Perioperative Modified FOLFIRINOX for Resectable Pancreatic Cancer: A Nonrandomized Controlled Trial.

Importance: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is an aggressive malignant tumor, and durable disease control is rare with the current standard of care, even for patients who undergo surgical resection. Objective: To assess whether neoadjuvant modified 5-fluorouracil, leucovorin, oxaliplatin, and irinotecan (mFOLFIRINOX) leads to early control of micrometastasis and improves survival. Design, Setting, and Participants: This open-label, single-arm, phase 2 nonrandomized controlled trial for resectable PDAC was conducted at the Yale Smilow Cancer Hospital from April 3, 2014, to August 16, 2021. Pancreatic protocol computed tomography was performed at diagnosis to assess surgical candidacy. Data were analyzed from January to July 2023. Interventions: Patients received 6 cycles of neoadjuvant mFOLFIRINOX before surgery and 6 cycles of adjuvant mFOLFIRINOX. Whole blood was collected and processed to stored plasma for analysis of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) levels. Tumors were evaluated for treatment response and keratin 17 (K17) expression. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary end point was 12-month progression-free survival (PFS) rate. Additional end points included overall survival (OS), ctDNA level, tumor molecular features, and K17 tumor levels. Survival curves were summarized using Kaplan-Meier estimator. Results: Of 46 patients who received mFOLFIRINOX, 31 (67%) were male, and the median (range) age was 65 (46-80) years. A total of 37 (80%) completed 6 preoperative cycles and 33 (72%) underwent surgery. A total of 27 patients (59%) underwent resection per protocol (25 with R0 disease and 2 with R1 disease); metastatic or unresectable disease was identified in 6 patients during exploration. Ten patients underwent surgery off protocol. The 12-month PFS was 67% (90% CI, 56.9-100); the median PFS and OS were 16.6 months (95% CI, 13.3-40.6) and 37.2 months (95% CI, 17.5-not reached), respectively. Baseline ctDNA levels were detected in 16 of 22 patients (73%) and in 3 of 17 (18%) after 6 cycles of mFOLFIRINOX. Those with detectable ctDNA levels 4 weeks postresection had worse PFS (hazard ratio [HR], 34.0; 95% CI, 2.6-4758.6; P = .006) and OS (HR, 11.7; 95% CI, 1.5-129.9; P = .02) compared with those with undetectable levels. Patients with high K17 expression had nonsignificantly worse PFS (HR, 2.7; 95% CI, 0.7-10.9; P = .09) and OS (HR, 3.2; 95% CI, 0.8-13.6; P = .07). Conclusions and Relevance: This nonrandomized controlled trial met its primary end point, and perioperative mFOLFIRINOX warrants further evaluation in randomized clinical trials. Postoperative ctDNA positivity was strongly associated with recurrence. K17 and ctDNA are promising biomarkers that require additional validation in future prospective studies. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02047474.

Impact of COVID-19 on the gastrointestinal surgical oncology patient population.

Background: The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic led to substantial alterations in healthcare delivery and access. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 on the presentation and surgical care of patients with gastrointestinal (GI) cancers. Methods: All patients who underwent GI cancer surgery at a large, tertiary referral center between March 15, 2019 and March 15, 2021 were included. March 15, 2020 was considered the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. Changes in patient, tumor, and treatment characteristics before the pandemic compared to during the pandemic were evaluated. Results: Of 522 patients that met study criteria, 252 (48.3%) were treated before the COVID-19 pandemic. During the first COVID-19 wave, weekly volume of GI cancer cases was one-third lower than baseline (p = 0.041); during the second wave, case volume remained at baseline levels (p = 0.519). There were no demographic or tumor characteristic differences between patients receiving GI cancer surgery before versus during COVID-19 (p > 0.05 for all), and no difference in rate of emergency surgery (p > 0.9). Patients were more likely to receive preoperative chemotherapy during the first six months of the pandemic compared to the subsequent six months (35.6% vs. 15.5%, p < 0.001). Telemedicine was rapidly adopted at the start of the pandemic, rising from 0% to 47% of GI surgical oncology visits within two months. Conclusions: The COVID-19 pandemic caused an initial disruption to the surgical care of GI cancers, but did not compromise stage at presentation. Preoperative chemotherapy and telemedicine were utilized to mitigate the impact of a high COVID-19 burden on cancer care.

Utility of promoter hypermethylation in malignant risk stratification of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms.

