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1.
Bull Environ Contam Toxicol ; 112(2): 25, 2024 Jan 28.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38280922

ABSTRACT

This study investigated the influence of soil water status on the toxicokinetics of phenanthrene in the springtail Folsomia candida allowing estimation of uptake and elimination rates at two contrasting soil water potentials. Fitting a three-phase model to the observations showed that uptake rate (ku) was almost two times higher in moist soil (-2 kPa) than in dry soil (-360 kPa). During the first days of the exposure, elimination rate (ke) was not significantly different in moist and dry soil, but after eight days ke had increased significantly more in moist soil than in dry soil. Our results confirm the general notion that the exposure route via soil pore water is important. Understanding the significance of soil moisture in exposure and effects of contaminants on soil invertebrates is crucial for assessing the ecological risks associated with soil pollution in a changing climate.


Subject(s)
Arthropods , Phenanthrenes , Soil Pollutants , Animals , Soil , Environmental Pollution , Phenanthrenes/toxicity , Water
2.
Sci Total Environ ; 648: 894-901, 2019 Jan 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30144757

ABSTRACT

A suite of perfluoroalkyl substances (PFASs) and polychlorinated naphthalenes (PCNs) were determined in 41 peregrine falcon eggs collected in South Greenland between 1986 and 2014. Median concentrations of perfluorinated sulfonic acids (ΣPFSA) and perfluorinated carboxylic acids (ΣPFCA) were 303 ng/g dry weight (dw) (58 ng/g wet weight, ww) and 100 ng/g dw (19 ng/g ww), respectively, which was comparable to other studies. Perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS) accounted for 94% on average of all PFSAs, but did not show a significant time trend. Perfluorohexane sulfonate (PFHxS), perfluoroheptane sulfonate (PFHpS) and perfluorodecane sulfonate (PFDS) showed non-linear decreases over the study period, while some long-chain PFCAs increased significantly. The PCN profile was dominated by the penta-, hexa- and tetrachlorinated congeners CN-52/60, CN-66/67 and CN-42. CN-54, an indicator of combustion, accounted for 2.4% of ΣPCN on average. All PCN congeners showed a decreasing tendency, which was significant for lipid-normalized concentrations of CN-53, CN-54 and CN-63. The ΣPCN median concentration was 21 ng/g lipid weight, which is in the high end of concentrations reported for bird eggs. The PCN and PFAS concentrations add to an already high contaminant burden and a complex chemical cocktail in the peregrine falcon population in Greenland, mainly reflecting contaminant exposure during migration and winter stays in Central and South America.


Subject(s)
Environmental Exposure , Environmental Pollutants/metabolism , Falconiformes/metabolism , Fluorocarbons/metabolism , Naphthalenes/metabolism , Ovum/metabolism , Animals , Environmental Monitoring , Greenland , Seasons
3.
Environ Sci Technol ; 52(2): 474-483, 2018 01 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29192494

ABSTRACT

Median levels of regulated flame retardants, i.e., polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDEs), brominated biphenyl (BB)-153, and hexabromocyclododecane (HBCD), in 33-48 eggs of peregrine falcons (Falco peregrinus) from Greenland were 1909, 359, and 5.98 ng/g lipid weight (lw), respectively, and generally intermediate to levels in North America and Europe. Unregulated flame retardants had lower median concentrations of 1.06 (2-ethylhexyl-2,3,4,5-tetrabromobenzoate, EH-TBB), 2.42 (1,2-bis(2,4,6-tribromophenoxy)-ethane, BTBPE), 0.52 (2,4,6-tribromophenyl 2,3-dibromopropyl ether, DPTE), and 4.78 (dechlorane plus) ng/g lw. Although these compounds are often described as recent replacements for PBDEs, they were also present in eggs from the 1980s. BDE-209 was the only compound with a significant increase (+7.2% annual change) between 1986 and 2014, while BB-153 and DPTE decreased significantly (-8.0% and -2.8% annual change, respectively). Dechlorane plus showed a nonsignificant increase. Individual birds, equipped with light-logging geolocators, confirmed the contaminant exposure over a large geographical area as the birds spent nearly equal time periods in their breeding and wintering grounds in Greenland and Central/South America, respectively, interrupted by 5-6 weeks of migration through North America.


