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Several studies published so far used highly selective image datasets from unclear sources to train computer vision models and that may lead to overestimated results, while those studies conducted in real-life remain scarce. To avoid image selection bias, we stacked convolutional and recurrent neural networks (CNN-RNN) to analyze complete optical coherence tomography (OCT) cubes in a row and predict diabetic macular edema (DME), in a real-world diabetic retinopathy screening program. A retrospective cohort study was carried out. Throughout 4-years, 5314 OCT cubes from 4408 subjects who attended to the diabetic retinopathy (DR) screening program were included. We arranged twenty-two (22) pre-trained CNNs in parallel with a bidirectional RNN layer stacked at the bottom, allowing the model to make a prediction for the whole OCT cube. The staff of retina experts built a ground truth of DME later used to train a set of these CNN-RNN models with different configurations. For each trained CNN-RNN model, we performed threshold tuning to find the optimal cut-off point for binary classification of DME. Finally, the best models were selected according to sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) with their 95% confidence intervals (95%CI). An ensemble of the best models was also explored. 5188 cubes were non-DME and 126 were DME. Three models achieved an AUROC of 0.94. Among these, sensitivity, and specificity (95%CI) ranged from 84.1-90.5 and 89.7-93.3, respectively, at threshold 1, from 89.7-92.1 and 80-83.1 at threshold 2, and from 80.2-81 and 93.8-97, at threshold 3. The ensemble model improved these results, and lower specificity was observed among subjects with sight-threatening DR. Analysis by age, gender, or grade of DME did not vary the performance of the models. CNN-RNN models showed high diagnostic accuracy for detecting DME in a real-world setting. This engine allowed us to detect extra-foveal DMEs commonly overlooked in other studies, and showed potential for application as the first filter of non-referable patients in an outpatient center within a population-based DR screening program, otherwise ended up in specialized care.
Subject(s)
Deep Learning , Diabetic Retinopathy , Macular Edema , Tomography, Optical Coherence , Humans , Tomography, Optical Coherence/methods , Macular Edema/diagnostic imaging , Diabetic Retinopathy/diagnostic imaging , Retrospective Studies , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Aged , Neural Networks, Computer , ROC Curve , Mass Screening/methodsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: electronic health records (EHRs) are helpful tools in epidemiology despite not being primarily collected for research. In Spain, primary care physicians play a central role and manage patients even in specialized care. All of this introduces variability that may lead to diagnostic inconsistencies. Therefore, data validation studies are crucial, so we aimed to develop and validate case-finding algorithms for digestive cancer in the primary care database BIFAP. METHODS: from 2001 to 2019, subjects aged 40-89 without a cancer history were included. Case-finding algorithms using diagnostic codes and text-mining were built. We randomly sampled, clustered, and manually reviewed 816 EHRs. Then, positive predictive values (PPVs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for each cancer were computed. Age and sex standardized incidence rates (SIRs) were compared with those reported by the National Cancer Registry (REDECAN). RESULTS: we identified 95,672 potential cases. After validation, the PPV (95% CI) for hepato-biliary cancer was 87.6% (81.8-93.4), for esophageal cancer, it was 96.2% (93.1-99.2), for pancreatic cancer, it was 89.4% (84.5-94.3), for gastric cancer, it was 92.5% (88.3-96.6), and for colorectal cancer, it was 95.2% (92.1-98.4). The SIRs were comparable to those reported by the REDECAN. CONCLUSIONS: the case-finding algorithms demonstrated high performance, supporting BIFAP as a suitable source of information to conduct epidemiologic studies of digestive cancer.
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PURPOSE: The purpose was to establish normative data for the macular thicknesses and volume using spectral-domain optical coherence tomography (SD-OCT) in a diabetic population without maculopathies for use as a reference in diabetic retinopathy (DR) and diabetic macular edema screening programs. METHODS: This was an observational study nested in a cohort of diabetics from a telemedicine DR screening program. Each patient underwent SD-OCT centered on the fovea. Macular thickness and volume were described and compared using the built-in normative database of the device. Quantile regression models for the 97.5% percentile were fitted to evaluate the predictors of macular thickness and volume. RESULTS: A total of 3410 eyes (mean age, 62.25 (SD, 0.22) years) were included. Mean (SD) central subfield thickness (CST) was 238.2 (23.7) µm, while center thickness (CT), average thickness (AT), and macular volume (MV) were 205.4 (31.6) µm, 263.9 (14.3) µm, and 7.46 (0.40) mm3, respectively. Para- and perifoveal thicknesses were clinically and statistically significantly thinner in our population than in the normative reference database. The 97.5% percentile of the thickness of all sectors was increased in males and in the para- and perifovea among those with DR. CONCLUSIONS: All ETDRS sectors were thinner in patients with diabetes than in the reference population, except for the CST, which was the most stable parameter that only changed with sex. The upper cutoff limit to detect diabetic macular edema (DME) was different from that of the reference population and was influenced by conditions related to diabetes, such as DR. Therefore, specific normative data for diabetic patients should be used for the screening and diagnosis of DME using SD-OCT.