BACKGROUND: Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs), a type of cystic pancreatic cancer (PC) precursors, are increasingly identified on cross-sectional imaging and present a significant diagnostic challenge. While surgical resection of IPMN-related advanced neoplasia, i.e., IPMN-related high-grade dysplasia or PC, is an essential early PC detection strategy, resection is not recommended for IPMN-low-grade dysplasia (LGD) due to minimal risk of carcinogenesis, and significant procedural risks. Based on their promising results in prior validation studies targeting early detection of classical PC, DNA hypermethylation-based markers may serve as a biomarker for malignant risk stratification of IPMNs. This study investigates our DNA methylation-based PC biomarker panel (ADAMTS1, BNC1, and CACNA1G genes) in differentiating IPMN-advanced neoplasia from IPMN-LGDs. METHODS: Our previously described genome-wide pharmaco-epigenetic method identified multiple genes as potential targets for PC detection. The combination was further optimized and validated for early detection of classical PC in previous case-control studies. These promising genes were evaluated among micro-dissected IPMN tissue (IPMN-LGD: 35, IPMN-advanced neoplasia: 35) through Methylation-Specific PCR. The discriminant capacity of individual and combination of genes were delineated through Receiver Operating Characteristics curve analysis. RESULTS: As compared to IPMN-LGDs, IPMN-advanced neoplasia had higher hypermethylation frequency of candidate genes: ADAMTS1 (60% vs. 14%), BNC1 (66% vs. 3%), and CACGNA1G (25% vs. 0%). We observed Area Under Curve (AUC) values of 0.73 for ADAMTS1, 0.81 for BNC1, and 0.63 for CACNA1G genes. The combination of the BNC1/ CACNA1G genes resulted in an AUC of 0.84, sensitivity of 71%, and specificity of 97%. Combining the methylation status of the BNC1/CACNA1G genes, blood-based CA19-9, and IPMN lesion size enhanced the AUC to 0.92. CONCLUSION: DNA-methylation based biomarkers have shown a high diagnostic specificity and moderate sensitivity for differentiating IPMN-advanced neoplasia from LGDs. Addition of specific methylation targets can improve the accuracy of the methylation biomarker panel and enable the development of noninvasive IPMN stratification biomarkers.

The Influence of Intraoperative Blood Loss on Fistula Development Following Pancreatoduodenectomy.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the role of intraoperative estimated blood loss (EBL) on development of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) after pancreatoduodenectomy (PD). BACKGROUND: Minimizing EBL has been shown to decrease transfusions and provide better perioperative outcomes in PD. EBL is also felt to be influential on CR-POPF development. METHODS: This study consists of 5534 PDs from a 17-institution collaborative (2003-2018). EBL was progressively categorized (≤150mL; 151-400mL; 401-1,000 mL; > 1,000 mL). Impact of additive EBL was assessed using 20 3- factor fistula risk score (FRS) scenarios reflective of endogenous CR-POPF risk. RESULTS: CR-POPF developed in 13.6% of patients (N = 753) and median EBL was 400 mL (interquartile range 250-600 mL). CR-POPF and Grade C POPF were associated with elevated EBL (median 350 vs 400 mL, P = 0.002; 372 vs 500 mL, P < 0.001, respectively). Progressive EBL cohorts displayed incremental CR-POPF rates (8.5%, 13.4%, 15.2%, 16.9%; P < 0.001). EBL >400mL was associated with increased CR-POPF occurrence in 13/20 endogenous risk scenarios. Moreover, 8 of 10 scenarios predicated on a soft gland demonstrated increased CR-POPF incidence. Hypothetical projections demonstrate significant reductions in CR-POPF can be obtained with 1-, 2-, and 3-point decreases in FRS points attributed to EBL risk (12.2%, 17.4%, and 20.0%; P < 0.001). This is especially pronounced in high-risk (FRS7-10) patients, who demonstrate up to a 31% reduction (P < 0.001). Surgeons in the lowest-quartile of median EBL demonstrated CR-POPF rates less than half those in the upper-quartile (7.9% vs 18.8%; P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: EBL independently contributes significant biological risk to CR-POPF. Substantial reductions in CR-POPF occurrence are projected and obtainable by minimizing EBL. Decreased individual surgeon EBL is associated with improvements in CR-POPF.

