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1.
Sci Total Environ ; 947: 174623, 2024 Jul 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38997015

ABSTRACT

Balancing blue growth with the conservation of wild species and habitats is a key challenge for global ocean management. This is exacerbated in Global South nations, such as Tanzania, where climate-driven ocean change requires delicate marine spatial planning (MSP) trade-offs to ensure climate resilience of marine resources relied upon by coastal communities. Here, we identified challenges and opportunities that climate change presents to the near-term spatial management of Tanzania's artisanal fishing sector, marine protected areas and seaweed farming. Specifically, spatial meta-analysis of climate modelling for the region was carried out to estimate the natural distribution of climate resilience in the marine resources that support these socially important sectors. We estimated changes within the next 20 and 40 years, using modelling projections forced under global emissions trajectories, as well as a wealth of GIS and habitat suitability data derived from globally distributed programmes. Multi-decadal analyses indicated that long-term climate change trends and extreme weather present important challenges to the activity of these sectors, locally and regionally. Only in few instances did we identify areas exhibiting climate resilience and opportunities for sectoral expansion. Including these climate change refugia and bright spots in effective ocean management strategies may serve as nature-based solutions: promoting adaptive capacity in some of Tanzania's most vulnerable economic sectors; creating wage-gaining opportunities that promote gender parity; and delivering some economic benefits of a thriving ocean where possible. Without curbs in global emissions, however, a bleak future may emerge for globally valuable biodiversity hosted in Tanzania, and for its coastal communities, despite the expansion of protected areas or curbs in other pressures. Growing a sustainable ocean economy in this part of the Global South remains a substantial challenge without global decarbonization.

2.
ACS Environ Au ; 4(3): 142-151, 2024 May 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38765058

ABSTRACT

Fishing vessels need to adapt to and mitigate climate changes, but solution development requires better information about the environment and vessel operations. Even if ships generate large amounts of potentially useful data, there is a large variety of sources and formats. This lack of standardization makes identification and use of key data challenging and hinders its use in improving operational performance and vessel design. The work described in this paper aims to provide cost-effective tools for systematic data acquisition for fishing vessels, supporting digitalization of the fishing vessel operation and performance monitoring. This digitalization is needed to facilitate the reduction of emissions as a critical environmental problem and industry costs critical for industry sustainability. The resulting monitoring system interfaces onboard systems and sensors, processes the data, and makes it available in a shared onboard data space. From this data space, 209 signals are recorded at different frequencies and uploaded to onshore servers for postprocessing. The collected data describe both ship operation, onboard energy system, and the surrounding environment. Nine of the oceanographic variables have been preselected to be potentially useful for public scientific repositories, such as Copernicus and EMODnet. The data are also used for fuel prediction models, species distribution models, and route optimization models.

3.
Nat Commun ; 15(1): 2126, 2024 Mar 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38459105

ABSTRACT

Ocean warming and acidification, decreases in dissolved oxygen concentrations, and changes in primary production are causing an unprecedented global redistribution of marine life. The identification of underlying ecological processes underpinning marine species turnover, particularly the prevalence of increases of warm-water species or declines of cold-water species, has been recently debated in the context of ocean warming. Here, we track changes in the mean thermal affinity of marine communities across European seas by calculating the Community Temperature Index for 65 biodiversity time series collected over four decades and containing 1,817 species from different communities (zooplankton, coastal benthos, pelagic and demersal invertebrates and fish). We show that most communities and sites have clearly responded to ongoing ocean warming via abundance increases of warm-water species (tropicalization, 54%) and decreases of cold-water species (deborealization, 18%). Tropicalization dominated Atlantic sites compared to semi-enclosed basins such as the Mediterranean and Baltic Seas, probably due to physical barrier constraints to connectivity and species colonization. Semi-enclosed basins appeared to be particularly vulnerable to ocean warming, experiencing the fastest rates of warming and biodiversity loss through deborealization.


