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1.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 29(10): 2125-2129, 2023 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37647121

ABSTRACT

The 2022-2023 mpox outbreak predominantly affected adult men; 1.3% of reported cases were in children and adolescents <18 years of age. Analysis of global surveillance data showed 1 hospital intensive care unit admission and 0 deaths in that age group. Transmission routes and clinical manifestations varied across age subgroups.


Subject(s)
Mpox (monkeypox) , Adolescent , Child , Humans , Disease Outbreaks , Hospitalization , Intensive Care Units
2.
BMJ Glob Health ; 8(7)2023 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37495371

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Globally, since 1 January 2020 and as of 24 January 2023, there have been over 664 million cases of COVID-19 and over 6.7 million deaths reported to WHO. WHO developed an evidence-based alert system, assessing public health risk on a weekly basis in 237 countries, territories and areas from May 2021 to June 2022. This aimed to facilitate the early identification of situations where healthcare capacity may become overstretched. METHODS: The process involved a three-stage mixed methods approach. In the first stage, future deaths were predicted from the time series of reported cases and deaths to produce an initial alert level. In the second stage, this alert level was adjusted by incorporating a range of contextual indicators and accounting for the quality of information available using a Bayes classifier. In the third stage, countries with an alert level of 'High' or above were added to an operational watchlist and assistance was deployed as needed. RESULTS: Since June 2021, the system has supported the release of more than US$27 million from WHO emergency funding, over 450 000 rapid antigen diagnostic testing kits and over 6000 oxygen concentrators. Retrospective evaluation indicated that the first two stages were needed to maximise sensitivity, where 44% (IQR 29%-67%) of weekly watchlist alerts would not have been identified using only reported cases and deaths. The alerts were timely and valid in most cases; however, this could only be assessed on a non-representative sample of countries with hospitalisation data available. CONCLUSIONS: The system provided a standardised approach to monitor the pandemic at the country level by incorporating all available data on epidemiological analytics and contextual assessments. While this system was developed for COVID-19, a similar system could be used for future outbreaks and emergencies, with necessary adjustments to parameters and indicators.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Public Health , Humans , Bayes Theorem , Disease Outbreaks , Retrospective Studies , World Health Organization
3.
Lancet Glob Health ; 11(7): e1012-e1023, 2023 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37349031

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In May 2022, several countries with no history of sustained community transmission of mpox (formerly known as monkeypox) notified WHO of new mpox cases. These cases were soon followed by a large-scale outbreak, which unfolded across the world, driven by local, in-country transmission within previously unaffected countries. On July 23, 2022, WHO declared the outbreak a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. Here, we aim to describe the main epidemiological features of this outbreak, the largest reported to date. METHODS: In this analysis of global surveillance data we analysed data for all confirmed mpox cases reported by WHO Member States through the global surveillance system from Jan 1, 2022, to Jan 29, 2023. Data included daily aggregated numbers of mpox cases by country and a case reporting form (CRF) containing information on demographics, clinical presentation, epidemiological exposure factors, and laboratory testing. We used the data to (1) describe the key epidemiological and clinical features of cases; (2) analyse risk factors for hospitalisation (by multivariable mixed-effects binary logistic regression); and (3) retrospectively analyse transmission trends. Sequencing data from GISAID and GenBank were used to analyse monkeypox virus (MPXV) genetic diversity. FINDINGS: Data from 82 807 cases with submitted CRFs were included in the analysis. Cases were primarily due to clade IIb MPXV (mainly lineage B.1, followed by lineage A.2). The outbreak was driven by transmission among males (73 560 [96·4%] of 76 293 cases) who self-identify as men who have sex with men (25 938 [86·9%] of 29 854 cases). The most common reported route of transmission was sexual contact (14 941 [68·7%] of 21 749). 3927 (7·3%) of 54 117 cases were hospitalised, with increased odds for those aged younger than 5 years (adjusted odds ratio 2·12 [95% CI 1·32-3·40], p=0·0020), aged 65 years and older (1·54 [1·05-2·25], p=0·026), female cases (1·61 [1·35-1·91], p<0·0001), and for cases who are immunosuppressed either due to being HIV positive and immunosuppressed (2·00 [1·68-2·37], p<0·0001), or other immunocompromising conditions (3·47 [1·84-6·54], p=0·0001). INTERPRETATION: Continued global surveillance allowed WHO to monitor the epidemic, identify risk factors, and inform the public health response. The outbreak can be attributed to clade IIb MPXV spread by newly described modes of transmission. FUNDING: WHO Contingency Fund for Emergencies. TRANSLATIONS: For the French and Spanish translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.


