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1.
Eur J Cancer Prev ; 12(5): 359-65, 2003 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-14512799

ABSTRACT

Reliable information about comparative cancer incidence in the Middle East has been lacking. The Middle East Cancer Consortium (MECC) has formed a network of population-based registries with standardized basic data. Here the age-adjusted cancer incidences are compared for four populations: Israeli Jews, Israeli non-Jews, Jordanians and the US Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) population, for the years 1996-1997 (Israel) and 1996-1998 (other populations). The all-sites rate of cancer is approximately twice as high in Israeli Jews and SEER, compared with Israeli non-Jews and Jordanians. Rates of lung cancer are similar among Israeli Jews and non-Jews and about twice as high as in Jordanians. Childhood leukaemia rates in Jordan are higher than in Israeli Jews, but lower than SEER. Hodgkin lymphoma rates in Israeli non-Jews and Jordanians are similar to SEER, but non-Hodgkin lymphoma rates are lower than SEER. The previous suspicion of higher overall leukaemia and lymphoma rates in Jordan is thus not confirmed.


Subject(s)
Neoplasms/epidemiology , Registries/statistics & numerical data , Registries/standards , SEER Program , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Incidence , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Israel/epidemiology , Jews , Jordan/epidemiology , Leukemia/epidemiology , Lymphoma/epidemiology , Male , Middle Aged , Reproducibility of Results
2.
Cancer ; 92(1): 37-45, 2001 Jul 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11443607

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) cancer registries have been collecting data regarding estrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PR) status in breast cancer since 1990. The current study reports on some of these data for eight racial/ethnic groups. METHODS: Stratified by ER and PR status, the frequency distributions of 112,588 breast cancer cases diagnosed between 1992--1997 in 11 SEER cancer registries were examined by age at diagnosis, stage at diagnosis, histologic grade, and tumor type for white, black, Hispanic, Japanese, Chinese, Filipino, Native Hawaiian, and American Indian and Alaska Native (AI/AN) females. RESULTS: For each racial/ethnic group, the percentage of ER positive (+)/PR+ was > ER-PR- > ER+PR- > ER-PR+ tumors. For the two major ER/PR groups, the ER+PR+ tumors were different from the ER-PR- tumors in several ways. For white females, there were differences in the age distributions, stage at diagnosis, and histologic grade. For black females, the differences involved the age distributions and tumor grades. For Hispanic and Japanese females, there were differences with regard to the age distributions and tumor grades. For Filipino, Chinese, and AI/AN females, the tumor stages and grades differed. For Native Hawaiians, the histologic tumor grades were different. CONCLUSIONS: For each racial/ethnic group, the ER/PR status appeared to divide breast cancer patients into two or more subgroups with unique tumor characteristics. In general, ER status appeared to have the greatest impact on delineating these subgroups, whereas in some cases, PR status was able to modify the subgroups further. It is hoped that reporting these tumor characteristics by ER/PR status for each racial/ethnic group will spur more investigation into the significance of ER/PR status in each racial/ethnic group.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms/metabolism , Receptors, Estrogen/metabolism , Receptors, Progesterone/metabolism , Adolescent , Adult , Age Distribution , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Breast Neoplasms/classification , Breast Neoplasms/epidemiology , Breast Neoplasms/ethnology , Child , Child, Preschool , Ethnicity , Female , Humans , Infant , Middle Aged
3.
J Natl Cancer Inst ; 93(11): 824-42, 2001 Jun 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11390532

