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1.
Rev Sci Instrum ; 92(5): 053901, 2021 May 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34243295

ABSTRACT

We describe two orthogonal radiography geometries at the OMEGA EP laser facility, which we refer to as side-on and face-on radiography. This setup can be used to determine quantitative information about the areal densities in solid, particulate, or liquid samples. We show sample images from these two different platforms that use the radiography diagnostic, one of material microjetting by the Richtmeyer-Meshkov instability and one of a deforming tin sample by the Rayleigh-Taylor instability, demonstrating the versatile applicability of such measurements in the field of high-energy density physics. The analytical methodology behind the quantitative Rayleigh-Taylor face-on radiography is also demonstrated and can be applied to other types of samples.

2.
J Wildl Dis ; 57(1): 132-144, 2021 01 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33635968

ABSTRACT

Approximately 1.86 million baits containing a vaccinia-rabies glycoprotein recombinant vaccine were distributed with helicopters, vehicles, and bait stations during 2006-10. A bait density of 250 baits/km2 effectively controlled rabies cases in enzootic and preepizootic areas. However, a cluster of 11 rabid raccoons at the eastern edge of infection resulted in the initiation of semiannual, high-density (500 baits/km2) vaccination campaigns in approximately 20% of the oral rabies vaccination zone during July and September (2007-09). Bait success (i.e., chewed sachets or removed baits) at bait stations was negatively associated with station distances from water. Conversely, bait success improved with increasing distances from roads. Bait stations deployed significantly more baits in developed open space when compared to low- and medium- to high-intensity developed areas. However, a difference was not detected between developed open space and forest habitats. Rabies was confined to 86 raccoons within 317 km2 (10%) of a 3,133 km2 suburban landscape, with a disproportionate number of rabid raccoons (n=74) in developed areas, when compared to 10 cases in forest-wetland habitats. Two rabid raccoons did not fall within either general land-use classification. Rabies advanced 15.1 km eastward at a rate of 6.4 km/yr during a 28-mo interval (2004-06).


Subject(s)
Rabies Vaccines/immunology , Rabies/veterinary , Raccoons/virology , Administration, Oral , Animals , Ecosystem , New York/epidemiology , Rabies/epidemiology , Rabies/prevention & control , Rabies Vaccines/administration & dosage , Vaccination/methods , Vaccination/veterinary
3.
J Wildl Dis ; 57(1): 145-156, 2021 01 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33635969

ABSTRACT

Vaccine-laden baits were distributed to interrupt and halt raccoon (Procyon lotor) rabies transmission in suburban Nassau and Suffolk counties on Long Island, New York, US. Fishmeal polymer baits containing the RABORAL V-RG® vaccine were deployed with helicopters, bait stations, and vehicles at a target density of 250 baits/km2 during annual September campaigns (2006-10). Semiannual campaigns (500 baits/km2) were also initiated in a portion of the treatment zone (2007-09) in response to a persistent focus of rabid raccoons. The last enzootic case was reported in January 2009. The final vaccination campaign was completed in 2010. The raccoon variant of rabies virus is no longer circulating in Nassau or Suffolk counties. Significantly greater probabilities of raccoon seroconversion were observed in helicopter-deployed bait zones. The lowest probabilities of seroconversion were identified in vehicle and bait station-deployment bait zones, with a marginal advantage associated with bait-station deployment. Seroconversion was negatively associated with developed, medium-intensity areas and increasing human population density. Significantly higher rabies virus neutralizing antibody endpoint titrations were detected in helicopter and bait station-deployment zones.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Viral/blood , Rabies Vaccines/immunology , Rabies/veterinary , Raccoons/blood , Administration, Oral , Animals , Antibodies, Neutralizing/blood , Ecosystem , New York/epidemiology , Rabies/epidemiology , Rabies/prevention & control , Rabies Vaccines/administration & dosage , Vaccination/methods , Vaccination/veterinary
4.
Infect Ecol Epidemiol ; 10(1): 1840773, 2020 Oct 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33224448

ABSTRACT

The purpose of this study was to determine if Puerto Rican bats had previous exposure to rabies virus based on viral neutralizing antibodies. Our results demonstrate that 6.5% of the bats in this study had some exposure to rabies virus. The route of exposure is unknown but may have occurred following interaction with a rabid terrestrial animal or an unidentified bat rabies virus.

