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1.
Int J Infect Dis ; : 107199, 2024 Aug 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39142437

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Tuberculosis (TB) risk after initiation of antiretroviral treatment (ART) is not well described in a European setting, with an average TB incidence of 25/105 in the background population. METHODS: We included all adult persons with HIV starting ART in the RESPOND cohort between 2012 and 2020. TB incidence rates (IR) were assessed for consecutive time intervals post-ART initiation. Risk factors for TB within 6 months from ART initiation were evaluated using Poisson regression models. RESULTS: Among 8441 persons with HIV, who started ART, 66 developed TB during 34,239 person-years of follow-up [PYFU], corresponding to 1.87/1000 PYFU (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.47-2.37). TB IR was highest in the first 3 months after ART initiation (14.41/1000 PY (95%CI 10.08-20.61]) and declined at 3-6, 6-12, and >12 months post-ART initiation (5.89 [95%CI 3.35-10.37], 2.54 [95%CI 1.36-4.73] and 0.51 [95%CI 0.30-0.86]), respectively. Independent risk factors for TB within the first 6 months after ART initiation included follow-up in Northern or Eastern Europe region, African origin, baseline CD4 count <200 cells/mm3, HIV RNA >100,000 copies/mL, injecting drug use and heterosexual transmission. CONCLUSIONS: TB IR was highest in the first 3 months post-ART initiation and was associated with baseline risk factors, highlighting the importance of thorough TB risk assessment at ART initiation.

2.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 11(6): ofae308, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38919512

ABSTRACT

Background: While use of some older antiretroviral drugs (ARVs) is associated with chronic liver enzyme elevation (cLEE), the impact of newer ARVs remains unknown. Methods: People with HIV enrolled in the RESPOND cohort who started an ARV after January 1, 2012 were included (baseline). The primary outcome was first cLEE individuals were censored at first of cLEE, last visit, death, or December 31, 2021. Incidence rates (IRs; events/1000 person-years) were calculated for each ARV overall and by ARV exposure (6-12 months, 1-2 years, and 2+ years). Poisson regression was used to estimate the incidence rate ratio (IRR) of cLEE and its association with individual ARVs and ARV class. Results: Of 17 106 individuals included contributing 87 924 person-years of follow-up, 1932 (11.3%) experienced cLEE (incidence rate [IR], 22.0; 95% CI, 21.0-23.0). There was no evidence of a cumulative ARV effect on cLEE incidence, (6-12 months: IR, 45.8; 95% CI, 41.4-50.19; 1-2 years: IR, 34.3; 95% CI, 31.5-37.4; and 2+ years: IR, 18.5; 95% CI, 17.4-19.7). Any use (vs no prior use) of non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTIs) as a class and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) was independently associated with an increased IRR of cLEE, and any use of darunavir (DRV) was associated with a decreased risk of cLEE. Conclusions: cLEE is common and more frequent during the first year after initiating new ARVs. With a >5-year median follow-up, we found no short-term liver safety concerns with the use of INSTIs. Use of NNRTIs and TDF was associated with an increased cLEE risk, while DRV was associated with lower risk.

