MELD, MELD 3.0, versus Child score to predict mortality after acute variceal hemorrhage: A multicenter US cohort.

BACKGROUND: Acute variceal hemorrhage is a major decompensating event in patients with cirrhosis and is associated with high 6-week mortality risk. Many prognostic models based on clinical and laboratory parameters have been developed to risk stratify patients on index bleeding presentation, including those based on the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP). However, consensus on model performance remains unclear. METHODS: Using a large US multicenter cohort of hospitalized patients with cirrhosis who presented with acute variceal hemorrhage, this study evaluates, recalibrates, and compares liver severity index-based models, including the more recent MELD 3.0 model, to investigate their predictive performance on 6-week mortality. Models were also recalibrated and externally validated using additional external centers. RESULTS: All recalibrated MELD-based and CTP-based models had excellent discrimination to identify patients at higher risk for 6-week mortality on initial presentation. The recalibrated CTP score model maintained the best calibration and performance within the validation cohort. Patients with low CTP scores (Class A, score 5-6) were strongly associated with < 5% mortality, while high CTP score (Class C, score > 9) were associated with > 20% mortality. CONCLUSION: Use of liver severity index-based models accurately predict 6-week mortality risk for patients admitted to the hospital with acute variceal hemorrhage and supports the utilization of these models in future clinical trials as well as their use in clinical practice.

Effectiveness and Safety of EUS Rendezvous After Failed Biliary Cannulation With ERCP: A Systematic Review and Proportion Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Endoscopic ultrasound-guided rendezvous (EUS-RV) endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) is an alternative to interventional radiology-guided rendezvous ERCP in patients who failed biliary cannulation with conventional ERCP. However, there is significant variation in reported rates of success and adverse events associated with EUS-RV-assisted ERCP. We performed a systematic review and a proportion meta-analysis to reliably assess the effectiveness and safety of the EUS-RV-assisted ERCP. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a comprehensive search of multiple electronic databases and conference proceedings (from inception through August 2020) to identify studies reporting EUS-RV-assisted ERCP in patients who failed biliary cannulation with conventional ERCP techniques. Using the random-effects model described by DerSimonian and Laird, we calculated the pooled rates of technical success, clinical success, and adverse events of EUS-RV-assisted ERCP. RESULTS: Twelve studies reporting a total of 342 patients were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled rate of technical success (12 studies reporting a total of 342 patients) was 86.1% [95% confidence interval (CI): 78.4-91.3]. The pooled rate of clinical success (4 studies reporting a total of 94 patients) was 80.8% (95% CI: 64.1-90.8). The pooled rate of overall adverse events (12 studies; 42 events in 342 patients) was 14% (95% CI: 10.5-18.4). Low to moderate heterogeneity was noted in the analyses. CONCLUSIONS: EUS-RV-assisted ERCP appears to be effective and safe in patients who failed biliary cannulation with conventional ERCP. Given the risk of adverse events, it should be performed in centers with expertise in therapeutic endoscopic ultrasound.

Anti-reflux mucosectomy for refractory gastroesophageal reflux disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Background and study aims Anti-reflux mucosectomy (ARMS) is an emerging endoscopic treatment for refractory gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD). We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the safety and efficacy ARMS in refractory GERD. Methods A comprehensive search of multiple databases (through March 2020) was performed to identify studies that reported outcomes of ARMS for refractory GERD. Outcomes assessed included technical success, clinical response, and adverse events (AEs). Clinical response was defined as discontinuation (complete) or reduction (partial) of proton pump inhibitors post-ARMS at follow up. Results A total of 307 patients (mean age 46.9 [8.1] years, 41.5 % females) were included from 10 studies. The technical success and clinical response rates were 97.7 % (95 % confidence interval [CI], 94.6-99.0) and 80.1 % (95 % CI, 61.6-91.0), respectively. The pooled rate of complete and partial clinical response was 65.3 % (95 % CI, 51.4-77.0) and 21.5 % (95 % CI, 14.2-31.2), respectively. The rate of AEs was 17.2 % (95 % CI, 13.1-22.2) with most common AE being dysphagia/esophageal stricture followed by bleeding with rates of 11.4 % and 5.0 %, respectively. GERD health-related quality of life (GERD-HRQL) (mean difference [MD] = 14.9, P  < 0.001), GERD questionnaire (GERD-Q) (MD = 4.85, P  < 0.001) and mean acid exposure time (MD = 2.39, P  = 0.01) decreased significantly post-ARMS as compared to pre-procedure. There was no difference in terms of clinical response and AEs between ARMS and ARMS with banding on subgroup analysis. Conclusions ARMS is a safe and effective procedure for treatment of refractory GERD with high rates of clinical response, acceptable safety profile and significant improvement in GERD-related quality of life. Prospective studies are needed to validate our findings.