5.
Nature ; 579(7799): 375-378, 2020 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32188953

ABSTRACT

The theory of grain boundary (the interface between crystallites, GB) structure has a long history1 and the concept of GBs undergoing phase transformations was proposed 50 years ago2,3. The underlying assumption was that multiple stable and metastable states exist for different GB orientations4-6. The terminology 'complexion' was recently proposed to distinguish between interfacial states that differ in any equilibrium thermodynamic property7. Different types of complexion and transitions between complexions have been characterized, mostly in binary or multicomponent systems8-19. Simulations have provided insight into the phase behaviour of interfaces and shown that GB transitions can occur in many material systems20-24. However, the direct experimental observation and transformation kinetics of GBs in an elemental metal have remained elusive. Here we demonstrate atomic-scale GB phase coexistence and transformations at symmetric and asymmetric [Formula: see text] tilt GBs in elemental copper. Atomic-resolution imaging reveals the coexistence of two different structures at Σ19b GBs (where Σ19 is the density of coincident sites and b is a GB variant), in agreement with evolutionary GB structure search and clustering analysis21,25,26. We also use finite-temperature molecular dynamics simulations to explore the coexistence and transformation kinetics of these GB phases. Our results demonstrate how GB phases can be kinetically trapped, enabling atomic-scale room-temperature observations. Our work paves the way for atomic-scale in situ studies of metallic GB phase transformations, which were previously detected only indirectly9,15,27-29, through their influence on abnormal grain growth, non-Arrhenius-type diffusion or liquid metal embrittlement.

6.
Ultramicroscopy ; 194: 117-125, 2018 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30114605

ABSTRACT

Atomic configurations of glassy or amorphous materials containing medium-range order (MRO) may be identified by comparing fluctuation transmission electron microscopy (FTEM) measurements to FTEM simulations obtained using model configurations. Candidate model sizes have traditionally been much thinner than the samples measured experimentally, and publicly available FTEM simulation software has until now omitted microscope parameters, dynamical scattering, and the phase of the diffracted electron wave. We introduce MS-STEM-FEM, an open-source software package for simulating FTEM experiments using established multi-slice TEM simulation techniques to emulate experiment more closely by incorporating microscope parameters and simulating electron scattering and propagation as a complex valued wave. Simulations using established models are compared with results of experimental STEM-FEM to validate the software. Several statistical measures of diffraction are implemented and their responses to model features are compared. Dynamical scattering is found to be less influential than the variety of crystallite orientations which occur in thicker models. Simulations of variable resolution microscopy confirm that cumulative intensity of the FTEM signal decreases with reduced model MRO and increased coherence volume. Advantageous model scaling characteristics and efficient processor performance scaling are demonstrated, along with a study of convergence with respect to pertinent simulation parameters to identify accuracy requirements.

7.
Nat Commun ; 9(1): 467, 2018 02 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29391453

ABSTRACT

The study of grain boundary phase transitions is an emerging field until recently dominated by experiments. The major bottleneck in the exploration of this phenomenon with atomistic modeling has been the lack of a robust computational tool that can predict interface structure. Here we develop a computational tool based on evolutionary algorithms that performs efficient grand-canonical grain boundary structure search and we design a clustering analysis that automatically identifies different grain boundary phases. Its application to a model system of symmetric tilt boundaries in Cu uncovers an unexpected rich polymorphism in the grain boundary structures. We find new ground and metastable states by exploring structures with different atomic densities. Our results demonstrate that the grain boundaries within the entire misorientation range have multiple phases and exhibit structural transitions, suggesting that phase behavior of interfaces is likely a general phenomenon.