Subject(s)
Environmental Pollutants , Flame Retardants , Animals , Central America , Environmental Monitoring , Europe , Greenland , Halogenated Diphenyl Ethers , North America , South America
4.
Regul Toxicol Pharmacol ; 92: 207-212, 2018 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29253514

ABSTRACT

It is here shown how partial order can be used to provide a robust and consistent implementation of the DF4 approach which provides unbiased information enabling comparison and open up the possibility for grouping. The approach is based on few assumptions, works well with the data, can include different types of input parameters, and can provide fundamental information about the ranks of tested materials. It is shown that the materials in many cases are below one threshold within a tier, but above another threshold within the same tier. It is also observed that the ranks of the materials can differ between tiers, although this is less relevant for DF4 since parameters evaluation may be hierarchical.


Subject(s)
Nanostructures/chemistry , Materials Testing/methods , Particle Size
5.
J Insect Physiol ; 100: 140-145, 2017 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28576457

ABSTRACT

The mutualistic relationship that the garden ant Lasius niger (L.) establishes with trophobiotic homopterans makes this ant an unwelcome host in commercial crops, as ants improve the survival of homopteran pests from which they collect honeydew as a source of carbohydrates. Because the offering of alternative sugar sources can be used to disrupt this relationship, the present study explored L. niger's preference towards sugar and amino acid components that may be used in sugar solutions to increase their attractiveness. We tested the ant's preference between basic sugars (mono- and disaccharides) used as main ingredients and attractants (trisaccharides and amino acid (AA) sources) added to basic sugar in small amounts. Results showed that ants preferred disaccharides over monosaccharides, and that trisaccharides increased the attractiveness of sucrose solutions, albeit not when a protein source was added to the mix. In the case of AA sources, ants preferred components with a more diverse composition. In conclusion, trisaccharides and AA sources can be used to increase the attractiveness of sugar solutions, leading to the development of solutions that when supplied in artificial feeders can out-compete honeydew and disrupt harmful ant-homopteran mutualisms in agriculture.


Subject(s)
Amino Acids/physiology , Ants/physiology , Carbohydrates/physiology , Animal Nutritional Physiological Phenomena , Animals , Disaccharides/physiology , Feeding Behavior , Trisaccharides/physiology
6.
Adv Exp Med Biol ; 947: 257-301, 2017.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28168671

ABSTRACT

The development and implementation of safe-by-design strategies is key for the safe development of future generations of nanotechnology enabled products. The safety testing of the huge variety of nanomaterials that can be synthetized is unfeasible due to time and cost constraints. Computational modeling facilitates the implementation of alternative testing strategies in a time and cost effective way. The development of predictive nanotoxicology models requires the use of high quality experimental data on the structure, physicochemical properties and bioactivity of nanomaterials. The FP7 Project MODERN has developed and evaluated the main components of a computational framework for the evaluation of the environmental and health impacts of nanoparticles. This chapter describes each of the elements of the framework including aspects related to data generation, management and integration; development of nanodescriptors; establishment of nanostructure-activity relationships; identification of nanoparticle categories; hazard ranking and risk assessment.


Subject(s)
Nanoparticles/chemistry , Computer Simulation , Humans , Nanostructures/chemistry , Nanotechnology/methods , Risk Assessment , Safety
7.
Sci Total Environ ; 468-469: 614-21, 2014 Jan 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24056452

ABSTRACT

Peregrine falcon eggs were collected in South Greenland between 1986 and 2003 and analysed for 6 congeners of toxaphene and 5 chlordane-related pesticides (cis-chlordane, trans-chlordane, cis-nonachlor, trans-nonachlor and oxychlordane). Oxychlordane had the highest median concentration of 1448 ng/g lipid weight (lw) or 79 ng/g wet weight (ww) of all compounds. Of the toxaphene congeners, CHB-50 was the predominant congener, with a median concentration of 215 ng/g lw (15.5 ng/g ww). Chlordane-related concentrations were comparable with results from the USA, but lower than those from Canada and Norway. Toxaphene was considerably higher than in eggs of Norwegian peregrine falcon eggs, possibly reflecting different toxaphene usage in the areas of peregrine falcon migration. Toxaphene information in birds of prey is limited and comparisons with other species indicate differences in concentrations and organochlorine pattern. Temporal trends showed significant log-linear decreases for cis-chlordane and trans-chlordane, but no significant trends for other chlordanes or the toxaphene congeners, probably affected by the large variation between eggs, also of the same bird. Correlations between chlordanes and toxaphene in the Greenland peregrine falcon eggs might suggest similar sources of exposure.


