[Prediction of renal transplantation outcome using artificial neural networks and investigating important risk factors].

BACKGROUND: Renal Transplantation is the final choice for some patients with ESRD (End-Stage Renal Disease), but some transplantations suffer from acute or chronic rejection, so its very important to predict the outcome of transplantation. METHOD: s. The dataset was extracted from records of 4572 patients with kidney transplantations. We applied an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model to predict transplantation outcome. Moreover, novel features have been explored which enhanced the prediction performance. RESULTS: The results show that the well configured neural networks can predict renal transplant outcome with a sensitivity and specificity of higher than 86%. The results show creatinine is the most important risk factor that affects the renal transplantation outcome. CONCLUSION: The designed neural networks can properly predict the transplantation outcome with the accuracy of 86%. Recipient creatinine is the most important variable in the prediction of the renal outcome.

From designing minimum data set to developing kidney transplantation registry in Iran.

Objective: Currently, population growth and increasing life expectancy are becoming one of the biggest public health challenges in the world, which has increased the prevalence of chronic diseases such as end-stage renal disease and the need for kidney transplantation. The use of a variety of registries has the potential to determine the effectiveness of clinical care and costs and improve the quality of patient care. The aim of this study is to design minimum data set to develop a kidney transplantation registry in Iran to improve the quality of care for people with end-stage renal disease. Methods: The present research is descriptive-applied. The minimum data set was reviewed and evaluated in expert panel meetings. The various elements of the minimum data set were discussed, and specialists in urology, nephrology, health information management, and medical informatics presented their views. Results: The characteristics of the kidney transplantation registry in the form of eight axes of purpose, structure, data sources, minimum data set, classification systems, data processing and reporting, distribution and access to information, and data quality were extracted and finally these characteristics were approved by experts. The relevant tables were validated and were within the acceptable range from the point of view of experts. Conclusion: In developing a kidney transplantation registry in Iran, the necessary requirements and features for designing a web-based registry have been considered. The prototype of this registry in the country will help to collect higher quality data. It is hoped that by developing this registry, a step will be taken to better manage the information on people with end-stage renal disease, provide better services to these patients, and facilitate related research.

A Prospective Study on Risk Factors for Acute Kidney Injury and All-Cause Mortality in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients From Tehran (Iran).

Background: Several reports suggested that acute kidney injury (AKI) is a relatively common occurrence in hospitalized COVID-19 patients, but its prevalence is inconsistently reported across different populations. Moreover, it is unknown whether AKI results from a direct infection of the kidney by SARS-CoV-2 or it is a consequence of the physiologic disturbances and therapies used to treat COVID-19. We aimed to estimate the prevalence of AKI since it varies by geographical settings, time periods, and populations studied and to investigate whether clinical information and laboratory findings collected at hospital admission might influence AKI incidence (and mortality) in a particular point in time during hospitalization for COVID-19. Methods: Herein we conducted a prospective longitudinal study investigating the prevalence of AKI and associated factors in 997 COVID-19 patients admitted to the Baqiyatallah general hospital of Tehran (Iran), collecting both clinical information and several dates (of: birth; hospital admission; AKI onset; ICU admission; hospital discharge; death). In order to examine how the clinical factors influenced AKI incidence and all-cause mortality during hospitalization, survival analysis using the Cox proportional-hazard models was adopted. Two separate multiple Cox regression models were fitted for each outcome (AKI and death). Results: In this group of hospitalized COVID-19 patients, the prevalence of AKI was 28.5% and the mortality rate was 19.3%. AKI incidence was significantly enhanced by diabetes, hyperkalemia, higher levels of WBC count, and blood urea nitrogen (BUN). COVID-19 patients more likely to die over the course of their hospitalization were those presenting a joint association between ICU admission with either severe COVID-19 or even mild/moderate COVID-19, hypokalemia, and higher levels of BUN, WBC, and LDH measured at hospital admission. Diabetes and comorbidities did not increase the mortality risk among these hospitalized COVID-19 patients. Conclusions: Since the majority of patients developed AKI after ICU referral and 40% of them were admitted to ICU within 2 days since hospital admission, these patients may have been already in critical clinical conditions at admission, despite being affected by a mild/moderate form of COVID-19, suggesting the need of early monitoring of these patients for the onset of eventual systemic complications.

