ABSTRACT
The rapid development of scientific communication approaches for environmental surveillance data with online information dashboards has been done in the absence of a global organizing body during the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic. We aim to make a case for standardization of dashboards presenting SARS-CoV-2 wastewater data. The list of dashboards was compiled as of March 31, 2022. The 127 dashboards reviewed represented 27 countries using a range of line/bar graphs, maps, and tables with symbol presentation. We identified 96 separate units of measure for the wastewater SARS-CoV-2 data. There was also inconsistency in using linear or log scale. Twenty-five percent of dashboards presented SARS-CoV-2 variant monitoring. Only 30% (38/125) of dashboards provided downloadable source data. There is great opportunity to improve scientific communication though the adoption of uniform data presentation conventions or standards for this field.
ABSTRACT
BackgroundWastewater-based epidemiology is a promising approach but robust epidemiological models to relate wastewater to community prevalence are lacking. Assessments of SARS-CoV-2 infection rates have relied primarily on convenience sampling, which does not provide reliable estimates of community prevalence because of inherent biases. MethodsFrom August 2020 to February 2021, we conducted a serial stratified randomized samplings to estimate the prevalence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in 3,717 participants, and weekly sampling of community wastewater for SARS-CoV-2 concentrations in Jefferson County, KY. With the use of a Susceptible, Infected, Recovered (SIR)-type model, we obtained longitudinal estimates of prevalence and compared these with wastewater concentration, using regression analysis. FindingsModel analysis revealed significant temporal differences in epidemic peaks; the average incidence rate based on serological sampling in some areas was up to 50% higher than health department rates based on convenience sampling. The model-estimated average prevalence rates correlated well with wastewater (correlation=0{middle dot}63). In regression analysis, a weekly unit increase in wastewater concentration of SARS-CoV-2 corresponded to an average increase of between 1-1{middle dot}3 cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection per 100K residents. InterpretationPublicly available health department incidence rates vastly underestimate true community incidence and wastewater has a high potential to provide robust estimates of community spread of infection. Research in contextO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSAdministratively reported clinical case rates of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infected individuals are biased due to a wide range of factors from testing access to concerns about missing low and non-symptomatic and self-tested individuals. Wastewater estimates offer an alternative to support community monitoring based on fecal shedding of the virus but are difficult to interpret when compared with the available public health data sets of infection rates. We examined all English literature until February 24, 2022, on Web of Science and PubMed with the terms ["seroprevalence" or "antibody"] AND ["COVID-19" or "SARS-CoV-2"] AND ["wastewater"]. We identified six studies. None of these studies considered randomized COVID-19 community anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody testing paired with wastewater data. Added value of this studyThe study demonstrates how results from serial stratified randomized serological sampling of the community can be used to build a longitudinal model that can interpolate and extrapolate community levels of infection beyond specific testing dates. Such a model correlates well with wastewater concentrations indicating its utility as a surrogate for infection prevalence. The testing data used in the study were collected before wide availability of COVID-19 vaccines and are therefore unique as they are unlikely to include a significant number of false positive results. Implications of all the available evidenceThe study demonstrates that convenience sampling obtained data from health department reporting seriously underestimates community-wide prevalence of infection. In contrast, wastewater-based epidemiology may be a faster, cost-effective, and more robust method of estimating the prevalence of viral infections within specific urban areas.
ABSTRACT
The majority of sewer systems in the United States and other countries, are operated by public utilities. In the absence of any regulation, public perception of monitoring wastewater for population health biomarkers is an important consideration for a public utility commission when allocating resources for this purpose. In August 2021, we conducted a survey as part of an ongoing COVID-19 community prevalence study in Louisville/Jefferson County, KY. The survey comprised of seven questions about awareness of and privacy concerns and was sent to 32,000 households randomly distributed within the county. A total of 1,220 sampled adults participated in the probability sample, and 981 were used in analysis. A total of 2,444 adults additionally responded in the convenience sample, and 1,751 were used in analysis. The samples were weighted to produce estimates representative of all adults in the county. Public awareness of tracking COVID-19 virus in the sewers was low. Opinions about how data from this activity are shared strongly supported public disclosure of monitoring results. Responses showed more support for measuring the largest areas (>30,000 to 50,000 households) typically representing population levels found in a community or regional wastewater treatment plant. Those who had a history of COVID-19 infection were more likely to support highly localized monitoring. Understanding wastewater surveillance strategies and thresholds of privacy concerns requires in-depth, comprehensive analysis of public opinion for continued success and efficacy of public health monitoring. Graphic for Table of Contents (TOC)/Abstract Art O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=44 SRC="FIGDIR/small/21264954v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (25K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@8774aforg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@fdbeaborg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@f0fc3forg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@14097dd_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG
ABSTRACT
In this communication, we report on the genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 using wastewater samples in Jefferson County, KY. In February 2021, we analyzed seven wastewater samples for SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance. Variants observed in smaller catchment areas, such as neighborhood manhole locations, were not necessarily consistent when compared to associated variant results in downstream treatment plants, suggesting catchment size or population could impact the ability to detect diversity.