Subject(s)
Environmental Monitoring/statistics & numerical data , Falconiformes/metabolism , Ovum/metabolism , Pesticides/metabolism , Analysis of Variance , Animals , Chlordan/metabolism , Environmental Monitoring/methods , Gas Chromatography-Mass Spectrometry , Geography , Greenland , Toxaphene/metabolism
8.
Sci Total Environ ; 409(19): 4109-24, 2011 Sep 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21737121

ABSTRACT

Conducting environmental risk assessment of engineered nanomaterials has been an extremely challenging endeavor thus far. Moreover, recent findings from the nano-risk scientific community indicate that it is unlikely that many of these challenges will be easily resolved in the near future, especially given the vast variety and complexity of nanomaterials and their applications. As an approach to help optimize environmental risk assessments of nanomaterials, we apply the Worst-Case Definition (WCD) model to identify best estimates for worst-case conditions of environmental risks of two case studies which use engineered nanoparticles, namely nZVI in soil and groundwater remediation and C(60) in an engine oil lubricant. Results generated from this analysis may ultimately help prioritize research areas for environmental risk assessments of nZVI and C(60) in these applications as well as demonstrate the use of worst-case conditions to optimize future research efforts for other nanomaterials. Through the application of the WCD model, we find that the most probable worst-case conditions for both case studies include i) active uptake mechanisms, ii) accumulation in organisms, iii) ecotoxicological response mechanisms such as reactive oxygen species (ROS) production and cell membrane damage or disruption, iv) surface properties of nZVI and C(60), and v) acute exposure tolerance of organisms. Additional estimates of worst-case conditions for C(60) also include the physical location of C(60) in the environment from surface run-off, cellular exposure routes for heterotrophic organisms, and the presence of light to amplify adverse effects. Based on results of this analysis, we recommend the prioritization of research for the selected applications within the following areas: organism active uptake ability of nZVI and C(60) and ecotoxicological response end-points and response mechanisms including ROS production and cell membrane damage, full nanomaterial characterization taking into account detailed information on nanomaterial surface properties, and investigations of dose-response relationships for a variety of organisms.


Subject(s)
Environmental Pollutants/chemistry , Fullerenes/chemistry , Iron/chemistry , Models, Theoretical , Nanostructures/chemistry , Animals , Environmental Exposure , Environmental Pollutants/toxicity , Environmental Restoration and Remediation , Fullerenes/toxicity , Groundwater/chemistry , Iron/toxicity , Nanostructures/toxicity , Plants/drug effects , Reactive Oxygen Species , Risk Assessment , Soil/chemistry , Surface Properties , Toxicity Tests , Vertebrates/physiology
9.
BMC Bioinformatics ; 12: 250, 2011 Jun 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21693017

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Normalization of target gene expression, measured by real-time quantitative PCR (qPCR), is a requirement for reducing experimental bias and thereby improving data quality. The currently used normalization approach is based on using one or more reference genes. Yet, this approach extends the experimental work load and suffers from assumptions that may be difficult to meet and to validate. RESULTS: We developed a data driven normalization algorithm (NORMA-Gene). An analysis of the performance of NORMA-Gene compared to reference gene normalization on artificially generated data-sets showed that the NORMA-Gene normalization yielded more precise results under a large range of parameters tested. Furthermore, when tested on three very different real qPCR data-sets NORMA-Gene was shown to be best at reducing variance due to experimental bias in all three data-sets compared to normalization based on the use of reference gene(s). CONCLUSIONS: Here we present the NORMA-Gene algorithm that is applicable to all biological and biomedical qPCR studies, especially those that are based on a limited number of assayed genes. The method is based on a data-driven normalization and is useful for as little as five target genes comprising the data-set. NORMA-Gene does not require the identification and validation of reference genes allowing researchers to focus their efforts on studying target genes of biological relevance.