EUS-guided radiofrequency and ethanol ablation for pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

EUS-guided radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and ethanol ablation (EA) for pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNETs) have recently been reported with good outcomes. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the comparative effectiveness and safety of EUS-RFA and EUS-EA in the treatment of PNETs. A comprehensive search of multiple databases (through October 2020) was performed to identify studies that reported outcomes of EUS-RFA and EUS-EA of PNETs. Outcomes assessed included clinical success, technical success, and adverse events (AEs). A total of 181 (100 EUS-RFA, 81 EUS-EA) patients (60.7 ± 9.2 years) with 204 (113 EUS-RFA, 91 EUS-EA) PNETs (mean size 15.1 ± 4.7 mm) were included from 20 studies. There was no significant difference in the rates of technical success (94.4% [95% confidence interval (CI): 88.5-97.3, I2 = 0] vs. 96.7% [95% CI: 90.8-98.8, I2 = 0]; P = 0.42), clinical success (85.2% (95% CI: 75.9-91.4, I2 = 0) vs. 82.2% [95% CI: 68.2-90.8, I2 = 10.1]; P = 0.65), and AEs (14.1% [95% CI: 7.1-26.3, I2 = 0] vs. 11.5% [95% CI: 4.7-25.4, I2 = 63.5]; P = 0.7) between EUS-RFA and EUS-EA, respectively. The most common AE was pancreatitis with the rate of 7.8% and 7.6% (P = 0.95) for EUS-RFA and EUS-EA, respectively. On meta-regression, the location of PNETs in head/neck of pancreas (P = 0.03) was a positive predictor of clinical success for EUS-RFA. EUS-RFA and EUS-EA have similar effectiveness and safety for PNETs ablation. Head/neck location of PNETs was a positive predictor for clinical success after EUS-RFA.

Lower rates of endoscopy and higher mortality in end-stage renal disease patients with gastrointestinal bleeding: A propensity matched national study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) on hemodialysis are considered to be at higher risk of gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) as compared with those without renal disease (NRD). We conducted a population-based study using the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) database to study the outcomes of GIB in ESRD. METHODS: Patients admitted with GIB (upper and lower) from 2005 to 2013 were extracted from the NIS database using ICD-9 codes. Patients were divided into NRD and ESRD groups, and a 1:1 propensity matched analysis was performed. Various outcomes were compared in both groups, and subgroup analysis based on the timing of endoscopy was also performed. RESULTS: A total of 218 032 patients were included in the study. There was an increase in inpatient admissions among ESRD patients with GIB with significant reduction in mortality (P < 0.001). In-hospital mortality, length of stay, and total costs were significantly higher in ESRD patients as compared with NRD. ESRD patients were less likely to undergo endoscopic evaluation compared with NRD (P < 0.001). Late endoscopy (> 48 h) was associated with increased need for transfusion and health-care utilization but without a significant difference in mortality as compared with early endoscopy. On multivariate analysis, endoscopy was associated with significantly lower rate of mortality in ESRD patients with GIB (odds ratio 0.28, P < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: End-stage renal disease patients with GIB had a significantly higher rate of mortality and a higher health-care utilization with a lower rate of endoscopic evaluation. Endoscopy was associated with a lower mortality rate on multivariate analysis.

