ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: This study sought to validate the ability of amplitude spectrum area (AMSA) to predict defibrillation success and long-term survival in a large population of out-of-hospital cardiac arrests. METHODS AND RESULTS: ECGs recorded by automated external defibrillators from different manufacturers were obtained from patients with cardiac arrests occurring in 8 city areas. A database, including 2447 defibrillations from 1050 patients, was used as the derivation group, and an additional database, including 1381 defibrillations from 567 patients, served as validation. A 2-second ECG window before defibrillation was analyzed, and AMSA was calculated. Univariable and multivariable regression analyses and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve were used for associations between AMSA and study end points: defibrillation success, sustained return of spontaneous circulation, and long-term survival. Among the 2447 defibrillations of the derivation database, 26.2% were successful. AMSA was significantly higher before a successful defibrillation than a failing one (13 ± 5 versus 6.8 ± 3.5 mV-Hz) and was an independent predictor of defibrillation success (odds ratio, 1.33; 95% confidence interval, 1.20-1.37) and sustained return of spontaneous circulation (odds ratio, 1.22; 95% confidence interval, 1.17-1.26). Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for defibrillation success prediction was 0.86 (95% confidence interval, 0.85-0.88). AMSA was also significantly associated with long-term survival. The following AMSA thresholds were identified: 15.5 mV-Hz for defibrillation success and 6.5 mV-Hz for defibrillation failure. In the validation database, AMSA ≥ 15.5 mV-Hz had a positive predictive value of 84%, whereas AMSA ≤ 6.5 mV-Hz had a negative predictive value of 98%. CONCLUSIONS: In this large derivation-validation study, AMSA was validated as an accurate predictor of defibrillation success. AMSA also appeared as a predictor of long-term survival.
Subject(s)
Defibrillators/standards , Electric Countershock/standards , Electrocardiography/standards , Ventricular Fibrillation/physiopathology , Ventricular Fibrillation/therapy , Aged , Electric Countershock/methods , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Retrospective StudiesABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: Before the introduction of the new international cardiac arrest treatment guidelines in 2005, patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) of cardiac origin in Northern Italy had very poor prognosis. Since 2006, a new bundle of care comprising use of automated external defibrillators (AEDs) and therapeutic hypothermia (TH) was started, while extracorporeal CPR program (ECPR) for selected refractory CA and dispatcher-assisted cardio-pulmonary resuscitation (CPR) was started in January 2010. OBJECTIVES: We hypothesized that a program of bundled care might improve outcome of OHCA patients. METHODS: We analyzed data collected in the OHCA registry of the MB area between September 2007 and August 2011 and compared this with data from 2000 to 2003. RESULTS: Between 2007 and 2011, 1128 OHCAs occurred in the MB area, 745 received CPR and 461 of these had a CA of presumed cardiac origin. Of these, 125 (27%) achieved sustained ROSC, 60 (13%) survived to 1 month, of whom 51 (11%) were discharged from hospital with a good neurological outcome (CPC≤2), and 9 with a poor neurological outcome (CPC>2). Compared with data from the 2000 to 2003 periods, survival increased from 5.6% to 13.01% (p<0.0001). In the 2007-2011 group, low-flow time and bystander CPR were independent markers of survival. CONCLUSIONS: OHCA survival has improved in our region. An increased bystander CPR rate associated with dispatcher-assisted CPR was the most significant cause of increased survival, but duration of CA remains critical for patient outcome.