8.
J Virol Methods ; 247: 28-31, 2017 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28506631

ABSTRACT

Maintaining a healthy, continuous immortalized cell line is essential for rabies laboratories that perform virus isolation assays and test for the presence of viral neutralizing antibodies. Individuals who routinely work with rabies virus, such as rabies laboratory employees, or those who may have a high potential for exposure to rabies virus, including veterinarians, should be tested for the presence of anti-rabies viral neutralizing antibodies (VNA) every 6-24 months, depending on potential exposure level. The gold standard for serum neutralization assays require the use of live rabies virus and cells that are sensitive to rabies virus infection. Additionally, virus isolation assays are routinely performed in rabies laboratories as a back-up for the direct fluorescent antibody test (dFAT). Currently there are no guidelines or publications recommending the use of low, intermediate, or high passage cell lines in rabies assays. In this study, we compared the sensitivity of intermediate, high, and extremely high passaged neuroblastomas to rabies virus using virus isolation, serum neutralization, and real time RT-PCR techniques. Additionally, cells were examined microscopically to determine changes in morphology and dissemination of rabies virus antigen between intermediate, high, and extremely high passage cells. No significant difference was found between cell passage numbers and viral susceptibility between intermediate and high passaged cells. However, extremely high passaged cells (≥1200 passages) were less susceptible to viral infection and/or produced less virus following inoculation. As a result, rabies laboratories that use viral isolation and serum neutralization assays should regularly assess cell susceptibility to ensure the integrity and repeatability of the test.


Subject(s)
Neurons/virology , Rabies virus/growth & development , Tissue Culture Techniques/methods , Viral Tropism , Cell Line, Tumor , Humans , Neutralization Tests/methods , Serial Passage , Virus Cultivation/methods
9.
Trop Med Infect Dis ; 2(2)2017 May 23.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30270872

ABSTRACT

Oral rabies vaccination (ORV) requires knowledge of the spatial-temporal distribution of rabies virus variants targeted for control. Rabies-exposure based public health surveillance alone may not provide a sound basis for ORV decisions. The value and cost of road kill surveys was evaluated for the late spring⁻early fall 2005⁻2007 as a part of enhanced rabies surveillance in northern New York, where raccoon rabies is enzootic and ORV has occurred since the late 1990s. Structured surveys were conducted to collect raccoons and other meso-carnivores for rabies testing at the New York State Rabies Laboratory. Of the 209 meso-carnivore heads collected and submitted for testing, 175 were testable by direct fluorescent antibody; none was rabid. Rabies was also not reported through public health surveillance in survey zones during 2005⁻2007. Overall, survey costs were $37,118 (2016 USD). Salaries and benefits accounted for 61% of costs, followed by fuel (22%), vehicle depreciation (14%), and sample shipping (3%). Mean daily distance driven was 303 ± 37 km and 381 ± 28 km for total road kills and raccoons, respectively. Costs/road kill collected and submitted was $176/all species and $224/raccoon. This study provides costs for planning road kill surveys and underscores the need to continually improve enhanced rabies surveillance approaches to support ORV decision making.

10.
J Vet Diagn Invest ; 28(6): 621-622, 2016 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27738297
11.
Dev Comp Immunol ; 65: 114-123, 2016 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27377583

ABSTRACT

Bat immunity has received increasing attention because some bat species are being decimated by the fungal disease, White Nose Syndrome, while other species are potential reservoirs of zoonotic viruses. Identifying specific immune processes requires new specific tools and reagents. In this study, we describe a new mouse monoclonal antibody (mAb) reactive with Eptesicus fuscus immunoglobulins. The epitope recognized by mAb BT1-4F10 was localized to immunoglobulin light (lambda) chains; hence, the mAb recognized serum immunoglobulins and B lymphocytes. The BT1-4F10 epitope appeared to be restricted to Microchiropteran immunoglobulins and absent from Megachiropteran immunoglobulins. Analyses of sera and other E. fuscus fluids showed that most, if not all, secreted immunoglobulins utilized lambda light chains. Finally, mAb BT1-4F10 permitted the identification of B cell follicles in splenic white pulp. This Microchiropteran-specific mAb has potential utility in seroassays; hence, this reagent may have both basic and practical applications for studying immune process.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Fungal/isolation & purification , Antibodies, Monoclonal/isolation & purification , B-Lymphocytes/immunology , Chiroptera/immunology , Mycoses/immunology , Zoonoses/immunology , Animals , Cell Line , Cell Separation , Epitope Mapping , Flow Cytometry , Immunoglobulin lambda-Chains/immunology , Immunophenotyping , Mice , Microscopy
12.
PLoS One ; 11(5): e0155542, 2016.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27195489