A rare case of coexistence of Wegener's granulomatosis and pulmonary tuberculosis with subsequent development of thrombosis of the cerebral veins.

BACKGROUND: Granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA), also known as Wegener's granulomatosis, is an idiopathic systemic disease typically affecting the lungs, although other organs may also be involved. CASE PRESENTATION: A 28-year-old male was admitted to Baqiyatallah university hospital in Teheran (Iran) after a 3-week history of fever and productive cough. The patient gradually developed fatigue, arthralgia, hematuria, nausea, vomiting, dyspnea, hemoptysis, weight loss, oliguria and then anuria. Chest-X-ray (CXR) and computerized tomography scan revealed cavitating nodular opacities in the right lung lobe. Furthermore, plasma creatinine increased from 2.2 to 4 mg/dl in a few days. Histopathological examination of kidney biopsy revealed peri-glomerular and peri-vascular inflammation, degeneration and necrosis of the tubular epithelial lining, red blood cell casts, distorted glomerular structure, fibrin thrombi, segmental breaks of the glomerular basal membrane, disruption of Bowman's capsular membrane and crescent formation of the affected glomeruli. An abnormal CXR, an abnormal urinary sediment and a typical kidney histology were used as criteria to diagnose glomerulonefritis with poliangiitis (GPA). Bronchoalveolar lavage smear and PCR turned out positive for mycobacterium tuberculosis. After 3 months of treatment for (GPA) and tuberculosis the patient developed headache and seizure. Cerebral Magnetic Resonance Venography revealed cerebral venous thrombosis of the sinus transverse and sigmoid. CONCLUSIONS: Tuberculosis may coexist with GPA, as it occurred in our patient. Since a crescentic glomerulonephritis can progress to renal failure, clinicians should always be aware of potential multiple conditions when considering differential diagnoses.

Is Social Distancing Policy Effective in Controlling COVID-19? An Interrupted Time Series Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: The social distancing plan is one of the ways that was implemented for management of COVID-19 pandemic. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of the social distancing on reducing the daily new cases and deaths from COVID-19. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, the data of daily new cases and daily deaths were collected from 15/02/2020 to 19/04/2020. Changes in the level and trend of daily new cases and daily deaths before and after the implementation of social distancing plan were evaluated using interrupted time series (ITS) analysis in STATA software. RESULTS: The post-intervention trend had a decrease of 102 new cases per day and 7 new deaths per day compared to the pre-intervention trend (p < 0.001). Moreover, in the post-intervention period, the daily new cases had a decrease of 58 new cases per day and 2 new deaths per day (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: It Could be concluded that social distancing plan directly affects the new daily cases and new daily deaths.

Iranian kidney transplant recipients with COVID-19 infection: Clinical outcomes and cytomegalovirus coinfection.

BACKGROUND: There is a high risk of COVID-19 in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) because of chronic immunosuppression and severe cytomegalovirus (CMV) pneumonitis. CASE PRESENTATION: A case series of 10 KTRs with COVID-19 in Iran was developed. Participants consisted of two female and eight male patients, aged 46-68 years old. The data related to clinical laboratory tests, outcomes, diagnosis, and drug treatments were collected. The RT-PCR confirmed the COVID-19 infection in KTRs. The assessment of serum biochemical and blood hematological factors showed that there was a strong correlation between COVID-19 intensity and high serum Cr, BUN, and ALT levels, high CRP concentration, and lower lymphocyte and platelet counts in male KTRs. Ground-glass opacity (GGO) was the main radiologic pattern visible on both chest radiographs of computed tomography scans. The COVID-19 and CMV coinfection in KTRs resulted in large-size kidneys with severe parenchymal echogenicity and hydronephrosis. The combined use of effective antibiotic and antiviral drugs was suitable to prevent COVID-19 progression in KTRs. CONCLUSIONS: The coincidence of COVID-19 and CMV in KTRs may potentially increase the mortality risk of patients. The levels of Cr, BUN, ALT, and CRP as well as lymphocytes count in these patients should be continuously controlled.

Bio-Fe3O4 Magnetic Nanoparticles Promoted Green Synthesis of thioxo- 1,3-Oxazole Derivatives: Study of Antimicrobial and Antioxidant Activity.

