ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Tools for precise prediction of bleeding risk in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) with cangrelor are lacking. METHODS: Consecutive patients undergoing PCI and treated with cangrelor in 7 centers were retrospectively enrolled. The primary endpoint was Bleeding Academic Research Consortium (BARC) BARC 2, 3, or 5 bleeding 48 h after PCI. Predictors of BARC 2-5 bleeding were identified in a derivation cohort and combined into a numerical risk score. Discrimination and calibration were assessed in the derivation and validation cohorts. A threshold to define high bleeding risk (HBR) was identified and its diagnostic accuracy was compared with that of currently recommended bleeding risk scores. RESULTS: 1071 patients undergoing PCI with cangrelor were included. Fifty-four patients (5 %) experienced a BARC 2-5 bleeding, of whom 24 (44 %) from the access site. Age ≥ 75 years (odds ratio [OR] 2.58, 95 % confidence interval [CI] 1.21-5.48, p = 0.01), acute coronary syndrome at presentation (OR 8.14, 95 % CI 2.28-52, p = 0.01), and femoral access (OR 6.21, 95 % CI 2.71-14, p < 0.001) independently predicted BARC 2-5 bleeding at 48 h after PCI. The three items were combined to form a new risk score, the ICARUS score, showing good discrimination in both the derivation (area under the curve [AUC] 0.78) and internal validation (AUC 0.77) cohorts, and excellent calibration. An ICARUS score > 9 points accurately identified patients at HBR, showing better discrimination than other risk scores. CONCLUSIONS: A risk score based on age, clinical presentation and access site, predicts the risk of periprocedural bleeding in patients receiving cangrelor (ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT05505591).
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The ATI (Age-Thrombus burden-Index of Microvascular Resistance [IMR]) score was developed to predict suboptimal myocardial reperfusion in patients with ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction (STEMI). When applied in the early phases of revascularization (e.g. before stent insertion), it predicts which patients are most likely to have a larger infarct size. In this study, we assessed the score's utility in determining which STEMI patients are at highest risk of clinical events during follow-up. METHODS: The ATI-score was calculated prospectively in 254 STEMI patients using age (>50 years = 1 point), pre-stenting IMR (>40 U and < 100 U = 1 point; ≥100 U = 2 points) and angiographic thrombus score (4 = 1 point, 5 = 3 points); the cohort was stratified in high vs. low-intermediate ATI-score strata (≥4 vs. < 4, respectively). RESULTS: After 3 years of follow-up, patients with high ATI-score presented a higher rate of Major Adverse Cardiac Events (MACE) defined as the composite of all-cause mortality, resuscitated cardiac arrest and new heart failure diagnosis (Hazard Ratio [HR]: 3.07; 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 1.19-7.93; p = 0.02). The ATI-score showed a moderate discriminative power (c-stat: 0.69), not significantly different from that of other risk scores used in the STEMI setting. A high ATI-score was an independent predictor of MACE (HR: 3.24; 95% CI: 1.22-8.58; p = 0.018). CONCLUSIONS: The ATI-score can discriminate patients at higher risk of long-term adverse events. The score allows predication of subsequent events even before coronary stenting, and consequently it may allow the option of individualized therapy in the early stages of the clinical care-pathway.