The Toronto Upper Gastrointestinal Cleaning Score: a prospective validation study.

BACKGROUND : Assessment of mucosal visualization during esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) can be improved with a standardized scoring system. To address this need, we created the Toronto Upper Gastrointestinal Cleaning Score (TUGCS). METHODS : We developed the TUGCS using Delphi methodology, whereby an international group of endoscopy experts iteratively rated their agreement with proposed TUGCS items and anchors on a 5-point Likert scale. After each Delphi round, we analyzed responses and refined the TUGCS using an 80 % agreement threshold for consensus. We used the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) to assess inter-rater and test-retest reliability. We assessed internal consistency with Cronbach's alpha and item-total and inter-item correlations with Pearson's correlation coefficient. We compared TUGCS ratings with an independent endoscopist's global rating of mucosal visualization using Spearman's ρ. RESULTS : We achieved consensus with 14 invited participants after three Delphi rounds. Inter-rater reliability was high at 0.79 (95 %CI 0.64-0.88). Test-retest reliability was excellent at 0.83 (95 %CI 0.77-0.87). Cronbach's α was 0.81, item-total correlation range was 0.52-0.70, and inter-item correlation range was 0.38-0.74. There was a positive correlation between TUGCS ratings and a global rating of visualization (r = 0.41, P = 0.002). TUGCS ratings for EGDs with global ratings of excellent were significantly higher than those for EGDs with global ratings of fair (P = 0.01). CONCLUSION : The TUGCS had strong evidence of validity in the clinical setting. The international group of assessors, broad variety of EGD indications, and minimal assessor training improves the potential for dissemination.

Racial and Gender Disparities Among Obese Patients With Pancreatic Cancer: A Trend Analysis in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic cancer (PC) is the third leading cause of cancer death. Obesity can increase the risk of PC by up to 50%. Studies have shown racial and gender disparities in PC, however, there is a paucity of such information in obese PC patients. AIM: The aim of this study was to: (1) evaluate the incidence and prevalence of obesity among PC patients in the United States over the last 15 years, and (2) determine if variation exists in the demographic of obese PC patients over the last 15 years. It is hoped that this information could be used to assist in primary prevention and early detection of PC. METHODS: A population-based retrospective analysis in IBM Explorys, a pooled, national, deidentified database of 63 million patients from 300 hospitals in the United States. Patient populations were identified using SNOMED and ICD codes. Cochrane-Armitage testing was performed to analyze trends in obesity among PC. Subgroup analysis for gender, age, race, and mortality rate were assessed. RESULTS: The percentage of obese patients with PC increased over the 15-year period (2.5% to 8.5%, P <0.0001). Rates of obesity among PC patients increased among females ( P =0.0004), individuals under age 65 years ( P =0.0002), and all races, but especially for African Americans ( P =0.0007) and those in minority groups. CONCLUSION: Awareness of disparities in PC and applying targeted care to those at increased risk are essential to improve future outcomes, including increased health care access and recruitment in research studies for minority groups.

The Discrepancy Between Subjective and Objective Clinical Endpoints in Gastroesophageal Reflux Disease.

Therapeutic outcome in gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) is commonly determined by both subjective and objective clinical endpoints. Clinicians frequently use symptom improvement as a key benchmark of clinical success, in conjunction with normalization of objective parameters such as esophageal acid exposure and inflammation. However, GERD therapeutic trials have demonstrated that a substantial number of patients rendered asymptomatic, whether through medical, surgical, or endoscopic intervention, continue to have persistent abnormal esophageal acid exposure and erosive esophagitis. The opposite has also been demonstrated in therapeutic trials, where patients remained symptomatic despite normalization of esophageal acid exposure and complete resolution of esophageal inflammation. Moreover, there is no substantive evidence that symptomatic response to antireflux treatment requires complete esophageal mucosal healing or normalization of esophageal acid exposure. Thus, it appears that a certain level of improvement in objective parameters is needed to translate into meaningful changes in symptoms and health-related quality of life of GERD patients. This supports the need to reconsider the commonly used "hard" clinical endpoints to evaluate therapeutic trials in GERD.

Quantifying the Risk of Drug-Induced Pancreatitis With Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors and Statins Using a Large Electronic Medical Record Database.