3.
AIDS ; 37(13): 1997-2006, 2023 11 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37503671

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Eastern Europe has a high burden of tuberculosis (TB)/HIV coinfection with high mortality shortly after TB diagnosis. This study assesses TB recurrence, mortality rates and causes of death among TB/HIV patients from Eastern Europe up to 11 years after TB diagnosis. METHODS: A longitudinal cohort study of TB/HIV patients enrolled between 2011 and 2013 (at TB diagnosis) and followed-up until end of 2021. A competing risk regression was employed to assess rates of TB recurrence, with death as competing event. Kaplan-Meier estimates and a multivariable Cox-regression were used to assess long-term mortality and corresponding risk factors. The Coding Causes of Death in HIV (CoDe) methodology was used for adjudication of causes of death. RESULTS: Three hundred and seventy-five TB/HIV patients were included. Fifty-three (14.1%) were later diagnosed with recurrent TB [incidence rate 3.1/100 person-years of follow-up (PYFU), 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.4-4.0] during a total follow-up time of 1713 PYFU. Twenty-three of 33 patients with data on drug-resistance (69.7%) had multidrug-resistant (MDR)-TB. More than half with recurrent TB ( n  = 30/53, 56.6%) died. Overall, 215 (57.3%) died during the follow-up period, corresponding to a mortality rate of 11.4/100 PYFU (95% CI 10.0-13.1). Almost half of those (48.8%) died of TB. The proportion of all TB-related deaths was highest in the first 6 ( n  = 49/71; 69%; P  < 0.0001) and 6-24 ( n  = 33/58; 56.9%; P  < 0.0001) months of follow-up, compared deaths beyond 24 months ( n  = 23/85; 26.7%). CONCLUSION: TB recurrence and TB-related mortality rates in PWH in Eastern Europe are still concerningly high and continue to be a clinical and public health challenge.


Subject(s)
Coinfection , HIV Infections , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant , Tuberculosis , Humans , HIV Infections/complications , HIV Infections/epidemiology , HIV Infections/drug therapy , Longitudinal Studies , Tuberculosis/complications , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Tuberculosis/drug therapy , Europe, Eastern/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/drug therapy , Coinfection/drug therapy , Antitubercular Agents/therapeutic use , Europe/epidemiology
4.
Infection ; 51(1): 147-157, 2023 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35764910

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Cancer treatments suppress immune function and are associated with increased risk of infections, but the overall burden of serious infectious diseases in treated patients has not been clearly elucidated. METHODS: All patients treated for solid malignant tumours with radiotherapy (RT) and/or standard first-line chemotherapy (C) at the Department of Oncology at Rigshospitalet between 01/1/2010 and 31/12/2016 were included. Patients were followed from treatment initiation until the first of new cancer treatment, 1 year after treatment initiation, end of follow-up or death. Incidence rates (IR) of positive blood culture (PBC) per 1000 person-years follow-up (PYFU) were calculated. FINDINGS: 12,433 individuals were included, 3582 (29%), 6349 (51%), and 2502 (20%) treated with RT, C, or both RT & C, respectively, contributing 8182 PYFU. 429 (3%) individuals experienced 502 unique episodes of PBC, incidence rate (95% CI) 52.43 (47.7, 57.6) per 1000 PYFU. The 30-day mortality rate after PBC was 24% independent of treatment modality. Adjusted incidence rate ratios in the first 3 months (95% CI) after PBC significantly varied by treatment: 2.89 (1.83, 4.55) and 2.52 (1.53, 4.14) for C and RT & C compared to RT. Escherichia coli (n = 127, 25%) was the top microorganism identified. INTERPRETATION: PBCs are not common, but when they occur, mortality is high.


Subject(s)
Blood Culture , Neoplasms , Humans , Incidence , Neoplasms/drug therapy , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Neoplasms/radiotherapy
5.
HIV Res Clin Pract ; 22(6): 160-168, 2021 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34779362

ABSTRACT

Background: Hypersensitivity reaction (HSR) and hepatotoxicity are rare, but potentially serious side-effects of antiretroviral use.Objective: To investigate discontinuations due to HSR, hepatotoxicity or other reasons among users of dolutegravir (DTG) vs. raltegravir (RAL) or elvitegravir (EVG) in the EuroSIDA cohort.Methods: We compared individuals ≥18 years and starting combination antiretroviral therapy (ART, ≥3 drugs) with DTG vs. RAL or EVG, with or without abacavir (ABC), between January 16, 2014 and January 23, 2019. Discontinuations due to serious adverse events (SAEs) were independently reviewed.Results: Altogether 4366 individuals started 5116 ART regimens including DTG, RAL, or EVG, contributing 9180 person-years of follow-up (PYFU), with median follow-up 1.6 (interquartile range 0.7-2.8) years per treatment episode. Of these, 3074 (60.1%) used DTG (1738 with ABC, 1336 without) and 2042 (39.9%) RAL or EVG (286 with ABC, 1756 without). 1261 (24.6%) INSTI episodes were discontinued, 649 of the DTG-containing regimens (discontinuation rate 115, 95% CI 106-124/1000 PYFU) and 612 RAL or EVG-containing regimens (173, CI 160-188/1000 PYFU). After independent review, there were five HSR discontinuations, two for DTG (one with and one without ABC, discontinuation rate 0.35, CI 0.04-1.28/1000 PYFU), and three for RAL or EVG without ABC (0.85, CI 0.18-2.48/1000 PYFU). There was one hepatotoxicity discontinuation on DTG with ABC (discontinuation rate 0.18, CI 0.00-0.99/1000 PYFU).Conclusion: During 5 years of observations in the EuroSIDA cohort independently reviewed discontinuations due to HSR or hepatotoxicity were very rare, indicating a low rate of SAEs.


