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1.
Med Decis Making ; 44(1): 18-27, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37876181

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Professional roles within a hospital system may influence attitudes behind clinical decisions. OBJECTIVE: To determine participants' preferences about clinical decisions that either value equal health care access or efficiency. DESIGN: Deidentified survey asking participants to choose between offering a low-cost screening test to a whole population ("equal access") or a more sensitive, expensive test that could be given to only half of the population but resulting in 10% more avoided deaths ("efficient"). Data collection took place from August 18, 2021, to January 24, 2022. Study 1644 was determined to be exempt by Tufts Health Sciences Institutional Review Board (IRB). SETTING: Tufts Medicine Healthcare System. PARTICIPANTS: Approximately 15,000 hospital employees received an e-mail from the Tufts Medicine Senior Vice President of Academic Integration. MEASUREMENTS: Analysis of survey responses with chi-square and 1-sample t tests to determine the proportion who chose each option. Logistic regression models fit to examine relationships between professional role and test choice. RESULTS: A total of 1,346 participants completed the survey (∼9.0% response rate). Overall, approximately equal percentages of respondents chose the "equal access" (48%) and "efficient" option (52%). However, gender, professional role (categorical), and clinical role (dichotomous) were significantly associated with test choice. For example, among those in nonclinical roles, women were more likely than men to choose equal health care access. In multivariable analyses, having clinical roles was significantly associated with 1.73 times the likelihood of choosing equal access (95% confidence interval = 1.33-2.25). LIMITATIONS: Generalizability concerns and survey question wording limit the study results. CONCLUSION: Clinicians were more likely than nonclinicians to choose the equal health care access option, and health care administrators were more likely to choose efficiency. These differing attitudes can affect patient care and health care quality. HIGHLIGHTS: Divergent preferences of valuing equal health care access and efficiency may be in conflict during clinical decision making.In this cross-sectional study that included 1,346 participants, approximately equal percentages of respondents chose the "equal access" (48%) and "efficient" option (52%), a nonsignificant difference. However, gender, professional role (categorical), and clinical role (dichotomous) were significantly associated with test choiceSince clinicians were more likely than nonclinicians to choose the equal health care access option and health care administrators were more likely to choose efficiency, these differing attitudes can affect patient care and health care quality.


Subject(s)
Clinical Decision-Making , Health Services Accessibility , Male , Humans , Female , Cross-Sectional Studies , Surveys and Questionnaires , Hospitals
2.
Hosp Pract (1995) ; 49(1): 56-61, 2021 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32819172

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Measure effect of late-afternoon communication and patient planning (CAPP) rounds to increase early electronic discharge orders (EDO). METHODS: We enrolled 4485 patients discharged from six subspecialty medical services. We implemented late-afternoon CAPP rounds to identify patients who could have morning discharge the subsequent day. After an initial successful implementation of the intervention, we identified lack of sustainability. We made changes with sustained implementation of the intervention. This is a before-after study of a quality improvement intervention. PROGRAM EVALUATION: Primary measures of intervention effectiveness were percentage of patients who received EDO by 11 am and patients discharged by noon. Additional measure of effectiveness were percent of patients admitted to the correct ward, emergency department (ED)-to-ward transfer time compared between intervention and nonintervention periods. We compared the overall expected LOS and the average weekly discharges to assess for comparability across the control and intervention time periods. We used the readmission rate as balancing measure to ensure that the intervention was not have unintended negative patients consequences. RESULTS: Expected length of stay based upon discharge diagnosis/comorbidities and readmission rates were similar across the intervention and control time periods. The average weekly discharges were not statistically significant. Percentage of EDO by 11 am was higher in the first intervention period, second intervention period and combined intervention periods (28.9% vs. 21.8%, P < 0.001) compared with the respective control periods. Percent discharged before noon increased in the first intervention period, second intervention period and for the combined intervention periods (17 vs. 11.8%, P < 0.001). There was no difference in the percent admitted to the correct ward and ED-to-ward transfer time. CONCLUSION: Afternoon CAPP rounds to identify early patient discharges the following day led to increase in EDO entered by 11 am and discharges by noon without an adverse change in readmission rates and LOS.