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The American Cancer Society, the National Cancer Institute (NCI), the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries, and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, including the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS), collaborate to provide an annual update on cancer occurrence and trends in the United States. This year's report contains a special feature that focuses on cancers with recent increasing trends. METHODS: From 1992 through 1998, age-adjusted rates and annual percent changes are calculated for cancer incidence and underlying cause of death with the use of NCI incidence and NCHS mortality data. Joinpoint analysis, a model of joined line segments, is used to examine long-term trends for the four most common cancers and for those cancers with recent increasing trends in incidence or mortality. Statistically significant findings are based on a P value of.05 by use of a two-sided test. State-specific incidence and death rates for 1994 through 1998 are reported for major cancers. RESULTS: From 1992 through 1998, total cancer death rates declined in males and females, while cancer incidence rates declined only in males. Incidence rates in females increased slightly, largely because of breast cancer increases that occurred in some older age groups, possibly as a result of increased early detection. Female lung cancer mortality, a major cause of death in women, continued to increase but more slowly than in earlier years. In addition, the incidence or mortality rate increased in 10 other sites, accounting for about 13% of total cancer incidence and mortality in the United States. CONCLUSIONS: Overall cancer incidence and death rates continued to decline in the United States. Future progress will require sustained improvements in cancer prevention, screening, and treatment.


Subject(s)
Neoplasms/epidemiology , Black or African American , American Cancer Society , Black People , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , National Center for Health Statistics, U.S. , National Institutes of Health (U.S.) , Neoplasms/mortality , Registries , United States/epidemiology , White People
4.
JAMA ; 285(7): 885-92, 2001 Feb 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11180731

ABSTRACT

CONTEXT: Postmenopausal women aged 55 years and older have 66% of incident breast tumors and experience 77% of breast cancer mortality, but other age-related health problems may affect tumor prognosis and treatment decisions. OBJECTIVE: To document the comorbidity burden of postmenopausal breast cancer patients and evaluate its relationship with age on disease stage, treatment, and early mortality. DESIGN AND SETTING: Data were collected on breast cancer patients' comorbidities by retrospective hospital medical records review and merged with information on patients' tumor characteristics collected from 6 regional National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results cancer registries. Patients were followed up until death or for 30 months from breast cancer diagnosis. PARTICIPANTS: Population-based random sample of 1800 postmenopausal breast cancer patients diagnosed in 1992 stratified by 3 age groups: 55 to 64 years, 65 to 74 years, and 75 years and older. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Extent of disease, therapy received, comorbidity, cause of death, and survival. RESULTS: Seventy-three percent (1312 of 1800) of the sample was diagnosed with stage I and II breast cancer, 10% (n = 188) with stage III and IV breast cancer, and 17% (n = 300) did not have a stage assignment. Of the 1017 patients with stage I and stage II node-negative breast cancer, 95% received therapy in agreement with the National Institutes of Health consensus statement recommendation for early-stage breast cancer. Patients in older age groups were less likely to receive therapy consistent with the consensus statement (P<.001), and women aged 70 years and older were significantly less likely to receive axillary lymph node dissection as determined by logistic regression analysis (P<.01). Diabetes, renal failure, stroke, liver disease, a previous malignant tumor, and smoking were significant in predicting early mortality in a statistical model that included age and disease stage. Breast cancer was the underlying cause of death for 135 decedents (51.3%). Heart disease (n = 45, 17.1%) and previous cancers (n = 22, 8.4%) were the next major underlying causes. In the 30-month follow-up period, 263 patients (15%) died. CONCLUSION: Patient care decisions occur in the context of breast cancer and other age-related conditions. Comorbidity in older patients may limit the ability to obtain prognostic information (ie, axillary lymph node dissection), tends to minimize treatment options (eg, breast-conserving therapy), and increases the risk of death from causes other than breast cancer.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms/epidemiology , Age Factors , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Breast Neoplasms/mortality , Breast Neoplasms/pathology , Breast Neoplasms/therapy , Cause of Death , Comorbidity , Female , Humans , Logistic Models , Middle Aged , Neoplasm Staging , Postmenopause , Prognosis , Proportional Hazards Models , SEER Program , Survival Analysis , United States/epidemiology
5.
Cancer ; 89(4): 893-900, 2000 Aug 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10951355

