Respiratory Syncytial Virus Sequelae Among Adults in High-Income Countries: A Systematic Literature Review and Meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) can cause severe respiratory infections in adults; however, information on associated sequelae is limited. This systematic literature review aimed to identify sequelae in adults within 1 year following RSV-related hospitalization or resolution of acute infection. METHODS: Studies were identified from Embase, MEDLINE, LILACS, SciELO, and grey literature. Random-effects meta-analyses using restricted maximum likelihood were used to calculate the proportions and relative risks of sequelae in patients with RSV compared with controls (patients with RSV-negative influenza-like illness, influenza, and parainfluenza) per follow-up period, population, and treatment setting, where possible. RESULTS: Twenty-one relevant studies covering the period from 1990 to 2019 were included. Among the general population, the most frequent clinical sequela was sustained function loss (33.5% [95% CI 27.6-39.9]). Decline in lung function and cardiovascular event or congestive heart failure were also identified. Utilization sequelae were readmission (highest at > 6 months after discharge) and placement in a skilled nursing facility. The only subpopulation with data regarding sequelae was transplant patients. Among lung transplant patients, the most frequently reported clinical sequelae were decline in lung function, followed by graft dysfunction and bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome. Pooled relative risks were calculated for the following sequela with controls (primarily influenza-positive patients): cardiovascular event (general population) and pulmonary impairment (hematogenic-transplant patients) both 1.4 (95% CI 1.0-2.0) and for readmission (general population) 1.2 (95% CI 1.1-1.3). CONCLUSIONS: Although less data are available for RSV than for influenza or other lower respiratory tract infections, RSV infection among adults is associated with medically important sequelae, with a prevalence similar to other respiratory pathogens. RSV sequelae should be included in disease burden estimates.

Cost-effectiveness and impact on infections and associated antimicrobial resistance of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in US children previously immunized with PCV13.

AIM: The US Food and Drug Administration approved the 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) to prevent pneumococcal disease. In the context of routine PCV20 vaccination, we evaluated the cost-effectiveness and public health and economic impact of a PCV20 catch-up program and estimated the number of antibiotic prescriptions and antibiotic-resistant infections averted. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A population-based, multi-cohort, decision-analytic Markov model was developed using parameters consistent with previous PCV20 cost-effectiveness analyses. In the intervention arm, children aged 14-59 months who previously completed PCV13 vaccination received a supplemental dose of PCV20. In the comparator arm, no catch-up PCV20 dose was given. The direct and indirect benefits of vaccination were captured over a 10-year time horizon. RESULTS: A PCV20 catch-up program would prevent 5,469 invasive pneumococcal disease cases, 50,286 hospitalized pneumonia cases, 218,240 outpatient pneumonia cases, 582,302 otitis media cases, and 1,800 deaths, representing a net gain of 30,014 life years and 55,583 quality-adjusted life years. Furthermore, 720,938 antibiotic prescriptions and 256,889 antibiotic-resistant infections would be averted. A catch-up program would result in cost savings of $800 million. These results were robust to sensitivity and scenario analyses. CONCLUSIONS: A PCV20 catch-up program could prevent pneumococcal infections, antibiotic prescriptions, and antimicrobial-resistant infections and would be cost-saving in the US.

Cost-Effectiveness of 20-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine Among US Children with Underlying Medical Conditions.