Subject(s)
Mpox (monkeypox) , Sexual and Gender Minorities , Male , Female , Humans , Homosexuality, Male , Retrospective Studies , Disease Outbreaks
5.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 72(5): 113-118, 2023 Feb 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36730046

ABSTRACT

After the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 in late 2019, transmission expanded globally, and on January 30, 2020, COVID-19 was declared a public health emergency of international concern.* Analysis of the early Wuhan, China outbreak (1), subsequently confirmed by multiple other studies (2,3), found that 80% of deaths occurred among persons aged ≥60 years. In anticipation of the time needed for the global vaccine supply to meet all needs, the World Health Organization (WHO) published the Strategic Advisory Group of Experts on Immunization (SAGE) Values Framework and a roadmap for prioritizing use of COVID-19 vaccines in late 2020 (4,5), followed by a strategy brief to outline urgent actions in October 2021.† WHO described the general principles, objectives, and priorities needed to support country planning of vaccine rollout to minimize severe disease and death. A July 2022 update to the strategy brief§ prioritized vaccination of populations at increased risk, including older adults,¶ with the goal of 100% coverage with a complete COVID-19 vaccination series** for at-risk populations. Using available public data on COVID-19 mortality (reported deaths and model estimates) for 2020 and 2021 and the most recent reported COVID-19 vaccination coverage data from WHO, investigators performed descriptive analyses to examine age-specific mortality and global vaccination rollout among older adults (as defined by each country), stratified by country World Bank income status. Data quality and COVID-19 death reporting frequency varied by data source; however, persons aged ≥60 years accounted for >80% of the overall COVID-19 mortality across all income groups, with upper- and lower-middle-income countries accounting for 80% of the overall estimated excess mortality. Effective COVID-19 vaccines were authorized for use in December 2020, with global supply scaled up sufficiently to meet country needs by late 2021 (6). COVID-19 vaccines are safe and highly effective in reducing severe COVID-19, hospitalizations, and mortality (7,8); nevertheless, country-reported median completed primary series coverage among adults aged ≥60 years only reached 76% by the end of 2022, substantially below the WHO goal, especially in middle- and low-income countries. Increased efforts are needed to increase primary series and booster dose coverage among all older adults as recommended by WHO and national health authorities.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Vaccines , Humans , Aged , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19 Vaccines , SARS-CoV-2 , Vaccination , World Health Organization
6.
Int J Equity Health ; 21(Suppl 3): 167, 2022 11 23.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36419127

ABSTRACT

In January 2020, SARS-CoV-2 virus was identified as a cause of an outbreak in China. The disease quickly spread worldwide, and the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the pandemic in March 2020.From the first notifications of spread of the disease, the WHO's Emergency Programme implemented a global COVID-19 surveillance system in coordination with all WHO regional offices. The system aimed to monitor the spread of the epidemic over countries and across population groups, severity of the disease and risk factors, and the impact of control measures. COVID-19 surveillance data reported to WHO is a combination of case-based data and weekly aggregated data, focusing on a minimum global dataset for cases and deaths including disaggregation by age, sex, occupation as a Health Care Worker, as well as number of cases tested, and number of cases newly admitted for hospitalization. These disaggregations aim to monitor inequities in COVID-19 distribution and risk factors among population groups.SARS-CoV-2 epidemic waves continue to sweep the world; as of March 2022, over 445 million cases and 6 million deaths have been reported worldwide. Of these, over 327 million cases (74%) have been reported in the WHO surveillance database, of which 255 million cases (57%) are disaggregated by age and sex. A public dashboard has been made available to visualize trends, age distributions, sex ratios, along with testing and hospitalization rates. It includes a feature to download the underlying dataset.This paper will describe the data flows, database, and frontend public dashboard, as well as the challenges experienced in data acquisition, curation and compilation and the lessons learnt in overcoming these. Two years after the pandemic was declared, COVID-19 continues to spread and is still considered a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC). While WHO regional and country offices have demonstrated tremendous adaptability and commitment to process COVID-19 surveillance data, lessons learnt from this major event will serve to enhance capacity and preparedness at every level, as well as institutional empowerment that may lead to greater sharing of public health evidence during a PHEIC, with a focus on equity.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , World Health Organization , Databases, Factual , Pandemics
7.
Euro Surveill ; 26(24)2021 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34142653

ABSTRACT

We present a global analysis of the spread of recently emerged SARS-CoV-2 variants and estimate changes in effective reproduction numbers at country-specific level using sequence data from GISAID. Nearly all investigated countries demonstrated rapid replacement of previously circulating lineages by the World Health Organization-designated variants of concern, with estimated transmissibility increases of 29% (95% CI: 24-33), 25% (95% CI: 20-30), 38% (95% CI: 29-48) and 97% (95% CI: 76-117), respectively, for B.1.1.7, B.1.351, P.1 and B.1.617.2.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Basic Reproduction Number , Humans
8.
Eur J Immunol ; 51(3): 742-745, 2021 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33125710

ABSTRACT

Using a specific antibody, we found that expression of the viral restriction factor IFITM3 differs across cell types within the immune compartment with higher expression in myeloid rather than lymphoid cells. IFITM3 expression was increased following IFN stimulation, mostly type I, in immune cells, with the exception of T cells.