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Only recently have extensive population-based cancer survival data become available in Europe, providing an opportunity to compare survival in Europe and the United States. METHODS: The authors considered 12 cancers: lung, breast, stomach, colon, rectum, melanoma, cervix uteri, corpus uteri, ovary, prostate, Hodgkin disease, and non-Hodgkin lymphoma. The authors analyzed 738,076 European and 282,398 U.S. patients, whose disease was diagnosed in 1985-1989, obtained from 41 EUROCARE cancer registries in 17 countries and 9 U.S. SEER registries. Relative survival was estimated to correct for competing causes of mortality. RESULTS: Europeans had significantly lower survival rates than U.S. patients for most cancers. Differences in 5-year relative survival rates were higher for prostate (56% vs. 81%), skin melanoma (76% vs. 86%), colon (47% vs. 60%), rectum (43% vs. 57%), breast (73% vs. 82%), and corpus uteri (73% vs. 83%). Survival declined with increasing age at diagnosis for most cancers in both the U.S. and Europe but was more marked in Europe. CONCLUSIONS: Survival for most major cancers was worse in Europe than the U.S. especially for older patients. Differences in data collection, analysis, and quality apparently had only marginal influences on survival rate differences. Further research is required to clarify the reasons for the survival rate differences.


Subject(s)
Neoplasms/mortality , Adolescent , Adult , Age Distribution , Aged , Disease-Free Survival , Europe , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Neoplasms/therapy , Registries , Survival Rate , United States
6.
Cancer ; 88(10): 2398-424, 2000 May 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10820364

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This annual report to the nation addresses progress in cancer prevention and control in the U.S. with a special section on colorectal cancer. This report is the joint effort of the American Cancer Society, the National Cancer Institute (NCI), the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries (NAACCR), and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), including the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS). METHODS: Age-adjusted rates were based on cancer incidence data from the NCI and NAACCR and underlying cause of death as compiled by NCHS. Joinpoint analysis was based on NCI Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program incidence rates and NCHS death rates for 1973-1997. The prevalence of screening examinations for colorectal cancer was obtained from the CDC's Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System and the NCHS's National Health Interview Survey. RESULTS: Between 1990-1997, overall cancer incidence and death rates declined. Joinpoint analyses of cancer incidence and death rates confirmed the declines described in earlier reports. The incidence trends for colorectal cancer have shown recent steep declines for whites in contrast to a leveling off of the rates for blacks. State-to-state variations occurred in colorectal cancer screening prevalence as well as incidence and death rates. CONCLUSIONS: The continuing declines in overall cancer incidence and death rates are encouraging. However, a few of the top ten incidence or mortality cancer sites continued to increase or remained level. For many cancer sites, whites had lower incidence and mortality rates than blacks but higher rates than Hispanics, Asian and Pacific Islanders, and American Indians/Alaska Natives. The variations in colorectal cancer incidence and death rates by race/ethnicity, gender, age, and geographic area may be related to differences in risk factors, demographic characteristics, screening, and medical practice. New efforts currently are underway to increase awareness of screening benefits and treatment for colorectal cancer.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Breast Neoplasms/epidemiology , Bronchial Neoplasms/epidemiology , Colorectal Neoplasms/mortality , Female , Genital Neoplasms, Female/epidemiology , Humans , Leukemia/epidemiology , Lung Neoplasms/epidemiology , Lymphoma, Non-Hodgkin/epidemiology , Male , Melanoma/epidemiology , Neoplasms/diagnosis , Neoplasms/mortality , Pancreatic Neoplasms/epidemiology , Prostatic Neoplasms/epidemiology , Racial Groups , Skin Neoplasms/epidemiology , Survival Rate , United States/epidemiology , Urinary Bladder Neoplasms/epidemiology
8.
Hematol Oncol Clin North Am ; 14(1): 17-23, 2000 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10680069

ABSTRACT

It has been stated in this article and elsewhere that cancer patients aged 65 years and older deserve special attention as a target group for research efforts across the cancer-control spectrum. The available data show that the vulnerability of older persons to cancer is unmistakable. Clinicians will be treating more older patients as the nation ages. The future needs of this segment of the population must be anticipated. In this context, the following generic treatment questions are pertinent. What are the peculiarities of the aged host of which clinicians must be aware in evaluating the older cancer patient? Do various forms of cancer present differently in the elderly? How can be complications caused by the multiple pathologies inherent in the older patient be anticipated? What are the potential hazards and limitations of surgery, radiotherapy, and chemotherapy for older persons with cancer? What is known regarding increased risk of adverse reactions to medications, drugs, and interaction of drugs in older patients? The surveillance data and population estimates and projections presented in this article illustrate the extent of the problems of cancer in the elderly at the macro level. For the individual patient, the special knowledge of aging individuals and their health status based on geriatric medicine and gerontology that has been accumulating for the past several decades needs to be incorporated into the oncology armamentarium that has developed during the same period. The information and expertise from both fields must converge, and new knowledge must be developed at the aging/cancer interface and applied for the optimal treatment of cancer in the elderly.