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Conflicting results about the association of calcium supplements (CS) with ischemic stroke (IS) have been reported. We tested this hypothesis by differentiating between CS alone (CaM) and CS with vitamin D (CaD) and between cardioembolic and non-cardioembolic IS. We examined the potential interaction with oral bisphosphonates (oBs). A nested case-control study was carried out. We identified incident IS cases aged 40-90 and randomly sampled five controls per case matched by age, sex, and index date. Current users were compared to non-users. An adjusted odds ratios (AOR) and 95% CI were computed through conditional logistic regression. Only new users were considered. We included 13,267 cases (4400 cardioembolic, 8867 non-cardioembolic) and 61,378 controls (20,147 and 41,231, respectively). CaM use was associated with an increased risk of cardioembolic IS (AOR = 1.88; 95% CI: 1.21-2.90) in a duration-dependent manner, while it showed no association with non-cardioembolic IS (AOR = 1.05; 95% CI: 0.74-1.50); its combination with oBs increased the risk of cardioembolic IS considerably (AOR = 2.54; 95% CI: 1.28-5.04), showing no effect on non-cardioembolic. CaD use was not associated with either cardioembolic (AOR = 1.08; 95% CI: 0.88-1.31) or non-cardioembolic IS (AOR = 0.98; 95% CI: 0.84-1.13) but showed a small association with cardioembolic IS when combined with oBs (AOR = 1.35; 95% CI: 1.03-1.76). The results support the hypothesis that CS increases the risk of cardioembolic IS, primarily when used concomitantly with oBs.
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Background: Bisphosphonates have been reported to increase the risk of atrial fibrillation. Therefore, it is conceivable that they may increase the risk of cardioembolic ischemic stroke (IS). However, most epidemiological studies carried out thus far have not shown an increased risk of IS, though none separated by the main pathophysiologic IS subtype (cardioembolic and non-cardioembolic) which may be crucial. In this study, we tested the hypothesis that the use of oral bisphosphonates increases specifically the risk of cardioembolic IS, and explored the effect of treatment duration, as well as the potential interaction between oral bisphosphonates and calcium supplements and anticoagulants. Methods: We performed a case-control study nested in a cohort of patients aged 40-99 years, using the Spanish primary healthcare database BIFAP, over the period 2002-2015. Incident cases of IS were identified and classified as cardioembolic or non-cardioembolic. Five controls per case were randomly selected, matched for age, sex, and index date (first recording of IS) using an incidence-density sampling. The association of IS (overall and by subtype) with the use of oral bisphosphonates within the last year before index date was assessed by computing the adjusted odds ratios (AOR) and their 95% CI using a conditional logistic regression. Only initiators of oral bisphosphonates were considered. Results: A total of 13,781 incident cases of IS and 65,909 controls were included. The mean age was 74.5 (SD ± 12.4) years and 51.6% were male. Among cases, 3.15% were current users of oral bisphosphonates, while among controls they were 2.62%, yielding an AOR of 1.15 (95% CI:1.01-1.30). Of all cases, 4,568 (33.1%) were classified as cardioembolic IS (matched with 21,697 controls) and 9,213 (66.9%) as non-cardioembolic IS (matched with 44,212 controls) yielding an AOR of 1.35 (95% CI:1.10-1.66) and 1.03 (95% CI: 0.88-1.21), respectively. The association with cardioembolic IS was clearly duration-dependent (AOR≤1 year = 1.10; 95% CI:0.82-1.49; AOR>1-3 years = 1.41; 95% CI:1.01-1.97; AOR>3 years = 1.81; 95% CI:1.25-2.62; p for trend = 0.001) and completely blunted by anticoagulants, even in long-term users (AOR>1 year = 0.59; 0.30-1.16). An interaction between oral bisphosphonates and calcium supplements was suggested. Conclusion: The use of oral bisphosphonates increases specifically the odds of cardioembolic IS, in a duration-dependent manner, while leaves materially unaffected the odds of non-cardioembolic IS.
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PURPOSE: To evaluate whether combining spectral domain optical coherence tomography with monoscopic fundus photography using a nonmydriatic camera (MFP-NMC) improves the accuracy of diabetic macular edema (DME) referrals in a teleophthalmology diabetic retinopathy screening program. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study with all diabetic patients aged 18 years or older who attended screening from September 2016 to December 2017. We assessed DME according to the three MFP-NMC and the four spectral domain optical coherence tomography criteria. The sensitivity and specificity obtained for each criterion were estimated by comparing them with the ground truth of DME. RESULTS: This study included 3,918 eyes (1,925 patients; median age, 66 years; interquartile range, 58-73; females, 40.7%; once-screened, 68.1%). The prevalence of DME ranged from 1.22% to 1.83% and 1.54% to 8.77% on MFP-NMC and spectral domain optical coherence tomography, respectively. Sensitivity barely reached 50% in MFP-NMC and less for the quantitative criteria of spectral domain optical coherence tomography. When macular thickening and anatomical signs of DME were considered, sensitivity increased to 88.3% and the false DMEs and non-gradable images were reduced. CONCLUSION: Macular thickening and anatomical signs showed the highest suitability for screening, with a sensitivity of 88.3% and a specificity of 99.8%. Notably, MFP-NMC alone missed half of the true DMEs that lacked indirect signs.
Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus , Diabetic Retinopathy , Macular Edema , Ophthalmology , Telemedicine , Female , Humans , Aged , Diabetic Retinopathy/diagnosis , Macular Edema/diagnosis , Tomography, Optical Coherence/methods , Cross-Sectional Studies , Telemedicine/methodsABSTRACT
Background: Several studies have reported that the use of chondroitin sulphate (CS) and glucosamine may reduce the risk of acute myocardial infarction. Although it is thought that this potential benefit could be extended to ischaemic stroke (IS), the evidence is scarce. Objective: To test the hypothesis that the use of prescription glucosamine or CS reduces the risk of IS. Design: Case-control study nested in an open cohort. Methods: Patients aged 40-99 years registered in a Spanish primary healthcare database (BIFAP) during the 2002-2015 study period. From this cohort, we identified incident cases of IS, applying a case-finding algorithm and specific validation procedures, and randomly sampled five controls per case, individually matched with cases by exact age, gender and index date. Adjusted odds ratios (AORs) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were computed through a conditional logistic regression. Only new users of glucosamine or CS were considered. Results: A total of 13,952 incident cases of IS and 69,199 controls were included. Of them, 106 cases (0.76%) and 803 controls (1.16%) were current users of glucosamine or CS at index date, yielding an AOR of 0.66 (95% CI: 0.54-0.82) (for glucosamine, AOR: 0.55; 95% CI: 0.39-0.77; and for CS, AOR: 0.77; 95% CI: 0.60-0.99). The reduced risk among current users was observed in both sexes (men, AOR: 0.69; 95% CI: 0.49-0.98; women, AOR: 0.65; 95% CI: 0.50-0.85), in individuals above and below 70 years of age (AOR: 0.69; 95% CI: 0.53-0.89 and AOR: 0.59; 95% CI: 0.41-0.85, respectively), in individuals with vascular risk factors (AOR: 0.53; 95% CI: 0.39-0.74) and among current/recent users of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) (AOR: 0.71; 95% CI: 0.55-0.92). Regarding duration, the reduced risk was observed in short-term users (<365 days, AOR: 0.61; 95% CI: 0.48-0.78) while faded and became nonsignificant in long-term users (>364 days AOR: 0.86; 95% CI: 0.57-1.31). Conclusions: Our results support a protective effect of prescription CS and glucosamine in IS, which was observed even in patients at vascular risk. Mini abstract: Our aim was to analyse whether the use of glucosamine or chondroitin sulphate (CS) reduces the risk of ischaemic stroke (IS). We detected a significant decrease.
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(1) Background: The pleiotropic effects of statins may explain a chemoprotective action against colorectal cancer (CRC). Many studies have tested this hypothesis, but results have been inconsistent so far. Moreover, few have examined statins individually which is important for determining whether there is a class effect and if lipophilicity and intensity may play a role. (2) Methods: From 2001-2014, we carried out a study comprised of 15,491 incident CRC cases and 60,000 matched controls extracted from the primary healthcare database BIFAP. We fit a logistic regression model to compute the adjusted-odds ratios (AOR) with their 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Additionally, we carried out a systematic review and meta-analysis. (3) Results: Current use of statins showed a reduced risk of CRC (AOR = 0.87; 95% CI: 0.83-0.91) not sustained after discontinuation. The association was time-dependent, starting early (AOR6months-1year = 0.85; 95% CI: 0.76-0.96) but weakened beyond 3-years. A class effect was suggested, although only significant for simvastatin and rosuvastatin. The risk reduction was more marked among individuals aged 70 or younger, and among moderate-high intensity users. Forty-eight studies were included in the meta-analysis (pooled-effect-size = 0.90; 95% CI: 0.86-0.93). (4) Conclusions: Results from the case-control study and the pooled evidence support a moderate chemoprotective effect of statins on CRC risk, modified by duration, intensity, and age.