Subject(s)
Chemical and Drug Induced Liver Injury , HIV Infections , HIV Integrase Inhibitors , Chemical and Drug Induced Liver Injury/drug therapy , Chemical and Drug Induced Liver Injury/epidemiology , Chemical and Drug Induced Liver Injury/etiology , HIV Infections/drug therapy , HIV Infections/epidemiology , HIV Integrase Inhibitors/adverse effects , Humans , Integrases/therapeutic use , Raltegravir Potassium/adverse effects
6.
Cancer Med ; 9(9): 3033-3042, 2020 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32144897

ABSTRACT

Febrile neutropenia (FN) is a critical complication of chemotherapy associated with increased in-hospital mortality. However, associations with increased mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admissions during longer follow-up are not established. Patients treated with standard first-line chemotherapy for solid cancers at Rigshospitalet, Denmark in 2010-2016 were included. Incidence rate ratios (IRR) of all-cause, infectious and cardiovascular mortality, and ICU admissions after FN were analyzed by Poisson regression. Risk factors at the time of FN were analyzed in the subpopulation of patients with FN; all-cause mortality was further stratified by the time periods 0-30, 31-365, and 366+ days after FN. We included 9018 patients with gastric (14.4%) and breast (13.1%) cancer being the most common, 51.2% had locally advanced or disseminated disease and the patients had a median Charlson Comorbidity Index score of 0 (interquartile range, 0-0). During follow-up, 845 (9.4%) experienced FN and 4483 (49.7%) died during 18 775 person-years of follow-up. After adjustment, FN was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality, infectious mortality, and ICU admissions with IRRs of 1.39 (95% CI, 1.24-1.56), 1.94 (95% CI, 1.43-2.62), and 2.28 (95% CI, 1.60-3.24). Among those with FN, having a positive blood culture and low lymphocytes were associated with excess risk of death and ICU admissions (predominantly the first 30 days after FN), while elevated C-reactive protein and low hemoglobin predicted mortality the first year after FN. The risk of death varied according to the time since FN; adjusted IRR per additional risk factor present for the time periods 0-30, 31-365, and 366+ days after FN were 2.00 (95% CI, 1.45-2.75), 1.36 (95% CI, 1.17-1.57), and 1.17 (95% CI, 0.98-1.41). FN was associated with increased mortality and risk of ICU admissions. An objectively identifiable subgroup of patients among those with FN carried this excess risk.


Subject(s)
Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/adverse effects , Febrile Neutropenia/mortality , Hospital Mortality/trends , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Intensive Care Units/statistics & numerical data , Neoplasms/mortality , Aged , Febrile Neutropenia/chemically induced , Febrile Neutropenia/pathology , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Neoplasms/drug therapy , Neoplasms/pathology , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Survival Rate
7.
Int J Cancer ; 146(2): 321-328, 2020 01 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30839100

