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1.
AMIA Jt Summits Transl Sci Proc ; 2024: 334-343, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38827110

ABSTRACT

Class imbalance issues are prevalent in the medical field and significantly impact the performance of clinical predictive models. Traditional techniques to address this challenge aim to rebalance class proportions. They generally assume that the rebalanced proportions are derived from the original data, without considering the intricacies of the model utilized. This study challenges the prevailing assumption and introduces a new method that ties the optimal class proportions to model complexity. This approach allows for individualized tuning of class proportions for each model. Our experiments, centered on the opioid overdose prediction problem, highlight the performance gains achieved by this approach. Furthermore, rigorous regression analysis affirms the merits of the proposed theoretical framework, demonstrating a statistically significant correlation between hyperparameters controlling model complexity and the optimal class proportions.

2.
JAMA Netw Open ; 7(5): e249744, 2024 May 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38717773

ABSTRACT

Importance: Injectable extended-release (XR)-naltrexone is an effective treatment option for opioid use disorder (OUD), but the need to withdraw patients from opioid treatment prior to initiation is a barrier to implementation. Objective: To compare the effectiveness of the standard procedure (SP) with the rapid procedure (RP) for XR-naltrexone initiation. Design, Setting, and Participants: The Surmounting Withdrawal to Initiate Fast Treatment with Naltrexone study was an optimized stepped-wedge cluster randomized trial conducted at 6 community-based inpatient addiction treatment units. Units using the SP were randomly assigned at 14-week intervals to implement the RP. Participants admitted with OUD received the procedure the unit was delivering at the time of their admission. Participant recruitment took place between March 16, 2021, and July 18, 2022. The last visit was September 21, 2022. Interventions: Standard procedure, based on the XR-naltrexone package insert (approximately 5-day buprenorphine taper followed by a 7- to 10-day opioid-free period and RP, defined as 1 day of buprenorphine at minimum necessary dose, 1 opioid-free day, and ascending low doses of oral naltrexone and adjunctive medications (eg, clonidine, clonazepam, antiemetics) for opioid withdrawal. Main Outcomes and Measures: Receipt of XR-naltrexone injection prior to inpatient discharge (primary outcome). Secondary outcomes included opioid withdrawal scores and targeted safety events and serious adverse events. All analyses were intention-to-treat. Results: A total of 415 participants with OUD were enrolled (mean [SD] age, 33.6 [8.48] years; 205 [49.4%] identified sex as male); 54 [13.0%] individuals identified as Black, 91 [21.9%] as Hispanic, 290 [69.9%] as White, and 22 [5.3%] as multiracial. Rates of successful initiation of XR-naltrexone among the RP group (141 of 225 [62.7%]) were noninferior to those of the SP group (68 of 190 [35.8%]) (odds ratio [OR], 3.60; 95% CI, 2.12-6.10). Withdrawal did not differ significantly between conditions (proportion of days with a moderate or greater maximum Clinical Opiate Withdrawal Scale score (>12) for RP vs SP: OR, 1.25; 95% CI, 0.62-2.50). Targeted safety events (RP: 12 [5.3%]; SP: 4 [2.1%]) and serious adverse events (RP: 15 [6.7%]; SP: 3 [1.6%]) were infrequent but occurred more often with RP than SP. Conclusions and Relevance: In this trial, the RP of XR-naltrexone initiation was noninferior to the standard approach and saved time, although it required more intensive medical management and safety monitoring. The results of this trial suggest that rapid initiation could make XR-naltrexone a more viable treatment for patients with OUD. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04762537.


Subject(s)
Delayed-Action Preparations , Naltrexone , Narcotic Antagonists , Opioid-Related Disorders , Humans , Naltrexone/therapeutic use , Naltrexone/administration & dosage , Male , Female , Opioid-Related Disorders/drug therapy , Adult , Narcotic Antagonists/therapeutic use , Narcotic Antagonists/administration & dosage , Delayed-Action Preparations/therapeutic use , Middle Aged , Substance Withdrawal Syndrome/drug therapy , Treatment Outcome
3.
PLoS One ; 19(4): e0300932, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38625926