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BACKGROUND: Multiple studies have reported that the use of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) is associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke; however, this finding may be the result of a confounding by indication. We examined the association using different approaches to minimize such potential bias. METHODS: A nested case-control study was carried out in a Spanish primary health-care database over the study period 2001 to 2015. Cases were patients sustaining an ischemic stroke with no sign of cardioembolic or unusual cause. For each case, up to 5 matched controls (for exact age, sex, and index date) were randomly selected. Antidepressants were divided in 6 pharmacological subgroups according to their mechanism of action. The current use of SSRIs (use within a 30-day window before index date) was compared with nonuse, past use (beyond 365 days) and current use of other antidepressants through a conditional logistic regression model to obtain adjusted odds ratios and 95% CI. Only initiators of SSRIs and other antidepressants were considered. RESULTS: A total of 8296 cases and 37 272 matched controls were included. Of them, 255 (3.07%) were current users of SSRIs among cases and 834 (2.24%) among controls, yielding an adjusted odds ratio of 1.14 (95% CI, 0.97-1.34) as compared with nonusers, 0.94 (95% CI, 0.77-1.13) as compared with past-users and 0.74 (95% CI, 0.58-0.93) as compared with current users of other antidepressants. No relevant differences were found by duration (≤1, >1 year), sex, age (<70, ≥70 years old) and background vascular risk. CONCLUSIONS: The use of SSRIs was not associated with an increased risk of noncardioembolic ischemic stroke. On the contrary, as compared with other antidepressants, SSRIs appeared to be protective.
Subject(s)
Ischemic Stroke , Selective Serotonin Reuptake Inhibitors , Aged , Antidepressive Agents/adverse effects , Case-Control Studies , Humans , Odds Ratio , Selective Serotonin Reuptake Inhibitors/adverse effectsABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: To assess the relationship between influenza vaccination and risk of a first acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in the general population by different epidemic periods. METHODS: This is a population-based case-control study carried out in BIFAP (Base de datos para la investigación farmacoepidemiológica en atención primaria), over 2001-2015, in patients aged 40-99 years. Per each incident AMI case, five controls were randomly selected, individually matched for exact age, sex and index date (AMI diagnosis). A patient was considered vaccinated when he/she had a recorded influenza vaccination at least 14 days before the index date within the same season. The association between influenza vaccination and AMI risk was assessed through a conditional logistic regression, computing adjusted ORs (AOR) and their respective 95% CIs. The analysis was performed overall and by each of the three time epidemic periods per study year (pre-epidemic, epidemic and postepidemic). RESULTS: We identified 24 155 AMI cases and 120 775 matched controls. Of them, 31.4% and 31.2%, respectively, were vaccinated, yielding an AOR of 0.85 (95% CI 0.82 to 0.88). No effect modification by sex, age and background cardiovascular risk was observed. The reduced risk of AMI was observed shortly after vaccination and persisted over time. Similar results were obtained during the pre-epidemic (AOR=0.87; 95% CI 0.79 to 0.95), epidemic (AOR=0.89; 95% CI 0.82 to 0.96) and postepidemic (AOR=0.83; 95% CI 0.79 to 0.87) periods. No association was found with pneumococcal vaccine (AOR=1.10; 95% CI 1.06 to 1.15). CONCLUSIONS: Results are compatible with a moderate protective effect of influenza vaccine on AMI in the general population, mostly in primary prevention, although bias due to unmeasured confounders may partly account for the results.
Subject(s)
Influenza Vaccines , Influenza, Human , Myocardial Infarction , Case-Control Studies , Female , Humans , Influenza Vaccines/adverse effects , Influenza, Human/complications , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Myocardial Infarction/complications , Myocardial Infarction/epidemiology , Myocardial Infarction/prevention & control , Vaccination/adverse effectsABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: To test the hypothesis that the use of chondroitin sulfate (CS) or glucosamine reduces the risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). DESIGN: Case-control study nested in a primary cohort of patients aged 40 to 99 years, using the database BIFAP during the 2002-2015 study period. From this cohort, we identified incident cases of AMI and randomly selected five controls per case, matched by exact age, gender, and index date. Adjusted odds ratios (AOR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were computed through a conditional logistic regression. Only new users of CS or glucosamine were considered. RESULTS: A total of 23,585 incident cases of AMI and 117,405 controls were included. Of them, 89 cases (0.38%) and 757 controls (0.64%) were current users of CS at index date, yielding an AOR of 0.57 (95%CI: 0.46-0.72). The reduced risk among current users was observed in both short-term (<365 days, AOR = 0.58; 95%CI: 0.45-0.75) and long-term users (>364 days AOR = 0.56; 95%CI:0.36-0.87), in both sexes (men, AOR = 0.52; 95%CI:0.38-0.70; women, AOR = 0.65; 95%CI:0.46-0.91), in individuals over or under 70 years of age (AOR = 0.54; 95%CI:0.38-0.77, and AOR = 0.61; 95%CI:0.45-0.82, respectively) and in individuals at intermediate (AOR = 0.65; 95%CI:0.48-0.91) and high cardiovascular risk (AOR = 0.48; 95%CI:0.27-0.83), but not in those at low risk (AOR = 1.11; 95%CI:0.48-2.56). In contrast, the current use of glucosamine was not associated with either increased or decreased risk of AMI (AOR = 0.86; 95%CI:0.66-1.08). CONCLUSIONS: Our results support a cardioprotective effect of CS, while glucosamine seems to be neutral. The protection was remarkable among subgroups at high cardiovascular risk.