ABSTRACT

The absolute risk reduction by prophylaxis in chemotherapy-induced febrile neutropenia (FN) is largest in patients at highest underlying risk. Therefore, reliable predictive models are needed. Here, we develop and validate such a model for risk of FN during chemotherapy cycles 2-6. A prediction score for risk of FN during the first cycle has recently been published. Patients with solid cancers initiating first-line chemotherapy in 2010-2016 were included. Cycle-specific risk factors were assessed by Poisson regression using generalized estimating equations and random split sampling. The derivation cohort included 4,590 patients treated with 15,419 cycles, wherein 326 (2.1%) FN events occurred. Predictors of FN in multivariable analyses were: higher predicted risk of FN in the first cycle, platinum- or taxane-containing therapies, concurrent radiotherapy, treatment in cycle 2 compared to later cycles, previous FN or neutropenia and not receiving granulocyte colony-stimulating factors. Each predictor added between -2 and 8 points to each patient's score (median score 4; interquartile range, 1-6). The incidence rate ratios for developing FN in the intermediate (score 1-4), high (score 5-6) and very high risk groups (score ≥7) were 7.8 (95% CI, 2.4-24.9), 18.6 (95% CI, 5.9-58.8) and 51.7 (95% CI, 16.5-162.3) compared to the low risk group (score ≤0), respectively. The score had good discriminatory ability with a Harrell's C-statistic of 0.78 (95% CI, 0.76-0.80) in the derivation and 0.75 (95% CI, 0.72-0.78) in the validation cohort (patient n = 2,295, cycle n = 7,670). The Cycle-Specific Risk of FEbrile Neutropenia after ChEmotherapy score is the first published method to estimate cycle-specific risk of FN.


Subject(s)
Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/adverse effects , Chemotherapy-Induced Febrile Neutropenia/epidemiology , Models, Biological , Neoplasms/drug therapy , Aged , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/administration & dosage , Bridged-Ring Compounds/administration & dosage , Bridged-Ring Compounds/adverse effects , Chemotherapy-Induced Febrile Neutropenia/etiology , Chemotherapy-Induced Febrile Neutropenia/prevention & control , Denmark/epidemiology , Drug Administration Schedule , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Granulocyte Colony-Stimulating Factor/therapeutic use , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Platinum Compounds/administration & dosage , Platinum Compounds/adverse effects , Poisson Distribution , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Factors , Taxoids/administration & dosage , Taxoids/adverse effects
8.
AIDS ; 33(13): 2013-2024, 2019 11 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31335807

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To assess the use of two-drug antiretroviral regimens (2DR) and virologic and immunologic outcomes compared with three-drug regimens (3DR) in the EuroSIDA cohort. DESIGN: Multicentre, prospective cohort study. METHODS: Logistic regression was used to analyse the uptake and outcomes among HIV-positive individuals who started or switched to a 2DR compared with those on a 3DR. Virologic outcomes were assessed on-treatment as the proportion of individuals with controlled viral load (<400 copies/ml), or with a composite modified FDA snapshot endpoint (mFDA), with mFDA success defined as controlled viral load at 6 months or 12 months for individuals with a known viral load, no regimen changes, AIDS or death. Immunologic response was defined as a 100 cells/µl or a 25% increase in CD4 cell counts from baseline. RESULTS: Between 1 July 2010 and 31 December 2016, 423 individuals started or switched to a 2DR (eight antiretroviral-naive) and 4347 started a 3DR (566 naive). Individuals on 2DR tended to have suppressed viral load, higher CD4 cell counts and more comorbidities at baseline compared with those on 3DR. There were no differences in the proportions of individuals who obtained on-treatment or mFDA success, and no significant differences in the adjusted odds ratios for mFDA success or immunologic responses between the 2DR and 3DR groups at 6 months or 12 months. CONCLUSION: In routine clinical practice, 2DR were largely used for virologically suppressed individuals with higher cumulative exposure to antiretrovirals and comorbidities. Virologic and immunologic outcomes were similar among those on 2DR or 3DR, although confounding by indication cannot be fully excluded due to the observational nature of the study.