ABSTRACT

The COVID pandemic placed a spotlight on alcohol use and the hardships of working within the food and beverage industry, with millions left jobless. Following previous studies that have found elevated rates of alcohol problems among bartenders and servers, here we studied the alcohol use of bartenders and servers who were employed during COVID. From February 12-June 16, 2021, in the midst of the U.S. COVID national emergency declaration, survey data from 1,010 employed bartender and servers were analyzed to quantify rates of excessive or hazardous drinking along with regression predictors of alcohol use as assessed by the 10-item Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test (AUDIT). Findings indicate that more than 2 out of 5 (44%) people surveyed reported moderate or high rates of alcohol problem severity (i.e., AUDIT scores of 8 or higher)-a rate 4 to 6 times that of the heavy alcohol use rate reported pre- or mid-pandemic by adults within and outside the industry. Person-level factors (gender, substance use, mood) along with the drinking habits of one's core social group were significantly associated with alcohol use. Bartenders and servers reported surprisingly high rates of alcohol problem severity and experienced risk factors for hazardous drinking at multiple ecological levels. Being a highly vulnerable and understudied population, more studies on bartenders and servers are needed to assess and manage the true toll of alcohol consumption for industry employees.


Subject(s)
Alcohol-Related Disorders , Alcoholism , COVID-19 , Adult , Humans , Alcohol Drinking/epidemiology , COVID-19/epidemiology , Risk Factors
4.
PLoS One ; 19(3): e0298300, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38446796

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Unhealthy alcohol consumption is a severe public health problem. But low to moderate alcohol consumption is associated with high subjective well-being, possibly because alcohol is commonly consumed socially together with friends, who often are important for subjective well-being. Disentangling the health and social complexities of alcohol behavior has been difficult using traditional rating scales with cross-section designs. We aim to better understand these complexities by examining individuals' everyday affective subjective well-being language, in addition to rating scales, and via both between- and within-person designs across multiple weeks. METHOD: We used daily language and ecological momentary assessment on 908 US restaurant workers (12692 days) over two-week intervals. Participants were asked up to three times a day to "describe your current feelings", rate their emotions, and report their alcohol behavior in the past 24 hours, including if they were drinking alone or with others. RESULTS: Both between and within individuals, language-based subjective well-being predicted alcohol behavior more accurately than corresponding rating scales. Individuals self-reported being happier on days when drinking more, with language characteristic of these days predominantly describing socializing with friends. Between individuals (over several weeks), subjective well-being correlated much more negatively with drinking alone (r = -.29) than it did with total drinking (r = -.10). Aligned with this, people who drank more alone generally described their feelings as sad, stressed and anxious and drinking alone days related to nervous and annoyed language as well as a lower reported subjective well-being. CONCLUSIONS: Individuals' daily subjective well-being, as measured via language, in part, explained the social aspects of alcohol drinking. Further, being alone explained this relationship, such that drinking alone was associated with lower subjective well-being.


Subject(s)
Ecological Momentary Assessment , Ethanol , Humans , Alcohol Drinking , Language , Self Report
5.
Pain Physician ; 27(1): E65-E77, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38285032

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Chronic low back pain is one of the most common causes of disability, affecting more than 600 million people worldwide with major social and economic costs. Current treatment options include conservative, surgical, and minimally invasive interventional treatment approaches. Novel therapeutic treatment options continue to develop, targeting the biological cascades involved in the degenerative processes to prevent invasive spinal surgical procedures. Both intradiscal platelet-rich plasma (PRP) and bone marrow concentrate (BMC) applications have been introduced as promising regenerative treatment procedures. OBJECTIVES: The primary objective of this study is to assess the safety and effectiveness of an orthobiologic intradiscal injection, PRP or BMC, when compared to control patients. The secondary objectives are to measure: patient satisfaction and incidence of hospitalization, emergency room visit and spine surgery at predetermined follow-up intervals. STUDY DESIGN: A multicenter, prospective, crossover, randomized, controlled trial. SETTING: Comprehensive Spine and Sports Center and participating centers. METHODS: Forty patients were randomized into saline trigger point injection, intradiscal PRP, or BMC. Follow-up was 1, 3, 6, and 12 months posttreatment. Placebo patients were randomized to PRP and BMC injection if < 50% decrease in numeric rating scale (NRS) scores in 3 months, while PRP and BMC patients to the other active group if < 50% decrease in NRS scores in 6 months. RESULTS: Both PRP and BMC demonstrated statistically significant improvement in pain and function. All the placebo patients reported < 50% pain relief and crossed to the active arm. None of the patients had any adverse effects, hospitalization, or surgery up to 12 months posttreatment. LIMITATIONS: The limitations of our study were the small number of patients and open-label nature of the study. CONCLUSION: This is the only human lumbar disc study that evaluates both PRP and BMC in the same study and compares it to placebo. PRP and BMC were found to be superior to placebo in improving pain and function; however, larger randomized clinical trials are needed to answer further questions on the comparative effectiveness of various biologics as well as to identify outcome differences specific to disc pathology.