Subject(s)
Biodiversity , Invertebrates , Animals , Oceans and Seas , Fishes , Temperature , Water , Ecosystem , Global Warming
4.
Glob Chang Biol ; 30(1): e17047, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38273534

ABSTRACT

Decreased body size is often cited as a major response to ocean warming. Available evidence, however, questions the actual emergence of shrinking trends and the prevalence of temperature-driven changes in size over alternative drivers. In marine fish, changes in food availability or fluctuations in abundance, including those due to size-selective fishing, provide compelling mechanisms to explain changes in body size. Here, based on three decades of scientific survey data (1990-2021), we report a decline in the average body size-length and weight-of anchovy, Engraulis encrasicolus L., in the Bay of Biscay. Shrinking was evident in all age classes, from juveniles to adults. Allometric adjustment indicated slightly more pronounced declines in weight than in total length, which is consistent with a change toward a slender body shape. Trends in adult weight were nonlinear, with rates accelerating to an average decline of up to 25% decade-1 during the last two decades. We found a strong association between higher anchovy abundance and reduced juvenile size. The effect of density dependence was less clear later in life, and temperature became the best predictor of declines in adult size. Theoretical analyses based on a strategic model further suggested that observed patterns are consistent with a simultaneous, opposing effect of rising temperatures on accelerating early growth and decreasing adult size as predicted by the temperature-size rule. Macroecological assessment of ecogeographical-Bergmann's and James'-rules in anchovy size suggested that the observed decline largely exceeds intraspecific variation and might be the result of selection. Limitations inherent in the observational nature of the study recommend caution and a continued assessment and exploration of alternative drivers. Additional evidence of a climate-driven regime shift in the region suggests, however, that shrinking anchovy sizes may signal a long-lasting change in the structure and functioning of the Bay of Biscay ecosystem.


Subject(s)
Bays , Ecosystem , Animals , Climate , Temperature , Body Size/physiology , Seafood
5.
Sci Total Environ ; 803: 149622, 2022 Jan 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34496346

ABSTRACT

Global ocean warming, wave extreme events, and accelerating sea-level rise are challenges that coastal communities must address to anticipate damages in coming decades. The objective of this study is to undertake a time-series analysis of climate change (CC) indicators within the Bay of Biscay, including the Basque coast. We used an integrated and flexible methodology, based on Generalized Additive Mixed Models, to detect trends on 19 indicators (including marine physics, chemistry, atmosphere, hydrology, geomorphology, biodiversity, and commercial species). The results of 87 long-term time series analysed (~512,000 observations), in the last four decades, indicate four groups of climate regime shifts: 1) A gradual shift associated with CC starting in the 1980s, with a warming of the sea surface down to 100 m depth in the bay (0.10-0.25 °C per decade), increase in air temperature and insolation. This warming may have impacted on benthic community redistribution in the Basque coast, favouring warm-water species relative to cold-water species. Weight at age for anchovy and sardine decreased in the last two decades. 2) Deepening of the winter mixed layer depth in the south-eastern bay that probably led to increases in nutrients, surface oxygen, and chlorophyll concentration. Current increases on chlorophyll and zooplankton (i.e., copepods) biomass are contrary to those expected under CC scenarios in the region. 3) Sea-level rise (1.5-3.5 cm per decade since 1990s), associated with CC. 4) Increase of extreme wave height events of 16.8 cm per decade in the south-eastern bay, probably related to stormy conditions in the last decade, with impacts on beach erosion. Estimating accurate rates of sea warming, sea-level rise, extreme events, and foreseeing the future pathways of marine productivity, are key to define the best adaptation measures to minimize negative CC impacts in the region.