Subject(s)
Chondroitin Sulfates/therapeutic use , Myocardial Infarction/epidemiology , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Case-Control Studies , Cohort Studies , Databases, Factual/statistics & numerical data , Electronic Health Records/statistics & numerical data , Female , Glucosamine/therapeutic use , Humans , Logistic Models , Male , Middle Aged , Myocardial Infarction/prevention & control , Odds Ratio , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Risk Factors , Spain/epidemiologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: In the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, the hypothesis that angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) increased the risk and/or severity of the disease was widely spread. Consequently, in many hospitals, these drugs were discontinued as a "precautionary measure". We aimed to assess whether the in-hospital discontinuation of ARBs or ACEIs, in real-life conditions, was associated with a reduced risk of death as compared to their continuation and also to compare head-to-head the continuation of ARBs with the continuation of ACEIs. METHODS: Adult patients with a PCR-confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 requiring admission during March 2020 were consecutively selected from 7 hospitals in Madrid, Spain. Among them, we identified outpatient users of ACEIs/ARBs and divided them in two cohorts depending on treatment discontinuation/continuation at admission. Then, they were followed-up until discharge or in-hospital death. An intention-to-treat survival analysis was carried out and hazard ratios (HRs), and their 95%CIs were computed through a Cox regression model adjusted for propensity scores of discontinuation and controlled by potential mediators. RESULTS: Out of 625 ACEI/ARB users, 340 (54.4%) discontinued treatment. The in-hospital mortality rates were 27.6% and 27.7% in discontinuation and continuation cohorts, respectively (HR=1.01; 95%CI 0.70-1.46). No difference in mortality was observed between ARB and ACEI discontinuation (28.6% vs. 27.1%, respectively), while a significantly lower mortality rate was found among patients who continued with ARBs (20.8%, N=125) as compared to those who continued with ACEIs (33.1%, N=136; p=0.03). The head-to-head comparison (ARB vs. ACEI continuation) yielded an adjusted HR of 0.52 (95%CI 0.29-0.93), being especially notorious among males (HR=0.34; 95%CI 0.12-0.93), subjects older than 74 years (HR=0.46; 95%CI 0.25-0.85), and patients with obesity (HR=0.22; 95%CI 0.05-0.94), diabetes (HR=0.36; 95%CI 0.13-0.97), and heart failure (HR=0.12; 95%CI 0.03-0.97). CONCLUSIONS: The discontinuation of ACEIs/ARBs at admission did not improve the in-hospital survival. On the contrary, the continuation with ARBs was associated with a trend to a reduced mortality as compared to their discontinuation and to a significantly lower mortality risk as compared to the continuation with ACEIs, particularly in high-risk patients.
Subject(s)
Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , COVID-19 Drug Treatment , COVID-19/mortality , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , COVID-19/complications , Female , Heart Failure/complications , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Male , Pandemics , Proportional Hazards Models , Retrospective Studies , SARS-CoV-2 , SpainABSTRACT
ANTECEDENTES Y OBJETIVO: El uso del ácido acetilsalicílico a dosis bajas (AAS-DB) en prevención primaria es motivo de controversia, pero se desconoce su magnitud en España. El objetivo del estudio fue estimar la proporción de pacientes a los que se prescribió AAS-DB como prevención primaria durante el periodo 2002-2015 e identificar sus características. MÉTODOS: En una muestra de la base de datos de atención primaria para la investigación farmacoepidemiológica (BIFAP) se obtuvo la proporción de personas con prescripciones de AAS-DB, excluyendo los pacientes con enfermedad vascular oclusiva, fibrilación auricular y cáncer. Las proporciones se estandarizaron para la población española de 40-99 años. Se construyó un modelo de regresión logística para identificar los factores asociados a la prescripción de AAS-DB y se estimó su prevalencia según la combinación de dichos factores. RESULTADOS: Se incluyeron 102.850 sujetos, 6.198 de ellos usuarios de AAS-DB. La prevalencia estandarizada fue del 2,21% al comienzo del periodo y del 3,57% al final. La prescripción aumentó con la edad. Los factores más asociados fueron diabetes (OR=3,26; IC 95%: 3,07-3,47), dislipidemia (OR=2,08; 1,96-2,21), insuficiencia cardiaca (OR=2,02; 1,72-2,37) e hipertensión (OR=1,78; 1,67-1,90). La prevalencia de prescripción de AAS-DB alcanzó el 33,7% en mayores de 70 años con diabetes, hipertensión y dislipidemia. CONCLUSIONES: En el periodo estudiado la prescripción de AAS-DB para prevención primaria en España fue baja en la población general, pero elevada en pacientes diabéticos mayores de 70 años con factores de riesgo adicionales. Después de años de controversia parece necesario adecuar el uso de este fármaco en prevención primaria a las recomendaciones actuales