The Fistula Risk Score Catalog: Toward Precision Medicine for Pancreatic Fistula After Pancreatoduodenectomy.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to present a full spectrum of individual patient presentations of pancreatic fistula risk, and to define the utility of mitigation strategies amongst some of the most prevalent, and vulnerable scenarios surgeons encounter. BACKGROUND: The FRS has been utilized to identify technical strategies associated with reduced CR-POPF incidence across various risk strata. However, risk-stratification using the FRS has never been investigated with greater granularity. By deriving all possible combinations of FRS elements, individualized risk assessment could be utilized for precision medicine purposes. METHODS: FRS profiles and outcomes of 5533 PDs were accrued from 17 international institutions (2003-2019). The FRS was used to derive 80 unique combinations of patient "scenarios." Risk-matched analyses were conducted using a Bonferroni adjustment to identify scenarios with increased vulnerability for CR-POPF occurrence. Subsequently, these scenarios were analyzed using multivariable regression to explore optimal mitigation approaches. RESULTS: The overall CR-POPF rate was 13.6%. All 80 possible scenarios were encountered, with the most frequent being scenario #1 (8.1%) - the only negligible-risk scenario (CR-POPF rate = 0.7%). The moderate-risk zone had the most scenarios (50), patients (N = 3246), CR-POPFs (65.2%), and greatest non-zero discrepancy in CR-POPF rates between scenarios (18-fold). In the risk-matched analysis, 2 scenarios (#59 and 60) displayed increased vulnerability for CR-POPF relative to the moderate-risk zone (both P < 0.001). Multivariable analysis revealed factors associated with CR-POPF in these scenarios: pancreaticogastrostomy reconstruction [odds ratio (OR) 4.67], omission of drain placement (OR 5.51), and prophylactic octreotide (OR 3.09). When comparing the utilization of best practice strategies to patients who did not have these conjointly utilized, there was a significant decrease in CR-POPF (10.7% vs 35.5%, P < 0.001; OR 0.20, 95% confidence interval 0.12-0.33). CONCLUSION: Through this data, a comprehensive fistula risk catalog has been created and the most clinically-impactful scenarios have been discerned. Focusing on individual scenarios provides a practical way to approach precision medicine, allowing for more directed and efficient management of CR-POPF.

Comorbidities Drive the Majority of Overall Mortality in Low-Risk Mucinous Pancreatic Cysts Under Surveillance.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CACI) has been suggested as a tool to determine comorbidity burden and guide management for patients with mucinous pancreatic cysts (Intrapapillary Mucinous Neoplasms and Mucinous Cystic Neoplasms), but has not been studied well among "low-risk" mucinous pancreatic cysts i.e. without worrisome features (WF) and high-risk stigmata (HRS). This study sought to determine the comorbidity burden among surveillance population of low-risk pancreatic cysts and provide their follow-up mortality outcomes. METHODS: A single center study retrospectively reviewed a prospective pancreatic cyst database and included individuals with low-risk cysts undergoing serial imaging during 2016. Electronic medical records were reviewed to determine their baseline age-adjusted CACI (age-CACI). After 4 years, their progression to WF, disease specific (pancreatic malignancy-related, DSM), extra-pancreatic (EPM), and overall mortalities (OM) were determined using Kaplan-Meir Survival Analysis. RESULTS: 502 individuals underwent prospective surveillance. The study included 440 individuals with low-risk suspected or presumed mucinous cysts and excluded 50 and 12 individuals with WF and HRS respectively. Over a median follow-up of 56 months, 12 WF progressions, 2 DSMs, 42 EPMs, and 44 OMs were observed. Baseline age-CACI had good predictive capacity for 4-year EPM (Area-Under Curve: 0.87; p< .0001). The median age-CACI of 4 enabled cohort stratification into Low (age-CACI <4) and High CACI (age-CACI ≥4) groups. A significantly higher OM (p< .001) was observed among the High CACI group as compared to the Low CACI group. CONCLUSION: Through real-time application of CACI to patient outcomes, our analysis supports incorporation of this comorbidity assessment tool in making shared surveillance decisions among low-risk pancreatic cyst population.

Methylation-based Cell-free DNA Signature for Early Detection of Pancreatic Cancer.

OBJECTIVES: The potential of DNA methylation alterations in early pancreatic cancer (PC) detection among pancreatic tissue cell-free DNA seems promising. This study investigates the diagnostic capacity of the 4-gene methylation biomarker panel, which included ADAMTS1, BNC1, LRFN5, and PXDN genes, in a case-control study. METHODS: A genome-wide pharmacoepigenetic approach identified ADAMTS1, BNC1, LRFN5, and PXDN genes as putative targets. Tissue samples including stage I-IV PC (n = 44), pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasia (n = 15), intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (n = 24), and normal pancreas (n = 8), and cell-free DNA, which was acquired through methylation on beads technology from PC (n = 22) and control patients (n = 10), were included. The 2-∆ct was the outcome of interest and underwent receiver operating characteristic analysis to determine the diagnostic accuracy of the panel. RESULTS: Receiver operating characteristic analysis revealed an area under the curve of 0.93 among ADAMTS1, 0.76 among BNC1, 0.75 among PXDN, and 0.69 among LRFN5 gene. The combination gene methylation panel (ADAMTS1, BNC1, LRFN5, and PXDN) had an area under the curve of 0.94, with a sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 90%. CONCLUSIONS: This methylation-based biomarker panel had promising accuracy for PC detection and warranted further validation in prospective PC surveillance trials.