Needle-based Confocal Laser Endomicroscopy (nCLE) for Evaluation of Pancreatic Cystic Lesions: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Given the variable diagnostic yield of endoscopic ultrasound and endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine-needle aspiration for pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs), novel imaging techniques including needle-based confocal laser endomicroscopy (nCLE) have been devised. The aim of this study was to perform a structured systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the diagnostic performance and safety of nCLE for the diagnosis of PCLs. METHODS: Individualized search strategies were developed in accordance with PRISMA and MOOSE guidelines and meta-analysis analyzed according to the Cochrane Diagnostic Test Accuracy working group methodology. Measured outcomes included diagnostic characteristics and procedure-associated adverse events. A bivariate model was used to compute combined weighted sensitivity, specificity, positive/negative likelihood ratio (LR), diagnostic odds ratio, and summary receiver operating characteristic curve with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: Seven studies (n=324; mean age: 63.99±5.36 y; 52.47% female) were included. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive LR, and negative LR of nCLE was 85% (95% CI, 71-93; I2=74.20%), 99% (95% CI, 90-100; I2=72.60%), 78.66 (95% CI, 7.99-774.68; I2=26.86%), and 0.15 (95% CI, 0.07-0.31; I2=75.84%), respectively. Diagnostic accuracy as measured by summary receiver operating characteristic curve was 99% (95% CI, 98-100). The pooled diagnostic odds ratio was 534 (95% CI, 50-5664; I2=58.00%). Postprocedure pancreatitis developed in 1% (95% CI, 0-3; I2=5.64%) of cases. CONCLUSIONS: On the basis of this meta-analysis, nCLE appears to be an effective and safe technique for the diagnostic evaluation of PCLs. Although moderate-to-high amounts of heterogeneity were present, our results demonstrated that nCLE has a diagnostic accuracy of 99% with a low rate of adverse events.

Impact of COVID-19 on gastroenterology fellowship training: a multicenter analysis of endoscopy volumes.

Background and study aims The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound impact on gastroenterology training programs. We aimed to objectively evaluate procedural training volume and impact of COVID-19 on gastroenterology fellowship programs in the United States. Methods This was a retrospective, multicenter study. Procedure volume data on upper and lower endoscopies performed by gastroenterology fellows was abstracted directly from the electronic medical record. The study period was stratified into 2 time periods: Study Period 1, SP1 (03/15/2020 to 06/30/2020) and Study Period 2, SP2 (07/01/2020 to 12/15/2020). Procedure volumes during SP1 and SP2 were compared to Historic Period 1 (HP1) (03/15/2019 to 06/30/2019) and Historic Period 2 (HP2) (07/01/2019 to 12/15/2019) as historical reference. Results Data from 23 gastroenterology fellowship programs (total procedures = 127,958) with a median of 284 fellows (range 273-289; representing 17.8 % of all trainees in the United States) were collected. Compared to HP1, fellows performed 53.6 % less procedures in SP1 (total volume: 28,808 vs 13,378; mean 105.52 ±â€Š71.94 vs 47.61 ±â€Š41.43 per fellow; P  < 0.0001). This reduction was significant across all three training years and for both lower and upper endoscopies ( P  < 0.0001). However, the reduction in volume was more pronounced for lower endoscopy compared to upper endoscopy [59.03 % (95 % CI: 58.2-59.86) vs 48.75 % (95 % CI: 47.96-49.54); P  < 0.0001]. The procedure volume in SP2 returned to near baseline of HP2 (total volume: 42,497 vs 43,275; mean 147.05 ±â€Š96.36 vs 150.78 ±â€Š99.67; P  = 0.65). Conclusions Although there was a significant reduction in fellows' endoscopy volume in the initial stages of the pandemic, adaptive mechanisms have resulted in a return of procedure volume to near baseline without ongoing impact on endoscopy training.

Hydrogen peroxide assisted endoscopic necrosectomy for walled-off pancreatic necrosis: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Endoscopic necrosectomy (EN) is the preferred approach for management of symptomatic or infected walled-off pancreatic necrosis (WOPN). Hydrogen peroxide (H2O2) has been reported to be a good adjunctive therapy for EN. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate effectiveness and safety of H2O2 assisted EN for WOPN. METHODS: A comprehensive search of multiple databases (through December 2020) was performed to identify studies that reported outcomes of H2O2 assisted EN for WOPN. Outcomes assessed included clinical success, technical success, and adverse events. RESULTS: A total of 454 patients with mean age (47.3 ± 7.9 years) and WOPN size (12.4 ± 3.1 cm) were included from 15 studies. The median H2O2 concentration was 3% (range 0.1-3%), with dilution and volume ranging from 1:1 to 10:1 and 20 ml to 1 L, respectively. The rates of technical success, clinical success and adverse events was 97.3% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 94.8-98.6, I2 = 0), 89.8% (95% CI: 86.3-92.5, I2 = 0) and 17.9% (95% CI: 12.6-24.7, I2 = 38), respectively. The most common adverse event was bleeding (7.1%) followed by stent migration (5.3%). On meta-regression, WOPN size, patient age, use of metal stent, number of necrosectomies and transgastric access were not significant predictor for technical success, clinical success or adverse events. CONCLUSION: H2O2 assisted EN is effective and safe for management of WOPN. Its use may be encouraged, and future randomized controlled studies are needed to study the optimal technique, concentration and best predictors of success.