Subject(s)
Low Back Pain , Humans , Follow-Up Studies , Low Back Pain/drug therapy , Lumbosacral Region , Neurosurgical Procedures , Prospective Studies , Cross-Over Studies
6.
Artif Intell Med ; 135: 102439, 2023 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36628797

ABSTRACT

Opioid overdose (OD) has become a leading cause of accidental death in the United States, and overdose deaths reached a record high during the COVID-19 pandemic. Combating the opioid crisis requires targeting high-need populations by identifying individuals at risk of OD. While deep learning emerges as a powerful method for building predictive models using large scale electronic health records (EHR), it is challenged by the complex intrinsic relationships among EHR data. Further, its utility is limited by the lack of clinically meaningful explainability, which is necessary for making informed clinical or policy decisions using such models. In this paper, we present LIGHTED, an integrated deep learning model combining long short term memory (LSTM) and graph neural networks (GNN) to predict patients' OD risk. The LIGHTED model can incorporate the temporal effects of disease progression and the knowledge learned from interactions among clinical features. We evaluated the model using Cerner's Health Facts database with over 5 million patients. Our experiments demonstrated that the model outperforms traditional machine learning methods and other deep learning models. We also proposed a novel interpretability method by exploiting embeddings provided by GNNs to cluster patients and EHR features respectively, and conducted qualitative feature cluster analysis for clinical interpretations. Our study shows that LIGHTED can take advantage of longitudinal EHR data and the intrinsic graph structure of EHRs among patients to provide effective and interpretable OD risk predictions that may potentially improve clinical decision support.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Opiate Overdose , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Electronic Health Records , Machine Learning , Neural Networks, Computer , Pandemics , Decision Support Systems, Clinical
7.
Regen Med ; 17(11): 845-853, 2022 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36069006

ABSTRACT

In regenerative medicine, cells, tissues and organs are often replaced, engineered or regrown in order to restore their function after they have been damaged or lost. Local anesthetics, corticosteroids and contrast agents are commonly employed for both diagnostic and therapeutic objectives in interventional pain and musculoskeletal treatments for regenerative medicine. There is growing evidence that routine injectables promote catabolism and disease processes. Thus, understanding the effects of these compounds on regenerative medicine injectates and target tissues such as tenocytes, chondrocytes, nucleus pulposus and ligamentous tissue is critical. This review includes the current research on the effects of local anesthetics and contrast agents, as well as their use and recommendations in regenerative medicine operations.


In regenerative medicine, various human organs are often modified to restore their function after being damaged. Various substances are commonly injected in pain and musculoskeletal treatments for regenerative medicine. A growing body of literature indicates that common injectable substances may promote cellular destruction and pathologies. Therefore, understanding their effects on various musculoskeletal tissue and cellular components is critical. This review includes the current research on the effects of local anesthetics and contrast agents, as well as their use and recommendations in regenerative medicine operations.


Subject(s)
Anesthetics, Local , Regenerative Medicine , Anesthetics, Local/pharmacology , Chondrocytes , Contrast Media , Humans , Pain , Regenerative Medicine/methods
8.
Behav Brain Sci ; 45: e110, 2022 07 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35796356

ABSTRACT

Benevolent intersubjectivity developed in parent-infant interactions and compassion toward friend and foe alike are non-violent interventions to group behavior in conflict. Based on a dyadic active inference framework rooted in specific parental brain mechanisms, we suggest that interventions promoting compassion and intersubjectivity can reduce stress, and that compassionate mediation may resolve conflicts.