Subject(s)
Patient Care Planning/organization & administration , Patient Care Team/organization & administration , Patient Discharge/statistics & numerical data , Communication , Comorbidity , Efficiency, Organizational , Humans , Length of Stay/statistics & numerical data , Patient Readmission/statistics & numerical data , Quality Improvement/organization & administration , Time Factors
3.
Med Devices (Auckl) ; 12: 41-52, 2019.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30697087

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To compare the performance of various commercially available stethoscopes using standard acoustic engineering criteria, under recording studio conditions. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Eighteen stethoscopes (11 acoustic, 7 electronic) were analyzed using standard acoustic analysis techniques under professional recording studio conditions. An organic phantom that accurately simulated chest cavity acoustics was developed. Test sounds were played via a microphone embedded within it and auscultated at its surface by the stethoscopes. Recordings were made through each stethoscope's binaurals and/or downloaded (electronic models). Recordings were analyzed using standard studio techniques and software, including assessing ambient noise (AMB) rejection. Frequency ranges were divided into those corresponding to various standard biological sounds (cardiac, respiratory, and gastrointestinal). RESULTS: Loudness and AMB rejection: Overall, electronic stethoscopes, when set to a maximum volume, exhibited greater values of perceived loudness compared to acoustic stethoscopes. Significant variation was seen in AMB rejection capability. Frequency detection: Marked variation was also seen, with some stethoscopes performing better for different ranges (eg, cardiac) vs others (eg, gastrointestinal). CONCLUSION: The acoustic properties of stethoscopes varied considerably in loudness, AMB rejection, and frequency response. Stethoscope choice should take into account clinical conditions to be auscultated and the noise level of the environment.

5.
Clinicoecon Outcomes Res ; 7: 281-6, 2015.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26082653

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To quantify the type, prevalence, and cost of imaging following inpatient falls, identify factors associated with post-fall imaging, and determine correlates of positive versus negative imaging. DESIGN: Single-center retrospective cohort study of inpatient falls. Data were collected from the hospital's adverse event reporting system, DrQuality. Age, sex, date, time, and location of fall, clinical service, Morse Fall Scale/fall protocol, admitting diagnosis, and fall-related imaging studies were reviewed. Cost included professional and facilities fees for each study. SETTING: Four hundred and fifteen bed urban academic hospital over 3 years (2008-2010). PATIENTS: All adult inpatient falls during the study period were included. Falls experienced by patients aged <18 years, outpatient and emergency patients, visitors to the hospital, and staff were excluded. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Five hundred and thirty inpatient falls occurred during the study period, average patient age 60.7 years (range 20-98). More than half of falls were men (55%) and patients considered at risk of falls (56%). Falls were evenly distributed across morning (33%), evening (34%), and night (33%) shifts. Of 530 falls, 178 (34%) patients were imaged with 262 studies. Twenty percent of patients imaged had at least one positive imaging study attributed to the fall and 82% of studies were negative. Total cost of imaging was $160,897, 63% ($100,700) from head computed tomography (CT). CONCLUSION: Inpatient falls affect patients of both sexes, all ages, occur at any time of day and lead to expensive imaging, mainly from head CTs. Further study should be targeted toward clarifying the indications for head CT after inpatient falls and validating risk models for positive and negative imaging, in order to decrease unnecessary imaging and thereby limit unnecessary cost and radiation exposure.

6.
J Gen Intern Med ; 30(8): 1204-7, 2015 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25801695

ABSTRACT

Over the past decade, quality measures (QMs) have been implemented nationally in order to establish standards aimed at improving the quality of care. With the expansion of their role in the Affordable Care Act and pay-for-performance, QMs have had an increasingly significant impact on clinical practice. However, adverse patient outcomes have resulted from adherence to some previously promulgated performance measures. Several of these QMs with unintended consequences, including the initiation of perioperative beta-blockers in noncardiac surgery and intensive insulin therapy for critically ill patients, were instituted as QMs years before large randomized trials ultimately refuted their use. The future of quality care should emphasize the importance of evidence-based, peer-reviewed measures.


