Risk perception of IQOS™ and cigarettes: Temporal and cross-country comparisons.

Background: Risk perception (RP) is central to smokers' decision to switch to smoke-free tobacco and nicotine products (TNP). This study assessed temporal trends in the health RP of a novel heated tobacco product, IQOS TM , relative to cigarettes, among current IQOS TM users. Methods: The analyses included repeated cross-sectional data from online surveys in Germany (2018-19), Italy (2018-19), and Japan (2016-17, 2017-18, and 2018-19) among a random sample of current adult IQOS TM users from local registers of IQOS TM users. The health RPs of cigarettes and IQOS TM were assessed using the ABOUT™-Perceived Risk instrument, and their difference was described as the relative RP of IQOS TM to cigarettes (RPCig: IQOS TM ). Results: After adjustment for covariates, the relative RPCig: IQOS TM was higher in 2018 than in 2019 (0.93; standard error, 0.33; P = 0.005). This was driven by an increase in the RP of IQOS TM over time in Italy (2018: 42.6 [95% CI, 41.6-43.5]; 2019: 44.4 [43.4-45.4]) and Japan (2017: 44.0 [43.1-44.9); 2018: 45.9 [45.2-46.7]; 2019: 48.6 [47.9-49.4]), while the RP of cigarettes remained stable. Conclusions: The relative RP of IQOS TM decreased over time, driven by an increase in the RP of IQOS TM , in agreement with epidemiological studies indicating a temporal reduction in the relative RP of smoke-free TNPs. Continued surveillance of the RP of novel TNPs is warranted to inform effective TNP risk communication and ensure that adults smokers who would otherwise continue to smoke understand the relative risks of novel TNPs.

Prevalence and patterns of tobacco and/or nicotine product use in Japan (2017) after the launch of a heated tobacco product ( IQOS®): a cross-sectional study.

Background: Several smoke-free tobacco and/or nicotine-containing products (TNP) have emerged in recent years to support tobacco harm reduction strategies and reduce individual health risks and population harm relative to continued cigarette smoking. This paper describes the nationwide prevalence and patterns of TNP use in Japan following the commercialization of one such smoke-free TNP, the heated tobacco product IQOS® (Philip Morris International).   Methods: We analyzed the first annual data (2016-2017) of two repeated cross-sectional surveys conducted in a representative sample of the Japanese general adult population (N = 4,878) and a sample of adult IQOS users (N = 2,000). We assessed the prevalence of current TNP use according to type of product (cigarettes, IQOS, e-cigarettes, and other TNPs) in the general population and patterns of TNP use in the IQOS user sample. Results: The prevalence of current use across all TNP in the general adult population was 18.5% (95% confidence interval 17.2-19.5%), with 17.5% (16.4-18.6%) for cigarette smoking and 1.8% (1.4-2.2%) for IQOS use. With regard to the distribution of patterns of use in the IQOS user survey, the majority (63.4% [61.2-65.6%]) were exclusive users of IQOS, followed by 20.6% (18.7-22.5%) of individuals who reported dual use of IQOS and cigarettes. Conclusions: In Japan, cigarette smoking remains the most prevalent way of consuming TNP; however, IQOS is being adopted by a growing number of adult Japanese smokers. These findings serve as baseline data for monitoring trends over time in the use and adoption of potential smoke-free TNP in Japan.

Potential predictors of adoption of the Tobacco Heating System by U.S. adult smokers: An actual use study.

Background: This was a pre-market, observational, actual use study with the Tobacco Heating System (THS), a candidate modified risk tobacco product. The main goal of the study was to describe THS adoption within current adult daily smokers by replicating the usage of THS in real-world conditions with participants being able to consume cigarettes, THS, and any other nicotine-containing products (e.g., e-cigarettes, cigars, etc.) ad libitum. Methods: This study assessed self-reported stick-by-stick consumption of THS compared with the use of commercial cigarettes over six weeks. The aim of the analysis was to identify potential predictors for adoption of THS using stepwise logistic regression analysis. Results: By the end of the observational period (in Week 6), 14.6% of participants (n=965) had adopted THS meaning that THS formed 70% or more of their total tobacco consumption. The main predictors of adoption were the liking of the smell, taste, aftertaste, and ease of use of THS. The proportion of adoption was higher in participants aged 44 years and older and in Hispanic or Latino adult smokers. Additionally, adoption of THS was more likely in participants who had never attempted to quit smoking and in participants who smoked up to 10 cigarettes per day. Finally, the adoption of THS was higher in participants who consumed both regular and menthol THS compared with those who consumed only one THS variant. Conclusions: The findings suggest that the introduction of THS in the U.S. has the potential to result in adoption by current adult smokers who would otherwise continue to smoke cigarettes, and that the adoption of THS is unlikely to result in an increase of tobacco consumption. Post-marketing studies will provide further insights on THS adoption and THS use patterns to allow assessment of the impact of the THS at the individual and the overall population level.