysis, participants aged [≥]50 years, of female gender, housewives, having ever lived in containment zones, urban slum dwellers, and diabetes or hypertensive patients had significantly higher odds of SARS-CoV-2 antibody positivity. The peak infection rate and the test positivity rate since October 2020 were initially observed in mid-November 2020 with a subsequent steep declining trend, followed by a period of persistently low case burden lasting until the first week of March 2021. This was followed by a steady increase followed by an exponential surge in infections from April 2021 onwards culminating in the second wave of the pandemic. ConclusionsThe presence of infection induced immunity from SARS-CoV-2 even in more than one in two people can be ineffective in protecting the population.

3.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-20219337

ABSTRACT

BackgroundThe role of convalescent plasma (COPLA) for the treatment of severely ill Corona Virus Disease-2019 is under investigation. We compared the efficacy and safety of convalescent plasma with fresh frozen plasma (FFP) in severe COVID-19 patients. Methods and findingsThis was an open-label, single-centre phase II RCT on 29 patients with severe COVID-19 from India. One group received COPLA with standard medical care (SMC) (n=14), and another group received FFP with SMC (n=15). A total of 29 patients were randomized in the two treatment groups. Eleven out of 14 (78.5%) patients remained free of ventilation at day seven in the intervention arm while the proportion was 14 out of 15 (93.3 %) in the control arm (p= 0.258). The median reductions in RR per min at 48-hours in COPLA-group and FFP group were -6.5 and -3 respectively [p=0.004] and at day seven were -14.5 and -10 respectively (p=0.008). The median improvements in percentage O2 saturation at 48-hours were 6.5 and 2 respectively [p=0.001] and at day seven were 10 and 7.5 respectively (p=0.026). In the COPLA-group, the median improvement in PaO2/FiO2 was significantly superior to FFP at 48-hours [41.94 and 231.15, p=0.009], and also at day-7 [5.55 and 77.01 p<0.001]. We did not find significant differences in hospitalization duration between the groups (0.08). ConclusionCOPLA therapy resulted in rapid improvement in respiratory parameters and shortened time to clinical recovery, although no significant reduction in mortality was observed in this pilot trial. We need larger trials to draw conclusive evidence on the use of Convalescent plasma in COVID-19. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrial.gov (identifier: NCT04346446).

4.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-20128793

ABSTRACT

IntroductionTimely diagnosis is essential for the containment of the disease and breaks in the chain of transmission of SARS-CoV-2. The present situation demands countries to scale up their testing and design innovative strategies to conserve diagnostic kits and reagents. The pooling of samples saves time, manpower, and most importantly diagnostic kits and reagents. In the present study, we tried to define the pool size that could be applied with acceptable confidence for testing. Material and methodsWe used repeatedly tested positive clinical sample elutes having different levels of SARS CoV 2 RNA and negative sample elutes to prepare seven series of 11 pools each, having pool sizes ranging from 2 to 48 samples to estimate the optimal pool size. Each pool had one positive sample elute in different compositions. All the pools were tested by SARS CoV 2 RT-qPCR. ResultsOut of the 77 pools, only 53 (68.8%) were found positive. The sensitivity of pools of 2 to 48 samples was decreased from 100% (95% CL; 98.4-100) to 41.41% (95% CL; 34.9-48.1). The maximum size of the pool with acceptable sensitivity (>95%) was found to be of 6 samples. For the pool size of 6 samples, the sensitivity was 97.8% and the efficiency of pooling was 0.38. ConclusionThe pooling of samples is a practical way for scaling up testing and ultimately containing the further spread of the COVID-19 pandemic.

5.
Article in English | WHO IRIS | ID: who-329610

ABSTRACT

Competing domestic health priorities and shrinking financial support from external agencies necessitatesthat India’s National AIDS Control Programme (NACP) brings in cost efficiencies to sustain theprogramme. In addition, current plans to expand the criteria for eligibility for antiretroviral therapy(ART) in India will have significant financial implications in the near future. ART centres in India providecomprehensive services to people living with HIV (PLHIV): those fulfilling national eligibility criteriaand receiving ART and those on pre-ART care, i.e. not on ART. ART centres are financially supported(i) directly by the NACP; and (ii) indirectly by general health systems. This study was conducted todetermine (i) the cost incurred per patient per year of pre-ART and ART services at ART centres; and(ii) the proportion of this cost incurred by the NACP and by general health systems. The study usednational data from April 2013 to March 2014, on ART costs and non-ART costs (human resources,laboratory tests, training, prophylaxis and management of opportunistic infections, hospitalization,operational, and programme management). Data were extracted from procurement records andreports, statements of expenditure at national and state level, records and reports from ART centres,databases of the National AIDS Control Organisation, and reports on use of antiretroviral drugs. Theanalysis estimates the cost for ART services as US$ 133.89 (`8032) per patient per year, of which 66%(US$ 88.66, `5320) is for antiretroviral drugs and 34% (US$ 45.23, `2712) is for non-ART recurrentexpenditure, while the cost for pre-ART care is US$ 33.05 (`1983) per patient per year. The low costsincurred for patients in ART and pre-ART care services can be attributed mainly to the low costs ofgeneric drugs. However, further integration with general health systems may facilitate additional costsaving, such as in human resources.


Subject(s)
HIV , India
6.
Article in English | WHO IRIS | ID: who-329608

ABSTRACT

The therapeutic and preventive benefits of early initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) for HIV arenow well established. Reflecting new research evidence, in 2015 the World Health Organization (WHO)recommended initiation of ART for all people living with HIV (PLHIV), irrespective of their clinical stagingand CD4 cell count. The National AIDS Control Programme (NACP) in India is currently following the 2010WHO ART guidelines for adults and the 2013 guidelines for pregnant women and children. This desk studyassessed the number of people living with HIV who will additionally be eligible for ART on adoption of the2015 WHO recommendations on ART. Data routinely recorded for all PLHIV registered under the NACP upto 31 December 2015 were analysed. Of the 250 865 individuals recorded in pre-ART care, an estimated135 593 would be eligible under the WHO 2013 guidelines. A further 100 221 would be eligible under theWHO 2015 guidelines. Initiating treatment for all PLHIV in pre-ART care would raise the number on ART from0.92 million to 1.17 million. In addition, nearly 0.07 million newly registered PLHIV will become eligible everyyear if the WHO 2015 guidelines are adopted, of which 0.028 million would be attributable to implementationof the WHO 2013 guidelines alone. In addition to drugs, there will be a need for additional CD4 tests andtests of viral load, as the numbers on ART will increase significantly. The outlay should be seen in the contextof potential health-care savings due to early initiation of ART, in terms of the effect on disease progression,complications, deaths and new infections. While desirable, adoption of the new guidance will have significantprogrammatic and resource implications for India. The programme needs to plan and strengthen the servicedelivery mechanism, with emphasis on newer and innovative approaches before implementation of theseguidelines.


Subject(s)
Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome , HIV , India
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