AIMS AND OBJECTIVE: In this work, 1,3-oxazoles were generated using the multicomponent reaction of α-bromo ketones, alkyl (aryl) isothiocyanates, sodium hydride and Fe3O4 MNPs in the water at room temperature in good yields. The nanoparticles generated via the biosynthesis method have potential value in different purposes, such as organic synthesis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: To study the antioxidant ability of some synthesized thioxo-1,3-oxazoles, diphenyl-picrylhydrazine (DPPH) radical trapping and power of ferric reduction testes are employed. Among the studied thioxo-1,3-oxazoles, compound 4b have good power for radical trapping and reduction activity than the standard antioxidants such as BHT and TBHQ. In addition, the antimicrobial activity of some thioxo-1,3-oxazoles was studied, employing the disk diffusion test on Gram-positive bacteria and Gram-negative bacteria. The results of the disk diffusion test showed that compounds 4a, 4b, 4d and 4f prevented bacterial growth. RESULTS: Without employing catalyst, these reactions have low yield and busy mixture. The synthesis of compound 4a as sample reaction has a similar yield in the presence of ZnO-NPs and Fe3O4 MNPs (entry 20 and entry 30), but the removal of catalyst from the mixture of reaction after the completion of the reaction is comfortable in the presence of Fe3O4 MNPs. Structures of compound 4a-4i are confirmed by IR, 1H NMR and 13C NMR mass spectra. CONCLUSION: The reaction of α-bromo ketones, isothiocyanate and sodium hydride in the presence of the catalytic amount of Fe3O4 MNPs in water generates 1,3-oxazole derivatives in good yields. Some of the advantages of performing these reactions with the present procedure are to carry out these reactions in water as a green solvent and simple removal of catalyst.

Pulmonary endarteritis and endocarditis complicated with septic embolism: a case report and review of the literature.

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary endarteritis is a rare clinical phenomenon with congenital heart that can potentially lead to major complications. CASE PRESENTATION: We report a 47-year-old man with pulmonary endarteritis. This patient presented with hypertension, chest pain and a previous history of pulmonary valve disease during childhood. Also, eight-months prior, he was hospitalized with dyspnea (Functional Class III), cough, phlegm, and night sweats without fever. Echocardiographic diagnosis in the first transtransthoracic echocardiography (TTE) was intense pulmonary valve stenosis (PVS) an, thus, the pulmonary valve vegetation and PVS, established by transesophageal echocardiography (TEE). He was referred for surgery after 1 weeks of intravenous antibiotic therapy for removal of the vegetation. CONCLUSIONS: Finally he was asymptomatic at 3-months of follow-up and was clinically in good condition. Therefore, the detection of infective endocarditis of the lung valve must not lengthy be prolonged.

Withdrawn Notice: Green Synthesis of Furo-1,3-oxazole Derivatives using Fe3O4-MNPs as Efficient Nanocatalyst: Study of Antimicrobial Activity

The article has been withdrawn at the request of the authors and editor of the journal Combinatorial Chemistry & High Throughput Screening.Bentham Science apologizes to the readers of the journal for any inconvenience this may have caused. BENTHAM SCIENCE DISCLAIMER: It is a condition of publication that manuscripts submitted to this journal have not been published and will not be simultaneously submitted or published elsewhere. Furthermore, any data, illustration, structure or table that has been published elsewhere must be reported, and copyright permission for reproduction must be obtained. Plagiarism is strictly forbidden, and by submitting the article for publication the authors agree that the publishers have the legal right to take appropriate action against the authors, if plagiarism or fabricated information is discovered. By submitting a manuscript the authors agree that the copyright of their article is transferred to the publishers if and when the article is accepted for publication.

Detection of significant left renal artery stenosis caused by fibromuscular dysplasia with selective angiography.

A 22-year-old female, was referred with a history of a headache and elevated blood pressure without family history of hypertension or familial dyslipidemia. Initially, a spiral computed tomographic angiography of the renal arteries was conducted, demonstrating completely abnormal left renal artery at the medial portion of the vessel with suspicious stenosis, which was supposed to be due to fibromuscular dysplasia (FMD). Subsequently, the patient underwent selective renal angiography and balloon angioplasty. Severe stenosis was observed on the left side and moderate stenosis on the right side in the medial and proximal part of the vessels, respectively. After the diagnosis of FMD, the left side was treated by balloon and finally, the patient was discharged with good control of blood pressure by losartan/amlodipine treatment.