Erratum: Endoscopic transpapillary gallbladder stenting to prevent acute cholecystitis in patients receiving fully covered self-expandable metal stents for benign biliary stricture.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1055/a-1500-8028.].

Endoscopic transpapillary gallbladder stenting to prevent acute cholecystitis in patients receiving FCEMS for benign biliary stricture.

Background and study aims Fully covered self-expanding metal stents (FCSEMS) are being increasingly used for benign biliary strictures (BBS); however, they are associated with risk of acute cholecystitis. Prophylactic endoscopic transpapillary gallbladder stenting (ETPGBS) can facilitate continuous gallbladder drainage and prevent acute cholecystitis from occlusion of cystic duct orifice by the FCSEMS. The aim of this study was to assess the technical feasibility, efficacy, and safety of ETPGBS to prevent acute cholecystitis in patients receiving FCSEMS for BBS. Patients and methods This was a retrospective analysis of a prospectively collected database at a single center of all patients who underwent prophylactic ETPGBS with FCSEMS for BBS between December 1, 2016 and November 30, 2020. Results A total of 71 ETPGBS were placed during the study period. Sixteen patients (mean age: 66.4 ±â€Š19.8 years; 81 % male) underwent ETPGBS prior to biliary FCSEMS during the same endoscopic session. FCSEMS were left in place (stent dwell time) for a median of 173 days (range: 69-473; mean 196 ±â€Š121) with resolution of BBS and successful removal of ETPGBS and FCSEMS in 12 patients. There was significant improvement in total bilirubin level (5.25 ±â€Š5.53 vs 0.94 ±â€Š0.85 gm/dL; P  = 0.008). No episodes of acute cholecystitis or any other post-procedural complications were noted during the median follow-up of 337 days (range: 150-856; mean 394 ±â€Š236). Conclusions ETPGBS prevented stent-related acute cholecystitis with continued efficacy of FCSEMS for BBS.

Endoscopic ultrasound-guided gastroenterostomy using large-diameter (20 mm) lumen apposing metal stent (LLAMS).

Background and study aims Endoscopic ultrasound-guided gastroenterostomy (EUS-GE) using a 15-mm lumen apposing metal stent (LAMS) has emerged as a viable alternative to surgical gastrojejunostomy for management of gastric outlet obstruction (GOO). However, given the size of the anastomosis created with a 15-mm LAMS, long-term luminal patency and clinical outcomes may be suboptimal. The aim of this study was to evaluate the technical feasibility, efficacy, and safety of EUS-GE with a large-diameter (20 mm) LAMS (LLAMS). Patients and methods A retrospective analysis of a prospectively maintained database of all patients undergoing EUS-GE with LLAMS between December 1, 2018 and September 30, 2020 was performed. All EUS-GEs were performed using a cautery-enhanced LLAMS. Results Thirty-three patients were referred for endoscopic management of GOO. Two patients were excluded due to a lack of an adequate window for EUS-GE. The remaining 31 patients (93.94 %) (mean age: 61.35 ±â€Š16.52 years; 54.84 % males) underwent EUS-GE using LLAMS for malignant (n = 23) and benign (n = 8) GOO. Technical success was achieved in all patients (100 %) with attempted EUS-GE. Complete clinical success (tolerance of regular diet) was achieved in 93.55 % of patients (n = 29). Two patients (6.45 %) had partial clinical success and died of unrelated causes prior to advancing diet beyond full liquids. Overall mean follow-up was 140.84 ±â€Š160.41 days (median 70, range 4-590). All stents remained patent with no evidence of recurrent GOO symptoms. One patient (3.23 %) developed an asymptomatic clean-based jejunal ulcer on 3-month follow-up endoscopy. Conclusions EUS-GE with LLAMS is a technically feasible, effective and safe option for patients with GOO allowing for tolerability of regular diet. Future prospective, ideally randomized studies comparing long-term outcomes of EUS-GE with 20- and 15-mm LAMS are required.

Endoscopic Transpapillary Gallbladder Drainage for Acute Cholecystitis using Two Gallbladder Stents (Dual Gallbladder Stenting).