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: The use of low-dose acetylsalicylic acid (LD-ASA) in primary prevention is a matter of controversy, but its magnitude is unknown in Spain. The aim of the study was to estimate the proportion of patients who are prescribed LD-ASA for primary prevention and to identify their characteristics. METHODS: In a sample from the primary care database BIFAP we obtained the proportion of persons with prescriptions of LD-ASA over the period 2002-2015, excluding patients with any previous record of occlusive vascular disease, atrial fibrillation or cancer. The proportions were standardized to the Spanish population aged 40-99 years old. We identified the factors associated with the use of LD-ASA through a logistic regression and estimated its prevalence of use according to the presence of such factors. RESULTS: The sample included 102,850 subjects; of which 6,198 were users of LD-ASA. The standardized prevalence of prescription was 2.21% at the start of the period and 3.57% at the end, and increased with age. The factors with the strongest associations were diabetes (OR=3.26; 95%CI: 3.07-3.47), dyslipidaemia (OR=2.08; 1.96-2.21), heart failure (OR=2.02; 1.72-2.37), and hypertension (OR=1.78; 1.67-1.90). Among diabetic patients older than 70 years with hypertension and dyslipidaemia, the prevalence of LD-ASA prescription was 33.7%. CONCLUSIONS: The prescription of LD-ASA for primary prevention in Spain over the study period was low in the general population, but high in older diabetic patients with additional risk factors. After years of controversy, it is time to realign the use of this drug in primary prevention according to recent guidelines
Subject(s)
Humans , Adult , Middle Aged , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Drug Prescriptions , Aspirin/therapeutic use , Primary Prevention , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Hypertension/epidemiology , Dyslipidemias/epidemiology , Pharmacoepidemiology/methods , Logistic Models , Diabetes Mellitus/drug therapy , Hypertension/drug therapy , Dyslipidemias/drug therapyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Concerns have been raised about the possibility that inhibitors of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) could predispose individuals to severe COVID-19; however, epidemiological evidence is lacking. We report the results of a case-population study done in Madrid, Spain, since the outbreak of COVID-19. METHODS: In this case-population study, we consecutively selected patients aged 18 years or older with a PCR-confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 requiring admission to hospital from seven hospitals in Madrid, who had been admitted between March 1 and March 24, 2020. As a reference group, we randomly sampled ten patients per case, individually matched for age, sex, region (ie, Madrid), and date of admission to hospital (month and day; index date), from Base de datos para la Investigación Farmacoepidemiológica en Atención Primaria (BIFAP), a Spanish primary health-care database, in its last available year (2018). We extracted information on comorbidities and prescriptions up to the month before index date (ie, current use) from electronic clinical records of both cases and controls. The outcome of interest was admission to hospital of patients with COVID-19. To minimise confounding by indication, the main analysis focused on assessing the association between COVID-19 requiring admission to hospital and use of RAAS inhibitors compared with use of other antihypertensive drugs. We calculated odds ratios (ORs) and 95% CIs, adjusted for age, sex, and cardiovascular comorbidities and risk factors, using conditional logistic regression. The protocol of the study was registered in the EU electronic Register of Post-Authorisation Studies, EUPAS34437. FINDINGS: We collected data for 1139 cases and 11â390 population controls. Among cases, 444 (39·0%) were female and the mean age was 69·1 years (SD 15·4), and despite being matched on sex and age, a significantly higher proportion of cases had pre-existing cardiovascular disease (OR 1·98, 95% CI 1·62-2·41) and risk factors (1·46, 1·23-1·73) than did controls. Compared with users of other antihypertensive drugs, users of RAAS inhibitors had an adjusted OR for COVID-19 requiring admission to hospital of 0·94 (95% CI 0·77-1·15). No increased risk was observed with either angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (adjusted OR 0·80, 0·64-1·00) or angiotensin-receptor blockers (1·10, 0·88-1·37). Sex, age, and background cardiovascular risk did not modify the adjusted OR between use of RAAS inhibitors and COVID-19 requiring admission to hospital, whereas a decreased risk of COVID-19 requiring admission to hospital was found among patients with diabetes who were users of RAAS inhibitors (adjusted OR 0·53, 95% CI 0·34-0·80). The adjusted ORs were similar across severity degrees of COVID-19. INTERPRETATION: RAAS inhibitors do not increase the risk of COVID-19 requiring admission to hospital, including fatal cases and those admitted to intensive care units, and should not be discontinued to prevent a severe case of COVID-19. FUNDING: Instituto de Salud Carlos III.