Subject(s)
Brain , Empathy , Humans , Infant
9.
Medicina (Kaunas) ; 58(4)2022 Apr 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35454376

ABSTRACT

Background and Objectives: Now more than ever, there is an obvious need to reduce the overall burden of disease and risk of premature mortality that are associated with mental health and substance use disorders among young people. However, the current state of research and evidence-based clinical care for high-risk substance use among youth is fragmented and scarce. The objective of the study is to establish consensus for the prevention, treatment, and management of high-risk substance use and overdose among youth (10 to 24 years old). Materials and Methods: A modified Delphi technique was used based on the combination of scientific evidence and clinical experience of a group of 31 experts representing 10 countries. A semi-structured questionnaire with five domains (clinical risks, target populations, intervention goals, intervention strategies, and settings/expertise) was shared with the panelists. Based on their responses, statements were developed, which were subsequently revised and finalized through three iterations of feedback. Results: Among the five major domains, 60 statements reached consensus. Importantly, experts agreed that screening in primary care and other clinical settings is recommended for all youth, and that the objectives of treating youth with high-risk substance use are to reduce harm and mortality while promoting resilience and healthy development. For all substance use disorders, evidence-based interventions should be available and should be used according to the needs and preferences of the patient. Involuntary admission was the only topic that did not reach consensus, mainly due to its ethical implications and resulting lack of comparable evidence. Conclusions: High-risk substance use and overdoses among youth have become a major challenge. The system's response has been insufficient and needs substantial change. Internationally devised consensus statements provide a first step in system improvement and reform.


Subject(s)
Drug Overdose , Substance-Related Disorders , Adolescent , Adult , Child , Drug Overdose/prevention & control , Humans , Mass Screening/methods , Mental Health , Substance-Related Disorders/prevention & control , Surveys and Questionnaires , Young Adult
10.
JMIR Public Health Surveill ; 8(4): e32133, 2022 04 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35412467

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Opioid addiction and overdose have a large burden of disease and mortality in New York State (NYS). The medication naloxone can reverse an overdose, and buprenorphine can treat opioid use disorder. Efforts to increase the accessibility of both medications include a naloxone standing order and a waiver program for prescribing buprenorphine outside a licensed drug treatment program. However, only a slim majority of NYS pharmacies are listed as participating in the naloxone standing order, and less than 7% of prescribers in NYS have a buprenorphine waiver. Therefore, there is a significant opportunity to increase access. OBJECTIVE: Identifying the geographic regions of NYS that are farthest from resources can help target interventions to improve access to naloxone and buprenorphine. To maximize the efficiency of such efforts, we also sought to determine where these underserved regions overlap with the largest numbers of actual patients who have experienced opioid overdose. METHODS: We used address data to assess the spatial distribution of naloxone pharmacies and buprenorphine prescribers. Using the home addresses of patients who had an opioid overdose, we identified geographic locations of resource deficits. We report findings at the high spatial granularity of census tracts, with some neighboring census tracts merged to preserve privacy. RESULTS: We identified several hot spots, where many patients live far from the nearest resource of each type. The highest density of patients in areas far from naloxone pharmacies was found in eastern Broome county. For areas far from buprenorphine prescribers, we identified subregions of Oswego county and Wayne county as having a high number of potentially underserved patients. CONCLUSIONS: Although NYS is home to thousands of naloxone pharmacies and potential buprenorphine prescribers, access is not uniform. Spatial analysis revealed census tract areas that are far from resources, yet contain the residences of many patients who have experienced opioid overdose. Our findings have implications for public health decision support in NYS. Our methods for privacy can also be applied to other spatial supply-demand problems involving sensitive data.


Subject(s)
Buprenorphine , Drug Overdose , Opiate Overdose , Opioid-Related Disorders , Buprenorphine/therapeutic use , Drug Overdose/drug therapy , Drug Overdose/epidemiology , Humans , Naloxone/therapeutic use , Narcotic Antagonists/therapeutic use , New York/epidemiology , Opioid-Related Disorders/drug therapy , Opioid-Related Disorders/epidemiology , Vulnerable Populations
11.
JAMA Netw Open ; 4(5): e2110721, 2021 05 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34014326