Resection of pancreatic cystic neoplasms in recurrent acute pancreatitis prevents recurrent pancreatitis but does not identify more malignancies.

BACKGROUND: Recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP) may be a presenting feature of and an indication for resection of pancreatic cysts, including intra-ductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN). Few data are available regarding the prevalence of malignancy and post-operative RAP in this population. AIM: To study the role of resection to help prevent RAP and analyze if presentation as RAP would be a predictor for malignancy. METHODS: This retrospective study assessed 172 patients who underwent surgical resection of pancreatic cystic neoplasms at a university hospital between 2002 and 2016. The prevalence of preoperative high-risk cyst features, and of neoplasia was compared between patients with and without RAP. To identify the cause of pancreatitis, all the patients had a detailed history of alcohol, smoking, medications obtained, and had cross-sectional imaging (contrast-enhanced computed tomography/magnetic resonance imaging) and endoscopic ultrasound to look for gallstone etiology and other structural causes for pancreatitis. The incidence of RAP post-resection was the primary outcome. RESULTS: IPMN accounted for 101 cases (58.7%) {[branch duct (BD) 59 (34.3%), main duct (MD) 42] (24.4%)}. Twenty-nine (16.9%) presented with RAP (mean 2.2 episodes): 15 had BD-IPMN, 8 MD-IPMN, 5 mucinous cystic neoplasm and 1 serous cystic neoplasm. Malignancy was similar among those with vs without RAP for all patients [6/29 (20.7%) vs 24/143 (16.8%)] and IPMN patients [6/23 (26.1%) vs 23/78 (29.5%)], although tended to be higher with RAP in BD-IPMN, [5/15 (33.3%) vs 3/44 (6.8%), P = 0.04]. At mean follow-up of 7.2 years, 1 (3.4%) RAP patient had post-resection RAP. The mean episodes of acute pancreatitis before vs after surgery were 3.4 vs 0.02 (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: Malignancy was not increased in patients with pancreatic cystic neoplasms who have RAP compared to those without RAP. In addition, specific cyst charac-teristics were not clearly associated with RAP. The incidence of RAP was markedly decreased in almost all patients following cyst resection.

A Novel Treatment for Metastatic Serous Cystadenocarcinoma Using a Microwave Ablation: Case Report and Review of the Literature.

ABSTRACT: The incidence of pancreatic cystic neoplasms has grown because of increased detection. Among these lesions, serous cystadenoma was traditionally thought to be universally benign and indolent. However, there is an exceedingly rare malignant variant of serous cystadenoma known as serous cystadenocarcinoma (SCAC) that can exhibit local invasion into adjacent structures, hepatic implants, and metastatic spread to the abdominal viscera. Diagnosis of SCAC can be challenging as it is histologically identical to serous cystadenoma. To better understand this entity, a review of all published accounts of SCAC was performed in which tumor and patient factors were characterized. In addition, we present the case of a 49-year-old woman who was found to have a solitary hepatic metastasis due to SCAC, 11 years after a distal pancreatectomy for serous cystadenoma. She was successfully treated with percutaneous microwave ablation and has no evidence of recurrence 3 years later. This report details the first published account of percutaneous ablation in such a setting. Compared with hepatectomy, hepatic ablation may offer a less invasive but equally effective treatment option in well-selected patients.

Surgeon experience contributes to improved outcomes in pancreatoduodenectomies at high risk for fistula development.