Subject(s)
Quality Improvement , Quality Indicators, Health Care , Quality of Health Care , Adrenergic beta-Antagonists/therapeutic use , Blood Glucose/physiology , Humans , Perioperative Care/methods , Practice Guidelines as Topic/standards , Treatment Outcome
7.
Qual Manag Health Care ; 23(3): 133-7, 2014.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24978162

ABSTRACT

Open access (OA) journals are a growing phenomenon largely of the past decade wherein readers can access the content of scientific journals without paying for a subscription. The costs are borne by authors (or their institutions) who pay a fee to be published, thus allowing readers to access, search, print, and cite the journals without cost. Although the OA model, in and of itself, need not diminish scientific rigor, selectivity, or peer review, the "author pays" model creates an inherent conflict of interest: it operates with the incentive on the part of the journal to publish more and reject less. This is coupled with cost containment measures that affect the journals' ability to engage experienced editors and professional staff to scrutinize data, data analyses, and author conflicts of interest. While some OA journals appear to be comparable to their print competitors, others are "predatory" and have no legitimacy at all. Two recent "scams"--one recently published in Science--highlight the urgency of addressing the issues raised by OA publication so that OA does not lose its credibility just as it begins to gather substantial momentum. High-quality journals develop their reputations over time, and OA outlets will be no exception. For this to occur, however, the OA audience will need to be satisfied that OA can deliver high-quality publications utilizing rigorous peer review, editing, and conflict of interest scrutiny. Academic tenure and promotion committees that review scholarly credentials are understandably skeptical of publications in unrecognized journals, and the large number of new OA outlets contributes to this urgency from their perspective as well.


Subject(s)
Access to Information , Periodicals as Topic/ethics , Scientific Misconduct , Access to Information/ethics , Editorial Policies , Humans , Peer Review , Science
10.
Am J Med Qual ; 27(2): 147-53, 2012.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21918013

ABSTRACT

Laboratory testing is essential for diagnosis, evaluation, and management. The objective was to describe the type of laboratory events reported in hospitals using a voluntary electronic error reporting system (e-ERS) via a cross-sectional analysis of reported laboratory events from 30 health organizations throughout the United States (January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2005). A total of 37,532 laboratory-related events were reported, accounting for 14.1% of all reported quality events. Preanalytic laboratory events were the most common (81.1%); the top 3 were specimen not labeled (18.7%), specimen mislabeled (16.3%), and improper collection (13.2%). A small number (0.08%) of laboratory events caused permanent harm or death; 8% caused temporary harm. Most laboratory events (55%) did not cause harm. Laboratory errors constitute 1 of 7 quality events. Laboratory errors often are caused by events that precede specimen arrival in the lab and should be preventable with a better labeling processes and education. Most laboratory errors do not lead to patient harm.


Subject(s)
Laboratories, Hospital , Medical Errors/statistics & numerical data , Cross-Sectional Studies , Humans , Laboratories, Hospital/standards , Laboratories, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Medical Errors/adverse effects , Medical Errors/classification , Patient Safety/statistics & numerical data , Specimen Handling/adverse effects , United States/epidemiology , Voluntary Programs/statistics & numerical data
12.
13.
BMC Nephrol ; 10: 26, 2009 Sep 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19761597

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: It is unknown whether defining chronic kidney disease (CKD) based on one versus two estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) assessments changes the prognostic importance of reduced eGFR in a community-based population. METHODS: Participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study and the Cardiovascular Health Study were classified into 4 groups based on two eGFR assessments separated by 35.3 +/- 2.5 months: sustained eGFR < 60 mL/min per 1.73 m(2) (1 mL/sec per 1.73 m(2)); eGFR increase (change from below to above 60); eGFR decline (change from above to below 60); and eGFR persistently >or=60. Outcomes assessed in stratified multivariable Cox models included cardiac events and a composite of cardiac events, stroke, and mortality. RESULTS: There were 891 (4.9%) participants with sustained eGFR < 60, 278 (1.5%) with eGFR increase, 972 (5.4%) with eGFR decline, and 15,925 (88.2%) with sustained eGFR > 60. Participants with eGFR sustained < 60 were at highest risk of cardiac and composite events [HR = 1.38 (1.15, 1.65) and 1.58 (1.41, 1.77)], respectively, followed by eGFR decline [HR = 1.20 (1.00, 1.45) and 1.32 (1.17, 1.49)]. Individuals with eGFR increase trended toward increased cardiac risk [HR = 1.25 (0.88, 1.77)] and did not significantly differ from eGFR decline for any outcome. Results were similar when estimating GFR with the CKD-EPI equation. CONCLUSION: Individuals with persistently reduced eGFR are at highest risk of cardiovascular outcomes and mortality, while individuals with an eGFR < 60 mL/min per 1.73 m(2) at any time are at intermediate risk. Use of even a single measurement of eGFR to classify CKD in a community population appears to have prognostic value.