Longitudinal Serum Creatinine Levels in Relation to Graft Loss Following Renal Transplantation: Robust Joint Modeling of Longitudinal Measurements and Survival Time Data.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a major public health problem that may lead to end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Renal transplantation has become the treatment modality of choice for the majority of patients with ESRD. It is therefore necessary to monitor the disease progression of patients who have undergone renal transplantation. In order to monitor the disease progression, the continuous assessment of kidney function over time is considered. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to investigate the etiological role of recipient characteristics in serum creatinine changes within the follow-up period and in relation to the graft failure risk, as well as to evaluate whether or not the serum creatinine level represents an indicator of graft failure following renal transplantation. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study was conducted at the department of nephrology, Baqiyatallah Hospital, Baqiyatallah University of Medical Sciences, between April 2005 and December 2008. The study involved 413 renal transplantation patients. The primary outcomes were the determination of the serum creatinine levels at each attendance and the time to graft failure. Robust joint modeling of the longitudinal measurements (serum creatinine level) and time-to-event data (time to graft failure) were used for the analysis in the presence of outliers in the serum creatinine levels. The data analysis was implemented in WinBUGS 1.4.3. RESULTS: There was a positive association between the serum creatinine level and graft failure (HR = 5.13, P < 0.001). A one unit increase in the serum creatinine level suggests an increased risk of graft failure of up to 5.13 times. The serum creatinine level significantly decreased over time (95% CI: (-1.58, -1.08)). The recipient's age was negatively associated with the serum creatinine level (95% CI: (-0.02, -0.001)). CONCLUSIONS: Graft failure is more likely to occur in patients with higher serum creatinine levels.

Longitudinal Assessment of Serum Creatinine Levels on Graft Survival After Renal Transplantation: Joint Modeling Approach.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a major public health problem. The eventual outcome of CKD is end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Early diagnosis and proper management play an important role in preventing CKD progression to ESRD. Dialysis and kidney transplantation are the only treatment options available for patients suffering from ESRD. OBJECTIVES: This study was designed to investigate the etiological role of recipient and donor characteristics on serum creatinine changes within the follow-up period, graft failure risk, and the impact of longitudinal serum creatinine levels on graft survival after renal transplantation. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This study was carried out at the department of nephrology, Baqiyatallah hospital, Baqiyatallah University, Tehran, Iran, between April 2005 and December 2008. During that time period, 461 patients who had undergone renal transplantation were entered in the current study. Time to graft loss and serum creatinine levels at each visit were the primary data gathered for the study. A joint modeling of survival and longitudinal nonsurvival data was used to assess the association between the two processes and investigate the influential factors. RESULTS: Median follow-up time was 6.80 months. A linear decreasing trend in serum creatinine level over time was found (P < 0.001). The results showed a positive correlation between serum creatinine levels and risk of graft failure (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The major finding of this study is that one unit increase in serum creatinine level suggests an increased risk of graft failure of up to four times.

Preventive Effect of Atorvastatin (80 mg) on Contrast-Induced Nephropathy After Angiography in High-Risk Patients: Double-Blind Randomized Clinical Trial.

BACKGROUND: Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) is one of the most important complications of angiography in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) or diabetes mellitus. The prevention of CIN can decrease therapeutic costs and hospital stays. There is controversy in the literature over the preventive effect of statins on CIN. OBJECTIVES: This study was designed to evaluate the preventive effect of atorvastatin on CIN after angiography in CKD and diabetic patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In this placebo-controlled, double-blind clinical trial, patients with diabetes mellitus or CKD (15 < GFR < 60 mL/min, Cr > 1.5 mg/dL) and an age range of 55 - 75 years candidated for angiography were included. The patients were randomized to 2 groups: one group receiving atorvastatin (80 mg/d from 48 h before angiography) and the other one receiving a placebo. All the patients received intravenous isotonic saline and N-acetylcysteine. CIN was defined as an increase in serum creatinine more than 0.5 mg/dL or more than 25% from the baseline values. RESULTS: Totally, 220 patients at a mean age of 63.85 ± 8.89 years and a mean body mass index of 31.41 ± 5.99 kg/m(2) were evaluated. In comparison of before-after values, there was a significant increase in serum creatinine in the placebo group (P = 0.000). The incidence of CIN was significantly higher in the control group 24 hours after angiography (P = 0.010); however, at a 48-hour interval, there was no significant difference in CIN between the 2 groups. CONCLUSIONS: Standard hydration and N-acetylcysteine and atorvastatin (80 mg) reduced the incidence of CIN, and this regimen was more effective than was the regimen of hydration and N-acetylcysteine (without atorvastatin) in decreasing CIN. Accordingly, it is reasonable to prescribe atorvastatin before angiography in high-risk patients.