Subject(s)
Angiotensin Receptor Antagonists/adverse effects , Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors/adverse effects , Antihypertensive Agents/adverse effects , Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology , Renin-Angiotensin System , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , COVID-19 , Comorbidity , Coronavirus Infections/complications , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Mineralocorticoid Receptor Antagonists/adverse effects , Pandemics , Pneumonia, Viral/complications , Renin/antagonists & inhibitors , Risk Factors , Spain/epidemiologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: The use of low-dose acetylsalicylic acid (LD-ASA) in primary prevention is a matter of controversy, but its magnitude is unknown in Spain. The aim of the study was to estimate the proportion of patients who are prescribed LD-ASA for primary prevention and to identify their characteristics. METHODS: In a sample from the primary care database BIFAP we obtained the proportion of persons with prescriptions of LD-ASA over the period 2002-2015, excluding patients with any previous record of occlusive vascular disease, atrial fibrillation or cancer. The proportions were standardized to the Spanish population aged 40-99 years old. We identified the factors associated with the use of LD-ASA through a logistic regression and estimated its prevalence of use according to the presence of such factors. RESULTS: The sample included 102,850 subjects; of which 6,198 were users of LD-ASA. The standardized prevalence of prescription was 2.21% at the start of the period and 3.57% at the end, and increased with age. The factors with the strongest associations were diabetes (OR=3.26; 95%CI: 3.07-3.47), dyslipidaemia (OR=2.08; 1.96-2.21), heart failure (OR=2.02; 1.72-2.37), and hypertension (OR=1.78; 1.67-1.90). Among diabetic patients older than 70 years with hypertension and dyslipidaemia, the prevalence of LD-ASA prescription was 33.7%. CONCLUSIONS: The prescription of LD-ASA for primary prevention in Spain over the study period was low in the general population, but high in older diabetic patients with additional risk factors. After years of controversy, it is time to realign the use of this drug in primary prevention according to recent guidelines.
Subject(s)
Aspirin , Primary Prevention , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Humans , Middle Aged , Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors , Prescriptions , Prevalence , Spain/epidemiologyABSTRACT
A population-based case-control study was conducted to evaluate the risk of acute myocardial infarction among new users of calcium supplements either in monotherapy (CaM) or in combination with vitamin D (CaD). A total of 23,025 cases and 114,851 controls randomly sampled from the underlying cohort and matched with cases by age, sex, and index date were included. New users of CaM and CaD were categorized as current users, recent users, past users, and nonusers. We computed adjusted odds ratios (AORs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) among current users as compared with nonusers through a conditional logistic regression. No increased risk was associated with CaM overall (59 cases (0.26%) and 273 controls (0.24%); AOR = 0.80; 95% CI 0.59-1.09), nor was it found in any of the conditions examined. Instead, the use of CaD was associated with a decreased risk (275 cases (1.19%) and 1,160 controls (1.45%); AOR = 0.78; 95% CI 0.67-0.90), dose and duration-dependent, and particularly evident in patients with a high cardiovascular risk (AOR = 0.59; 95% CI 0.43-0.81).
Subject(s)
Calcium/administration & dosage , Dietary Supplements/statistics & numerical data , Myocardial Infarction/epidemiology , Vitamin D/administration & dosage , Age Factors , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Case-Control Studies , Dose-Response Relationship, Drug , Drug Therapy, Combination , Female , Humans , Logistic Models , Male , Middle Aged , Odds Ratio , Risk Factors , Sex FactorsABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: To test the hypothesis that allopurinol reduces the risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in hyperuricemic patients and to assess whether the effect is dependent on dose, duration and serum uric acid (SUA) level attained after treatment. METHODS: Nested case-control study over the period 2002-2015. From a cohort of patients aged 40-99 years old, we identified incident AMI cases and randomly selected five controls per case, matched for exact age, sex and index date. Adjusted odds ratios (AOR) and 95% CI were computed through unconditional logistic regression. Only new users of allopurinol were considered. RESULTS: A total of 4697 AMI cases and 18,919 controls were included. Allopurinol use was associated with a reduced risk of AMI mainly driven by duration of treatment (AOR ≥180 days = 0.71; 95% CI: 0.60-0.84). Among long-term users (≥180 days), the reduced risk was only observed when the SUA level attained was below 7 mg/dL (AOR<6 mg/dL = 0.64; 95% CI: 0.49-0.82; AOR6-7mg/dL = 0.64; 95%CI:0.48-0.84); AOR>7mg/dL = 1.04; 95% CI: 0.75-1.46; p for trend = 0.001). A dose-effect was observed but faded out once adjusted for the SUA level attained. The reduced risk of AMI occurred in both patients with gout and patients with asymptomatic hyperuricemia. CONCLUSIONS: The results confirm a cardioprotective effect of allopurinol which is strongly dependent on duration and SUA level attained after treatment.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Inflammation and overexpression of cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2) have been described to play a key role in the progression from nonpathologic intestinal mucosa to colorectal cancer (CRC). AIMS: To assess the chemoprotective effect of non-aspirin nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NA-NSAIDs) under different patterns of use in a Mediterranean population and to explore the potential effect of symptomatic slow-acting drugs for osteoarthritis (SYSADOAs; chondroitin sulfate and glucosamine) and metamizole (or dipyrone), also reported to influence COX-2 activity. METHODS: We performed a case-control study nested in a cohort extracted from the primary care database, BIFAP. From 2001 to 2014, we included 15 491 incident cases and 60 000 random controls. To estimate the association between the drugs of interest and CRC, we built logistic regression models to compute the adjusted-odds ratios (AOR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: NA-NSAIDs use was associated with a reduced risk of CRC (AOR = 0.67; 95% CI: 0.63-0.71) and increased linearly with duration of treatment (p for trend <0.001). The effect diminished upon discontinuation but persisted statistically significant up to 1 year. All individual NA-NSAIDs examined showed a decreased risk. The concomitant use of proton-pump inhibitors (PPI) had no impact on the protective effect of NA-NSAIDs; AORPPI + NSAID = 0.64; 0.58-0.71. SYSADOA use was associated with a reduced risk (0.79; 0.69-0.90) but disappeared after the exclusion of NSAID users during the previous 1 or 3 years (0.85; 0.70-1.04 and 1.00; 0.76-1.31 respectively). Metamizole did not show a chemoprotective effect. CONCLUSIONS: NA-NSAID use is associated with a duration-dependent risk reduction of CRC not shared by SYSADOAs or metamizole.