OBJECTIVES: Quantify the risk of drug-induced pancreatitis (DIP) from angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEis) and 3-hydroxy-3-methyl-glutaryl-CoA reductase inhibitors (statins). METHODS: Retrospective cohort analysis using IBM Explorys (1999-2019), a pooled, deidentified clinical database of more than 63 million patients across the United States. Odds ratios were calculated to determine the risk of DIP from ACEi, statins, and both medications together. χ2 testing assessed the relationship between age, sex, ethnicity, insurance status, and mortality among patients with DIP from ACEi, statins, or both combined. RESULTS: Acute pancreatitis (AP) was found in 280,740 patients. Odds ratios for ACEi, statins, and both combined were 6.12, 4.97, and 5.72, respectively. Thirty-eight percent of all-cause AP occurs in adults older than 65 years. Acute pancreatitis from ACEi and statins occurs in 49% and 56% of patients older than 65 years, respectively. Men and patients older than 65 years are at higher risk of DIP from ACEi and statins. Patients on Medicaid are at higher risk of DIP from statins, and Asian patients are at highest risk of DIP from ACEi. CONCLUSIONS: We found that ACEi and statins increase the odds of DIP. Although ACEis and statins are critical medications for many patients, clinicians should consider using alternatives in patients with AP of unclear etiology.

Underutilization of prophylactic rectal indomethacin and pancreatic duct stent for prevention of post-ERCP Pancreatitis.

Background and study aims Incidence of Post-ERCP pancreatitis (PEP) ranges from 1 % to 10 % in unselected patients and as high as 25 % to 30 % in high-risk patients. Rectal indomethacin administered before or immediately after an ERCP and prophylactic pancreatic duct stent placement (PPS) are associated with a reduction in the incidence of PEP. We sought to investigate the utilization rate for prophylactic rectal indomethacin and PPS in average and high-risk patients undergoing ERCP between 2014 and 2019. Patients and methods We performed a retrospective analysis in the IBM Explorys database, a pooled, national de-identified clinical database of over 72 million unique patients from 26 health care networks and 300 hospitals across the United States from 2014 to 2019. Average and high-risk patients undergoing ERCP were identified using Systematized Nomenclature of Medicine Clinical Terms (SNOMED CT) diagnosis codes. PEP was defined by the presence of SNOMED CT diagnosis of acute pancreatitis and an inpatient admission within 5 days of an ERCP procedure. Results Out of 31,050 adults who had undergone ERCP from 2014 to 2019, only 10,500 individuals (33.8 %) had a PEP prophylaxis. Rectal indomethacin and PPS accounted for 82.4 % and 12.9 % respectively. Individuals with three risk factors had the highest PEP rates followed by individuals with two risk factors. Conclusions Only one-third of all patients undergoing ERCP received prophylaxis in the form of rectal indothemacin and/or PPS in this large population-based data. Increased implementation of prophylactic use is needed in patients undergoing ERCP as supported by current guidelines.

Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Clinical Schedules and Physical and Mental Well-Being of Gastroenterology Nonphysician Healthcare Workers: A Nationwide Survey.

COVID-19 was declared a pandemic in March 2020 by the World Health Organization. To minimize exposure and because of limited personal protective equipment resources, most gastroenterology practices were curtailed/modified during the surge, with slow reopening to a normal/semi-normal schedule. Gastroenterology healthcare workers have been impacted greatly by COVID-19, resulting in job and wage insecurity. The aim of our study was to understand the impact of COVID-19 on gastroenterology healthcare workers across the United States. A web-based survey, consisting of 40 questions, was disseminated among gastroenterology practices across the United States via en masse e-mails and direct contact by authors. In total, 223 gastroenterology healthcare workers completed the survey; 56.1% were from academic settings. COVID-19 impacted the work schedule of 85.2% of participants, with reduced weekly work hours (38.1%), duty reassignment (22.4%), and furlough (13.9%). Uncertainty about job and/or future wages/benefits after reopening was noted in 41%, which was significantly associated with the presence of physical (p = .021) and mental/emotional symptoms (p = .045). Worsening of pre-existing physical and/or mental/emotional conditions was observed in 53%. Inadequate personal protective equipment availability, lack of temporary housing and/or childcare facilities, as well as job insecurity appear to be the important factors leading to worsening physical/mental/emotional conditions among gastroenterology healthcare workers.

COVID-19 and Canadian Gastroenterology Trainees.

BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has impacted endoscopy services and education worldwide. This study aimed to characterize the impact of COVID-19 on gastroenterology trainees in Canada. METHODS: An analysis of Canadian respondents from the international EndoTrain survey, open from April 11 to May 2 2020 and distributed by program directors, trainees, and national and international gastroenterology societies' representatives, was completed. The survey included questions on monthly endoscopy volume, personal protective equipment availability, trainee well-being and educational resources. The primary outcome was change in procedural volume during the COVID-19 pandemic. Secondary outcomes included trainee's professional and personal concerns, anxiety and burnout. RESULTS: Thirty-four Canadian trainees completed the survey. Per month, participants completed a median of 30 esophagogastroduodenoscopies (interquartile range 16 to 50) prior to the pandemic compared to 2 (0 to 10) during the pandemic, 20 (8 to 30) compared to 2 (0 to 5) colonoscopies and 3 (1 to 10) compared to 0 (0 to 3) upper gastrointestinal bleeding procedures. There was a significant decrease in procedural volumes between the pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 time periods for all procedures (P < 0.001). Thirty (88%) trainees were concerned about personal COVID-19 exposure, 32 (94%) were concerned about achieving and/or maintaining clinical competence and 24 (71%) were concerned about prolongation of training time due to the pandemic. Twenty-six (79%) respondents experienced some degree of anxiety, and 10 (31%) experienced some degree of burnout. CONCLUSION: The COVID-19 pandemic has substantially impacted gastroenterology trainees in Canada. As the pandemic eases, it important for gastrointestinal programs to adapt to maximize resident learning, maintain effective clinical care and ensure development of endoscopic competence.

Clinical efficacy, timing, and outcomes of ERCP for management of bile duct leaks: a nationwide cohort study.

Background and study aims Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) can safely and effectively manage postsurgical or traumatic bile duct leaks (BDLs). Standardized guidelines are lacking regarding effective management of BDLs. Our aim was to evaluate the efficacy, clinical outcomes, and complications of different ERCP techniques and intervention timing using a nationwide database. Patients and methods We performed a retrospective analysis of the IBM Explorys database (1999-2019), a pooled, national, de-identified clinical database of over 64 million unique patients across the United States. ERCP timing after BDL was classified as emergent (< 1 day), urgent (1-3 days) or expectant (> 3 days). ERCP technique was classified into sphincterotomy, stent or combination therapy. ERCP complications were defined as pancreatitis, duodenal perforation, duodenal hemorrhage, and ascending cholangitis within 7 days of the procedure. Results Expectant ERCP had a decreased risk of adverse events (AEs) compared to emergent and urgent ERCP ( P  = 0.004). Rehospitalization rates also were lower in expectant ERCP ( P  < 0.001). Patients with COPD were more likely to have an AE if the ERCP was performed emergently compared to expectantly ( P  = 0.002). Combination therapy had a lower rate of ERCP failure compared to placement of a biliary stent ( P  = 0.02). There was no statistically significant difference in rates of ERCP failure between biliary stent and sphincterotomy ( P  = 0.06) or sphincterotomy and combination therapy ( P  = 0.74). Conclusion Our study suggests that ERCP does not need to be performed emergently or urgently for management of BDLs. Combination therapy is superior to stenting or sphincterotomy; however, future prospective studies are needed to validate these findings.

Erratum: Clinical efficacy, timing, and outcomes of ERCP for management of bile duct leaks: a nationwide cohort study.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1055/a-1322-2425.].

Colorectal Cancer, Age, and Obesity-Related Comorbidities: A Large Database Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The association between obesity and colorectal cancer (CRC) is well established in older individuals, but evidence is limited in the younger population. The study aims to analyze the relationship of obesity and its related comorbidities in early-onset CRC (E-CRC) and compare it to late-onset CRC (L-CRC). METHODS: A retrospective, cross-sectional study was performed on average-risk individuals ≥ 20 years who were active patients in the commercial database, IBM Watson Health Explorys in the last 5 years. Individuals with CRC were compared to those without CRC across different age groups (20-39, 40-49, and 50-74 years). Individuals with CRC diagnosed < 50 years (E-CRC) were compared to those with CRC between 50 and 74 years (L-CRC). Variables included sex, smoking, obese BMI, diabetes mellitus type 2 (DM2), hypertension (HTN), and hyperlipidemia (HLD). Since Explorys aggregates population-level, de-identified data, approval from institutional review board was not required. RESULTS: Among 37,483,140 individuals, 162,150 cases of sporadic CRC were identified. Compared to the general population, obesity and HLD were independent risk factors for CRC across all age groups; DM2, HTN, and smoking were independent risk factors for CRC in men of all age groups and women with L-CRC. Compared to L-CRC, individuals with E-CRC had lower percentages of obesity-related comorbidities. CONCLUSION: In E-CRC, obesity, DM2, HTN, HLD, and smoking are independent risk factors for CRC among men; obesity and HLD are independent risk factors for CRC in women. These subgroups may benefit from a personalized screening approach to detect early-onset CRC.