ABSTRACT

Silver-haired bats, (Lasionycteris noctivagans) are semi-colonial, migratory tree bats that have infrequent contact with humans. Despite the species rarity, the L. noctivagans rabies variant is the most commonly reported rabies virus variant (RABV) in domestically acquired human rabies cases in the US. Unlike big brown bats (Eptesicus fuscus) and little brown bats (Myotis lucifugus), L. noctivagans are not considered true hibernators. It is unknown if RABV can overwinter in hibernating L. noctivagans or is only maintained in members of this taxa that migrate to warmer climates. To better understand RABV overwintering in this species, L. noctivagans were inoculated intramuscularly with either a homologous RABV (L. noctivagans Virus 1) or one of two heterologous RABV (Eptesicus fuscus Virus 2 and Myotis lucifugus Virus 1). Five days following inoculation, L. noctivagans were placed in a hibernation chamber for 6 weeks. Our results demonstrate that rabies virus can overwinter in L. noctivagans yet the incubation period was extended 6 weeks when compared to bats maintained at ambient temperatures. Additionally, we found that the longer the incubation period, the greater the viral dissemination to the salivary glands. Similar to our previous studies, L. noctivagans were most susceptible to a homologous variant. In summary, we found that RABV incubation is extended following a subcutaneous exposure or maintenance in hibernation and longer incubation times increase dissemination and potential for transmission.


Subject(s)
Animal Migration , Chiroptera/virology , Hibernation , Rabies virus , Rabies/veterinary , Animals , Female , Male , RNA, Viral/isolation & purification , Salivary Glands/virology , Seasons , Seroconversion , Species Specificity , Temperature
13.
PLoS One ; 11(4): e0153535, 2016.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27070905

ABSTRACT

White Nose Syndrome (WNS) greatly increases the over-winter mortality of little brown (Myotis lucifugus), Indiana (Myotis sodalis), northern (Myotis septentrionalis), and tricolored (Perimyotis subflavus) bats. It is caused by a cutaneous infection with the fungus Pseudogymnoascus destructans (Pd). Big brown bats (Eptesicus fuscus) are much more resistant to cutaneous infection with Pd, however. We thus conducted analyses of wing epidermis from hibernating E. fuscus and M. lucifugus to determine their fatty acid compositions, and laboratory Pd culture experiments at 4.0-13.4°C to determine the effects of these fatty acids on Pd growth. Our analyses revealed that the epidermis of both bat species contain the same 7 fatty acid types (14:0, 15:0, 16:0. 16:1, 18:0, 18:1, & 18:2), but the epidermis of M. lucifugus contains: a) more stearic (18:0) acid, b) less palmitoleic (16:1) acid, c) less myristic (14:0) acid, and, d) less oleic (18:1) acid than that of E. fuscus. The growth of Pd was inhibited by: a) myristic and stearic acids at 10.5-13.4°C, but not at 4.0-5.0°C, b) oleic acid at 5.0-10.6°C, c) palmitoleic acid, and, d) linoleic (18:2) acid at 5.0-10.6°C. One set of factors that enables E. fuscus to better resist cutaneous P. destructans infections (and thus WNS) therefore appears to be the relatively higher myristic, palmitoleic, and oleic acid contents of the epidermis.


Subject(s)
Ascomycota/drug effects , Ascomycota/growth & development , Chiroptera/microbiology , Dermatomycoses/veterinary , Epidermis/metabolism , Fatty Acids/pharmacology , Animals , Ascomycota/physiology , Chiroptera/metabolism , Fatty Acids/metabolism , Wings, Animal
14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26651805

ABSTRACT

We present molecular dynamics (MD) calculations of shear viscosity for asymmetric mixed plasma for thermodynamic conditions relevant to astrophysical and inertial confinement fusion plasmas. Specifically, we consider mixtures of deuterium and argon at temperatures of 100-500 eV and a number density of 10^{25} ions/cc. The motion of 30,000-120,000 ions is simulated in which the ions interact via the Yukawa (screened Coulomb) potential. The electric field of the electrons is included in this effective interaction; the electrons are not simulated explicitly. Shear viscosity is calculated using the Green-Kubo approach with an integral of the shear stress autocorrelation function, a quantity calculated in the equilibrium MD simulations. We systematically study different mixtures through a series of simulations with increasing fraction of the minority high-Z element (Ar) in the D-Ar plasma mixture. In the more weakly coupled plasmas, at 500 eV and low Ar fractions, results from MD compare very well with Chapman-Enskog kinetic results. In the more strongly coupled plasmas, the kinetic theory does not agree well with the MD results. We develop a simple model that interpolates between classical kinetic theories at weak coupling and the Murillo Yukawa viscosity model at higher coupling. This hybrid kinetics-MD viscosity model agrees well with the MD results over the conditions simulated, ranging from moderately weakly coupled to moderately strongly coupled asymmetric plasma mixtures.