Subject(s)
Aging/pathology , Neoplasms , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Humans , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Neoplasms/pathology , United States/epidemiology
9.
Cancer Causes Control ; 11(1): 31-5, 2000 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10680727

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Surveillance of chronic diseases includes monitoring trends in age-adjusted rates in the general population. Statistics that are calculated to describe and compare trends include the annual percent change and the percent change for a specified time period. However, it is also of interest to determine the contribution specific diseases make to an overall trend in order to better understand the impact of interventions and changes in the prevalence of risk factors. The objective here is to provide a method for partitioning a linear trend in age-adjusted rates into disease-specific components. METHODS: The method presented is based on linear regression. The decreasing trend in age-adjusted cancer mortality rates for the total United States during the period 1991-96 is analyzed to illustrate the method. RESULTS: Trends in mortality for cancers of the colon/rectum, breast, lung/bronchus, and prostate are found to be responsible for 75% of the decreasing trend in cancer mortality. CONCLUSIONS: It is possible to partition an overall trend in age-adjusted rates under the assumption that it and the trends for all mutually exclusive and exhaustive subgroups of interest are linear.


Subject(s)
Epidemiologic Studies , Mortality/trends , Neoplasms/mortality , Adolescent , Adult , Age Factors , Aged , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Linear Models , Male , Middle Aged , United States/epidemiology
11.
J Natl Cancer Inst ; 91(16): 1382-90, 1999 Aug 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10451443

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: During the 1980s, the incidence of primary malignant brain and other central nervous system tumors (hereafter called brain cancer) was reported to be increasing among all age groups in the United States, while mortality was declining for persons younger than 65 years. We analyzed these data to provide updates on incidence and mortality trends for brain cancer in the United States and to examine these patterns in search of their causes. METHODS: Data on incidence, overall and according to histology and anatomic site, and on relative survival were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program of the National Cancer Institute for 1975 through 1995. Mortality data were obtained from the National Center for Health Statistics. Medicare procedure claims from the National Cancer Institute's SEER-Medicare database were used for imaging trends. Statistically significant changes in incidence trends were identified, and annual percent changes were computed for log linear models. RESULTS/CONCLUSIONS: Rates stabilized for all age groups during the most recent period for which SEER data were available, except for the group containing individuals 85 years of age or older. Mortality trends continued to decline for the younger age groups, and the steep increases in mortality seen in the past for the elderly slowed substantially. Patterns differed by age group according to the site and grade of tumors between younger and older patients. During the last decade, use of computed tomography scans was relatively stable for those 65-74 years old but increased among those 85 years old or older. IMPLICATIONS: Improvements in diagnosis and changes in the diagnosis and treatment of elderly patients provide likely explanations for the observed patterns in brain cancer trends.


Subject(s)
Central Nervous System Neoplasms/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Age Distribution , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Biopsy, Needle/methods , Brain Neoplasms/epidemiology , Central Nervous System Neoplasms/diagnosis , Central Nervous System Neoplasms/mortality , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Incidence , Infant , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Male , Middle Aged , Mortality/trends , Stereotaxic Techniques , Survival Rate , Tomography, X-Ray Computed
12.
J Natl Cancer Inst ; 91(12): 1017-24, 1999 Jun 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10379964