Subject(s)
Atherosclerosis/mortality , Glomerular Filtration Rate , Kidney Failure, Chronic/diagnosis , Kidney Failure, Chronic/epidemiology , Risk Assessment/methods , Stroke/mortality , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Boston/epidemiology , Comorbidity , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Reproducibility of Results , Risk Factors , Sensitivity and Specificity , Survival Analysis , Survival Rate
14.
Jt Comm J Qual Patient Saf ; 34(9): 537-45, 2008 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18792658

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Some hospitals have instituted voluntary electronic error reporting systems (e-ERSs) to gather data on medical errors, adverse events, near misses, or environmental issues in a peer review-protected environment. An e-ERS allows for real-time review, oversight, and intervention and provides insight into hospital processes in need of modification to reduce the likelihood of adverse hospital events. In a descriptive study of a standardized, Web-based reporting system, the reporting practices of physicians and nurses were compared. METHODS: Twenty-nine acute care hospitals and one long-term care organization implemented an e-ERS between August 2000 and December 2005. The reporting system consisted of a secure, Web-based portal available on all hospital computers. Events were classified by the level of impact on the patient using a standard classification scheme. All reports that occurred from August 2000 through January 2006 were analyzed in aggregate analyses. Hospitals and patients were de-identified to study investigators. RESULTS: Some 266,224 events were reported over 7.3 million inpatient days--1 event per 27.5 days. Physicians were the reporters of 1.1% of total events, nurses 45.3%, and other hospital employees 53.6%. Physicians were more likely to be the reporter for events that caused permanent harm, near death, or death of a patient (p < .01). Nurses were more likely to be the reporter for events that caused no or temporary harm (p < .01). DISCUSSION: Physicians reported a narrower spectrum of events than nurses; they were more likely to report as the impact of events on patients increased but less likely to report fatal events. Nurses' reporting remained stable across impact levels. Differences exist between whether nurses and physicians report events; physicians must be encouraged to increase their reporting of adverse events.


Subject(s)
Medical Errors/statistics & numerical data , Medical Staff, Hospital , Nursing Staff, Hospital , Risk Management/statistics & numerical data , Hospitals, Voluntary , Humans , Internet , Medical Errors/prevention & control , Medical Errors/standards , Medical Informatics Applications , United States
15.
Endocr Pract ; 14(5): 535-42, 2008.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18753094

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To describe characteristics of inpatient medical errors involving hypoglycemic medications and their impact on patient care. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of medical errors and associated adverse events voluntarily reported by hospital employees and staff in 21 nonprofit, nonfederal health-care organizations in the United States that implemented a Web-based electronic error-reporting system (e-ERS) between August 1, 2000, and December 31, 2005. Persons reporting the errors determined the level of impact on patient care. RESULTS: The median duration of e-ERS use was 3.1 years, and 2,598 inpatient error reports involved insulin or orally administered hypoglycemic agents. Nursing staff provided 59% of the reports; physicians reported <2%. Approximately two-thirds of the errors (1,693 of 2,598) reached the patient. Errors that caused temporary harm necessitating major treatment or that caused permanent harm accounted for 1.5% of reports (40 of 2,598). Insulin was involved in 82% of reports, and orally administered hypoglycemic agents were involved in 18% of all reports (473 of 2,598). Sulfonylureas were implicated in 51.8% of reports involving oral hypoglycemic agents (9.4% of all reports). CONCLUSION: An e-ERS provides an accessible venue for reporting and tracking inpatient medical errors involving glucose-lowering medications. Results are limited by potential underreporting of events, particularly by physicians, and variations in the reporter perception of patient harm.