ABSTRACT

Importance: Guidelines recommend that adult patients receive screening for alcohol and drug use during primary care visits, but the adoption of screening in routine practice remains low. Clinics frequently struggle to choose a screening approach that is best suited to their resources, workflows, and patient populations. Objective: To evaluate how to best implement electronic health record (EHR)-integrated screening for substance use by comparing commonly used screening methods and examining their association with implementation outcomes. Design, Setting, and Participants: This article presents the outcomes of phases 3 and 4 of a 4-phase quality improvement, implementation feasibility study in which researchers worked with stakeholders at 6 primary care clinics in 2 large urban academic health care systems to define and implement their optimal screening approach. Site A was located in New York City and comprised 2 clinics, and site B was located in Boston, Massachusetts, and comprised 4 clinics. Clinics initiated screening between January 2017 and October 2018, and 93 114 patients were eligible for screening for alcohol and drug use. Data used in the analysis were collected between January 2017 and October 2019, and analysis was performed from July 13, 2018, to March 23, 2021. Interventions: Clinics integrated validated screening questions and a brief counseling script into the EHR, with implementation supported by the use of clinical champions (ie, clinicians who advocate for change, motivate others, and use their expertise to facilitate the adoption of an intervention) and the training of clinic staff. Clinics varied in their screening approaches, including the type of visit targeted for screening (any visit vs annual examinations only), the mode of administration (staff-administered vs self-administered by the patient), and the extent to which they used practice facilitation and EHR usability testing. Main Outcomes and Measures: Data from the EHRs were extracted quarterly for 12 months to measure implementation outcomes. The primary outcome was screening rate for alcohol and drug use. Secondary outcomes were the prevalence of unhealthy alcohol and drug use detected via screening, and clinician adoption of a brief counseling script. Results: Patients of the 6 clinics had a mean (SD) age ranging from 48.9 (17.3) years at clinic B2 to 59.1 (16.7) years at clinic B3, were predominantly female (52.4% at clinic A1 to 64.6% at clinic A2), and were English speaking. Racial diversity varied by location. Of the 93,114 patients with primary care visits, 71.8% received screening for alcohol use, and 70.5% received screening for drug use. Screening at any visit (implemented at site A) in comparison with screening at annual examinations only (implemented at site B) was associated with higher screening rates for alcohol use (90.3%-94.7% vs 24.2%-72.0%, respectively) and drug use (89.6%-93.9% vs 24.6%-69.8%). The 5 clinics that used a self-administered screening approach had a higher detection rate for moderate- to high-risk alcohol use (14.7%-36.6%) compared with the 1 clinic that used a staff-administered screening approach (1.6%). The detection of moderate- to high-risk drug use was low across all clinics (0.5%-1.0%). Clinics with more robust practice facilitation and EHR usability testing had somewhat greater adoption of the counseling script for patients with moderate-high risk alcohol or drug use (1.4%-12.5% vs 0.1%-1.1%). Conclusions and Relevance: In this quality improvement study, EHR-integrated screening was feasible to implement in all clinics and unhealthy alcohol use was detected more frequently when self-administered screening was used at any primary care visit. The detection of drug use was low at all clinics, as was clinician adoption of counseling. These findings can be used to inform the decision-making of health care systems that are seeking to implement screening for substance use. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02963948.


Subject(s)
Alcoholism/diagnosis , Mass Screening/methods , Mass Screening/standards , Practice Guidelines as Topic , Primary Health Care/methods , Primary Health Care/standards , Substance-Related Disorders/diagnosis , Adult , Aged , Boston , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , New York City
12.
JMIR Public Health Surveill ; 7(4): e23426, 2021 04 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33881409

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Opioid overdose-related deaths have increased dramatically in recent years. Combating the opioid epidemic requires better understanding of the epidemiology of opioid poisoning (OP) and opioid use disorder (OUD). OBJECTIVE: We aimed to discover geospatial patterns in nonmedical opioid use and its correlations with demographic features related to despair and economic hardship, most notably the US presidential voting patterns in 2016 at census tract level in New York State. METHODS: This cross-sectional analysis used data from New York Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System claims data and the presidential voting results of 2016 in New York State from the Harvard Election Data Archive. We included 63,958 patients who had at least one OUD diagnosis between 2010 and 2016 and 36,004 patients with at least one OP diagnosis between 2012 and 2016. Geospatial mappings were created to compare areas of New York in OUD rates and presidential voting patterns. A multiple regression model examines the extent that certain factors explain OUD rate variation. RESULTS: Several areas shared similar patterns of OUD rates and Republican vote: census tracts in western New York, central New York, and Suffolk County. The correlation between OUD rates and the Republican vote was .38 (P<.001). The regression model with census tract level of demographic and socioeconomic factors explains 30% of the variance in OUD rates, with disability and Republican vote as the most significant predictors. CONCLUSIONS: At the census tract level, OUD rates were positively correlated with Republican support in the 2016 presidential election, disability, unemployment, and unmarried status. Socioeconomic and demographic despair-related features explain a large portion of the association between the Republican vote and OUD. Together, these findings underscore the importance of socioeconomic interventions in combating the opioid epidemic.