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The prostate-specific antigen test was approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration in 1986 to monitor the disease status in patients with prostate cancer and, in 1994, to aid in prostate cancer detection. However, after 1986, the test was performed on many men who had not been previously diagnosed with prostate cancer, apparently resulting in the diagnosis of a substantial number of early tumors. Our purpose is to provide insight into the effect of screening on prostate cancer rates. Detailed data are presented for whites because the size of the population allows for calculating statistically reliable rates; however, similar overall trends are seen for African-Americans and other races. METHODS: Prostate cancer incidence data from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program and mortality data from the National Center for Health Statistics were analyzed. RESULTS/CONCLUSIONS: The following findings are consistent with a screening effect: 1) the recent decrease since 1991 in the incidence of distant stage disease, after not having been perturbed by screening; 2) the decline in the incidence of earlier stage disease beginning the following year (i.e., 1992); 3) the recent increases and decreases in prostate cancer incidence and mortality by age that appear to indicate a calendar period effect; and 4) trends in the incidence of distant stage disease by tumor grade and trends in the survival of patients with distant stage disease by calendar year that provide suggestive evidence of the tendency of screening to detect slower growing tumors. IMPLICATIONS: The decline in the incidence of distant stage disease holds the promise that testing for prostate-specific antigen may lead to a sustained decline in prostate cancer mortality. However, population data are complex, and it is difficult to confidently attribute relatively small changes in mortality to any one cause.


Subject(s)
Mass Screening , Prostate-Specific Antigen/blood , Prostatic Neoplasms/epidemiology , Black or African American/statistics & numerical data , Age Distribution , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Humans , Incidence , Male , Mass Screening/methods , Middle Aged , Mortality/trends , Neoplasm Staging , Population Surveillance , Prostatic Neoplasms/ethnology , Prostatic Neoplasms/immunology , Prostatic Neoplasms/mortality , Prostatic Neoplasms/pathology , SEER Program , Survival Rate , United States/epidemiology , White People/statistics & numerical data
13.
J Natl Cancer Inst ; 91(12): 1051-8, 1999 Jun 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10379968

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Public concern about possible increases in childhood cancer incidence in the United States led us to examine recent incidence and mortality patterns. METHODS: Cancers diagnosed in 14540 children under age 15 years from 1975 through 1995 and reported to nine population-based registries in the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program were investigated. Age-adjusted incidence was analyzed according to anatomic site and histologic categories of the International Classification of Childhood Cancer. Age-adjusted U.S. mortality rates were calculated. Trends in rates were evaluated by use of standard regression methods. RESULTS: A modest rise in the incidence of leukemia, the most common childhood cancer, was largely due to an abrupt increase from 1983 to 1984; rates have decreased slightly since 1989. For brain and other central nervous system (CNS) cancers, incidence rose modestly, although statistically significantly (two-sided P = .020), largely from 1983 through 1986. A few rare childhood cancers demonstrated upward trends (e.g., the 40% of skin cancers designated as dermatofibrosarcomas, adrenal neuroblastomas, and retinoblastomas, the latter two in infants only). In contrast, incidence decreased modestly but statistically significantly for Hodgkin's disease (two-sided P = .037). Mortality rates declined steadily for all major childhood cancer categories, although less rapidly for brain/CNS cancers. CONCLUSIONS: There was no substantial change in incidence for the major pediatric cancers, and rates have remained relatively stable since the mid-1980s. The modest increases that were observed for brain/CNS cancers, leukemia, and infant neuroblastoma were confined to the mid-1980s. The patterns suggest that the increases likely reflected diagnostic improvements or reporting changes. Dramatic declines in childhood cancer mortality represent treatment-related improvements in survival.


Subject(s)
Neoplasms/epidemiology , Adolescent , Child , Child, Preschool , Humans , Incidence , Infant , Mortality/trends , Neoplasms/mortality , SEER Program , United States/epidemiology
14.
J Natl Cancer Inst ; 91(8): 675-90, 1999 Apr 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10218505