INTRODUCTION: A 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) was recently recommended for use among US children. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of PCV20 among children aged 6 years with chronic medical conditions (CMC+) and children aged 6 years with immunocompromising conditions (IC) versus one and two doses of 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23), respectively. METHODS: A probabilistic model was employed to depict 10-year risk of clinical outcomes and economic costs of pneumococcal disease, reduction in life years from premature death, and expected impact of vaccination among one cohort of children with CMC+ and IC aged 6 years. Vaccine uptake was assumed to be 20% for both PCV20 and PPSV23. Cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained was evaluated from the US societal and healthcare system perspectives; deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (DSA/PSA) were also conducted. RESULTS: Among the 226,817 children with CMC+ aged 6 years in the US, use of PCV20 (in lieu of PPSV23) was projected to reduce the number cases of pneumococcal disease by 5203 cases, medical costs by US$8.7 million, and nonmedical costs by US$6.2 million. PCV20 was the dominant strategy versus PPSV23 from both the healthcare and societal perspectives. In the PSA, 99.9% of the 1000 simulations yielded a finding of dominance for PCV20. Findings in analyses of children with IC aged 6 years in the USA were comparable (i.e., PCV20 was the dominant vaccination strategy). Scenario analyses showed that increasing PCV20 uptake to 100% could potentially prevent > 22,000 additional cases of pneumococcal disease and further reduce medical and nonmedical costs by US$70.0 million among children with CMC+ and IC. CONCLUSIONS: Use of PCV20 among young children with CMC+ and IC in the USA would reduce the clinical burden of pneumococcal disease and yield overall cost savings from both the US healthcare system and societal perspectives. Higher PCV20 uptake could further reduce the number of pneumococcal disease cases in this population.

Rates of Lower Respiratory Tract Illness in US Adults by Age and Comorbidity Profile.

INTRODUCTION: While it is widely recognized that older adults, adults with chronic medical conditions (CMC), and adults with immunocompromising conditions (IC) are at increased risk of lower respiratory tract illness (LRTI), evidence of the magnitude of increased risk is limited. This study was thus undertaken to characterize rates of hospitalized and ambulatory LRTI among United States (US) adults by age and comorbidity profile. METHODS: A retrospective cohort design and US healthcare claims database (2016-2019) were employed. Study population included adults aged ≥ 18 years and was stratified by age and comorbidity profile (CMC-, CMC+ , IC). LRTI was ascertained overall and by pathogen pathogen (e.g., respiratory syncytial virus [RSV]), and was classified by care setting (hospital, emergency department [ED], physician office/hospital outpatient [PO/HO]). RESULTS: Relative rates (RR) of LRTI generally increased with older age across care settings (vs. 18-49 years), with the most marked increase for hospitalizations: for LRTI-hospitalized, RRs ranged from 3.3 for 50-64 years to 46.6 for ≥ 85 years; for LRTI-ED and LRTI-PO/HO, RRs ranged from 1.0 to 2.7 and from 1.3 to 1.5, respectively. Within age groups, LRTI rates were also consistently higher among CMC+ and IC adults (vs. CMC- adults). Age-specific RRs of LRTI patients hospitalized due to RSV were largely comparable to overall LRTI; age-specific RRs for other care settings, and RRs for CMC+ and IC adults (vs. CMC- adults), were generally higher for LRTI due to RSV. CONCLUSIONS: Incidence of LRTI, including that due to RSV, especially for events requiring acute inpatient care, is markedly higher among older adults and adults of all ages with CMC or IC.

Cost-effectiveness of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in US infants.

BACKGROUND: As of June 2023, two pneumococcal conjugate vaccines, 20- (PCV20) and 15- (PCV15) valent formulations, are recommended for US infants under a 3 + 1 schedule. This study evaluated the health and economic impact of vaccinating US infants with a new expanded valency PCV20 formulation. METHODS: A population-based, multi cohort, decision-analytic Markov model was developed to estimate the public health impact and cost-effectiveness of PCV20 from both societal and healthcare system perspectives over 10 years. Epidemiological data were based on published studies and unpublished Active Bacterial Core Surveillance System (ABCs) data. Vaccine effectiveness was based on PCV13 effectiveness and PCV7 efficacy studies. Indirect impact was based on observational studies. Costs and disutilities were based on published data. PCV20 was compared to both PCV13 and PCV15 in separate scenarios. RESULTS: Replacing PCV13 with PCV20 in infants has the potential to avert over 55,000 invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) cases, 2.5 million pneumonia cases, 5.4 million otitis media (OM) cases, and 19,000 deaths across all ages over a 10-year time horizon, corresponding to net gains of 515,000 life years and 271,000 QALYs. Acquisition costs of PCV20 were offset by monetary savings from averted cases resulting in net savings of $20.6 billion. The same trend was observed when comparing PCV20 versus PCV15, with a net gain of 146,000 QALYs and $9.9 billion in net savings. A large proportion of the avoided costs and cases were attributable to indirect effects in unvaccinated adults and elderly. From a health-care perspective, PCV20 was also the dominant strategy compared to both PCV13 and PCV15. CONCLUSIONS: Infant vaccination with PCV20 is estimated to further reduce pneumococcal disease and associated healthcare system and societal costs compared to both PCV13 and PCV15.