Subject(s)
Adverse Drug Reaction Reporting Systems/statistics & numerical data , Hypoglycemic Agents/adverse effects , Medical Errors/statistics & numerical data , Cross-Sectional Studies , Drug-Related Side Effects and Adverse Reactions/epidemiology , Drug-Related Side Effects and Adverse Reactions/etiology , Humans , Incidence , Insulin/adverse effects , Sulfonylurea Compounds/adverse effects , United States/epidemiology
16.
Chest ; 133(6 Suppl): 593S-629S, 2008 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18574274

ABSTRACT

This chapter about antithrombotic therapy for valvular heart disease is part of the American College of Chest Physicians Evidence-Based Clinical Practice Guidelines (8th Edition). Grade 1 recommendations are strong and indicate that the benefits do, or do not, outweigh risks, burden, and costs. Grade 2 suggests that individual patient values might lead to different choices (for a full understanding of the grading see Guyatt et al, CHEST 2008; 133[suppl]:123S-131S). Among the key recommendations in this chapter are the following: for patients with rheumatic mitral valve disease complicated singly or in combination by the presence of atrial fibrillation (AF), previous systemic embolism, or left atrial thrombus, we recommend vitamin K antagonist (VKA) therapy (Grade 1A). For patients with rheumatic mitral valve disease and normal sinus rhythm, without left atrial enlargement, we do not suggest antithrombotic therapy unless a separate indication exists (Grade 2C). For patients with mitral valve prolapse (MVP), not complicated by AF, who have not had systemic embolism, unexplained transient ischemic attacks, or ischemic stroke, we recommend against antithrombotic therapy (Grade 1C). In patients with mitral annular calcification complicated by systemic embolism or ischemic stroke, we recommend antiplatelet agent (APA) therapy (Grade 1B). For patients with isolated calcific aortic valve disease, we suggest against antithrombotic therapy (Grade 2C). But, for those with aortic valve disease who have experienced ischemic stroke, we suggest APA therapy (Grade 2C). For patients with stroke associated with aortic atherosclerotic lesions, we recommend low-dose aspirin (ASA) therapy (Grade 1C). For patients with cryptogenic ischemic stroke and a patent foramen ovale (PFO), we recommend APA therapy (Grade 1A). For patients with mechanical heart valves, we recommend VKA therapy (Grade 1A). For patients with mechanical heart valves and history of vascular disease or who have additional risk factors for thromboembolism, we recommend the addition of low-dose aspirin ASA to VKA therapy (Grade 1B). We suggest ASA not be added to long-term VKA therapy in patients with mechanical heart valves who are at particularly high risk of bleeding (Grade 2C). For patients with bioprosthetic heart valves, we recommend ASA (Grade 1B). For patients with bioprosthetic heart valves and additional risk factors for thromboembolism, we recommend VKA therapy (Grade 1C). For patients with infective endocarditis, we recommend against antithrombotic therapy, unless a separate indication exists (Grade 1B).


Subject(s)
Fibrinolytic Agents/therapeutic use , Heart Valve Diseases/drug therapy , Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Aspirin/administration & dosage , Aspirin/therapeutic use , Evidence-Based Medicine , Fibrinolytic Agents/administration & dosage , Heart Valve Diseases/complications , Humans , Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors/administration & dosage , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Vitamin K/antagonists & inhibitors
17.
Am J Kidney Dis ; 52(1): 29-38, 2008 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18511168