Subject(s)
Opioid-Related Disorders/epidemiology , Politics , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Censuses , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , New York/epidemiology , Young Adult
13.
J Am Med Inform Assoc ; 28(8): 1683-1693, 2021 07 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33930132

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The United States is experiencing an opioid epidemic. In recent years, there were more than 10 million opioid misusers aged 12 years or older annually. Identifying patients at high risk of opioid use disorder (OUD) can help to make early clinical interventions to reduce the risk of OUD. Our goal is to develop and evaluate models to predict OUD for patients on opioid medications using electronic health records and deep learning methods. The resulting models help us to better understand OUD, providing new insights on the opioid epidemic. Further, these models provide a foundation for clinical tools to predict OUD before it occurs, permitting early interventions. METHODS: Electronic health records of patients who have been prescribed with medications containing active opioid ingredients were extracted from Cerner's Health Facts database for encounters between January 1, 2008, and December 31, 2017. Long short-term memory models were applied to predict OUD risk based on five recent prior encounters before the target encounter and compared with logistic regression, random forest, decision tree, and dense neural network. Prediction performance was assessed using F1 score, precision, recall, and area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve. RESULTS: The long short-term memory (LSTM) model provided promising prediction results which outperformed other methods, with an F1 score of 0.8023 (about 0.016 higher than dense neural network (DNN)) and an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.9369 (about 0.145 higher than DNN). CONCLUSIONS: LSTM-based sequential deep learning models can accurately predict OUD using a patient's history of electronic health records, with minimal prior domain knowledge. This tool has the potential to improve clinical decision support for early intervention and prevention to combat the opioid epidemic.


Subject(s)
Deep Learning , Opioid-Related Disorders , Analgesics, Opioid/adverse effects , Databases, Factual , Electronic Health Records , Humans , Opioid-Related Disorders/epidemiology , United States/epidemiology
14.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 5152, 2021 03 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33664282

ABSTRACT

Opioid overdose related deaths have increased dramatically in recent years. Combating the opioid epidemic requires better understanding of the epidemiology of opioid poisoning (OP). To discover trends and patterns of opioid poisoning and the demographic and regional disparities, we analyzed large scale patient visits data in New York State (NYS). Demographic, spatial, temporal and correlation analyses were performed for all OP patients extracted from the claims data in the New York Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System (SPARCS) from 2010 to 2016, along with Decennial US Census and American Community Survey zip code level data. 58,481 patients with at least one OP diagnosis and a valid NYS zip code address were included. Main outcome and measures include OP patient counts and rates per 100,000 population, patient level factors (gender, age, race and ethnicity, residential zip code), and zip code level social demographic factors. The results showed that the OP rate increased by 364.6%, and by 741.5% for the age group > 65 years. There were wide disparities among groups by race and ethnicity on rates and age distributions of OP. Heroin and non-heroin based OP rates demonstrated distinct temporal trends as well as major geospatial variation. The findings highlighted strong demographic disparity of OP patients, evolving patterns and substantial geospatial variation.


Subject(s)
Analgesics, Opioid/adverse effects , Drug Overdose/epidemiology , Heroin/adverse effects , Opioid-Related Disorders/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Age Distribution , Aged , Drug Overdose/pathology , Epidemics , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Opioid-Related Disorders/pathology , Retrospective Studies , Young Adult
15.
J Biomed Inform ; 116: 103725, 2021 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33711546