BACKGROUND: Pancreatoduodenectomies at high risk for clinically relevant pancreatic fistula are uncommon, yet intimidating, situations. In such scenarios, the impact of individual surgeon experience on outcomes is poorly understood. METHODS: The fistula risk score was applied to identify high-risk patients (fistula risk score 7-10) from 7,706 pancreatoduodenectomies performed at 18 international institutions (2003-2020). For each case, surgeon pancreatoduodenectomy career volume and years of practice were linked to intraoperative fistula mitigation strategy adoption and outcomes. Consequently, best operative approaches for clinically relevant pancreatic fistula prevention and best performer profiles were identified through multivariable analysis models. RESULTS: Eight hundred and thirty high-risk pancreatoduodenectomies, performed by 64 surgeons, displayed an overall clinically relevant pancreatic fistula rate of 33.7%. Clinically relevant pancreatic fistula rates decreased with escalating surgeon career pancreatoduodenectomy (-49.7%) and career length (-41.2%; both P < .001), as did transfusion and reoperation rates, postoperative morbidity index, and duration of stay. Great experience (≥400 pancreatoduodenectomies performed or ≥21-year-long career) was a significant predictor of clinically relevant pancreatic fistula prevention (odds ratio 0.52, 95% confidence interval 0.35-0.76) and was more often associated with pancreatojejunostomy reconstruction and prophylactic octreotide omission, which were both independently associated with clinically relevant pancreatic fistula reduction. A risk-adjusted performance analysis also correlated with experience. Moreover, minimizing blood loss (≤400 mL) significantly contributed to clinically relevant pancreatic fistula prevention (odds ratio 0.40, 95% confidence interval 0.22-0.74). CONCLUSION: Surgeon experience is a key contributor to achieve better outcomes after high-risk pancreatoduodenectomy. Surgeons can improve their performance in these challenging situations by employing pancreatojejunostomy reconstruction, omitting prophylactic octreotide, and minimizing blood loss.

Margin negative resection and pathologic downstaging with multiagent chemotherapy with or without radiotherapy in patients with localized pancreas cancer: A national cancer database analysis.

PURPOSE: Margin-negative (R0) resection is the only potentially curative treatment for patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Pre-operative multi-agent chemotherapy alone (MAC) or MAC followed by pre-operative radiotherapy (MAC + RT) may be used to improve resectability and potentially survival. However, the optimal pre-operative regimen is unknown. METHODS: Patients with non-metastatic PDAC from 2006 to 2016 who received pre-operative MAC or MAC + RT before oncologic resection were identified in the National Cancer Database. Univariable and multivariable (MVA) associates with R0 resection were identified with logistic regression, and survival was analyzed secondarily with the Kaplan Meier method and Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: 4,599 patients were identified (MAC: 3,109, MAC + RT: 1,490). Compared to those receiving MAC, patients receiving MAC + RT were more likely to have cT3-4 disease (76% vs 64%, p < 0.001) and cN + disease (33% vs 29%, p = 0.010), but were less likely to have ypT3-4 disease (59% vs 74%, p < 0.001) and ypN + disease (32% vs 55%, p < 0.001) and more likely to have a pathologic complete response (5% vs 2%, p < 0.001) and R0 resection (86% vs 80%, p < 0.001). On MVA, MAC + RT (OR 1.58, 95% CI 1.33-1.89, p < 0.001), evaluation at an academic center (OR 1.33, 95% CI 1.14-1.56, p < 0.001), and female sex (OR 1.43, 95% CI 1.23-1.67, p < 0.001) were associated with higher odds of R0 resection, while cT3-4 disease (OR 0.81, 95% CI 0.68-0.96, p = 0.013) was associated with lower odds of R0 resection. CONCLUSION: For patients with localized PDAC who receive pre-operative MAC, the addition of pre-operative RT was associated with improved rates of R0 resection and pathologic response.

Is There any Survival Benefit of Maintenance Chemotherapy Following Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Patients with Resected Pancreatic Cancer Patients with Post-Surgery Elevated CA 19-9?

BACKGROUND: Pancreatectomy offers only potential for cure but is only possible in a minority of patients. Even in those patients who receive adjuvant chemotherapy, majority of them succumb to death due to metastases. Radiation Therapy Oncology Group 9704 showed that post-surgery CA 19-9 levels are an important predictor of survival. European study group for pancreatic cancer-3 showed that completion of all 6 cycles of adjuvant chemotherapy was an independent prognostic factor. Any survival benefit of an intensified chemotherapy strategy has not been demonstrated in patients with persistently elevated CA 19-9 following surgery. The object of this study was to investigate any benefit of maintenance chemotherapy following adjuvant in these patients. METHODS: Twenty patients with R0 surgery of pancreatic cancer who received adjuvant chemotherapy with post-surgery elevated CA 19-9 but no radiographic evidence of cancer was identified from 2005-2017. Either biopsy or positron emission tomography scan determined recurrence of cancer. Efficacy endpoints including overall survival and disease-free survival were assessed. RESULTS: Maintenance and additional chemotherapeutic agents included 5-FU, capecitabine, platinum agents, irinotecan and nab-paclitaxel. CA 19-9 normalized in 3 patients while 22 persisted to be elevated or had further increase in the marker. Two patients underwent metastatectomy. Median disease-free survival was 14.5m (9-18), OS 29m (19-96) and OS rates were 80%, 50% at 1 and 2 years respectively. CONCLUSIONS: We believe that the longer overall survival of our patients with elevated CA 19-9 post-surgery was due to maintenance and additional chemotherapy following planned 6-months of adjuvant therapy, close monitoring with monthly CA 19-9 and 3-monthly computed tomography scans. Our study also underlines importance of collecting pre-surgery CA 19-9 and complete staging including chest. Prospective study aiming to evaluate role of maintenance or intensified chemotherapy or targeted agents are indicated.