Disparities in Colorectal Cancer Screening Practices in a Midwest Urban Safety-Net Healthcare System.

AIMS: Although colorectal cancer screening (CRC) using stool-based test is well-studied, evidence on fecal immunochemical test (FIT) patterns in a safety-net healthcare system utilizing opportunistic screening is limited. We studied the FIT completion rates and adenoma detection rate (ADR) of positive FIT-colonoscopy (FIT-C) in an urban safety-net system. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cross-sectional chart review on individuals ≥ 50 years who underwent CRC screening using FIT or screening colonoscopy, 09/01/2017-08/30/2018. Demographic differences in FIT completion were studied; ADR of FIT-C was compared to that of screening colonoscopy. RESULTS: Among 13,427 individuals with FIT ordered, 7248 (54%) completed the stool test and 230 (48%) followed up a positive FIT with colonoscopy. Increasing age (OR 1.01, CI 1.01-1.02), non-Hispanic Blacks (OR 0.87, CI 0.80-0.95, p = 0.002), current smokers (OR 0.84, CI 0.77-0.92, p < 0.0001), those with Medicaid (OR 0.86, CI 0.77-0.96, p = 0.006), commercial insurance (OR 0.85, CI 0.78-0.94, p = 0.002), CCI score ≥ 3 (OR 0.82, CI 0.74-0.91, p < 0.0001), orders by family medicine providers (OR 0.87, CI 0.81-0.94, p < 0.0001) were associated with lower completion of stool test. Individuals from low median household income cities had lower follow-up of positive FIT, OR 0.43, CI 0.21-0.86, p = 0.017. ADR of FIT-C was higher than that of screening colonoscopy. CONCLUSION: Adherence to CRC screening is low in safety-net systems employing opportunistic screening. Understanding demographic differences may allow providers to formulate targeted strategies in high-risk vulnerable groups.

Gastrointestinal and hepatic manifestations of COVID-19: A comprehensive review.

The severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) that causes coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) is a global pandemic, manifested by an infectious pneumonia. Although patients primarily present with fever, cough and dyspnea, some patients also develop gastrointestinal (GI) and hepatic manifestations. The most common GI symptoms reported are diarrhea, nausea, vomiting, and abdominal discomfort. Liver chemistry abnormalities are common and include elevation of aspartate transferase, alanine transferase, and total bilirubin. Studies have shown that SARS-CoV-2 infects the GI tract via its viral receptor angiotensin converting enzyme II, which is expressed on enterocytes of the ileum and colon. Viral RNA has also been isolated from stool specimens of COVID-19 patients, which raised the concern for fecal-oral transmission in addition to droplet transmission. Although indirect evidence has suggested possible fecal-oral transmission of SARS-CoV-2, more effort is needed to establish the role of the fecal-oral transmission route. Further research will help elucidate the association between patients with underlying GI diseases, such as chronic liver disease and inflammatory bowel disease, and severity of COVID-19. In this review, we summarize the data on GI involvement to date, as well as the impact of COVID-19 on underlying GI diseases.