Subject(s)
Algorithms , Polymerase Chain Reaction/methods , Gene Expression , Gene Expression Profiling/methods
10.
Sci Total Environ ; 408(18): 3852-9, 2010 Aug 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19945144

ABSTRACT

This paper helps bridge the gap between scientists and other stakeholders in the areas of human and environmental risk management of chemicals and engineered nanomaterials. This connection is needed due to the evolution of stakeholder awareness and scientific progress related to human and environmental health which involves complex methodological demands on risk management. At the same time, the available scientific knowledge is also becoming more scattered across multiple scientific disciplines. Hence, the understanding of potentially risky situations is increasingly multifaceted, which again challenges risk assessors in terms of giving the 'right' relative priority to the multitude of contributing risk factors. A critical issue is therefore to develop procedures that can identify and evaluate worst case risk conditions which may be input to risk level predictions. Therefore, this paper suggests a conceptual modelling procedure that is able to define appropriate worst case conditions in complex risk management. The result of the analysis is an assembly of system models, denoted the Worst Case Definition (WCD) model, to set up and evaluate the conditions of multi-dimensional risk identification and risk quantification. The model can help optimize risk assessment planning by initial screening level analyses and guiding quantitative assessment in relation to knowledge needs for better decision support concerning environmental and human health protection or risk reduction. The WCD model facilitates the evaluation of fundamental uncertainty using knowledge mapping principles and techniques in a way that can improve a complete uncertainty analysis. Ultimately, the WCD is applicable for describing risk contributing factors in relation to many different types of risk management problems since it transparently and effectively handles assumptions and definitions and allows the integration of different forms of knowledge, thereby supporting the inclusion of multifaceted risk components in cumulative risk management.


Subject(s)
Environmental Pollutants/toxicity , Inorganic Chemicals/toxicity , Models, Theoretical , Nanostructures/toxicity , Organic Chemicals/toxicity , Risk Management/methods , Environmental Exposure/prevention & control , Environmental Exposure/statistics & numerical data , Environmental Monitoring , Environmental Pollution/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Factors
11.
Sci Total Environ ; 408(18): 3860-70, 2010 Aug 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20015539

ABSTRACT

This paper illustrates, by a case study, how to apply the conceptual Worst-Case Definition (WCD) model, developed in the methodological paper in the current journal, by Sørensen et al. (2010-this issue). The case is about eco-toxicological risk assessment of pesticides under Danish conditions. Cumulative aspects are included on a conceptual basis as elements of the worst-case conditions. This defines factors that govern the risk assessment, including location in time and space of risk "hotspots". Two pillars of concern drive the conceptual modelling: (1) What to protect (denoted Protected Units (PUs)) and (2) the reason for increased risk level (denoted Causes of Risks (CRs)). Both PUs and CRs are analysed using hierarchical procedures that facilitate a complete listing of concrete factors governing increased risk for adverse effect due to agricultural usage of pesticide. The factors governing pesticide risk are combined in a context that combines the protection of relevant groupings of organisms with the factors for increased risk level for each of these. Identification of the most important relations between defined types of PUs and CRs is illustrated using expert knowledge. Existing databases are used to form spatial distributed risk indicators as estimators for a selection of important relations between PUs and CRs. This paper illustrates how the WCD model can break down the complex issue of uncertainty into fractions that are more open for evaluations. Finally, it shows application of risk indicators in a multi-criterion analysis using respectively self organizing mapping and partial order technique in a comparative analysis that highlights critical aspects of uncertainty, due to the ambiguity between single risk indicator rankings.


Subject(s)
Environmental Exposure/statistics & numerical data , Environmental Monitoring/methods , Environmental Pollutants/toxicity , Models, Theoretical , Pesticides/toxicity , Environmental Exposure/analysis , Environmental Pollution/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Factors
12.
Environ Int ; 35(2): 336-41, 2009 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18823663