Subject(s)
Anti-HIV Agents/administration & dosage , HIV Infections/drug therapy , Adult , Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly Active/methods , Argentina , CD4 Lymphocyte Count , Drug Therapy, Combination , Europe , Female , Humans , Israel , Logistic Models , Male , Middle Aged , Prospective Studies , Treatment Outcome , Viral Load/drug effects
9.
J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr ; 79(3): 381-385, 2018 11 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29985264

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Ankle-brachial index is an excellent tool for diagnosing peripheral artery disease (PAD). We aimed to determine the prevalence and risk factors for PAD in people living with HIV (PLWH) compared with uninfected controls. We hypothesized that prevalence of PAD would be higher among PLWH than among controls independent of traditional cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors. METHODS: PLWH aged 40 years and older were recruited from the Copenhagen comorbidity in HIV infection (COCOMO) study. Sex- and age-matched uninfected controls were recruited from the Copenhagen General Population Study. We defined PAD as ankle-brachial index ≤0.9 and assessed risk factors for PAD using logistic regression adjusting for age, sex, smoking status, dyslipidemia, diabetes, hypertension, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein. RESULTS: Among 908 PLWH and 11,106 controls, PAD was detected in 112 [12% confidence interval: (95% 10 to 14)] and 623 [6% (95% 5 to 6)], respectively (P < 0.001), odds ratio = 2.4 (95% 1.9 to 2.9), and adjusted odds ratio = 1.8 (95% 1.3 to 2.3, P < 0.001). Traditional CVD risk factors, but not HIV-related variables, were associated with PAD. The strength of the association between PAD and HIV tended to be higher with older age (P = 0.052, adjusted test for interaction). CONCLUSIONS: Prevalence of PAD is higher among PLWH compared with uninfected controls, especially among older persons, and remains so after adjusting for traditional CVD risk factors. Our findings expand the evidence base that PLWH have excess arterial disease to also include PAD. The exact biological mechanisms causing this excess risk remain to be elucidated. Until then, focus on management of modifiable traditional risk factors is important.


Subject(s)
HIV Infections/complications , Peripheral Arterial Disease/epidemiology , Adult , Age Factors , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Case-Control Studies , Denmark/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prevalence , Risk Factors
10.
Clin Infect Dis ; 67(4): 579-586, 2018 08 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29471519

ABSTRACT

Background: People living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLWH) are characterized by excess risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and CVD risk factors compared to uninfected individuals. We investigated the association between HIV infection and abdominal obesity, elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), hypertriglyceridemia, and hypertension in a large cohort of predominantly well-treated PLWH and matched controls. Methods: 1099 PLWH from the Copenhagen Co-morbidity in HIV Infection Study and 12 161 age- and sex-matched uninfected controls from the Copenhagen General Population Study were included and underwent blood pressure, waist, hip, weight, and height measurements and nonfasting blood samples. We assessed whether HIV was independently associated with abdominal obesity, elevated LDL-C, hypertriglyceridemia, and hypertension using logistic regression models adjusted for known risk factors. Results: HIV infection was associated with higher risk of abdominal obesity (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.92 [1.60-2.30]) for a given body mass index, elevated LDL-C (aOR, 1.32 [1.09-1.59]), hypertriglyceridemia (aOR, 1.76 [1.49-2.08]), and lower risk of hypertension (aOR, 0.63 [0.54-0.74]). The excess odds of abdominal obesity in PLWH was stronger with older age (p interaction, 0.001). Abdominal obesity was associated with elevated LDL-C (aOR, 1.44 [1.23-1.69]), hypertension (aOR, 1.32 [1.16-1.49]), and hypertriglyceridemia (aOR, 2.12 [1.86-2.41]). Conclusions: Abdominal obesity was associated with proaterogenic metabolic factors including elevated LDL-C, hypertension, and hypertriglyceridemia and remains a distinct HIV-related phenotype, particularly among older PLWH. Effective interventions to reduce the apparent detrimental impact on cardiovascular risk from this phenotype are needed.