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The American Cancer Society, the National Cancer Institute (NCI), and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), including the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS), provide the second annual report to the nation on progress in cancer prevention and control, with a special section on lung cancer and tobacco smoking. METHODS: Age-adjusted rates (using the 1970 U.S. standard population) were based on cancer incidence data from NCI and underlying cause of death data compiled by NCHS. The prevalence of tobacco use was derived from CDC surveys. Reported P values are two-sided. RESULTS: From 1990 through 1996, cancer incidence (-0.9% per year; P = .16) and cancer death (-0.6% per year; P = .001) rates for all sites combined decreased. Among the 10 leading cancer incidence sites, statistically significant decreases in incidence rates were seen in males for leukemia and cancers of the lung, colon/rectum, urinary bladder, and oral cavity and pharynx. Except for lung cancer, incidence rates for these cancers also declined in females. Among the 10 leading cancer mortality sites, statistically significant decreases in cancer death rates were seen for cancers of the male lung, female breast, the prostate, male pancreas, and male brain and, for both sexes, cancers of the colon/rectum and stomach. Age-specific analyses of lung cancer revealed that rates in males first declined at younger ages and then for each older age group successively over time; rates in females appeared to be in the early stages of following the same pattern, with rates decreasing for women aged 40-59 years. CONCLUSIONS: The declines in cancer incidence and death rates, particularly for lung cancer, are encouraging. However, unless recent upward trends in smoking among adolescents can be reversed, the lung cancer rates that are currently declining in the United States may rise again.


Subject(s)
Lung Neoplasms/epidemiology , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Smoking/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Age Distribution , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , American Cancer Society , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Small Cell/epidemiology , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. , Female , Humans , Incidence , Lung Neoplasms/ethnology , Lung Neoplasms/etiology , Lung Neoplasms/mortality , Lung Neoplasms/prevention & control , Male , Middle Aged , National Institutes of Health (U.S.) , Neoplasms/ethnology , Neoplasms/mortality , Neoplasms/prevention & control , Prevalence , Retrospective Studies , SEER Program , Sex Distribution , Smoking/adverse effects , Smoking/ethnology , Smoking/mortality , Smoking Prevention , United States/epidemiology
15.
Dis Colon Rectum ; 41(9): 1097-106, 1998 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9749492

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: We report colon cancer survival rates that are conditioned on patients having already survived one or more years after diagnosis. These rates have more meaning clinically, because they consider those patients who have already survived a given period of time after treatment. METHODS: The life table method was used to compute conditional survival rates, using population-based data obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program of the National Cancer Institute. Patients were diagnosed between 1983 and 1987 and followed up through 1994. Relative and observed survival rates are considered. RESULTS: Survival rates up to ten years after diagnosis are reported by stage of disease, gender, and race for colon cancer patients who survived from one to five years after diagnosis. Survival rates are also reported by lymph node involvement. CONCLUSIONS: Five-year and ten-year survival in colon cancer patients having already survived between one and five years after diagnosis continues to be influenced significantly by stage and race.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma/mortality , Colonic Neoplasms/mortality , Adult , Aged , Black People , Carcinoma/pathology , Carcinoma/therapy , Carcinoma in Situ/mortality , Carcinoma in Situ/pathology , Carcinoma in Situ/therapy , Colonic Neoplasms/pathology , Colonic Neoplasms/therapy , Disease-Free Survival , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Life Tables , Lymphatic Metastasis , Male , Middle Aged , Neoplasm Staging , Survival Rate , White People
16.
J Natl Cancer Inst ; 90(17): 1269-77, 1998 Sep 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9731733

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The reported incidence of primary malignant brain tumors among children in the United States increased by 35% during the period from 1973 through 1994. The purpose of our study was twofold: 1) to determine whether the reported incidence rates for this period are better represented by a linear increase over the entire period ("linear model") or, alternatively, by a step function, with a lower rate in the years preceding 1984-1985 and a constant higher rate afterward ("jump model"); and 2) to identify the specific brain regions and histologic subtypes that have increased in incidence. METHODS: Incidence data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program of the National Cancer Institute for the period from 1973 through 1994 for primary malignant brain tumors in children were used to model the number of cases in a year as a random variable from a Poisson distribution by use of either a linear model or a jump model. RESULTS/CONCLUSIONS: The increase in reported incidence of childhood primary malignant brain tumors is best explained by the jump model, with a step increase in incidence occurring in the mid-1980s. The brain stem and the cerebrum are the primary sites for which an increase in tumor incidence has been reported. The increase in reported incidence of low-grade gliomas in the cerebrum and the brain stem (unaccompanied by an increase in mortality for these sites) supports the substantial contribution of low-grade gliomas to the overall increase in reported incidence for childhood brain tumors. IMPLICATIONS: The significantly better fit of the data to a jump model supports the hypothesis that the observed increase in incidence somehow resulted from changes in detection and/or reporting of childhood primary malignant brain tumors during the mid-1980s.