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Endoscopic transpapillary gallbladder drainage (ETPGBD) is gaining popularity for the management of acute cholecystitis (AC) in high-risk patients. However, the stents placed during the procedure are not immune to obstruction. Here we describe a novel technique of stenting with two transpapillary stents and evaluate its technical feasibility, safety, and efficacy in AC. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of all patients undergoing ETPGBD using dual stents for AC at our institution between November 1, 2017 and August 31, 2020 was conducted. We abstracted patient data to evaluate technical and clinical success, adverse events, and long-term outcomes. Two stents were placed either during the index procedure or during an interval procedure performed 4-6 weeks after the index procedure. RESULTS: A total of 21 patients underwent ETPGBD with dual stenting (57.14% male, mean age: 62.14±17.21 years). The median interval between the placement of the first and the second stents was 37 days (range: 0-226 days). Technical and clinical success rates were 100%, with a recurrence rate of 4.76% (n=1) and adverse event rate of 9.52% (n=2) during a mean follow-up period of 471.74±345.64 days (median: 341 days, range: 55-1084 days). CONCLUSION: ETPGBD with dual gallbladder stenting is a safe and effective technique for long-term gallbladder drainage in non-surgical candidates. Larger controlled studies are needed to validate our findings for the widespread implementation of this technique.

Fresh frozen plasma transfusion in acute variceal haemorrhage: Results from a multicentre cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Fresh frozen plasma (FFP) transfusion is often used in the management of acute variceal haemorrhage (AVH) despite best practice advice suggesting otherwise. OBJECTIVE: We investigated if FFP transfusion affects clinical outcomes in AVH. DESIGN, SETTING AND PATIENTS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of 244 consecutive, eligible patients admitted to five tertiary health care centres between 2013 and 2018 with AVH. MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: Multivariable regression analyses were used to study the association of FFP transfusion with mortality at 42 days (primary outcome) and failure to control bleeding at 5 days and length of stay (secondary outcomes). RESULTS: Patients who received FFP transfusion (n = 100) had higher mean Model for End Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and more severe variceal bleeding than those who did not received FFP transfusion (n = 144). Multivariable analysis showed that FFP transfusion was associated with increased odds of mortality at 42 days (odds ratio [OR] 9.41, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.71-23.90). FFP transfusion was also associated with failure to control bleeding at 5 days (OR 3.87, 95% CI 1.28-11.70) and length of stay >7 days (adjusted OR 1.88, 95% CI 1.03-3.42). The independent association of FFP transfusion with mortality at 42 days persisted when the cohort was restricted to high-risk patients and in patients without active bleeding. LIMITATIONS AND CONCLUSIONS: Fresh frozen plasma transfusion in AVH is independently associated with poor clinical outcomes. As this an observational study, there may be residual bias due to confounding; however, we demonstrate no benefit and potential harm with FFP transfusions in AVH.

Pancreatic cyst fluid glucose in differentiating mucinous from nonmucinous pancreatic cysts: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Recently, low levels of intracystic glucose acquired with EUS-guided pancreatic cyst fluid sampling have been shown to help to differentiate mucinous from nonmucinous cystic neoplasms. The aim of this study was to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the diagnostic characteristics of pancreatic cyst fluid glucose compared with carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) for pancreatic cystic lesions. METHODS: Individualized searches were developed in accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses and Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology guidelines and meta-analysis analyzed according to Cochrane Diagnostic Test Accuracy working group methodology. A bivariate model was used to compute pooled sensitivity and specificity, likelihood ratio, diagnostic odds ratio, and summary receiver operating characteristics curve for intracystic glucose or CEA alone or combination testing. RESULTS: Eight studies (609 lesions; mean patient age, 63.56 ± 2.75 years; 60.36% women) were included. The pooled sensitivity for pancreatic cyst fluid glucose was significantly higher compared with CEA alone (91% [95% confidence interval {CI}, 88-94; I2 = .00] vs 56% [95% CI, 46-66; I2 = 537.14]; P < .001) with no difference in specificity (86% [95% CI, 81-90; I2 = 24.16] vs 96% [95% CI, 90-99; I2 = 38.06]; P > .05). Diagnostic accuracy was significantly higher for pancreatic cyst fluid glucose versus CEA alone (94% [95% CI, 91-96] vs 85% [95% CI, 82-88]; P < .001). Combination testing with pancreatic cyst fluid glucose and CEA did not improve the diagnostic accuracy compared with glucose alone (97% [95% CI, 95-98] vs 94% [95% CI, 91-96]; P > .05). CONCLUSIONS: Low pancreatic cyst fluid glucose was associated with a high sensitivity and specificity with significantly improved diagnostic accuracy compared with CEA alone for the diagnosis of mucinous versus nonmucinous pancreatic cystic lesions.