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) and obesity are important public health concerns. We examined the association between anthropomorphic measures and incident CKD and mortality. STUDY DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Individual patient data pooled from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study and the Cardiovascular Health Study. PREDICTORS: Waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), body mass index (BMI). OUTCOMES & MEASUREMENTS: Incident CKD defined as serum creatinine level increase greater than 0.4 mg/dL with baseline creatinine level of 1.4 mg/dL or less in men and 1.2 mg/dL or less in women and final creatinine level greater than these levels, and, in separate analyses, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decrease of 15 mL/min/1.73 m(2) or greater with baseline eGFR of 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) or greater and final eGFR less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2). Multivariable logistic regression to determine the association between WHR, BMI, and outcomes. Cox models to evaluate a secondary composite outcome of all-cause mortality and incident CKD. RESULTS: Of 13,324 individuals, mean WHR was 0.96 in men and 0.89 in women and mean BMI was 27.2 kg/m(2) in both men and women. During 9.3 years, 300 patients (2.3%) in creatinine-based models and 710 patients (5.5%) in eGFR-based models developed CKD. In creatinine-based models, each SD increase in WHR was associated with increased risk of incident CKD (odds ratio, 1.22; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05 to 1.43) and the composite outcome (hazard ratio, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.06 to 1.18), whereas each SD increase in BMI was not associated with CKD (odds ratio, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.93 to 1.20) and appeared protective for the composite outcome (hazard ratio, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.90 to 0.99). Results of eGFR-based models were similar. LIMITATIONS: Single measures of creatinine, no albuminuria data. CONCLUSIONS: WHR, but not BMI, is associated with incident CKD and mortality. Assessment of CKD risk should use WHR rather than BMI as an anthropomorphic measure of obesity.


Subject(s)
Body Mass Index , Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality , Kidney Failure, Chronic/mortality , Obesity/complications , Waist-Hip Ratio , Adult , Age Distribution , Aged , Cardiovascular Diseases/etiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/physiopathology , Cause of Death , Cohort Studies , Creatinine/blood , Female , Glomerular Filtration Rate , Humans , Incidence , Kidney Failure, Chronic/etiology , Kidney Failure, Chronic/physiopathology , Logistic Models , Longitudinal Studies , Male , Middle Aged , Multivariate Analysis , Obesity/diagnosis , Risk Assessment , Severity of Illness Index , Sex Distribution , Survival Analysis , United States/epidemiology
18.
J Am Soc Nephrol ; 19(6): 1204-11, 2008 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18337481

ABSTRACT

Uric acid may mediate aspects of the relationship between hypertension and kidney disease via renal vasoconstriction and systemic hypertension. To investigate the relationship between uric acid and subsequent reduced kidney function, limited-access data of 13,338 participants with intact kidney function in two community-based cohorts, the Atherosclerosis Risks in Communities and the Cardiovascular Health Study, were pooled. Mean baseline serum uric acid was 5.9 +/- 1.5 mg/dl, mean baseline serum creatinine was 0.9 +/- 0.2 mg/dl, and mean baseline estimated GFR was 90.4 +/- 19.4 ml/min/1.73 m(2). During 8.5 +/- 0.9 yr of follow-up, 712 (5.6%) had incident kidney disease defined by GFR decrease (>or=15 ml/min/1.73 m(2) with final GFR <60 ml/min/1.73 m(2)), while 302 (2.3%) individuals had incident kidney disease defined by creatinine increase (>or=0.4 mg/dl with final serum creatinine >1.4 mg/dl in men and 1.2 mg/dl in women). In GFR- and creatinine-based logistic regression models, baseline uric acid level was associated with increased risk for incident kidney disease (odds ratio 1.07 [95% confidence interval 1.01 to 1.14] and 1.11 [95% confidence interval 1.02 to 1.21] per 1-mg/dl increase in uric acid, respectively), after adjustment for age, gender, race, diabetes, systolic BP, hypertension, cardiovascular disease, left ventricular hypertrophy, smoking, alcohol use, education, lipids, albumin, hematocrit, baseline kidney function and cohort; therefore, elevated serum uric acid level is a modest, independent risk factor for incident kidney disease in the general population.


Subject(s)
Kidney Diseases/blood , Kidney Diseases/epidemiology , Uric Acid/blood , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Male , Middle Aged
19.
Am J Kidney Dis ; 51(2): 212-23, 2008 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18215699

