Risk of Early Childhood Caries Estimated by Maternal Dental Caries during Pregnancy: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: Public policy promoting prenatal dental care to provide long-term prevention of early childhood caries (ECC) in offspring would require evidence regarding the ECC risk associated with maternal dental caries during pregnancy. This study evaluated that association using a design capable of assessing temporal relationships and considered a directed acyclic graph to guide the adjustment of pertinent confounders. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective cohort study analyzed data from 158 mother-child dyads attending care at Prachathipat Hospital, Pathum Thani, Thailand. Maternal dental caries data at their first visits to prenatal oral care from February 2012 to May 2017 were traced forwardly to match the oral health data of offspring who visited the hospital from May 2013 to March 2018. RESULTS: Univariable and multivariable fractional logit regression models along with the calculation of average marginal effects revealed that children born to two categories of mothers with 1 to 5 and ≥6 carious teeth during pregnancy would averagely develop 4.5 to 5 and 7.9 to 8.8 more carious teeth per 100 teeth than dental caries would occur in offspring of caries-free mothers. CONCLUSION: This evidence identified the role of maternal dental caries during pregnancy as a significant clinical risk indicator for ECC and supported the provision of prenatal dental care for mothers to prevent ECC in offspring.

Impact of participation as a peer change agent on peer change agents themselves: a quantitative study of a peer-led, social media-based PrEP promotion intervention.

Despite the adoption of pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) as a crucial HIV intervention, uptake remains suboptimal among men who have sex with men, a sexual minority group, due to barriers like cost and stigma. Peer change agents (PCAs) disseminate PrEP information within their social networks. This study explores the reciprocal effects of an online community-based participatory intervention on PCAs, focusing on their transformed PrEP uptake perceptions-leadership efficacy, social network dynamics, attitudes, perceived benefits and barriers and self-efficacy. Leveraging insights from the PrEP Chicago Study, our research addresses a key gap in community-based participatory interventions for PrEP uptake: the transformative experiences and perception shifts of PCAs involved in these interventions. We engaged 20 men who have sex with men, aged 18-45, as PCAs in a one-group pretest-posttest design intervention, which disseminated PrEP communications within their preferred online networks. We utilized the PrEP Chicago Study's 45 Likert items, tailored to reveal the PCAs' transformative potential. Data on PrEP uptake perceptions, sociodemographics and social media use were captured and analyzed using the Wilcoxon matched-pairs signed-rank test, a nonparametric method. PCAs demonstrated significant changes in their PrEP uptake perceptions, including leadership capacity, social network dynamics, attitudes toward PrEP, perceived benefits, barriers and self-efficacy. Our intervention highlights the reciprocal transformation PCAs undergo when disseminating PrEP information. This study adds a new dimension to community-based PrEP interventions and underscores the need for continued refinement of peer-led strategies to optimize the transformative potential of PCAs.

The Protective Effect of Breastfeeding on Dental Fluorosis Among Children in Rural Fluoride-Endemic Areas.

Background: Living in fluoride-endemic areas and the inevitable use of groundwater for consumption have imposed children at high risk of dental fluorosis. To mitigate exposure to excessive fluoride at age of developing dentition, breastfeeding might serve as a natural public health intervention against dental fluorosis in that socially disadvantaged context. Objective: This study aimed to evaluate the preventive effect of breastfeeding against dental fluorosis in children living in fluoride-endemic areas in Nakhon Pathom Province, Thailand. Evaluation of the association through several epidemiological models depicted by a directed acyclic graph (DAG) was undertaken. Methods: A case-control study of 127 cases of dental fluorosis and 85 controls was conducted. Independent factor of breastfeeding, along with other past exposure variables, were traced backwardly since infancy by caregiver history taking. Fluoride concentrations in groundwater utilized for household supply matching to residence and number of years by age of each child were collected from 2008 to 2015. Multivariable Poisson regression with robust standard errors was sequentially executed to estimate prevalence ratio (PR) according to models in DAG. Results: Breastfeeding was significantly higher (95.3%) among controls compared to cases (84.2%), p = 0.014. Contrastingly, prevalence of using toothpaste larger than pea-sized and having fluoride ≥1.5 ppm in household water supply was higher among cases. Univariable and subsequent five multivariable regression models according to DAG consistently unveiled significant protective effect of breastfeeding on dental fluorosis with PR ranging from 0.66 to 0.75. Conclusions: Breastfeeding for at least 6 months had preventive effect against dental fluorosis among children living in fluoride-endemic areas.

