Incidence and risk conditions of ischemic stroke in older adults.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to investigate incidence and mortality from ischemic stroke in older adults with specific underlying chronic conditions, evaluating the influence of these conditions in developing stroke. MATERIALS & METHODS: Population-based cohort study involving 27,204 individuals ≥60 years old in Southern Catalonia, Spain. All cases of hospitalization from ischemic stroke (confirmed by neuro-imaging) were collected from 01/12/2008 until 30/11/2011. Incidence rates and 30-day mortality were estimated according to age, sex, chronic illnesses, and underlying conditions. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to calculate Hazards Ratio (HR) and estimate the association between baseline conditions and risk of developing stroke. RESULTS: Mean incidence rate reached 453 cases per 100,000 person-years. Maximum rates appeared among individuals with history of prior stroke (2926 per 100,000), atrial fibrillation (1815 per 100,000), coronary artery disease (1104 per 100,000), nursing-home residence (1014 per 100,000), and advanced age ≥80 years (1006 per 100,000). Thirty-day mortality was 13% overall, reaching 21% among patients over 80 years. Age [HR: 1.06; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.04-1.07], history of prior stroke (HR: 5.08; 95% CI: 3.96-6.51), history of coronary artery disease (HR: 1.65; 95% CI: 1.21-2.25), atrial fibrillation (HR: 2.96; 95% CI: 2.30-3.81), diabetes mellitus (HR: 1.55; 95% CI: 1.23-1.95), and smoking (HR: 1.64; 95% CI: 1.15-2.34) emerged independently associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke. CONCLUSION: Incidence and mortality from ischemic stroke remains considerable. Apart from age and history of atherosclerosis (prior stroke or coronary artery disease), atrial fibrillation, diabetes, and smoking were the underlying conditions most strongly associated with an increased risk.

Evaluating the clinical effectiveness of pneumococcal vaccination in preventing myocardial infarction: The CAPAMIS study, three-year follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular benefits using the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23) are controversial. This study assessed clinical effectiveness of PPV23 in preventing acute myocardial infarction in people over 60-years. METHODOLOGY: We conducted a population-based cohort study involving 27,204 individuals ≥60 years-old in Tarragona, Spain, who were prospectively followed from 01/12/2008 until 30/11/2011. Outcomes were hospitalization for AMI, 30-day mortality from AMI and all-cause death. Cox regression was used to evaluate the association between pneumococcal vaccination and the risk of each outcome. RESULTS: Cohort members were followed for a total of 76,033 person-years, of which 29,065 were for vaccinated subjects. Overall, 359 cases of AMI, 55 deaths from AMI and 2465 all-cause deaths were observed. Pneumococcal vaccination did not alter the risk of AMI (multivariable hazard ratio [HR]: 0.95; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.76-1.18; p=0.630), death from AMI (HR: 1.32; 95% CI: 0.76-2.28; p=0.321) and all-cause death (HR: 0.97; 95% CI: 0.89-1.05; p=0.448). In analyses focused on people with and without history of prior coronary artery disease, pneumococcal vaccination did not emerge effective in preventing any analyzed event. CONCLUSIONS: This study supports that PPV23 does not provide any relevant benefit against AMI in the general population over 60 years, as in primary as well as in secondary prevention, although it is underpowered to exclude a small benefit of vaccination against rare outcomes.

Validation of the CORB75 (confusion, oxygen saturation, respiratory rate, blood pressure, and age ≥ 75 years) as a simpler pneumonia severity rule.

PURPOSE: This study compares the ability of two simpler severity rules (classical CRB65 vs. proposed CORB75) in predicting short-term mortality in elderly patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). METHODS: A population-based study was undertaken involving 610 patients ≥ 65 years old with radiographically confirmed CAP diagnosed between 2008 and 2011 in Tarragona, Spain (350 cases in the derivation cohort, 260 cases in the validation cohort). Severity rules were calculated at the time of diagnosis, and 30-day mortality was considered as the dependent variable. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) was used to compare the discriminative power of the severity rules. RESULTS: Eighty deaths (46 in the derivation and 34 in the validation cohorts) were observed, which gives a mortality rate of 13.1 % (15.6 % for hospitalized and 3.3 % for outpatient cases). After multivariable analyses, besides CRB (confusion, respiration rate ≥ 30/min, systolic blood pressure <90 mmHg or diastolic ≤ 60 mmHg), peripheral oxygen saturation (≤ 90 %) and age ≥ 75 years appeared to be associated with increasing 30-day mortality in the derivation cohort. The model showed adequate calibration for the derivation and validation cohorts. A modified CORB75 scoring system (similar to the classical CRB65, but adding oxygen saturation and increasing the age to 75 years) was constructed. The AUC statistics for predicting mortality in the derivation and validation cohorts were 0.79 and 0.82, respectively. In the derivation cohort, a CORB75 score ≥ 2 showed 78.3 % sensitivity and 65.5 % specificity for mortality (in the validation cohort, these were 82.4 and 71.7 %, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The proposed CORB75 scoring system has good discriminative power in predicting short-term mortality among elderly people with CAP, which supports its use for severity assessment of these patients in primary care.

Comparison of three predictive rules for assessing severity in elderly patients with CAP.