A Single-Institution Experience of Induction 5-Fluorouracil, Leucovorin, Irinotecan, and Oxaliplatin Followed by Surgery Versus Consolidative Radiation for Borderline and Locally Advanced Unresectable Pancreatic Cancer.

OBJECTIVES: In the 5-fluorouracil, leucovorin, irinotecan, and oxaliplatin (FOLFIRINOX) era, the benefit of surgery versus definitive radiation for borderline resectable (BR) and locally advanced (LA) unresectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is not well defined. Our primary objective was to identify the survival impact of surgery for BR and LA unresectable PDAC treated with induction FOLFIRINOX. METHODS: We performed a single-center retrospective review of BR and LA PDAC treated with FOLFIRINOX from 2010 to 2018. The overall survival of surgery and consolidative radiotherapy was estimated in the Kaplan-Meier method and compared via the log-rank test. Subgroup analyses were conducted for BR and LA patients. RESULTS: We identified 101 BR and LA PDAC patients treated with induction FOLFIRINOX (41 surgeries and 60 consolidative radiotherapies). Surgery patients were 68.3% (28/41) BR and 31.7% (13/41) LA, whereas consolidative radiotherapy patients were 30% (18/60) BR and 70% (42/60) LA. The R0 resection rate was 100%, and 46.3% (19/41) received preoperative radiation. Median overall survival of surgery versus consolidative radiotherapy was 42.3 versus 19.6 months, respectively (P < 0.001). On multivariate analysis, surgery associated with improved survival. CONCLUSIONS: Surgery after induction FOLFIRINOX is feasible and has a clinically meaningful survival benefit in BR and LA PDAC.

Development and external validation of a prediction model for survival in patients with resected ampullary adenocarcinoma.

INTRODUCTION: Ampullary adenocarcinoma (AAC) is a rare malignancy with great morphological heterogeneity, which complicates the prediction of survival and, therefore, clinical decision-making. The aim of this study was to develop and externally validate a prediction model for survival after resection of AAC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: An international multicenter cohort study was conducted, including patients who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy for AAC (2006-2017) from 27 centers in 10 countries spanning three continents. A derivation and validation cohort were separately collected. Predictors were selected from the derivation cohort using a LASSO Cox proportional hazards model. A nomogram was created based on shrunk coefficients. Model performance was assessed in the derivation cohort and subsequently in the validation cohort, by calibration plots and Uno's C-statistic. Four risk groups were created based on quartiles of the nomogram score. RESULTS: Overall, 1007 patients were available for development of the model. Predictors in the final Cox model included age, resection margin, tumor differentiation, pathological T stage and N stage (8th AJCC edition). Internal cross-validation demonstrated a C-statistic of 0.75 (95% CI 0.73-0.77). External validation in a cohort of 462 patients demonstrated a C-statistic of 0.77 (95% CI 0.73-0.81). A nomogram for the prediction of 3- and 5-year survival was created. The four risk groups showed significantly different 5-year survival rates (81%, 57%, 22% and 14%, p < 0.001). Only in the very-high risk group was adjuvant chemotherapy associated with an improved overall survival. CONCLUSION: A prediction model for survival after curative resection of AAC was developed and externally validated. The model is easily available online via www.pancreascalculator.com.

Comprehensive Analysis of the Effect of Ketorolac Administration after Pancreaticoduodenectomy.