ABSTRACT

The US is experiencing an opioid epidemic, and opioid overdose is causing more than 100 deaths per day. Early identification of patients at high risk of Opioid Overdose (OD) can help to make targeted preventative interventions. We aim to build a deep learning model that can predict the patients at high risk for opioid overdose and identify most relevant features. The study included the information of 5,231,614 patients from the Health Facts database with at least one opioid prescription between January 1, 2008 and December 31, 2017. Potential predictors (n = 1185) were extracted to build a feature matrix for prediction. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) based models were built to predict overdose risk in the next hospital visit. Prediction performance was compared with other machine learning methods assessed using machine learning metrics. Our sequential deep learning models built upon LSTM outperformed the other methods on opioid overdose prediction. LSTM with attention mechanism achieved the highest F-1 score (F-1 score: 0.7815, AUCROC: 0.8449). The model is also able to reveal top ranked predictive features by permutation important method, including medications and vital signs. This study demonstrates that a temporal deep learning based predictive model can achieve promising results on identifying risk of opioid overdose of patients using the history of electronic health records. It provides an alternative informatics-based approach to improving clinical decision support for possible early detection and intervention to reduce opioid overdose.


Subject(s)
Deep Learning , Opiate Overdose , Analgesics, Opioid/adverse effects , Electronic Health Records , Humans , Prescriptions
17.
J Med Internet Res ; 22(11): e15293, 2020 11 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33245287

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In recent years, both suicide and overdose rates have been increasing. Many individuals who struggle with opioid use disorder are prone to suicidal ideation; this may often result in overdose. However, these fatal overdoses are difficult to classify as intentional or unintentional. Intentional overdose is difficult to detect, partially due to the lack of predictors and social stigmas that push individuals away from seeking help. These individuals may instead use web-based means to articulate their concerns. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to extract posts of suicidality among opioid users on Reddit using machine learning methods. The performance of the models is derivative of the data purity, and the results will help us to better understand the rationale of these users, providing new insights into individuals who are part of the opioid epidemic. METHODS: Reddit posts between June 2017 and June 2018 were collected from r/suicidewatch, r/depression, a set of opioid-related subreddits, and a control subreddit set. We first classified suicidal versus nonsuicidal languages and then classified users with opioid usage versus those without opioid usage. Several traditional baselines and neural network (NN) text classifiers were trained using subreddit names as the labels and combinations of semantic inputs. We then attempted to extract out-of-sample data belonging to the intersection of suicide ideation and opioid abuse. Amazon Mechanical Turk was used to provide labels for the out-of-sample data. RESULTS: Classification results were at least 90% across all models for at least one combination of input; the best classifier was convolutional neural network, which obtained an F1 score of 96.6%. When predicting out-of-sample data for posts containing both suicidal ideation and signs of opioid addiction, NN classifiers produced more false positives and traditional methods produced more false negatives, which is less desirable for predicting suicidal sentiments. CONCLUSIONS: Opioid abuse is linked to the risk of unintentional overdose and suicide risk. Social media platforms such as Reddit contain metadata that can aid machine learning and provide information at a personal level that cannot be obtained elsewhere. We demonstrate that it is possible to use NNs as a tool to predict an out-of-sample target with a model built from data sets labeled by characteristics we wish to distinguish in the out-of-sample target.


Subject(s)
Internet Use/trends , Machine Learning/standards , Opioid-Related Disorders/complications , Social Media/standards , Suicide/psychology , Female , Humans , Male , Natural Language Processing , Opioid-Related Disorders/psychology
18.
Radiol Clin North Am ; 58(6): 1009-1018, 2020 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33040844

ABSTRACT

Thyroid nodules are a common clinical problem encountered in an endocrine practice. More and more thyroid nodules are now being detected on unrelated imaging studies, leading to an increased diagnosis of low-risk thyroid cancers. There is therefore a greater emphasis on risk assessment based on clinical and sonographic features to avoid morbidity secondary to unnecessary therapy. Molecular diagnostics are also being widely used to further characterize indeterminate nodules. The American Thyroid Association and American College of Radiology-Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System guidelines are the most commonly used in clinical practice for risk assessment.


Subject(s)
Practice Guidelines as Topic , Thyroid Neoplasms/diagnosis , Thyroid Nodule/diagnosis , Ultrasonography, Doppler/methods , Biopsy, Needle , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Neoplasm Invasiveness/pathology , Neoplasm Staging , Risk Assessment , Societies, Medical , Survival Analysis , Thyroid Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging , Thyroid Neoplasms/epidemiology , Thyroid Neoplasms/pathology , Thyroid Nodule/diagnostic imaging , Thyroid Nodule/epidemiology , Thyroid Nodule/pathology , United States
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