Trends in lip, oral cavity, and pharyngeal cancer mortality in the United States, 1999-2019.

BACKGROUND: Changes in the epidemiology of lip, oral cavity, and pharyngeal (LOCP) cancers have been reported in the United States. This study aimed to examine recent trends in LOCP cancer mortality in the United States from 1999 to 2019. METHODS: National mortality data were extracted from CDC WONDER, 1999-2019. International Classification of Diseases Codes, 10th Revision-C00-C14, were used to identify decedents of malignant neoplasms of the lip, oral cavity, and pharynx. LOCP cancer mortality trends were assessed by fitting a Joinpoint regression model overall, and by race/ethnicity, sex, age, and US Census Region. Annual Percentage Changes (APC) were derived to estimate variations in mortality trends over time. RESULTS: The age-adjusted mortality rate (AAMR) for LOCP cancers was 2.5 per 100 000 (95% CI: 2.5-2.5), equivalent to 180 532 deaths during 1999-2019. Overall mortality trends have stabilized since 2009 (APC = 0.3; 95% CI: -0.1, 0.7), but an examination by subtype revealed rising mortality trends from cancers of the lip and oral cavity (APC = 1.2; 95% CI: 0.7, 1.6) and pharynx (APC = 3.2; 95% CI: 1.7, 4.8), and declining trends in malignancies of other and ill-defined areas of the lip, oral cavity, and pharynx (APC = -2.7; 95% CI: -3.4, -2.0). Trend variations were also noted by sex, age, US Census Region, and race/ethnicity. CONCLUSIONS: There are differential trends in mortality from LOCP cancers in the United States. Investigating the biological, individual, and contextual factors related to LOCP cancers would guide effective public health intervention efforts.

Virtual reality for tinnitus management: a randomized controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: Sound therapy (ST) and stress reduction regimens have been successfully used to manage tinnitus. Virtual reality (VR) has been used to manage chronic conditions like intractable pain. The aim of the present study was to investigate whether the use of VR in conjunction with ST revealed additional improvements in tinnitus attributes as compared to ST alone. DESIGN: This study was a randomised controlled trial (RCT) with a cross-over design. All participants received two interventions - ST alone (control) and ST with VR stimuli (experimental). ST consisted of fractal tones while VR stimuli comprised of nature videos presented via VR goggles. A multilevel mixed-effects linear regression model was used to estimate the intervention effect. STUDY SAMPLE: Twenty adults with subjective, continuous, chronic tinnitus participated in the study. RESULTS: After adjusting for period and baseline tinnitus loudness, significant improvements were observed in tinnitus loudness and Tinnitus Functional Index scores. Although not statistically significant, mean minimum masking levels were lower after the experimental intervention. CONCLUSIONS: Study participants benefitted from the use of VR in conjunction with ST in a laboratory setting. Additional effectiveness trials and blinded RCTs will be needed before validating the use of VR for tinnitus management in clinical settings.

Hydrogeogenic fluoride in groundwater and dental fluorosis in Thai agrarian communities: a prevalence survey and case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Dental fluorosis can be a disease of social inequity in access to safe drinking water. This dental public health issue becomes prominent in socially disadvantaged agrarian communities in fluoride endemic areas where the standard irrigation system is unavailable and groundwater containing natural fluoride is the major drinking water source. This study aimed to determine the prevalence and severity of dental fluorosis in children and to evaluate its association with fluoride in groundwater in the aforementioned setting in Thailand. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey of 289 children in Nakhon Pathom Province was conducted in 2015. Children with very mild to severe fluorosis were regarded as 'cases' while their counterparts were 'controls' for a subsequent case-control study. Records of fluoride concentrations in groundwater used for household supply corresponding to resident and number of years by age of each child during 2008-2015 were retrieved. Other exposure variables were measured using a questionnaire. Prevalence ratio (PR), a measure indicating the relative effect of different levels of fluoride on dental fluorosis, was obtained from Poisson regression with robust standard error. RESULT: There were 157 children with very mild to moderate dental fluorosis (54.3% prevalence). The univariable analysis revealed that the prevalence of dental fluorosis among children with fluoride concentrations in water sources of 0.7-1.49 (index category 1) and ≥ 1.5 ppm (index category 2) was 1.62 (95% CI; 0.78, 3.34) and 2.75 (95% CI; 1.42, 5.31) times the prevalence among those with fluoride < 0.7 ppm (referent category). After adjusting for all covariates, the adjusted prevalence ratios in both index categories were 1.64 (95% CI; 0.24, 11.24) and 2.85 (95% CI; 0.44, 18.52) which were close to their corresponding crude estimates. Since the magnitude of confounding, measured by (PRcrude-PRadjusted)/PRadjusted, were less than 10% for both index categories; this indicated the limited confounding effect of all covariates. CONCLUSIONS: In fluoride endemic areas, groundwater containing natural fluoride utilized for household consumption resulted in high dental fluorosis prevalence, particularly in the groundwater with fluoride concentrations of ≥ 1.5 ppm.