ABSTRACT

Thirty-seven addled peregrine falcon eggs collected in South Greenland between 1986 and 2003 were analysed for their content of the organochlorine compounds polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs), dichlorodiphenyl tricloroethane (DDT) and its degradation products, hexachlorocyclohexane (HCH) isomers and hexachlorobenzene (HCB). PCBs and DDT (including metabolites) were by far the most abundant OC groups, with median concentrations of 55 and 40 microg/g lw, respectively. The concentrations were high in an Arctic context, but similar to previously reported levels from Alaska and Norway and slightly lower than concentrations measured in eggs from industrialised regions. Geographical differences may be of importance, considering the migration of peregrine falcons and their prey. SigmaHCH and HCB had median concentrations of 0.39 and 0.17 microg/g lw, respectively. On average, DDE accounted for 97% of SigmaDDT, but was below critical levels for eggshell thinning. All compound groups showed a weak decreasing trend over the study period, which was statistically significant for HCB and close to being significant for SigmaHCH. The weak decrease of SigmaPCB and SigmaDDT is different from other time trend studies from Greenland, usually showing a more pronounced decrease in the beginning of the study period, followed by a certain stabilisation in recent years.


Subject(s)
Eggs/analysis , Environmental Exposure , Falconiformes , Hydrocarbons, Chlorinated/analysis , Animals , Greenland
13.
J Hazard Mater ; 162(1): 416-22, 2009 Feb 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18573611

ABSTRACT

Chemical warfare agents (CWAs) have been disposed of in various fashions over the past decades. Significant amounts of CWA, roughly 11,000ton, have been dumped in the Baltic Sea east of the island Bornholm following the disarmament of Germany after World War II. This has caused concerns over potential human and environmental health risks, and resulted in restrictions on fishing in the dumpsite area. The purpose of this paper is to assess the potential indirect human health risks due to consumption of CWA-contaminated fish from the dumpsite area east of Bornholm. Earlier studies suggest that the fish community may be at risk from CWA exposure in the Bornholm basin. Moreover, elevated frequencies of lesions on fish caught in a CWA dumpsite in the Mediterranean Sea have been observed. The fish at the Mediterranean dumpsite had elevated total arsenic (As) concentrations in their tissue, and elevated total As levels were also observed in the sediment. Elevated total sediment As concentrations have also been recorded in CWA dumpsites in the Skagerrak and the Baltic Sea. Triphenylarsine and sulfur mustard gas (Yperite) are the CWAs with the greatest indirect human health risk potential. There are recognized uncertainties concerning Yperite's and CWA-derived arsenical's fate and speciation in the environment, as well as their inherent toxicity, warranting caution and further site-specific environmental and human health risk assessments of CWAs dumped in the Bornholm basin.


Subject(s)
Chemical Warfare Agents/adverse effects , Chemical Warfare Agents/analysis , Fishes/metabolism , Food Contamination/analysis , Meat/analysis , Animals , Arsenic/analysis , Denmark , Humans , Mustard Gas/analysis , Refuse Disposal , Risk , Risk Assessment
14.
J Hazard Mater ; 154(1-3): 846-57, 2008 Jun 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18079057

ABSTRACT

Chemical warfare agents (CWAs) have been disposed of in various fashions over the past decades. Significant amounts (approximately 11,000 tonnes) have been dumped in the Baltic Sea east of the island Bornholm following the disarmament of Germany after World War II, causing concerns over potential environmental risks. Absence of risk based on assumptions of extremely low solubility of CWAs cannot alone dismiss these concerns. Existing and modelled fate and effects data were used in the analysis to assess the fish community risk level. The most realistic and also conservative assessment result is the scenario describing 70 m water depth for the most realistic dump-site area with a focus on chronic toxicity, at 0-20 cm above the sediment, yielding a total mixture toxic unit (TU) of 0.62. Triphenylarsine is the CWA with the highest realistic risk profile at 0.2 TU for the fish community followed by Adamsite (0.17), Clark I (0.086) and Yperite (0.083) TU. Adamsite is more persistent and constitutes a potential risk for a longer period than triphenylarsine. The seawater volume potentially at risk is <4 m above sediment and <58 km down current of dump sites. Further risk assessment of dumped CWAs in the Baltic Sea is warranted.