Impact of COVID-19 on endoscopy trainees: an international survey.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Although coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has affected endoscopy services globally, the impact on trainees has not been evaluated. We aimed to assess the impact of COVID-19 on procedural volumes and on the emotional well-being of endoscopy trainees worldwide. METHODS: An international survey was disseminated over a 3-week period in April 2020. The primary outcome was the percentage reduction in monthly procedure volume before and during COVID-19. Secondary outcomes included potential variation of COVID-19 impact between different continents and rates and predictors of anxiety and burnout among trainees. RESULTS: Across 770 trainees from 63 countries, 93.8% reported a reduction in endoscopy case volume. The median percentage reduction in total procedures was 99% (interquartile range, 85%-100%), which varied internationally (P < .001) and was greatest for colonoscopy procedures. Restrictions in case volume and trainee activity were common barriers. A total of 71.9% were concerned that the COVID-19 pandemic could prolonged training. Anxiety was reported in 52.4% of respondents and burnout in 18.8%. Anxiety was independently associated with female gender (odds ratio [OR], 2.15; P < .001), adequacy of personal protective equipment (OR, 1.75; P = .005), lack of institutional support for emotional health (OR, 1.67; P = .008), and concerns regarding prolongation of training (OR, 1.60; P = .013). Modifying existing national guidelines to support adequate endoscopy training during the pandemic was supported by 68.9%. CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 pandemic has led to restrictions in endoscopic volumes and endoscopy training, with high rates of anxiety and burnout among endoscopy trainees worldwide. Targeted measures by training programs to address these key issues are warranted to improve trainee well-being and support trainee education.

Risk of de-novo inflammatory bowel disease among obese patients treated with bariatric surgery or weight loss medications.

BACKGROUND: An association between bariatric surgery and development of de-novo inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) has been observed. AIM: To evaluate further the association among bariatric surgery, weight loss medications, obesity and new-onset IBD. METHODS: Using Explorys, a population-based Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act compliant database, we estimated the prevalence of de-novo IBD among patients treated with bariatric surgery (Roux-en-Y gastrojejunostomy, laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy or gastric banding) (n = 60 870) or weight loss medications (orlistat, phentermine/topiramate, lorcaserin, bupropion/naltrexone and liraglutide) (n = 193 790) compared with obese controls (n = 5 021 210), between 1999 and 2018. RESULTS: The prevalence of de-novo IBD was lower among obese patients exposed to bariatric surgery (7.72 per 1000 patients) or weight loss medications (7.22 per 1000 patients) compared with patients with persistent obesity not exposed to these interventions (11.66 per 1000 patients, P < 0.0001). The risk reduction for de-novo IBD was consistent across bariatric surgeries and weight loss medications with the exception of orlistat which was not associated with a reduction in risk for de-novo IBD compared with the persistent obese control cohort. CONCLUSION: Obese patients undergoing treatment with bariatric surgery or weight loss medications are at a lower risk for developing de-novo IBD compared with persistently obese controls not exposed to these interventions. These data suggest that obesity and ineffective management of obesity are risk factors for de-novo IBD. Further research is needed to confirm these observations and understand potential mechanisms.

Stop Blaming the Weatherman! A Retrospective Study of Endoscopy Show Rates at a Midwest Urban Safety-Net Hospital.

BACKGROUND: Weather patterns are well-known to affect human health and behavior and are often arbitrarily blamed for high no-show rates (NSRs). The NSR for outpatient gastrointestinal procedures ranges from 4% to 41% depending on the population and procedure performed. Identifying potential causes will allow for the optimization of endoscopy resource utilization. AIM: The aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of a day of the year and weather conditions have on NSRs for outpatient endoscopic procedures at a safety-net hospital in Cleveland, Ohio, United States. METHODS: A 12-month, retrospective cohort study of the NSR for outpatient endoscopic procedures was performed using local weather data from January 1, 2017 to December 31, 2017. Data was assessed by analysis of variance/t test, and the χ test was used to analyze weather impact on NSR. RESULTS: A total of 7935 patients had an average overall NSR of 11.8%. Average NSR for esophagogastroduodenoscopies (EGDs) were 9.9%, colonoscopies 12.3%, and advanced endoscopy procedures 11.1%. The NSR was highest in April (15.3%, P=0.01) and lowest in September (9.0%, P=0.04). There is a greater likelihood of procedural no-show for colonoscopies compared with EGDs when mean temperatures were at or below freezing (P=0.02) and with snowfall (P=0.03). NSR were also high for EGDs on federal holidays (25%, P=0.03) and colonoscopies on days following federal holidays (25.3%, P<0.01). Day of the week, wind speed, presence of precipitation, wind chill, the temperature change from the prior day, and temperature (high, low, and mean) had no significant impact on NSR. CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrates that scheduling adjustments on federal holidays, days when temperatures are below freezing, and snowfall may improve department resource utilization. These data, along with other variables that affect NSR for endoscopic procedures, should be taken into consideration when attempting to optimize scheduling and available resources in a safety-net hospital.