Subject(s)
Bays , Biodiversity , Animals , Biomass , Climate Change , Ecosystem , Zooplankton
6.
Nat Clim Chang ; 11(11): 973-981, 2021.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34745348

ABSTRACT

Projections of climate change impacts on marine ecosystems have revealed long-term declines in global marine animal biomass and unevenly distributed impacts on fisheries. Here we apply an enhanced suite of global marine ecosystem models from the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (Fish-MIP), forced by new-generation Earth system model outputs from Phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), to provide insights into how projected climate change will affect future ocean ecosystems. Compared with the previous generation CMIP5-forced Fish-MIP ensemble, the new ensemble ecosystem simulations show a greater decline in mean global ocean animal biomass under both strong-mitigation and high-emissions scenarios due to elevated warming, despite greater uncertainty in net primary production in the high-emissions scenario. Regional shifts in the direction of biomass changes highlight the continued and urgent need to reduce uncertainty in the projected responses of marine ecosystems to climate change to help support adaptation planning.

7.
Psicol. conduct ; 25(3): 445-463, sept.-dic. 2017. graf, tab
Article in Spanish | IBECS | ID: ibc-169760

ABSTRACT

En los últimos años ha aumentado considerablemente la utilización de las intervenciones basadas en la atención plena (mindfulness) en diversos trastornos mentales. Sin embargo, hay escasas pruebas empíricas y una gran controversia acerca de su eficacia en niños y adolescentes. En el caso concreto de la ansiedad, entre 20-50% de los niños afectados no mejoran con la terapia cognitivo conductual tradicional. Este trabajo tuvo por objeto realizar una revisión sistemática sobre la eficacia de las intervenciones basadas en la atención plena en el tratamiento de la ansiedad en niños y adolescentes. Se encontraron 15 artículos, pero solo siete cumplieron los criterios de inclusión. Todos los estudios indicaron que la intervención basada en la atención plena proporciona resultados positivos, tales como una disminución significativa de síntomas de ansiedad y una mejora en el funcionamiento global. En resumen, cabe destacar que estas intervenciones pueden ser eficaces en niños y adolescentes con síntomas y/o trastornos de ansiedad. Sin embargo, todavía es un campo en desarrollo, formado por estudios con múltiples limitaciones, por lo que requiere de más investigaciones


The use of mindfulness-based interventions for different mental disorders has increased considerably in recent years. However, there is still little empirical evidence, as well as a strong controversy, concerning the efficacy of this modality of intervention in children and adolescents. In the specific case of anxiety, 20-50% of the children affected do not improve with traditional cognitive-behavioral therapy. Thus, this work aimed to present a systematic review on the effectiveness of Mindfulness-based interventions for the treatment of anxiety in children and adolescents. The search obtained a total of 15 articles, of which only seven fulfilled the inclusion criteria. All studies indicated that Mindfulness-based interventions provide positive results, such as a significant decrease in symptoms of anxiety and an improvement in the overall functioning. In short, it should be noted that Mindfulness-based interventions may be effective in children and adolescents with anxiety symptoms and/or disorders. However, it is still a developing field, comprising studies with multiple limitations, thus requiring further research


Subject(s)
Humans , Child , Adolescent , Meditation/psychology , Mindfulness/methods , Anxiety Disorders/therapy , Treatment Outcome , Comorbidity
8.
Enferm. infecc. microbiol. clín. (Ed. impr.) ; 23(6): 353-362, jun.-jul. 2005. tab
Article in Es, En | IBECS | ID: ibc-036203

ABSTRACT

El trasplante de órgano sólido puede ser la única alternativa terapéutica en ciertos pacientes infectados por el virus de la inmunodeficiencia humana (VIH). La experiencia acumulada en América del Norte y Europa en los últimos 5 años indica que la supervivencia a los 3 años del trasplante de órgano sólido es similar a la de los pacientes no infectados por el VIH. Los criterios consensuados para seleccionar a los pacientes infectados por el VIH con indicación de trasplante son: no haber tenido infecciones oportunistas (a excepción de la tuberculosis, candidiasis esofágica o neumonía por Pneumocystis jiroveci ­antes carinii­), tener una cifra de linfocitos CD4 > 200 cél./μl (100 cél./μl en el caso del trasplante hepático) y una carga viral del VIH indetectable o suprimible con tratamiento antirretroviral. También se exige una abstinencia a la heroína y cocaína de 2 años de duración, pudiendo estar el paciente en programa de metadona. Los principales problemas del período postrasplante son las interacciones farmacocinéticas y farmacodinámicas entre los antirretrovirales y los inmunosupresores, el rechazo y la posibilidad de que la recidiva de la infección por el virus de la hepatitis C (VHC), que es una de las principales causas de mortalidad postrasplante hepático, siga una evolución peor. La experiencia del tratamiento con interferón pegilado y ribavirina es escasa en esta población hasta el momento actual (AU)