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease is associated with increased risk for cardiovascular disease and mortality. Both traditional and nontraditional cardiovascular disease risk factors may contribute. STUDY DESIGN: Cohort. SETTINGS & PARTICIPANTS: Community-based adult population of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities and Cardiovascular Health Studies with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2). PREDICTORS: Nontraditional cardiovascular disease risk factors, including body mass index, diastolic blood pressure, and triglyceride, albumin, uric acid, fibrinogen, C-reactive protein, and hemoglobin levels. OUTCOMES: Composite of myocardial infarction, stroke, and all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes included individual components of the composite. RESULTS: Of 1,678 individuals with decreased eGFR (mean, 51.1 +/- 8.5 mL/min/1.73 m(2)), 891 (53%) reached the composite end point during a median follow-up of 108 months; 23% had a cardiac event, 45% died, and 14% experienced a stroke. Serum albumin level less than 3.9 g/dL (hazard ratio, 0.68 for every 0.3-g/dL decrease; 95% confidence interval, 0.60 to 0.77), increased serum triglyceride level (hazard ratio, 1.07 for every 50-mg/dL increase; 95% confidence interval, 1.02 to 1.12), C-reactive protein level (hazard ratio, 1.15 per log-unit increase; 95% confidence interval, 1.07 to 1.24), and fibrinogen level (hazard ratio, 1.12 per 50-mg/dL increase; 95% confidence interval, 1.07 to 1.18) independently predicted composite events. Both decreased (<14.5 g/dL) and increased (>14.5 g/dL) hemoglobin levels predicted composite events. Serum albumin level less than 3.9 g/dL and increased serum fibrinogen level independently predicted cardiac events. For serum albumin and hemoglobin levels, the relationship with composite and mortality outcomes was nonlinear (P < 0.001). LIMITATIONS: Single assessment of eGFR. No albuminuria data. CONCLUSIONS: Several nontraditional cardiovascular disease risk factors predict adverse outcomes in individuals with stage 3 to 4 chronic kidney disease. The relationship between risk factors and outcomes is often nonlinear.


Subject(s)
Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/etiology , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/physiopathology , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Analysis of Variance , Biomarkers/blood , Blood Pressure , Body Mass Index , C-Reactive Protein/metabolism , Cohort Studies , Female , Fibrinogen/metabolism , Hemoglobins/metabolism , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Odds Ratio , Predictive Value of Tests , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/blood , Risk Factors , Serum Albumin/metabolism , Severity of Illness Index , Triglycerides/blood , Uric Acid/blood
20.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 50(3): 217-24, 2007 Jul 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17631213

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: We sought to determine the utility of the Framingham equations in individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD). BACKGROUND: The Framingham equations predict incident coronary disease. The utility of these equations is unknown in CKD. METHODS: We pooled individuals without pre-existing coronary disease age 45 to 74 years from the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) and CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study) trials with CKD, defined by an estimated glomerular filtration rate of 15 to 60 ml/min/1.73 m(2). Using gender-specific models, we determined 5- and 10-year risk of incident myocardial infarction and fatal coronary disease, and evaluated discriminative and calibration ability of the Framingham equations for predicting coronary events. RESULTS: There were 577 women and 357 men with CKD. Thirty-five men (9.8%) and 30 women (5.2%) and 74 men (20.7%) and 56 women (9.7%) had cardiac events within 5 and 10 years, respectively; 5-year events were predicted in 6.0% and 1.9% and 10-year events in 13.9% and 4.8% of men and women, respectively. For 5-year events, C-statistics assessing discrimination were 0.62 and 0.77, while 10-year C-statistics were 0.60 and 0.73 for men and women, respectively. Calibration was also poor, with Framingham scores generally underpredicting events in individuals with CKD at 5 and 10 years. Discrimination was significantly improved by refitting models with population-specific coefficients, while recalibration improved prediction in women. CONCLUSIONS: The Framingham instrument demonstrates poor overall accuracy in predicting cardiac events in individuals with CKD, although refit models can substantially improve discrimination. Calibration in women can be moderately improved with adjustment for higher event rates. Development of CKD-specific equations is needed.


Subject(s)
Coronary Disease/diagnosis , Coronary Disease/epidemiology , Kidney Failure, Chronic/diagnosis , Kidney Failure, Chronic/epidemiology , Age Distribution , Aged , Chi-Square Distribution , Cohort Studies , Comorbidity , Coronary Disease/therapy , Female , Glomerular Filtration Rate , Humans , Kidney Failure, Chronic/therapy , Kidney Function Tests , Male , Middle Aged , Predictive Value of Tests , Prevalence , Prognosis , Renal Dialysis , Risk Assessment , Severity of Illness Index , Sex Distribution , Survival Analysis
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