Current Trends in the Management of Gastroesophageal Reflux Disease.

Gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) characterized by heartburn and/or regurgitation symptoms is one of the most common gastrointestinal disorders managed by gastroenterologists and primary care physicians. There has been an increase in GERD prevalence, particularly in North America and East Asia. Over the past three decades proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) have been the mainstay of medical therapy for GERD. However, recently there has been an increasing awareness amongst physicians and patients regarding the side effects of the PPI class of drugs. In addition, there has been a marked decline in the utilization of surgical fundoplication as well as a rise in the development of nonmedical therapeutic modalities for GERD. This review focuses on different management strategies for GERD, optimal management of refractory GERD with special focus on available endoluminal therapies and the future directions.

Underwater endoscopic mucosal resection: an alternative treatment for large colorectal polyp removal.

BACKGROUND: Large sessile/flat colonic polyps are traditionally removed by lift polypectomy. Underwater endoscopic mucosal resection (UEMR) is a novel technique where air is suctioned out and replaced by water to decompress the colon so that the flat lesions assumes a more polypoid shape facilitating its removal with the standard snare resection. We report the feasibility and safety in our series of patients utilizing this technique. METHODS: A retrospective, observational study of all patients who underwent removal of large colonic polyps (>10 mm) over a period of 3 years (January 2012 to January 2015) at a tertiary care center by UEMR were included in the study. RESULTS: A total of 102 polyps were removed in 93 adult patients using UEMR. The mean age of patients was 64.7±9.7 years. The average number of polyps per patient was 1.84±1.3 with a range of 1-7. The range of the polyp size was 10 to 60 mm. The mean size of the polyp was 20.4±9.4 mm, median size 26.9±9.4 mm. Ninety-two (90.2%) were removed in piecemeal fashion and ten (9.8%) were removed en bloc. Delayed bleeding occurred in seven (9.7%) patients. CONCLUSIONS: In this largest series on UEMR, we report the feasibility and safety of this procedure. Future randomized trials comparing this technique versus standard lift polypectomy technique will further elucidate the benefit of one over other.

Fibroblast growth factor signaling in liver carcinogenesis.

Fibroblast growth factors, or FGFs, are a large family of polypeptide cytokines exhibiting a pleiotropy of functions, from cell growth to angiogenesis, wound healing, and tissue repair. This review broadly covers the genetics and protein expression of the FGF family members and the signaling pathways involved in FGF-mediated growth regulation. We emphasize the role of FGFs in the pathogenesis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), including their effects on regulation of the tumor microenvironment and angiogenesis. Finally, we present current views on FGF's potential role as a prognostic marker in clinical practice, as well as its potential as a therapeutic target in HCC.

Platelet count/spleen diameter ratio to predict the presence of esophageal varices in patients with cirrhosis: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Esophageal variceal bleeding remains the leading cause of acute mortality in patients with cirrhosis. Platelet count to spleen diameter (PC/SD) ratio less than 909 is one of several parameters proposed for the noninvasive prediction of esophageal varices. The aim of this study is to systematically review the evidence on the diagnostic accuracy of the 909 ratio. METHODS: We identified relevant studies from a MEDLINE search and performed a meta-analysis to estimate the pooled sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative likelihood ratios (LRs) using Meta-Disc software. RESULTS: Eight studies met the inclusion criteria and included a total of 1275 patients. Meta-analysis yielded a pooled sensitivity of 89% [95% confidence interval (CI) 87-92%; I2 statistic 92.9%] and a pooled specificity of 74% (95% CI 70-78%; I2 statistic 94.5%). The pooled positive LR was 3.5 (95% CI 1.92-6.25; I2 statistic 94.0%) and the pooled negative LR was 0.12 (95% CI 0.05-0.32; I2 statistic 90.8%). The quality of the evidence as assessed by the GRADE methodology was low. CONCLUSION: In its present form, the test characteristics of PC/SD ratio of 909 may not be adequate to completely replace esophagogastroduodenoscopy as a noninvasive screening tool for esophageal varices, given the low grade of evidence. However, it may be potentially useful as part of a prediction rule incorporating other clinical characteristics or varying PC/SD cutoffs. When compared with other noninvasive predictor tools, the PC/SD ratio is elegant, simple, and inexpensive. With some minor modifications, it may become a helpful tool to limit the number of endoscopies in primary prophylaxis to be performed in patients with portal hypertension.