15.
J Clin Microbiol ; 53(9): 2983-9, 2015 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26179300

ABSTRACT

Rabies virus found worldwide and prevalent throughout the United States continues to be a public health concern. Direct-fluorescent antibody (DFA) detection remains the gold standard for rabies virus diagnostics. Assessing the utility of a high-throughput molecular platform such as the QIAsymphony SP/AS, in conjunction with quantitative reverse transcription-PCR (qRT-PCR), to augment or potentially replace the DFA test, was the focus of this project. Here we describe a triplex qRT-PCR assay, including assembly and evaluation for sensitivity, specificity, and ability to detect variants. Additionally, we compared the qRT-PCR assay to the gold standard direct fluorescent-antibody test. More than 1,000 specimens submitted for routine rabies diagnosis were tested to directly compare the two methods. All results were in agreement between the two methods, with one additional specimen detected by qRT-PCR below the limits of the DFA sensitivity. With the proper continued validation for variant detection, molecular methods have a place in routine rabies diagnostics within the United States.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Viral/blood , Fluorescent Antibody Technique, Direct/methods , RNA, Viral/analysis , Rabies/diagnosis , Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction/methods , Animals , Brain/virology , Humans , Multiplex Polymerase Chain Reaction/methods , Sensitivity and Specificity , United States
16.
J Wildl Dis ; 51(1): 287-9, 2015 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25380356

ABSTRACT

All mammals are believed susceptible to rabies virus infection, yet transmission from nonreservoir hosts to humans is uncommon. However, interactions between nonreservoir hosts and humans occur frequently and risk of exposure increases where rabies is enzootic. We describe rabies and apparent pantropism of rabies virus in a beaver (Castor canadensis).


Subject(s)
Antigens, Viral/isolation & purification , Polymerase Chain Reaction/veterinary , Rabies virus/isolation & purification , Rabies/veterinary , Rodentia , Viral Load/veterinary , Animals , Bites and Stings , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Rabies/diagnosis
17.
PLoS One ; 9(12): e113958, 2014.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25437448

ABSTRACT

White-nose Syndrome (WNS) is the primary cause of over-winter mortality for little brown (Myotis lucifugus), northern (Myotis septentrionalis), and tricolored (Perimyotis subflavus) bats, and is due to cutaneous infection with the fungus Pseudogymnoascus (Geomyces) destructans (Pd). Cutaneous infection with P. destructans disrupts torpor patterns, which is thought to lead to a premature depletion of body fat reserve. Field studies were conducted at 3 WNS-affected hibernation sites to determine if big brown bats (Eptesicus fuscus) are resistant to Pd. Radio telemetry studies were conducted during 2 winters to determine the torpor patterns of 23 free-ranging E. fuscus hibernating at a site where Pd occurs. The body fat contents of free-ranging E. fuscus and M. lucifugus during hibernation at 2 different WNS-affected sites were also determined. The numbers of bats hibernating at the same site was determined during both: a) 4-7 years prior to the arrival of Pd, and, b) 2-3 years after it first appeared at this site. The torpor bouts of big brown bats hibernating at a WNS-affected site were not significantly different in length from those previously reported for this species. The mean body fat content of E. fuscus in February was nearly twice that of M. lucifugus hibernating at the same WNS-affected sites during this month. The number of M. lucifugus hibernating at one site decreased by 99.6% after P. destructans first appeared, whereas the number of E. fuscus hibernating there actually increased by 43% during the same period. None of the E. fuscus collected during this study had any visible fungal growth or lesions on their skin, whereas virtually all the M. lucifugus collected had visible fungal growth on their wings, muzzle, and ears. These findings indicate that big brown bats are resistant to WNS.