Pediatric Respiratory Syncytial Virus Diagnostic Testing Performance: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Adding additional specimen types (eg, serology or sputum) to nasopharyngeal swab (NPS) reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) increases respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) detection among adults. We assessed if a similar increase occurs in children and quantified underascertainment associated with diagnostic testing. METHODS: We searched databases for studies involving RSV detection in persons <18 years using ≥2 specimen types or tests. We assessed study quality using a validated checklist. We pooled detection rates by specimen and diagnostic tests and quantified performance. RESULTS: We included 157 studies. Added testing of additional specimens to NP aspirate (NPA), NPS, and/or nasal swab (NS) RT-PCR resulted in statistically nonsignificant increases in RSV detection. Adding paired serology testing increased RSV detection by 10%, NS by 8%, oropharyngeal swabs by 5%, and NPS by 1%. Compared to RT-PCR, direct fluorescence antibody tests, viral culture, and rapid antigen tests were 87%, 76%, and 74% sensitive, respectively (pooled specificities all ≥98%). Pooled sensitivity of multiplex versus singleplex RT-PCR was 96%. CONCLUSIONS: RT-PCR was the most sensitive pediatric RSV diagnostic test. Adding multiple specimens did not substantially increase RSV detection, but even small proportional increases could result in meaningful changes in burden estimates. The synergistic effect of adding multiple specimens should be evaluated.

Incidence of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection in Older Adults: Limitations of Current Data.

INTRODUCTION: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is an important cause of severe respiratory illness in older adults and adults with respiratory or cardiovascular comorbidities. Published estimates of its incidence and prevalence in adult groups vary widely. This article reviews the potential limitations affecting RSV epidemiology studies and suggests points to consider when evaluating or designing them. METHODS: Studies reporting the incidence or prevalence of RSV infection in adults in high-income Western countries from 2000 onwards were identified via a rapid literature review. Author-reported limitations were recorded, together with presence of other potential limitations. Data were synthesized narratively, with a focus on factors affecting incidence estimates for symptomatic infection in older adults. RESULTS: A total of 71 studies met the inclusion criteria, most in populations with medically attended acute respiratory illness (ARI). Only a minority used case definitions and sampling periods tailored specifically to RSV; many used influenza-based or other criteria that are likely to result in RSV cases being missed. The great majority relied solely on polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing of upper respiratory tract samples, which is likely to miss RSV cases compared with dual site sampling and/or addition of serology. Other common limitations were studying a single season, which has potential for bias due to seasonal variability; failure to stratify results by age, which underestimates the burden of severe disease in older adults; limited generalizability beyond a limited study setting; and absence of measures of uncertainty in the reporting of results. CONCLUSIONS: A significant proportion of studies are likely to underestimate the incidence of RSV infection in older adults, although the effect size is unclear and there is also potential for overestimation. Well-designed studies, together with increased testing for RSV in patients with ARI in clinical practice, are required to accurately capture both the burden of RSV and the potential public health impact of vaccines.

Reanalysis of the Clinical and Economic Burden of Pneumococcal Disease Due to Serotypes Contained in Current and Investigational Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines in Children < 5 Age: A Societal Perspective.