Subject(s)
Brain Neoplasms/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Age Factors , Brain Neoplasms/diagnosis , Brain Neoplasms/mortality , Child , Child, Preschool , Epidemiology/trends , Female , Humans , Incidence , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Linear Models , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Male , Models, Statistical , Tomography, X-Ray Computed
17.
Cancer Causes Control ; 9(3): 285-98, 1998 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9684709

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The incidence of acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) in children has shown temporal and geographic variation during the 20th century, with higher rates in developed nations appearing in the first half of the century, but with persisting low rates in developing nations. We sought to assess the relation of childhood ALL with hygiene conditions, an aspect of socioeconomic development affecting rates of exposure to infectious agents. METHODS: Infection patterns for hepatitis A virus (HAV), an agent with a fecal-oral route of transmission, were used to indicate hygiene conditions in different populations, with emphasis on instructive United States and Japanese data. A catalytic model was fit to these data, estimating the HAV force of infection and age-specific seroprevalence rates over time. These analyses were used to assess the temporal relationship of changes in HAV infection rates to changes in childhood leukemia mortality and incidence rates. RESULTS: We observed an inverse relationship between HAV infection prevalence and rates of childhood leukemia. Further, decreases in the HAV force of infection in the United States and Japan appear to have preceded increases in childhood leukemia rates. We describe a model based on a putative leukemia-inducing agent with a change in infection rate over time correlated with that of HAV that describes well the temporal trends in childhood leukemia rates for White children in the US and for Japanese children. CONCLUSION: The data suggest that improved public hygiene conditions, as measured by decreased prevalence of HAV infection, are associated with higher childhood ALL incidence rates. The model that we present supports the plausibility of the hypothesis that decreased childhood exposure to a leukemia-inducing agent associated with hygiene conditions leads to higher rates of ALL in children by increasing the frequency of in utero transmission caused by primary infection during pregnancy (or by increasing the number of individuals infected in early infancy because of lack of protective maternal antibodies).


Subject(s)
Hepatitis A/epidemiology , Hygiene , Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma/etiology , Child , Child, Preschool , Developing Countries , Female , Hepatovirus/pathogenicity , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Japan/epidemiology , Male , Models, Theoretical , Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma/epidemiology , Pregnancy , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious , Prevalence , Risk Factors , Social Class , United States/epidemiology
18.
Cancer ; 82(11): 2123-34, 1998 Jun 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9610691

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Colon carcinoma primarily affects persons 65 years and older. Seventy-five percent of the incident tumors affect persons in this age group. Because of their advanced age, older patients already may be coping with other concomitant major physical illnesses. This article documents preexisting diseases in older colon carcinoma patients at diagnosis and evaluates the effects of their comorbidity burden on early mortality. METHODS: Prevalence of comorbid conditions was assessed by a retrospective medical records review of an age-stratified random sample of male and female patients aged 55-64 years, 65-74 years, and 75+ years (males, n=799; females, n=811). Data were collected on comorbidity by the National Institute on Aging (NIA) and National Cancer Institute (NCI) and merged with NCI Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) tumor registry data. RESULTS: Hypertension, high impact heart conditions, gastrointestinal problems, arthritis, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease emerged as the most prominent comorbid conditions in the NIA/NCI SEER Study sample. The prevalence of comorbidity in the number and type of conditions was similar for both men and women (e.g., 40% of each gender had > or = 5 comorbidities). Within 2 years of diagnosis, 28% (n=454) of the patients had died. The number of comorbid conditions was significant in predicting early mortality in a model including age, gender, and disease stage (P=0.0007). Certain comorbidities, classified as "current problem," added significantly to a basic model (e.g., heart problems, alcohol abuse, liver disease, and deep vein thrombosis). CONCLUSIONS: Although disease stage at time of diagnosis of colon carcinoma is a crucial determinant of patient outcome, comorbidity increases the complexity of cancer management and affects survival duration. Cancer control and treatment research questions should address comorbidity issues pertinent to the age group primarily afflicted with colon carcinoma (i.e., the elderly).