Subject(s)
Chemical Warfare Agents/toxicity , Fishes , Water Pollutants, Chemical/toxicity , Animals , Denmark , Models, Biological , No-Observed-Adverse-Effect Level , Oceans and Seas , Risk Assessment , Structure-Activity Relationship
15.
J Hazard Mater ; 148(1-2): 210-5, 2007 Sep 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17374446

ABSTRACT

Chemical warfare agents (CWAs) have been used and disposed of in various fashions over the past decades. Significant amounts have been dumped in the Baltic Sea following the disarmament of Germany after World War II causing environmental concerns. There is a data gap pertaining to chemical warfare agents, environmental properties not the least their aquatic toxicities. Given this gap and the security limitations relating to working with these agents we applied Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationship ((Q)SAR) models in accordance with the European Technical Guidance Document (2003) to 22 parent CWA compounds and 27 known hydrolysis products. It was concluded that conservative use of EPI Suite (Q)SAR models can generate reliable and conservative estimations of chemical warfare agents acute aquatic toxicity. From an environmental screening point of view the organoarsenic chemical warfare agents Clark I and Adamsite comprise the most problematic of the screened CWA compounds warranting further investigation in relation to a site specific environmental risk assessment. The mustard gas agents (sulphur and nitrogen) and the organophosphorous CWAs (in particular Sarin and Soman) are a secondary category of concern based upon their toxicity alone. The undertaken approach generates reliable and conservative estimations for most of the studied chemicals but with some exceptions (e.g. the organophosphates).


Subject(s)
Chemical Warfare Agents/toxicity , Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationship , Water Pollutants/toxicity , Arsenic , Arsenicals , Chemical Warfare Agents/chemistry , Hydrolysis , Mustard Gas , Organophosphates , Risk Assessment , Water Pollutants/chemistry
16.
Environ Sci Technol ; 39(21): 8199-206, 2005 Nov 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16294855

ABSTRACT

A time trend between 1986 and 2003 was found for brominated flame retardants in peregrine falcon eggs from South Greenland, with significantly increasing concentrations of the polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDEs) 99, 100, 153, 154, and 209. For BDE-99 and -100, the concentration increased approximately 10% per year. The concentrations of PBDEs were among the highest detected in wildlife so far and ranged from 300 to 12,900 ng/g lipid weight (lw) for sigmaPBDE. While tetrabromobisphenol A (TBBPA) was below the limit of detection in all eggs, hexabromocyclododecane (HBCD), dimethyl-TBBPA, and brominated biphenyl BB-153 were detected in a majority of eggs, with median concentrations of 2.4, 230, and 550 ng/g lw, respectively. Analyses of eggs of the same bird showed no significant intra-clutch variation for PBDEs, BB-153, and HBCD but larger variations for dimethyl-TBBPA. Inter-clutch variations with increasing time trends exist for the BDEs 99, 100, 153, 154, and 209, while a decreasing contamination with the BDEs 183, 49, 47, 66 and 153 was indicated in a subset of eggs.


Subject(s)
Bromine/chemistry , Eggs , Flame Retardants/toxicity , Polybrominated Biphenyls/toxicity , Raptors/physiology , Greenland , Sensitivity and Specificity
17.
Environ Toxicol Chem ; 24(4): 995-1003, 2005 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15839576

ABSTRACT

The risk of five different pyrogenic polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) toward two soil-dwelling organisms (i.e., springtail [Folsomia fimetaria] and earthworm [Eisenia veneta]) has been investigated with respect to lethality and reproduction at two soil depths in a typical Danish soil. Predicted environmental concentrations (PECs) are calculated with a model describing diffusion, bulk flow, and microbial degradation. Predicted no-effect concentrations (PNECs) are derived from laboratory experiments performed with nominal soil concentrations in the range from 0 to 300 microg PAH/g dry weight. Risk is estimated through a stochastic approach as well as with the conventional point estimate. The point estimate predicts a potential risk for pyrene, log PEC/PNEC = -0.01, with respect to springtail reproduction at 5 cm soil depth. In all other scenarios, the point-estimate log-ratios are significantly lower than 0. For the stochastic approach risk is defined when the probability for risk (i.e., the probability for log PEC/PNEC > 0), is larger than 5%. The results show that risk is present only for springtail and in the following five scenarios: For anthracene, the probability for risk with respect to lethality is 12% at 5 cm soil depth, and 17 and 5% with respect to reproduction at 5 and 50 cm soil depth, respectively; for pyrene the probability for risk with respect to reproduction is 49 and 14% at 5 and 50 cm, respectively. The results show that risk cannot be defined unambiguously with the two approaches. The probabilistic approach is less restrictive, and even small probabilities may be used as early-warning indications that risk may be posed under unfavorable circumstances.