AIM: This study compares the ability of the Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI) and the British Thoracic Society CURB-65 and CRB-65 rules in predicting short-term mortality among elderly patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). METHODS: It is a population-based study including all people over 65 years old with a radiographically confirmed CAP in the region of Tarragona (Spain) between 2002 and 2008. Treatment setting and clinical variables were considered for each patient. PSI, CURB-65 and CRB-65 scores were calculated at the moment of diagnosis and 30-day mortality was considered as a main dependent variable. The rules were compared based on sensitivity, specificity and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: Of the total 590 CAP cases, mortality rate was 13.6% (15.3% in hospitalised and 1.4% in outpatient cases; p = 0.001). Mortality increased with increasing PSI score (None in class II, 6,9% in class III, 14,4% in class IV and 29,5% in class V), CURB-65 score (7.5%, 14.5%, 26.7%, 53.3% and 100% for scores 1,2,3,4 and 5 respectively) and CRB-65 score (6.6%, 26.1%, 40.5% and 50% for scores 1,2,3 and 4 respectively). The three rules performed too similarly to predict 30-day mortality, with a ROC area of 0.727 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.67-0.79] for the PSI, 0.672 (95% CI: 0.61-0.74) for the CURB-65, and 0.719 (95% CI: 0.65-0.78) for the CRB-65. CONCLUSION: Our data shows that the analysed rules perform equally well among elderly people with CAP which supports the recommendation for using the simplified CRB-65 severity score among elderly patients in primary care or emergency visits.

Vacunación antigripal y mortalidad invernal en pacientes diabéticos mayores de 65 años / Influenza vaccination and winter mortality in diabetic patients over 65 years

Introducción: Analizar el impacto de la vacunación antigripal anual sobre la mortalidad invernal en una cohorte de diabéticos mayores de 65 años seguidos durante 4 años. Material y métodos: Cohorte de 2.650 individuos mayores de 65 años con diabetes mellitus, no institucionalizados, seguidos desde enero de 2002 hasta abril de 2005, pertenecientes a 8 áreas básicas de salud. El estado vacunal antigripal se consideró como una condición cambiante en el tiempo y la variable principal fue la muerte por todas las causas en los períodos enero-abril del cuatrienio de estudio. Resultados: Globalmente, durante los períodos enero–abril de 2002–2005, la mortalidad invernal (por 100.000 personas/semana) fue de 97,0 para vacunados y de 110,5 para no vacunados, con un riesgo atribuible de 13,5 muertes invernales por 100.000 personas/semana (IC 95%: −11,4 a 38,4). La recepción de la vacuna antigripal se asoció con una reducción no significativa del 12% en el riesgo de mortalidad invernal por cualquier causa (riesgo relativo: 0,88; IC 95%: 0,67–1,19). Conclusión: Nuestros datos apuntan hacia un pequeño beneficio de la vacunación antigripal para disminuir la mortalidad invernal en pacientes diabéticos mayores de 65 años, aunque la posibilidad de un efecto nulo no puede ser excluida totalmente (AU)

Introduction: To analyze the effectiveness of annual influenza vaccination on winter mortality in a cohort of diabetic patients over 65 years followed-up for 4 years. Methods: Cohort of 2650 non-institutionalized, individuals older than 65 years with Diabetes Mellitus, followed-up from January 2002 until April 2005, from 8 primary health care centers. The vaccination status was considered as a condition changing over time and the endpoint was death from all causes in the period from January to April of the 4-year study period. Results: Overall, during the January to April periods including the years 2002–2005, the winter mortality (per 100,000 person-week) was 97.0 for vaccinated and 110.5 for non-vaccinated subjects, with an attributable risk of 13.5 deaths per 100,000 person-weeks in winter (95% CI: −11.4 to 38.4). The reception of the influenza vaccine was associated with a non-significant reduction of 12% in the risk of mortality from all causes during winter in the 2002–2005 overall period (relative risk 0.88; 95% CI: 0.67–1.19). Conclusion: Our data suggest a small benefit of influenza vaccination to reduce winter mortality in diabetic patients over 65 years, although the possibility of no effect cannot be excluded completely (AU)

Effectiveness of pneumococcal vaccination in older adults with chronic respiratory diseases: results of the EVAN-65 study.

A prospective cohort study evaluating the clinical effectiveness of the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine was conducted among 1298 Spanish older adults with chronic respiratory diseases (bronchitis, emphysema or asthma) who were followed between 2002 and 2005. Main outcomes were all-cause community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and 30 days mortality from CAP. The association between vaccination and the risk of each outcome was evaluated by multivariable Cox proportional-hazard models adjusted for age and comorbidity pneumococcal vaccination did not alter significantly the risk of overall CAP (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.77; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.56-1.07) and 30 days mortality from CAP (HR: 0.87; 95% CI: 0.33-2.28). However, a borderline significant reduction of 30% in the risk of all-cause hospitalisation for CAP was observed among vaccinated subjects (HR: 0.70; 95% CI: 0.48-1.00; p=0.052). The effectiveness of the vaccine on the combined endpoint of pneumococcal and unknown organism infections reached 34% (HR: 0.66; 95% CI: 0.43-1.01; p=0.059). Although our findings suggest moderate benefits from the vaccination, the evidence of clinical effectiveness appears limited.