Subject(s)
Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal/therapeutic use , Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Colorectal Neoplasms/prevention & control , Pain/drug therapy , Pain/epidemiology , Protective Agents/therapeutic use , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Case-Control Studies , Chemoprevention/methods , Chemoprevention/statistics & numerical data , Cohort Studies , Databases, Factual , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Osteoarthritis/drug therapy , Osteoarthritis/epidemiology , Pain Management/methods , Pain Management/statistics & numerical data , Risk Factors , Young AdultABSTRACT
PURPOSE: To estimate the specific incidences of Stevens-Johnson syndrome/toxic epidermal necrolysis (SJS/TEN) among new users of drugs frequently reported to be associated with this serious event. METHODS: We performed a case-population approach, which combined data from a registry of SJS/TEN cases from the Madrid region (numerator) during the study period 2005-2015 and a primary healthcare database from the same catchment population. The proportion of new users of drugs estimated in the primary healthcare database was stratified by calendar year, sex and age (5-year bands), and then applied to the same strata of Madrid's population census to compute the number of new users (denominator). Incidences were re-estimated using only cases in which the concerned drug had a probable or very probable causal relationship. RESULTS: A total of 44 SJS/TEN cases aged > 14 years were registered during the study period. The highest SJS/TEN incidence was found for phenytoin with 68.9 per 100,000 new users (95% CI 27.7-141.9), followed by dexamethasone (5.48; 1.49-14.03), allopurinol (3.29; 1.07-7.67) and cotrimoxazole (3.19; 0.87-8.16). Considering only probable and very probable cases, the incidences hardly changed, except for dexamethasone, which was left without cases. Pantoprazole, levofloxacin and lorazepam showed incidences between 1 per 100,000 and 1 per 1,000,000 new users. Ibuprofen, amoxicillin-clavulanic acid, metamizole, amoxicillin, paracetamol and omeprazole showed incidences around 1 per one million new users. CONCLUSIONS: Phenytoin was the drug with the highest incidence of SJS/TEN, followed by allopurinol and cotrimoxazole. For the rest of the drugs, the estimated incidences were below 1 in 100,000 new users.
Subject(s)
Drug-Related Side Effects and Adverse Reactions/etiology , Pharmaceutical Preparations/administration & dosage , Stevens-Johnson Syndrome/etiology , Adolescent , Adult , Databases, Factual , Europe , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Registries , Young AdultABSTRACT
BACKGROUND & AIMS: The antiplatelet effect of low-dose aspirin, via inhibition of cyclooxygenase-1, might contribute to its ability to reduce the risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). Antiplatelet agents with a different mechanism, such as clopidogrel, might have the same effects. We aimed to quantify the effects of low-dose aspirin and clopidogrel on the risk of CRC in a Mediterranean population. METHODS: We performed a nested case-control study using a primary care database (Base de datos para la Investigación Farmacoepidemiológica en Atención Primaria) in Spain. We collected data, from 2001 through 2014, on 15,491 incident cases of CRC and 60,000 randomly selected individuals (controls), frequency-matched to cases by age, sex, and year. To estimate the association between exposure to different antiplatelet agents and the risk of colorectal cancer, we built multiple logistic regression models and computed the adjusted-odds ratios (AORs) and their respective 95% CIs. RESULTS: Use of low-dose aspirin was associated with a reduced risk of CRC overall (AOR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.78-0.89) and in patients receiving treatment for more than 1 year (AOR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.73-0.85). Use of clopidogrel was associated with a decreased risk of CRC overall (AOR, 0.8; 95% CI, 0.69-0.93) and in patients receiving treatment for more than 1 year (AOR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.55-0.78). Dual antiplatelet therapy had the same effect as either drug taken as monotherapy. No modification by sex or age was observed. CONCLUSIONS: In a nested case-control study of a primary care database in Spain, we found clopidogrel use, alone or in combination with low-dose aspirin, to reduce the risk of CRC by 20% to 30%, a magnitude similar to that of low-dose aspirin alone. These data support the concept that inhibiting platelets is an effective strategy for prevention of CRC.