Subject(s)
Cholesterol, LDL/blood , HIV Infections/complications , HIV Infections/epidemiology , Hypertension/epidemiology , Hypertriglyceridemia/epidemiology , Obesity, Abdominal/epidemiology , Adult , Body Mass Index , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/virology , Cohort Studies , Comorbidity , Cross-Sectional Studies , Denmark/epidemiology , Female , HIV/isolation & purification , Humans , Hypertension/virology , Hypertriglyceridemia/virology , Logistic Models , Longitudinal Studies , Male , Middle Aged , Obesity, Abdominal/virology , Odds Ratio , Prevalence , Risk Factors
11.
Thorax ; 73(5): 431-438, 2018 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29331988

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Whether HIV influences pulmonary function remains controversial. We assessed dynamic pulmonary function in people living with HIV (PLWHIV) and uninfected controls. METHODS: A total of 1098 PLWHIV from the Copenhagen Co-morbidity in HIV infection study and 12 161 age-matched and sex-matched controls from the Copenhagen General Population Study were included. Lung function was assessed using FEV1 and FVC, while airflow limitation was defined by the lower limit of normal (LLN) of FEV1/FVC and by FEV1/FVC<0.7 with FEV1predicted <80% (fixed). Logistic and linear regression models were used to determine the association between HIV and pulmonary function adjusting for potential confounders (including smoking and socioeconomic status). RESULTS: In predominantly white men with mean (SD) age of 50.6 (11.1) the prevalence of airflow limitation (LLN) was 10.6% (95% CI 8.9% to 12.6%) in PLWHIV and 10.6% (95% CI 10.0 to 11.1) in uninfected controls. The multivariable adjusted OR for airflow limitation defined by LLN for HIV was 0.97 (0.77-1.21, P<0.78) and 1.71 (1.34-2.16, P<0.0001) when defined by the fixed criteria. We found no evidence of interaction between HIV and cumulative smoking in these models (P interaction: 0.25 and 0.17 for LLN and fixed criteria, respectively). HIV was independently associated with 197 mL (152-242, P<0.0001) lower FEV1 and 395 mL (344-447, P<0.0001) lower FVC, and 100 cells/mm3 lower CD4 nadir was associated with 30 mL (7-52, P<0.01) lower FEV1 and 51 mL (24-78, P<0.001) lower FVC. CONCLUSION: HIV is a risk factor for concurrently decreased FEV1 and FVC. This excess risk is not explained by smoking or socioeconomic status and may be mediated by prior immunodeficiency. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT02382822.


Subject(s)
HIV Infections/physiopathology , Adult , CD4 Lymphocyte Count , Case-Control Studies , Female , Forced Expiratory Volume , HIV Infections/blood , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prospective Studies , Risk Factors , Tobacco Smoking/physiopathology , Vital Capacity
12.
JNCI Cancer Spectr ; 2(4): pky053, 2018 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31360873

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Febrile neutropenia (FN) after chemotherapy causes a high burden of morbidity and mortality. We aimed to develop and validate a risk score to predict FN in the first cycle of chemotherapy. METHODS: We included patients with solid cancers and diffuse large B-cell lymphomas at Rigshospitalet, University of Copenhagen, 2010-2016. Predictors of FN were analyzed using Poisson regression and random split-sampling. RESULTS: Among 6294 patients in the derivation cohort, 360 developed FN. Female sex, older age, cancer type, disease stage, low albumin, elevated bilirubin, low creatinine clearance, infection before chemotherapy, and number of and type of chemotherapy drugs predicted FN. Compared with those at low risk (n = 2520, 40.0%), the incidence rate ratio of developing FN was 4.8 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.9 to 8.1), 8.7 (95% CI = 5.3 to 14.1) and 24.0 (95% CI = 15.2 to 38.0) in the intermediate (n = 1294, 20.6%), high (n = 1249, 19.8%) and very high (n = 1231, 19.6%) risk groups, respectively, corresponding to a number needed to treat with granulocyte colony-stimulating factors to avoid one FN event in the first cycle of 284, 60, 34 and 14. The discriminatory ability (Harrell's C-statistic = 0.80, 95% CI = 0.78 to 0.82) was similar in the validation cohort (n = 3163) (0.79, 95% CI = 0.75 to 0.82). CONCLUSION: We developed and internally validated a risk score for FN in the first cycle of chemotherapy. The FENCE score is available online and provides good differentiation of risk groups.

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