INTRODUCTION: Studies that estimate the economic burden of pediatric pneumococcal disease often only report direct medical costs and omit indirect non-medical costs. Given these indirect costs are not included in most calculations, the full economic burden attributable to pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) serotypes is often underestimated. This study seeks to quantify the full broader economic burden of pediatric pneumococcal disease associated with PCV serotypes. METHODS: We conducted a reanalysis of a previous study where non-medical costs associated with caregiving for a child with pneumococcal disease are considered. The annual indirect non-medical economic burden attributed to PCV serotypes was subsequently calculated for 13 countries. We included five countries with 10-valent (PCV10) national immunization programs (NIPs) (Austria, Finland, The Netherlands, New Zealand, and Sweden) and eight countries with 13-valent (PCV13) NIPs (Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, South Korea, Spain, and the UK). Input parameters were derived from published literature. Indirect costs were inflated to 2021 values in US dollars (USD). RESULTS: The total annual indirect economic burden associated with pediatric pneumococcal diseases attributable to PCV10, PCV13, the 15-valent (PCV15), and the 20-valent (PCV20) serotypes were $46.51 million, $158.95 million, $223.00 million, and $413.97 million, respectively. The five countries with PCV10 NIPs bear a greater societal burden associated with PCV13 serotypes, whereas the residual societal burden in the eight countries with PCV13 NIPs was primarily attributable to non-PCV13 serotypes. CONCLUSION: The inclusion of non-medical costs nearly tripled the total economic burden compared with only including direct medical costs estimated from a previous study. The results from this reanalysis can help inform decision-makers on the broader economic societal burden associated with PCV serotypes and the need for higher-valent PCVs.

Low Levels of RSV Testing Among Adults Hospitalized for Lower Respiratory Tract Infection in the United States.

INTRODUCTION: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a leading cause of lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI)-related hospitalizations in older adults. Without RSV-specific treatment for adults, testing is uncommon, leading to potential underestimation of RSV incidence in real-world data studies. This study aimed to quantify the frequency of RSV testing during LRTI-related hospitalizations of older adults to inform interpretation of incidence estimates. METHODS: Administrative and billing data for hospitalizations of adults aged ≥ 65 years with a primary or secondary diagnosis of LRTI during the 2016-2019 RSV seasons (October-April) were extracted from the US all-payer Premier Healthcare Database (PHD). Billing codes identified RSV tests administered during eligible hospitalizations. The proportion of LRTI-related hospitalizations with a billed RSV test was calculated for each hospital in PHD, and summarized descriptively by hospital bed size, teaching status, and population served. RESULTS: Most of the 937 study hospitals performed RSV testing infrequently during LRTI hospitalization; median percentage of LRTI hospitalizations with RSV testing was 4.3%, and 78.4% of hospitals performed RSV testing in less than 25% of LRTI-related hospitalizations. RSV testing varied extensively by hospital type. Median percentage tested was significantly higher for hospitals with ≥ 200 beds (9.1%) versus < 200 beds (1.6%), for teaching (11.0%) versus non-teaching (2.5%) hospitals, and in urban (7.4%) versus rural (0.7%) settings. The median percentage of RSV testing increased over time, from 0.8% to 6.3% between the 2016/17 and 2018/19 seasons. CONCLUSION: A small proportion of older adults hospitalized with LRTI are tested for RSV in US hospitals. Large variability occurs across hospital types. Consequently, retrospective database analyses likely result in a substantial underestimation of the true RSV-related hospitalization incidence. RSV incidence studies using real-world data need to assess for RSV testing frequency and adjust their results for under ascertainment associated with limited testing.