Prevalence and risk characteristics of COVID-19 in outpatients: A cross-sectional study of New York-area clinics.

Outpatients can be at heightened risk of COVID-19 due to interaction between existing non-communicable diseases in outpatients and infection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). This study measured the magnitude of COVID-19 prevalence and explored related risk characteristics among adult outpatients visiting medicine clinics within a New York state-based tertiary hospital system. Data were compiled from 63,476 adult patients visiting outpatient medicine clinics within a New York-area hospital system between March 1, 2020, and August 28, 2020. The outcome was a clinical diagnosis of COVID-19. Crude and adjusted prevalence ratios (PR) of a COVID-19 were analyzed using univariable and multivariable Poisson regression with robust standard errors. The prevalence of COVID-19 was higher among these outpatients (3.0%) than in the total population in New York State (2.2%) as of August 28, 2020. Multivariable analysis revealed adjusted prevalence ratios significantly greater than one for male sex (PR=1.10), age 40 to 64 compared to <40 (PR=1.19), and racial/ethnic minorities in comparison to White patients (Hispanic: PR=2.76; Black: PR=1.89; and Asian/others: PR=1.56). Nonetheless, factors including the advanced age of ≥65 compared to <40 (PR=0.69) and current smoking compared to non-smoking (PR=0.60) were related to significantly lower prevalence. Therefore, the prevalence of COVID-19 in outpatients was higher than that of the general population. The findings also enabled hypothesis generation that routine clinical measures comprising sex, age, race/ethnicity, and smoking were candidate risk characteristics of COVID-19 in outpatients to be further verified by designs capable of assessing temporal association.

Misleading Epidemiological and Statistical Evidence in the Presence of Simpson's Paradox: An Illustrative Study Using Simulated Scenarios of Observational Study Designs.

This study empirically illustrates the mechanism by which epidemiological effect measures and statistical evidence can be misleading in the presence of Simpson's paradox and identify possible alternative methods of analysis to manage the paradox. Three scenarios of observational study designs, including cross-sectional, cohort, and case-control approaches, are simulated. In each scenario, data are generated, and various methods of epidemiological and statistical analyses are undertaken to obtain empirical results that illustrate Simpson's paradox and mislead conclusions. Rational methods of analysis are also performed to illustrate how to avoid pitfalls and obtain valid results. In the presence of Simpson's paradox, results from analyses in overall data contradict the findings from all subgroups of the same data. This paradox occurs when distributions of confounding characteristics are unequal in the groups being compared. Data analysis methods which do not take confounding factor into account, including epidemiological 2×2 table analysis, independent samples t-test, Wilcoxon rank-sum test, chi-square test, and univariable regression analysis, cannot manage the problem of Simpson's paradox and mislead research conclusions. Mantel-Haenszel procedure and multivariable regression methods are examples of rational analysis methods leading to valid results. Therefore, Simpson's paradox arises as a consequence of extreme unequal distributions of a specific inherent characteristic in groups being compared. Analytical methods which take control of confounding effect must be applied to manage the paradox and obtain valid research evidence regarding the causal association.

Investigating the Source of a Disease Outbreak Based on Risk Estimation: A Simulation Study Comparing Risk Estimates Obtained From Logistic and Poisson Regression Applied to a Dichotomous Outcome.