Subject(s)
Arthropods/drug effects , Environmental Monitoring , Oligochaeta/drug effects , Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons/toxicity , Soil Pollutants/toxicity , Animals , Arthropods/metabolism , Denmark , Oligochaeta/metabolism , Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons/analysis , Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons/chemistry , Predictive Value of Tests , Risk , Soil Pollutants/analysis , Stochastic Processes , Survival Rate
18.
Chemosphere ; 55(7): 1005-25, 2004 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15051370

ABSTRACT

In 1997 a Pollutant Release and Transfer Register (PRTR) pilot project was initiated in Japan. In 1998 the project was expanded and in 1999 a law concerning the establishment of a national PRTR was adopted. Data on the emissions of chemical substances are therefore now being reported on a continuous base. In relation to the PRTR project data on toxicity have been collected. In order to make efficient use of the collected information on emission and toxicity it is useful to group or rank the chemical substances according to the impact on human health and the environment. It has recently been argued that partial order theory (POT) in combination with the use of linear extensions (LE) may be the most objective way to create a linear rank. The methodology has been further expanded to handle larger data sets by the use of random linear extensions (RLE). In this paper the Japanese PRTR data are ranked using the POT/RLE methodology. An average rank is established for chemical substances in the 1998 and 1999 PRTR in Japan. The top 10 chemical substances in the 1998 PRTR are: dichlorvos, inorganic arsenic compounds, cobalt compounds, beryllium compounds, fenitrothion, disulfoton, parathion, diazinon, 4,4'-diamino-3,3'-dichlorodiphenylmethane and antimony compounds. The top 10 chemical substances from the 1999 PRTR are PCBs, lead compounds, fenitrothion, dichlorvos, disulfoton, inorganic arsenic compounds, chlorothalonil, thiobencarb, chromium and HCFC-141b. The descriptor having the highest influence on the ranking of the 1998 PRTR data is the production volume, which, however, is not given in the 1999 PRTR. Further, the disagreement between the ranking with the lack of toxicity data substituted with mean and maximum values, respectively, strongly indicates a general need for further toxicological investigations.


Subject(s)
Environmental Monitoring/legislation & jurisprudence , Environmental Pollutants/classification , Environmental Pollutants/toxicity , Registries , Data Interpretation, Statistical , Japan , Risk Assessment
19.
J Chem Inf Comput Sci ; 44(2): 618-25, 2004.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15032543

ABSTRACT

This paper continues the series of publications about applications of partial ordering. The focus of this publication is the derivation of approximate analytical expressions for the averaged rank and the ranking probabilities. To derive such combinatorial formulas a local partial order is suggested as an approximation. The performance of the approximation is rather high; we therefore conclude that three very simple descriptors of the local partial order seem to be sufficient to get a rough impression of the linear order, induced by the averaged ranks and the ranking probabilities of empirical partially ordered sets. Linear order derived from the partial order, ranking probabilities, and other characteristics are considered as parts of a so-called "General Ranking Model" (GRM). Following the local partial order, the averaged rank of an object x can be estimated applying the following simple formula: Rk(av) = (S+1)*(N+1)/(N+1-U). S is the number of successors of the object x, N is the total number of objects (of the quotient set), and U is the number of objects incomparable with x. More complex formulas for the ranking probabilities are given in the text. A list of abbreviations and symbols can be found in Tables 3 and 4.

20.
J Chem Inf Comput Sci ; 43(5): 1471-80, 2003.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-14502480

ABSTRACT

The application of partial order theory and Hasse diagram technique in environmental science is getting increasing attention. One of the latest developments in the field of Hasse diagram technique is the use of random linear extensions to estimate ranking probabilities. In the original algorithm for estimating the ranking probability it is assumed that the order between two incomparable pair of objects can be chosen randomly. However, if the total set of linear extensions is considered there is a specific probability that one object will be larger than another, which can be far from 50%. In this study it is investigated if an approximation of the mutual ranking probability can improve the algorithm. Applying an approximation of the mutual ranking probability the estimation of the ranking probabilities are significantly improved. Using a test set of 39 partial orders with randomly chosen values the relative mean root square difference (MRSD) decrease in average from 7.9% to 2.2% and a maximum relative improvement of 90% can be found. In the most successful case the relative MRSD goes as low as 0.77%.

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