Subject(s)
Adipose Tissue/metabolism , Chiroptera , Dermatomycoses/veterinary , Animals , Dermatomycoses/microbiology , Hibernation , Male , North America , Population Density , Remote Sensing Technology/methods
18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25215836

ABSTRACT

In this paper we present molecular dynamics (MD) calculations of the interdiffusion coefficient for asymmetric mixed plasma for thermodynamic conditions relevant to astrophysical and inertial confinement fusion plasmas. Specifically, we consider mixtures of deuterium and argon at temperatures of 100-500 eV and a number density ∼10(25) ions/cm(3). The motion of 30,000-120,000 ions is simulated in which the ions interact via the Yukawa (screened Coulomb) potential. The electric field of the electrons is included in this effective interaction; the electrons are not simulated explicitly. The species diffusivity is then calculated using the Green-Kubo approach using an integral of the interdiffusion current autocorrelation function, a quantity calculated in the equilibrium MD simulations. Our MD simulation results show that a widely used expression relating the interdiffusion coefficient with the concentration-weighted sum of self-diffusion coefficients overestimates the interdiffusion coefficient. We argue that this effect due to cross-correlation terms in velocities is characteristic of asymmetric mixed plasmas. Comparison of the MD results with predictions of kinetic theories also shows a discrepancy with MD giving effectively a larger Coulomb logarithm.


Subject(s)
Argon/chemistry , Deuterium/chemistry , Ions/chemistry , Molecular Dynamics Simulation , Diffusion , Electricity , Electrons , Hydrodynamics , Kinetics , Thermodynamics
19.
J Clin Microbiol ; 51(12): 4079-82, 2013 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24088851

ABSTRACT

The antemortem diagnosis of rabies in humans employs techniques that require accuracy, speed, and sensitivity. A combination of histochemical analysis, in vitro virus isolation, immunological methods, and molecular amplification procedures are utilized in efforts to diagnose the disease. Modern medicine now offers potentially life-saving treatment for a disease that was considered invariably fatal once clinical signs develop. However, medical intervention efforts require a rapid and accurate diagnosis as early in the course of clinical disease as possible. Indirect fluorescent-antibody (IFA) testing on cerebrospinal fluid and serum specimens provides rapid results, but the specificity of the assay has not been well studied. Because false-positive IFA results could significantly affect patient treatment and outcomes, it is critical to understand the specificity of this assay. In this study, IFA testing was performed on 135 cerebrospinal fluid and serum specimens taken from patients with viral encephalitis or a presumed viral infection involving an agent other than rabies virus. Results indicate that false-positive results can occur in interpreting the rabies IFA test. Staining patterns morphologically similar to antirabies staining were observed in 7 of the 135 cerebrospinal fluid specimens examined. In addition, a majority of the cerebrospinal fluid specimens tested from patients with encephalitis presented immunoglobulin that bound to antigens present in the cell culture substrate. Of marked concern was the frequent presence of cross-reactive antibodies in encephalitis cases associated with West Nile and Powassan flaviviruses. Because IFA testing for rabies on human specimens may result in false-positive results, it should not be used as the sole basis for initiating antirabies treatment.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Viral/cerebrospinal fluid , Cross Reactions , Fluorescent Antibody Technique, Indirect/methods , Rabies virus/immunology , Rabies/diagnosis , Animals , Humans , Mice , Sensitivity and Specificity
20.
J R Soc Interface ; 10(86): 20130418, 2013 Sep 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23864503

ABSTRACT

An efficient surveillance system is a crucial factor in identifying, monitoring and tackling outbreaks of infectious diseases. Scarcity of data and limited amounts of economic resources require a targeted effort from public health authorities. In this paper, we propose a mathematical method to identify areas where surveillance is critical and low reporting rates might leave epidemics undetected. Our approach combines the use of reference-based susceptible-exposed-infectious models and observed reporting data; We propose two different specifications, for constant and time-varying surveillance, respectively. Our case study is centred around the spread of the raccoon rabies epidemic in the state of New York, using data collected between 1990 and 2007. Both methods offer a feasible solution to analyse and identify areas of intervention.


Subject(s)
Environmental Monitoring/methods , Epidemiological Monitoring , Rabies/epidemiology , Rabies/veterinary , Raccoons , Animals , New York/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies
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