Cardiac rehabilitation using the Family-Centered Empowerment Model versus home-based cardiac rehabilitation in patients with myocardial infarction: a randomised controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: To determine if a hybrid cardiac rehabilitation (CR) programme using the Family-Centered Empowerment Model (FCEM) as compared with standard CR will improve patient quality of life, perceived stress and state anxiety of patients with myocardial infarction (MI). METHODS: We conducted a randomised controlled trial in which patients received either standard home CR or CR using the FCEM strategy. Patient empowerment was measured with FCEM questionnaires preintervention and postintervention for a total of 9 assessments. Quality of life, perceived stress, and state and trait anxiety were assessed using the 36-Item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36), the 14-item Perceived Stress, and the 20-item State and 20-item Trait Anxiety questionnaires, respectively. RESULTS: 70 patients were randomised. Baseline characteristics were similar. Ejection fraction was significantly higher in the intervention group at measurements 2 (p=0.01) and 3 (p=0.001). Exercise tolerance measured as walking distance was significantly improved in the intervention group throughout the study. The quality of life results in the FCEM group showed significant improvement both within the group over time (p<0.0001) and when compared with control (p<0.0001). Similarly, the perceived stress and state anxiety results showed significant improvement both within the FCEM group over time (p<0.0001) and when compared with control (p<0.0001). No significant difference was found either within or between groups for trait anxiety. CONCLUSIONS: The family-centred empowerment model may be an effective hybrid cardiac rehabilitation method for improving the physical and mental health of patients post-MI; however, further study is needed to validate these findings. Clinical Trials.gov identifier NCT02402582. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT02402582.

Psychological Aspects in Children and Adolescents With Major Thalassemia: A Case-Control Study.

BACKGROUND: Thalassemia is an inherited blood disease. It is a serious public health problem throughout the Mediterranean region, the Middle East and the Indian subcontinent, as well as in Southeast Asia. OBJECTIVES: Thalassemia is an inherited blood disease. It is a serious public health problem. In this study we assessed psychological aspects in Iranian children and adolescents with thalassemia major. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In this case-control study sixty healthy subjects aged 7-18 years and Sixty Patients with confirmed diagnosis of major thalassemia were enrolled. After obtaining informed consent from parents of all participating thalassemia patients and healthycontrols, we assessed psychological aspects and quality of life by Pediatric Quality of LifeTM (PedsQL™), Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaires (SDQ), State and Trait Anxiety, Children's Depression Inventory (CDI). RESULTS: The results of this study indicate that there are significant changes in depression, anxiety, QOL and behavioral screening between children with thalassemia major compared with healthy subjects by means of both parents and children reports. According to the results, children with thalassemia major have more psychological problems than healthy ones. Patients with thalassemia have a lower QOL than their peers (P = 0.001), the rate of depression is higher in this group (P = 0.015), Also behavioral problems in these children are more than healthy subjects (P = 0.009). CONCLUSIONS: We recommend appropriate treatment and counseling procedures in addition to specific treatment of thalassemia. According to the results we suggest to establish pediatric psychiatric clinics beside thalassemic clinics to cure psychological aspects of the disease.