Underascertainment of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection in Adults Due to Diagnostic Testing Limitations: A Systematic Literature Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Most observational population-based studies identify respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) by nasal/nasopharyngeal swab reverse transcriptase real-time PCR (RT-PCR) only. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analyses to quantify specimen and diagnostic testing-based underascertainment of adult RSV infection. METHODS: EMBASE, PubMed, and Web of Science were searched (January 2000-December 2021) for studies including adults using/comparing >1 RSV testing approach. We quantified test performance and RSV detection increase associated with using multiple specimen types. RESULTS: Among 8066 references identified, 154 met inclusion. Compared to RT-PCR, other methods were less sensitive: rapid antigen detection test (RADT; pooled sensitivity, 64%), direct fluorescent antibody (DFA; 83%), and viral culture (86%). Compared to singleplex PCR, multiplex PCR's sensitivity was lower (93%). Compared to nasal/nasopharyngeal swab RT-PCR alone, adding another specimen type increased detection: sputum RT-PCR, 52%; 4-fold rise in paired serology, 44%; and oropharyngeal swab RT-PCR, 28%. Sensitivity was lower in estimates limited to only adults (for RADT, DFA, and viral culture), and detection rate increases were largely comparable. CONCLUSIONS: RT-PCR, particularly singleplex testing, is the most sensitive RSV diagnostic test in adults. Adding additional specimen types to nasopharyngeal swab RT-PCR testing increased RSV detection. Synergistic effects of using ≥3 specimen types should be assessed, as this approach may improve the accuracy of adult RSV burden estimates.

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is an important cause of illness and death among older adults. Most studies of how frequent RSV infection is among older adults use only nasal swab testing to identify RSV infection. These nasal swabs are checked for genetic material from the virus, known as polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing. We examined published studies from January 2000 to December 2021 to estimate how many RSV infections would be missed by using only this approach to RSV testing. We found 154 studies had information to answer our question. Compared to PCR testing of nasal swab alone, adding sputum specimen PCR testing (ie, testing cough mucus or phlegm for RSV genetic material) increased RSV infections found by 52%. Adding blood testing increased RSV infections found by 44%. Adding mouth/throat swab PCR testing, increased RSV infections by 28%. In summary, adding additional specimen types to nasal swab PCR testing increased RSV detection. Impact of using 3 or more specimen types at the same time should be assessed, as this approach may further improve accuracy.

The Effect of the Drug Life Cycle Price on Cost-Effectiveness: Case Studies Using Real-World Pricing Data.

OBJECTIVES: Cost-effectiveness analyses (CEAs) generally assume constant drug prices throughout the model time horizon, yet it is known that prices are not constant, often with price decreases near loss of exclusivity (LOE). This study explores the impact of using dynamic drug-specific prices on the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) using selected reproduced case studies. METHODS: Case studies were selected following explicit criteria to reflect a variety of drug characteristics. For each drug, a published CEA model was identified, replicated, and modified with dynamic real-world pricing data, to compare ICERs based on constant drug prices with estimates obtained when including drug life cycle pricing. The impact of dynamic real-world pricing-inclusive LOE-was analyzed using a single patient cohort and multiple cohorts over time. RESULTS: Fluvastatin, alendronic acid + colecalciferol combination therapy, letrozole and clopidogrel were selected as case studies. Inclusion of real-world pricing data compared with applying constant prices reduced the ICER in a single-cohort setting up to 43%. In the multicohort analyses, further reductions of the ICERs were observed of up to 113%. The ICERs were sensitive to the period of drug usage relative to the models' time horizons, the relative proportions of drug costs in the overall treatment costs, and timing of LOE compared with the cost year of the original analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Assuming dynamic drug prices may lead to more representative ICER estimates. Future CEAs for drugs could account for predicted and disaggregated life cycle price developments based on retrospective data.

Estimating the Effect of Tafamidis on Cardiovascular-Related Hospitalization in NYHA Class III Patients with Transthyretin Amyloid Cardiomyopathy in the Presence of Death.