Subject(s)
Colonic Neoplasms/mortality , Age Factors , Aged , Colonic Neoplasms/pathology , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Neoplasm Staging , Survival Rate
19.
Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev ; 7(4): 271-82, 1998 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9568781

ABSTRACT

Although survival rates are useful for monitoring progress in the early detection and treatment of cancer and are of particular interest to patients with new diagnoses, there are limited population-based estimates of long-term survival rates. We used data collected by the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program for cases diagnosed during 1974-1991 and followed through 1992 to estimate relative survival at 5, 10, and 15 years after diagnosis of cancer of the breast, prostate, colon and rectum, and lung. Relative survival after diagnosis of breast and prostate cancer continued to decline up through 15 years after diagnosis, whereas survival after diagnosis of lung and colon or rectal cancer remained approximately constant after 5 and 10 years, respectively. Age-specific patterns of survival varied by site, stage, and demographics. Among patients with localized breast and prostate cancer, women who were younger than age 45 at breast cancer diagnosis and men who were 75 years and older at prostate cancer diagnosis had the poorest relative survival. Relative survival among lung cancer patients decreased with age at diagnosis, regardless of stage or demographics, and age-specific patterns of relative survival for patients with cancer of the colon and rectum differed according to race. Among white patients diagnosed with cancers of the colon and rectum, relative survival did not vary by age at diagnosis; among black patients older than 45 at diagnosis, relative survival decreased with age. This study provides population-based estimates of long-term survival and confirms black/white, male/female, and stage- and age-specific differences for the major cancers.


Subject(s)
Neoplasms/mortality , SEER Program , Adult , Black or African American/statistics & numerical data , Age Factors , Aged , Breast Neoplasms/epidemiology , Breast Neoplasms/mortality , Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Colorectal Neoplasms/mortality , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Lung Neoplasms/epidemiology , Lung Neoplasms/mortality , Male , Middle Aged , National Institutes of Health (U.S.) , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Prostatic Neoplasms/epidemiology , Prostatic Neoplasms/mortality , Sex Factors , Survival Rate , United States/epidemiology , White People
20.
Cancer ; 82(7): 1396-400, 1998 Apr 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9529034

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: During the decade between 1980-1990, the rate of cancer in children in the U.S. increased. It is unknown whether cancer in infancy, which is biologically and clinically different from cancer in older children, also increased. METHODS: To evaluate changes in cancer incidence in infants in the U.S. age < 1 year, data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program and the U.S. Bureau of the Census were used to construct age specific, population-based cancer incidence rates. RESULTS: Overall, the annual cancer rate in infants increased from 189 cases per million infants between 1979-1981 to 220 between 1989-1991. At both timepoints, female infants had higher cancer rates than male infants. Although the rates for female infants remained stable at 223 between 1979-1981 versus 236 between 1989-1991, rates for male infants increased from 158 to 205 during the same timepoints. Male infants had increased rates of central nervous system (CNS) tumors (P < 0.05), neuroblastoma, and retinoblastoma; female infants had increased rates of teratomas (P < 0.01) and hepatoblastomas. Between 1979-1981, the three most common types of cancer in infants were neuroblastoma, leukemia, and renal tumors (27%, 15%, and 14%, respectively), and were neuroblastoma, CNS tumors, and leukemia between 1989-1991 (27%, 15%, and 13%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that the rate of certain types of cancer in infants in the U.S. is increasing. Studies of both genetic and environmental factors are needed to explain these increased rates and the changing distribution of cancer in the first year of life.


Subject(s)
Neoplasms/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Sex Distribution , United States/epidemiology
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