Sleep quality among Iranian hemodialysis patients: a multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: Sleep disorders are prevalent complication in patients with end-stage renal disease undergoing hemodialysis (HD). The factors affecting sleep quality (SQ) of patients on HD have not been completely recognized yet. In addition, some studies have shown that poor SQ increases the risk of mortality in patients on HD. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to identify the prevalence of poor SQ and its associated risk factors in Iranian patients on HD. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This cross-sectional and multicenter study was conducted on 6878 patients on HD from 132 dialysis centers in Iran. Sleep domain of disease specific core of KDCS-SF questionnaire and generic core of this questionnaire (SF-36) were used to assess patients' SQ and quality of life (QoL), respectively. A poor SQ was defined as a score of ≤ 61.2. Logistic and linear regression analyses were applied to assess predictors of SQ and their associations. RESULTS: The mean age of patients was 54.4 ± 17.1 years and 39.7% of patients were > 60 years old. The majority of our patients had poor SQ (60.6%). Patients with diabetes mellitus were significantly more likely to have poor quality of sleep (63.4%). In logistic regression analysis, there were significant correlation between good SQ and younger age, shorter dialysis vintage, less muscle cramp, high QoL, high cognitive function score, and high sexual function. In addition, linear regression showed a significant association among SQ, QoL, and hospital stay as an outcome. CONCLUSIONS: With improving some factors and QoL of patients on HD, we can promote SQ in these patients that it might lead to reduction in length of hospital stay.

Risk Factors of Graft Survival After Diagnosis of Post-kidney Transplant Malignancy: Using Cox Proportional Hazard Model.

BACKGROUND: All recipients of kidney transplantation, especially those with posttransplant malignancy, are at risk of long-term graft failure. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of our study was to evaluate the risk factors associated with graft survival after diagnosis of malignancy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: To reach this purpose, we conducted a historical cohort study in Iran and 266 cases with posttransplant malignancy were followed up from diagnosis of malignancy until long-term graft loss or the date of last visit. These patients were taken as a census from 16 Transplant Centers in Iran during 22 years follow-up period since October 1984 to December 2008. A Cox proportional hazards model was performed to determine the important independent predictors of graft survival after malignancy. RESULTS: At the end of the study, long-term graft failure was seen in 27 (10.2%) cases. One-year and 2-year graft survival after diagnosis of cancer were 93.6% and 91.7%, respectively. The univariate analysis showed that the incidence of chronic graft loss was significantly higher in male patients with solid cancers, withdrawal of immunosuppressant regimen, no response to treatment, and tumor metastasis. In continuation, the Cox model indicated that the significant risk factors associated with graft survival were type of cancer (P < 0.0001), response to treatment (P < 0.0001, HR = 0.14, 95% CI: 0.06 - 0.32), metastasis (P < 0.0001, HR = 5.68, 95% CI: 2.24 - 14.42), and treatment modality (P = 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: By controlling the modifiable risk factors and modality of treatment in our study, physicians can reach more effective treatment.

Chronic graft loss and death in patients with post-transplant malignancy in living kidney transplantation: a competing risk analysis.

BACKGROUND: Malignancy is a common complication after renal transplantation. Death with functioning graft and chronic graft loss are two competing outcomes in patients with post-transplant malignancies. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of our study was to evaluate the risk factors associated with cumulative incidence of these two outcomes. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Fine-Gray model was used for 266 cases with post-transplant malignancy in Iran. These patients were followed-up from the diagnosis until the date of last visit, chronic graft loss, or death, subsequently. RESULTS: At the end of the study, as competing events, chronic graft loss and death with functioning graft were seen in 27 (10.2%) and 53 cases (19.9%), respectively, while 186 cases (69.9%) were accounted as censored. The incidence rate of death was approximately two-time of the incidence rate of chronic graft loss (8.6 vs. 4.4 per 100 person-years). In multivariate analysis, significant risk factors associated with cumulative incidence of death included age (P < 0.007, subhazard ratio (SHR) = 1.03), type of cancer (P < 0.0001), and response to treatment (P < 0.0001, SHR = 0.027). The significant risk factors associated with cumulative incidence of chronic graft loss were gender (P = 0.05, SHR = 0.37), treatment modality (P < 0.0001), and response to treatment (P = 0.048, SHR = 0.47). CONCLUSIONS: Using these factors, nephrologists may predict the occurrence of graft loss or death. If the probability of graft loss was higher, physicians can decrease the immunosuppressive medications dosage to decrease the incidence of graft loss.