BACKGROUND: The Tafamidis in Transthyretin Cardiomyopathy Clinical Trial (ATTR-ACT) demonstrated the effectiveness of tafamidis for the treatment of patients with transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM). Tafamidis reduced mortality in all subgroups of patients studied. Tafamidis also reduced observed frequency of cardiovascular (CV)-related hospitalizations in all subgroups except those who were New York Heart Association (NYHA) class III at baseline who, paradoxically, had a higher frequency of CV-related hospitalizations than placebo. Given the greater mortality rate with placebo, this analysis assessed the impact of the confounding effect of death on the frequency of CV-related hospitalization in ATTR-ACT. METHODS: In ATTR-ACT, patients with ATTR-CM were randomized to tafamidis (n = 264) or placebo (n = 177) for 30 months. Post hoc analyses first defined and compared the effect of tafamidis treatment in the subset of NYHA class III patients from each treatment arm alive at month 30. The impact of a potential survivor bias was then adjusted for using principal stratification, estimating the frequency of CV-related hospitalization in NYHA class III patients who would have survived regardless of assigned treatment group (defined as the survivor average causal effect [SACE]). RESULTS: In the subset of NYHA class III patients alive at month 30, tafamidis reduced the relative risk of CV-related hospitalization versus placebo (relative risk: 0.95 [95% CI: 0.55-1.65]). In the principal stratification analyses of those patients who would survive to 30 months regardless of treatment, tafamidis treatment was associated with a 24% lower risk of CV-related hospitalization (relative risk: 0.76 [95% CI: 0.45-1.24]). Similarly, there was a larger reduction in CV-related hospitalization frequency with tafamidis in NYHA class I or II patients in the SACE than was initially observed in ATTR-ACT. CONCLUSIONS: Initial data from ATTR-ACT likely underestimated the effect of tafamidis on CV-related hospitalizations due to the confounding effect of death. When SACE was used to adjust for survivor bias, there was a 24% reduction in the frequency of CV-related hospitalization in NYHA class III patients treated with tafamidis.

Prevalence, characteristics, and mortality of patients with transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy in the Nordic countries.

AIMS: Transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM) is a progressive condition caused by deposition of transthyretin amyloid fibrils in the heart and is associated with poor quality of life and a shortened lifespan. This study aimed to describe the prevalence, clinical characteristics, and mortality of patients with ATTR-CM, using multiple national health registers in Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden. METHODS AND RESULTS: Transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy patients were identified during 2008-2018 using a combination of diagnosis codes for amyloidosis and heart disease and were matched to patients with non-ATTR heart failure (HF). An identical study design was used in each country to facilitate comparison and aggregation of results. A total of 1930 ATTR-CM patients were identified from national health registers in the four countries. In 2018, prevalence of ATTR-CM per 100 000 inhabitants ranged from 1.4 in Denmark to 5.0 in Sweden; a steep increase over time was observed in Sweden and Norway. Median survival from diagnosis was 30 months for ATTR-CM patients and 67 months for matched HF patients. Survival was significantly lower for female than for male ATTR-CM patients (median survival: 22 and 36 months), while no significant difference was observed in the HF cohort. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides the first nationwide estimates of the prevalence, clinical characteristics, and mortality of patients with ATTR-CM, using identical study design across several countries. Findings corroborate previous case series showing high mortality in ATTR-CM, two-fold higher than for other HF patients and higher in women than men, highlighting the need for more precise and early diagnosis to reduce the disease burden.

Assessing the value of orphan drugs using conventional cost-effectiveness analysis: Is it fit for purpose?

Conventional cost-effectiveness analysis-i.e., assessing pharmaceuticals through a cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) framework-originated from a societal commitment to maximize population health given limited resources. This "extra-welfarist" approach has produced pricing and reimbursement systems that are not well- aligned with the unique considerations of orphan drugs. This framework has been slow to evolve along with our increased understanding of the impact of rare diseases, which in turn has complicated the assessment of orphan drugs meant to treat rare diseases. Herein, we (i) discuss the limitations of conventional cost-effectiveness analysis as applied to assessing access to, as well as the pricing and reimbursement of, orphan drugs, (ii) critically appraise alternative and supplemental approaches, and (iii) offer insights on plausible steps forward.

Healthcare resource use of patients with transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy.