ABSTRACT
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) emerged from a zoonotic spill-over event and has led to a global pandemic. The public health response has been predominantly informed by surveillance of symptomatic individuals and contact tracing, with quarantine, and other preventive measures have then been applied to mitigate further spread. Non-traditional methods of surveillance such as genomic epidemiology and wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) have also been leveraged during this pandemic. Genomic epidemiology uses high-throughput sequencing of SARS-CoV-2 genomes to inform local and international transmission events, as well as the diversity of circulating variants. WBE uses wastewater to analyse community spread, as it is known that SARS-CoV-2 is shed through bodily excretions. Since both symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals contribute to wastewater inputs, we hypothesized that the resultant pooled sample of population-wide excreta can provide a more comprehensive picture of SARS-CoV-2 genomic diversity circulating in a community than clinical testing and sequencing alone. In this study, we analysed 91 wastewater samples from 11 states in the USA, where the majority of samples represent Maricopa County, Arizona (USA). With the objective of assessing the viral diversity at a population scale, we undertook a single-nucleotide variant (SNV) analysis on data from 52 samples with >90% SARS-CoV-2 genome coverage of sequence reads, and compared these SNVs with those detected in genomes sequenced from clinical patients. We identified 7973 SNVs, of which 5680 were "novel" SNVs that had not yet been identified in the global clinical-derived data as of 17th June 2020 (the day after our last wastewater sampling date). However, between 17th of June 2020 and 20th November 2020, almost half of the SNVs have since been detected in clinical-derived data. Using the combination of SNVs present in each sample, we identified the more probable lineages present in that sample and compared them to lineages observed in North America prior to our sampling dates. The wastewater-derived SARS-CoV-2 sequence data indicates there were more lineages circulating across the sampled communities than represented in the clinical-derived data. Principal coordinate analyses identified patterns in population structure based on genetic variation within the sequenced samples, with clear trends associated with increased diversity likely due to a higher number of infected individuals relative to the sampling dates. We demonstrate that genetic correlation analysis combined with SNVs analysis using wastewater sampling can provide a comprehensive snapshot of the SARS-CoV-2 genetic population structure circulating within a community, which might not be observed if relying solely on clinical cases.
ABSTRACT
BackgroundWastewater monitoring for virus infections within communities can complement conventional clinical surveillance. Currently, most SARS-CoV-2 testing is performed during clinical encounters with symptomatic individuals, and therefore likely underrepresents actual population prevalence. Randomized testing on a regular basis to estimate population-level infection rates is prohibitively costly and is hampered by a range of barriers associated with participation in clinical research. In comparison, community-level fecal monitoring can be performed through wastewater surveillance and can effectively surveil communities with less temporal lag than other surveillance methods. However, epidemiologically-defined protocols for wastewater sample site selection are lacking. MethodsHerein we describe methods for developing a geographically-resolved population-level wastewater sampling approach in Jefferson County, Kentucky which may have general applicability for cities throughout the United States. This approach was developed by the selection of sampling locations along sewer lines transporting raw wastewater from geographically and demographically distinct areas that correspond with locations where random testing of residents occurs. ConclusionsDevelopment of this protocol for population-level sampling for SARS-CoV-2 prevalence in wastewater can be utilized to inform consistent wastewater monitoring among cities for up-to-date and geographically-resolved information on COVID-19 prevalence within communities. This information could substantially supplement public health surveillance of COVID-19 and thus serve to better guide targeted mitigation strategies throughout the United States.