Solid organ transplantation may be the only therapeutic option for some human inmunodeficience virus (HIV)-infected patients. Experience in North America and Europe over the last five years has shown that three-year survival of these patients following organ transplantation is similar to that of HIV-negative patients. The consensus criteria for the selection of HIV patients for transplantation include the following: no opportunistic infections (except tuberculosis, esophageal candidiasis or Pneumocystis jiroveci ­ previously carinii ­ pneumonia), CD4 lymphocyte count above 200 cells/μl (100 cells/μl in the case of liver transplantation) and HIV viral load that is undetectable or suppressible with antiretroviral therapy. Also required is a two-year abstinence from heroin and cocaine, although the patient may be in a methadone program. The main problems in the post-transplantation period in these patients are pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic interactions between antiretorivirals and immunosuppressors, rejection, and the fact that the risk of relapsed HCV infection is exacerbated, and this is one of the main causes of post-liver transplantation (..) (AU)


Subject(s)
Adult , Humans , Patient Selection/ethics , HIV Infections/complications , HIV Infections/immunology , Graft Survival/physiology , Organ Transplantation/ethics , Organ Transplantation/standards , Viral Load , Anti-Retroviral Agents/therapeutic use , Spain/epidemiology
9.
Enferm Infecc Microbiol Clin ; 23(6): 353-62, 2005.
Article in Spanish | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15970168

ABSTRACT

Solid organ transplant may be the only therapeutic alternative in some HIV-infected patients. Experience in North America and Europe during the last five years shows that survival at three years after an organ transplant is similar to that observed in HIV-negative patients. The criteria agreed upon to select HIV patients for transplant are: no opportunistic infections (except tuberculosis, oesophageal candidiasis or P. jiroveci -previously carinii- pneumonia), CD4 lymphocyte count above 200 cells/.L (100 cells/.L in the case of liver transplant) and an HIV viral load which is undetectable or suppressible with antiretroviral therapy. Another criterion is a two-year abstinence from heroin and cocaine, although the patient may be in a methadone programme. The main problems in the post-transplant period are pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic interactions between antiretorivirals and immunosuppressors, rejection and the management of relapse of HCV infection, which is one of the main causes of post-liver transplant mortality. Up to now, experience with pegylated interferon and ribavirin is scarce in this population. The English version of the manuscript is available at http://www.gesidaseimc.com.


Subject(s)
HIV Infections/epidemiology , Organ Transplantation/standards , Patient Selection , AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections/epidemiology , AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections/prevention & control , Anti-HIV Agents/pharmacokinetics , Anti-HIV Agents/therapeutic use , Antiviral Agents/pharmacokinetics , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Case Management , Comorbidity , Contraindications , Disease Progression , Drug Interactions , Graft Rejection , Hepatitis C, Chronic/complications , Hepatitis C, Chronic/drug therapy , Hepatitis C, Chronic/epidemiology , Hepatitis, Viral, Human/complications , Hepatitis, Viral, Human/drug therapy , Hepatitis, Viral, Human/epidemiology , Humans , Immunosuppressive Agents/adverse effects , Immunosuppressive Agents/pharmacokinetics , Immunosuppressive Agents/therapeutic use , Organ Transplantation/ethics , Patient Compliance , Recurrence , Spain/epidemiology
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