AIMS: Transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM) is the cardiac manifestation of transthyretin amyloidosis (ATTR). The aim of this study was to estimate healthcare resource use for ATTR-CM patients compared with heart failure (HF) patients, in Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data from nationwide healthcare registers in the four countries were used. ATTR-CM patients were defined as individuals diagnosed with amyloidosis and cardiomyopathy or HF between 2008 and 2018. Patients in the ATTR-CM cohort were matched to patients with HF but without ATTR-CM diagnosis. Resource use included number of visits to specialty outpatient and inpatient hospital care. A total of 1831 ATTR-CM and 1831 HF patients were included in the analysis. The mean number of hospital-based healthcare contacts increased in both the ATTR-CM and HF cohort during 3 years pre-diagnosis and was consistently higher for the ATTR-CM cohort compared with the HF cohort, with 6.1 [CI: 5.9-6.3] vs. 3.2 [CI: 3.1-3.3] outpatient visits and 1.03 [CI: 0.96-1.1] vs. 0.7 [CI: 0.7-0.8] hospitalizations. In the first year following diagnosis, patients with ATTR-CM continued to visit outpatient care (10.2 [CI: 10.1, 10.4] vs. 5.7 [CI: 5.6, 5.9]) and were admitted to hospital more frequently (3.3 [CI: 3.2, 3.4] vs. 2.5 [CI: 2.5, 2.6]) than HF patients. CONCLUSIONS: Transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy imposes a high burden on healthcare systems with twice as many outpatient specialist visits and 50% more hospitalizations in the year after diagnosis compared with HF patients without ATTR-CM. Studies to investigate if earlier diagnosis and treatment of ATTR-CM may lower resource use are warranted.

Annual Cardiovascular-Related Hospitalization Days Avoided with Tafamidis in Patients with Transthyretin Amyloid Cardiomyopathy.

BACKGROUND: Patients with transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM) experience infiltrative cardiomyopathy and heart failure symptoms requiring costly hospitalizations. The Transthyretin Amyloidosis Cardiomyopathy Clinical Trial (ATTR-ACT) demonstrated the efficacy of tafamidis on the frequency of cardiovascular (CV)-related hospitalizations in patients with ATTR-CM. PURPOSE: As length of stay can affect the total hospitalization burden, our study aimed to better understand the impact of tafamidis on the number of CV-related hospital days avoided in the management of ATTR-CM patients. METHODS: Data from ATTR-ACT were used to calculate the total burden of CV-related hospitalization (days) by treatment arm in this post hoc analysis. RESULTS: In the total trial population, patients receiving tafamidis had significantly fewer CV-related hospitalizations per year (relative risk reduction [RRR] 0.68; 0.4750 vs. 0.7025, p < 0.0001) and a shorter mean length of stay per CV-related hospitalization event (8.6250 vs. 9.5625 days) than patients receiving placebo. Taken together, tafamidis prevented 2.62 CV-related hospitalization days per patient per year. A subgroup analysis showed that with earlier treatment initiation of tafamidis, the annual number of CV-related hospitalizations was significantly lowered by 52% compared with placebo (RRR 0.48; 0.3378 vs. 0.7091, p < 0.0001). With 1.14 fewer days per hospitalization, tafamidis reduced the annual number of CV-related hospitalization days by 3.96 days per New York Heart Association class I/II patient. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with ATTR-CM, tafamidis was associated with a lower rate of CV-related hospitalizations and shorter length of hospital stay. Timely diagnosis and treatment with tafamidis could further decrease the total number of CV-related hospitalization days per year. GOV IDENTIFIER: NCT01994889.

Health impact of tafamidis in transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy patients: an analysis from the Tafamidis in Transthyretin Cardiomyopathy Clinical Trial (ATTR-ACT) and the open-label long-term extension studies.