BACKGROUND: Outcome improvement is a major goal of pancreatic surgery. Such efforts include decreasing perioperative narcotic use to optimize care and reduce potential contributions to the opioid crisis. Ketorolac, a frequent component of opioid-minimizing recovery pathways, has not been universally adopted over concerns regarding adverse events including anastomotic fidelity, hemorrhage, and renal failure. We examined ketorolac's effects on pancreatic fistula (PF) formation and related morbidity after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective review of consecutive patients undergoing PD from December 2008 to September 2018 was conducted and stratified by receipt of ketorolac during the initial 5 postoperative days. The primary outcome was clinically relevant PF (CR-PF) per international consensus definitions. Secondary outcomes included fistula risk score (FRS)-adjusted CR-PF and cumulative morbidity. RESULTS: Of 429 patients, CR-PF occurred in 9.3% (n = 40), and 249 patients received ketorolac before postoperative day 6 (58.0%), with a mean dose of 36.1 ± 22.3 mg/day. CR-PF occurred in 11.2% (n = 28) of patients receiving ketorolac vs 6.7% (n = 12) who did not ( p = 0.12); CR-PF incidence was unrelated to dose. Overall CR-PF incidence did not differ statistically by ketorolac use in the first 5 days postoperatively across FRS categories. Results from multivariable logistic regression models, adjusted for known PF risk factors suggested that ketorolac was not significantly associated with risk of CR-PF (odds ratio [OR] 1.99 [range 0.93 to 4.26], p = 0.08). Operative mortality and major (Clavien ≥ 3) morbidity, including hemorrhage and renal failure, did not differ statistically between groups. CONCLUSIONS: Ketorolac administration was associated with an acceptable risk of CR-PF and no increase in major morbidity after PD. These data suggest ketorolac can be used in strategies to optimize analgesia and minimize opioid usage.

A Critical Appraisal of the July Effect: Evaluating Complications Following Pancreaticoduodenectomy.

BACKGROUND: Reports of higher rates of medical errors in the month of July have generated concern regarding major surgery at academic institutions early in the yearly promotion cycle. This study was designed to evaluate perioperative outcomes in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) at different times of the year. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Outcomes were retrospectively evaluated for patients treated in July versus the rest of the year and in the first quarter (July-September) versus the remaining quarters. The primary outcome was operative morbidity as measured by Clavien-Dindo grade, a classification system of surgical complications. Secondary outcomes included mortality, operative blood loss, pancreatic fistula formation, delayed gastric emptying, intraabdominal abscess, anastomotic leak, reoperation, and other variables of interest. RESULTS: From January 2003 to September 2015, 472 patients underwent PD by a single academic surgeon. Overall, 77.1% of PDs were performed for malignancy. The number of patients did not significantly vary by month or by quarter. The incidence of major morbidity (Clavien-Dindo grade ≥ III) in patients who had a PD was 12.2% in July and 17.5% in all other months (P = 0.79). The rate of pancreatic fistula, intraabdominal abscess, reoperation, readmission, and mortality did not differ significantly by month or by quarter (P > 0.05 for all). CONCLUSIONS: The current study does not find any correlation between time of year and operative morbidity or mortality, suggesting that PD can be safely performed irrespective of timing.

Novel Methylated DNA Markers Discriminate Advanced Neoplasia in Pancreatic Cysts: Marker Discovery, Tissue Validation, and Cyst Fluid Testing.

OBJECTIVES: Pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) may be precancerous. Those likely to harbor high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or pancreatic cancer (PC) are targets for surgical resection. Current algorithms to predict advanced neoplasia (HGD/PC) in PCLs lack diagnostic accuracy. In pancreatic tissue and cyst fluid (CF) from PCLs, we sought to identify and validate novel methylated DNA markers (MDMs) that discriminate HGD/PC from low-grade dysplasia (LGD) or no dysplasia (ND). METHODS: From an unbiased whole-methylome discovery approach using predefined selection criteria followed by multistep validation on case (HGD or PC) and control (ND or LGD) tissues, we identified discriminant MDMs. Top candidate MDMs were then assayed by quantitative methylation-specific polymerase chain reaction on archival CF from surgically resected PCLs. RESULTS: Of 25 discriminant MDMs identified in tissue, 13 were selected for validation in 134 CF samples (21 cases [8 HGD, 13 PC], 113 controls [45 ND, 68 LGD]). A tree-based algorithm using 2 CF-MDMs (TBX15, BMP3) achieved sensitivity and specificity above 90%. Discrimination was significantly better by this CF-MDM panel than by mutant KRAS or carcinoembryonic antigen, with areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.93 (95% confidence interval: 0.86-0.99), 0.71 (0.57-0.85), and 0.72 (0.60-0.84), respectively. Cutoffs for the MDM panel applied to an independent CF validation set (31 cases, 56 controls) yielded similarly high discrimination, areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.86 (95% confidence interval: 0.77-0.94, P = 0.2). DISCUSSION: Novel MDMs discovered and validated in tissue accurately identify PCLs harboring HGD/PC. A panel of 2 MDMs assayed in CF yielded results with potential to enhance current risk prediction algorithms. Prospective studies are indicated to optimize and further evaluate CF-MDMs for clinical use.