Background: In epidemiologic investigations of disease outbreaks, multivariable regression techniques with adjustment for confounding can be applied to assess the association between exposure and outcome. Traditionally, logistic regression has been used in analyses of case-control studies to determine the odds ratio (OR) as the effect measure. For rare outcomes (incidence of 5% to 10%), an adjusted OR can be used to approximate the risk ratio (RR). However, concern has been raised about using logistic regression to estimate RR because how closely the calculated OR approximates the RR depends largely on the outcome rate. The literature shows that when the incidence of outcomes exceeds 10%, ORs greatly overestimate RRs. Consequently, in addition to logistic regression, other regression methods to accurately estimate adjusted RRs have been explored. One method of interest is Poisson regression with robust standard errors. This generalized linear model estimates RR directly vs logistic regression that determines OR. The purpose of this study was to empirically compare risk estimates obtained from logistic regression and Poisson regression with robust standard errors in terms of effect size and determination of the most likely source in the analysis of a series of simulated single-source disease outbreak scenarios. Methods: We created a prototype dataset to simulate a foodborne outbreak following a public event with 14 food exposures and a 52.0% overall attack rate. Regression methods, including binary logistic regression and Poisson regression with robust standard errors, were applied to analyze the dataset. To further examine how these two models led to different conclusions of the potential outbreak source, a series of 5 additional scenarios with decreasing attack rates were simulated and analyzed using both regression models. Results: For each of the explanatory variables-sex, age, and food types-in both univariable and multivariable models, the ORs obtained from logistic regression were estimated further from 1.0 than their corresponding RRs estimated by Poisson regression with robust standard errors. In the simulated scenarios, the Poisson regression models demonstrated greater consistency in the identification of one food type as the most likely outbreak source. Conclusion: Poisson regression with robust standard errors proved to be a decisive and consistent method to estimate risk associated with a single source in an outbreak when the cohort data collection design was used.

Tuberculosis case finding: Supplement intensified case finding among acute lower respiratory infection (ALRI) hospitalized patients in Sa Kaeo province, Thailand.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: We aimed to estimate TB prevalence among in-patients hospitalized with acute lower respiratory infection (ALRI) through a routine TB case finding approach (Patient-Initiated-Pathway, PIP) and among those without initial TB detection by PIP using a supplementary-Intensified-Case-Finding (supplementary-ICF) approach to determine the extent of active TB infection in patients enrolled in population-based surveillance in Sa Keao, Thailand. We also investigated secondary TB transmission through household contacts (HHCs). METHODS: This was a prospective cross-sectional study. Data for hospitalized patients with ALRI were obtained from population-based pneumonia surveillance. PIP was provided in ALRI patients with suspected TB infection; those without initial suspicion of TB infection were evaluated for TB by the supplementary-ICF approach. For each active TB case finding approach, index cases were identified by acid-fast-bacillus testing and the TB prevalence was estimated. HHCs of each TB index case were followed to identify the extent of secondary TB infection. RESULTS: TB prevalence among ALRI hospitalized patients was 12.2% among those undergoing PIP and 6.8% among those undergoing supplementary-ICF. The total number of active TB cases was doubled after implementing the supplementary-ICF method. Secondary TB infection among HHCs was 3.5 times more common for contacts of index cases identified by routine active TB case finding compared to supplementary-ICF TB. CONCLUSION: Supplementary-ICF among ALRI hospitalizations would be expected to result in improved active TB case detection compared to the current policy of PIP. The supplementary-ICF also enhanced early case detection and showed lower prevalence of secondary infection.

Risk of Hemorrhage Attributed to Underlying Chronic Diseases and Uninterrupted Aspirin Therapy of Patients Undergoing Minor Oral Surgical Procedures: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to estimate the risk of bleeding following minor oral surgical procedures and uninterrupted aspirin therapy in high-risk patients or patients with existing chronic diseases compared to patients who did not use aspirin during minor oral surgery at a public hospital. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study analyzed the data of 2912 patients, aged 20 years or older, who underwent 5251 minor oral surgical procedures at a district hospital in Thailand. The aspirin group was comprised of patients continuing aspirin therapy during oral surgery. The non-aspirin group (reference) included all those who did not use aspirin during surgery. Immediate and late-onset bleeding was evaluated in each procedure. The risk ratio of bleeding was estimated using a multilevel Poisson regression. RESULTS: The overall cumulative incidence of immediate bleeding was 1.3% of total procedures. No late-onset bleeding was found. A significantly greater incidence of bleeding was found in the aspirin group (5.8% of procedures, p<0.001). After adjusting for covariates, a multilevel Poisson regression model estimated that the bleeding risk in the aspirin group was 4.5 times higher than that of the non-aspirin group (95% confidence interval, 2.0 to 10.0; p<0.001). However, all bleeding events were controlled by simple hemostatic measures. CONCLUSIONS: High-risk patients or patients with existing chronic diseases who continued aspirin therapy following minor oral surgery were at a higher risk of hemorrhage than general patients who had not used aspirin. Nonetheless, bleeding complications were not life-threatening and could be promptly managed by simple hemostatic measures. The procedures could therefore be provided with an awareness of increased bleeding risk, prepared hemostatic measures, and postoperative monitoring, without the need for discontinuing aspirin, which could lead to more serious complications.