AIM: The Tafamidis in Transthyretin Cardiomyopathy Clinical Trial (ATTR-ACT) showed that tafamidis reduced all-cause mortality and cardiovascular-related hospitalizations in patients with transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM). This study aimed to estimate the impact of tafamidis on survival and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). METHODS AND RESULTS: A multi-state, cohort, Markov model was developed to simulate the disease course of ATTR-CM throughout a lifetime. For survival extrapolation, survival curves were fitted by treatment arm and New York Heart Association (NYHA) Class I/II (68% of patients) and NYHA Class III (32% of patients) cohorts using the individual patient-level data from both the ATTR-ACT and the corresponding long-term extension study. Univariate and multivariate sensitivity analyses were conducted. The predicted mean survival for the total population (NYHA Class I/II + III) was 6.73 years for tafamidis and 2.85 years for the standard of care (SoC), resulting in an incremental mean survival of 3.88 years [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.32-5.66]. Of the 6.73 life-years, patients on tafamidis spend, on average, 4.82 years in NYHA Class I/II, while patients on SoC spend an average of 1.60 life-years in these classes. The combination of longer survival in lower NYHA classes produced a QALY gain of 5.39 for tafamidis and 2.11 for SoC, resulting in 3.29 incremental QALYs (95% CI 1.21-4.74) in favour of tafamidis. CONCLUSION: Based on the disease simulation model results, tafamidis is expected to more than double the life expectancy and QALYs of ATTR-CM patients compared to SoC. Longer-term follow-up data from the ATTR-ACT extension study will further inform these findings. CLINICAL TRIALS.GOV IDENTIFIER: NCT01994889 (date of registration: 26 November 2013).

Nationwide prevalence and characteristics of transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy in Sweden.

OBJECTIVE: Transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM) is a rare, progressive and fatal condition caused by deposition of transthyretin amyloid fibrils in the heart. This study aims to identify all patients diagnosed with ATTR-CM in Sweden, estimate the prevalence of ATTR-CM, describe patient characteristics and mortality, assess the importance of early symptoms (red flags) for identification of ATTR-CM, and compare with patients with heart failure (HF). METHODS: This retrospective study combined multiple national health registers covering all specialist visits and prescriptions for the entire population of Sweden. Between January 2008 and December 2018, patients with ATTR-CM were identified retrospectively based on a combination of diagnosis codes and compared with matched, all-cause non-ATTR HF patients. RESULTS: Overall, a total of 994 patients diagnosed with ATTR-CM were identified, with an average age at diagnosis of 73 years, and 30% of whom were female. The prevalence of diagnosed ATTR-CM cases in 2018 was 5.0 per 100 000. The median survival from diagnosis was 37.6 months (CI 33.8 to 43.8), with a lower median survival in women (27.9 months, CI 23.3 to 33.8) compared with men (43.5 months, CI 37.6 to 49.6). Patients with ATTR-CM demonstrated reduced survival compared with patients with HF (p<0.001). Compared with patients with HF, clinical identification of carpal tunnel syndrome, spinal stenosis, and atrioventricular and left bundle branch block can facilitate earlier diagnosis of ATTR-CM. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides the first nationwide estimates of ATTR-CM prevalence and risk factors. The results reinforce the severity of the disease and the importance of earlier diagnosis, especially for female patients, in order to allow effective treatment and prevention of disease progression.

Estimating the health benefits of timely diagnosis and treatment of transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy.

Aim: Delayed diagnosis of transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM) represents a missed opportunity for intervention. This study estimates the health benefits of timely diagnosis and treatment with tafamidis. Methods: A disease simulation model was developed to predict health outcomes under scenarios of timely and delayed diagnosis and treatment. Efficacy and quality of life (QoL) profiles were derived from the pivotal tafamidis trial and diagnostic delay durations from the literature. Results: Timely diagnosis and treatment were predicted to extend mean life expectancy by 5.46 and 7.76 years, relative to delayed diagnosis, for wild-type and hereditary ATTR-CM, respectively. Corresponding QALY gains were 4.50 and 6.22. Conclusion: Timely diagnosis and treatment with tafamidis are predicted to significantly improve survival and QoL for ATTR-CM patients.