Patterns of failure after immunotherapy with checkpoint inhibitors predict durable progression-free survival after local therapy for metastatic melanoma.

BACKGROUND: Checkpoint inhibitors (CPI) have revolutionized the treatment of metastatic melanoma, but most patients treated with CPI eventually develop progressive disease. Local therapy including surgery, ablation or stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) may be useful to manage limited progression, but criteria for patient selection have not been established. Previous work has suggested progression-free survival (PFS) after local therapy is associated with patterns of immunotherapy failure, but this has not been studied in patients treated with CPI. METHODS: We analyzed clinical data from patients with metastatic melanoma who were treated with antibodies against CTLA-4, PD-1 or PD-L1, either as single-agent or combination therapy, and identified those who had disease progression in 1 to 3 sites managed with local therapy. Patterns of CPI failure were designated by independent radiological review as growth of established metastases or appearance of new metastases. Local therapy for diagnosis, palliation or CNS metastases was excluded. RESULTS: Four hundred twenty-eight patients with metastatic melanoma received treatment with CPI from 2007 to 2018. Seventy-seven have ongoing complete responses while 69 died within 6 months of starting CPI; of the remaining 282 patients, 52 (18%) were treated with local therapy meeting our inclusion criteria. Local therapy to achieve no evidence of disease (NED) was associated with three-year progression-free survival (PFS) of 31% and five-year disease-specific survival (DSS) of 60%. Stratified by patterns of failure, patients with progression in established tumors had three-year PFS of 70%, while those with new metastases had three-year PFS of 6% (P = 0.001). Five-year DSS after local therapy was 93% versus 31%, respectively (P = 0.046). CONCLUSIONS: Local therapy for oligoprogression after CPI can result in durable PFS in selected patients. We observed that patterns of failure seen during or after CPI treatment are strongly associated with PFS after local therapy, and may represent a useful criterion for patient selection. This experience suggests there may be an increased role for local therapy in patients being treated with immunotherapy.

Role of Adjuvant Multimodality Therapy After Curative-Intent Resection of Ampullary Carcinoma.

Importance: Ampullary adenocarcinoma is a rare malignant neoplasm that arises within the duodenal ampullary complex. The role of adjuvant therapy (AT) in the treatment of ampullary adenocarcinoma has not been clearly defined. Objective: To determine if long-term survival after curative-intent resection of ampullary adenocarcinoma may be improved by selection of patients for AT directed by histologic subtype. Design, Setting, and Participants: This multinational, retrospective cohort study was conducted at 12 institutions from April 1, 2000, to July 31, 2017, among 357 patients with resected, nonmetastatic ampullary adenocarcinoma receiving surgery alone or AT. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to identify covariates associated with overall survival. The surgery alone and AT cohorts were matched 1:1 by propensity scores based on the likelihood of receiving AT or by survival hazard from Cox modeling. Overall survival was compared with Kaplan-Meier estimates. Exposures: Adjuvant chemotherapy (fluorouracil- or gemcitabine-based) with or without radiotherapy. Main Outcomes and Measures: Overall survival. Results: A total of 357 patients (156 women and 201 men; median age, 65.8 years [interquartile range, 58-74 years]) underwent curative-intent resection of ampullary adenocarcinoma. Patients with intestinal subtype had a longer median overall survival compared with those with pancreatobiliary subtype (77 vs 54 months; P = .05). Histologic subtype was not associated with AT administration (intestinal, 52.9% [101 of 191]; and pancreatobiliary, 59.5% [78 of 131]; P = .24). Patients with pancreatobiliary histologic subtype most commonly received gemcitabine-based regimens (71.0% [22 of 31]) or combinations of gemcitabine and fluorouracil (12.9% [4 of 31]), whereas treatment of those with intestinal histologic subtype was more varied (fluorouracil, 50.0% [17 of 34]; gemcitabine, 44.1% [15 of 34]; P = .01). In the propensity score-matched cohort, AT was not associated with a survival benefit for either histologic subtype (intestinal: hazard ratio, 1.21; 95% CI, 0.67-2.16; P = .53; pancreatobiliary: hazard ratio, 1.35; 95% CI, 0.66-2.76; P = .41). Conclusions and Relevance: Adjuvant therapy was more frequently used in patients with poor prognostic factors but was not associated with demonstrable improvements in survival, regardless of tumor histologic subtype. The value of a multimodality regimen remains poorly defined.