Subject(s)
Antiviral Agents/metabolism , Interferon Type I/metabolism , Membrane Proteins/metabolism , RNA-Binding Proteins/metabolism , A549 Cells , CD4-Positive T-Lymphocytes/metabolism , Cell Line , Cell Line, Tumor , HEK293 Cells , Humans , Lymphocytes/metabolism
9.
Biomed J ; 42(1): 19-26, 2019 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30987701

ABSTRACT

The role of host genetics in influenza infection is unclear despite decades of interest. Confounding factors such as age, sex, ethnicity and environmental factors have made it difficult to assess the role of genetics without influence. In recent years a single nucleotide polymorphism, interferon-induced transmembrane protein 3 (IFITM3) rs12252, has been shown to alter the severity of influenza infection in Asian populations. In this review we investigate this polymorphism as well as several others suggested to alter the host's defence against influenza infection. In addition, we highlight the open questions surrounding the viral restriction protein IFITM3 with the hope that by answering some of these questions we can elucidate the mechanism of IFITM3 viral restriction and therefore how this restriction is altered due to the rs12252 polymorphism.


Subject(s)
Genetic Predisposition to Disease/genetics , Influenza, Human/genetics , Interferons/genetics , Membrane Proteins/genetics , RNA-Binding Proteins/genetics , Genotype , Humans , Influenza, Human/immunology , Interferons/immunology , Membrane Proteins/immunology , RNA-Binding Proteins/immunology
10.
J Infect Dis ; 217(2): 257-262, 2018 01 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29202190

ABSTRACT

Interferon-induced transmembrane 3 (IFITM3) is known to restrict the entry of a range of enveloped viruses. The single nucleotide polymorphism rs12252-C within IFITM3 has been shown to be associated with severe influenza A virus infection. It has been suggested that rs12252-C results in expression of a truncated IFITM3 protein lacking the first 21 amino acids. By performing high-throughput RNA sequencing on primary dendritic cells and peripheral blood mononuclear cells isolated from pandemic H1N1 influenza and human immunodeficiency virus-1 (HIV-1) infected patients we show that full-length IFITM3 mRNA is dominantly expressed (>99%) across all rs12252 genotypes. Full-length IFITM3 protein can be detected in all genotypes.


Subject(s)
Influenza, Human/genetics , Influenza, Human/pathology , Membrane Proteins/genetics , Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide , RNA, Messenger/genetics , RNA-Binding Proteins/genetics , Dendritic Cells/immunology , Humans , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype/isolation & purification , Influenza, Human/virology , Leukocytes, Mononuclear , Sequence Analysis, RNA , United Kingdom
11.
Can J Cardiol ; 32(12): 1577.e5-1577.e7, 2016 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27032887

ABSTRACT

We present a case of a symptomatic patient with Brugada syndrome, who had sustained right ventricular outflow tract tachycardia after pronounced exercise-induced ST segment elevation in V1 and V2. In electrophysiological study he developed right ventricular outflow tract tachycardia provoked by combined infusion of ajmaline and orciprenaline. After ablation no further arrhythmia was provoked by pharmacological stimulation.


Subject(s)
Brugada Syndrome , Catheter Ablation/methods , Tachycardia, Ventricular , Ajmaline/administration & dosage , Ajmaline/adverse effects , Anti-Arrhythmia Agents/administration & dosage , Anti-Arrhythmia Agents/adverse effects , Brugada Syndrome/diagnosis , Brugada Syndrome/physiopathology , Brugada Syndrome/therapy , Electrocardiography/methods , Heart Conduction System/drug effects , Heart Conduction System/physiopathology , Humans , Male , Metaproterenol/administration & dosage , Metaproterenol/adverse effects , Middle Aged , Stimulation, Chemical , Tachycardia, Ventricular/chemically induced , Tachycardia, Ventricular/physiopathology , Tachycardia, Ventricular/prevention & control , Treatment Outcome
12.
PLoS Pathog ; 9(12): e1003787, 2013.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24348250

ABSTRACT

The nervous and immune systems influence each other, allowing animals to rapidly protect themselves from changes in their internal and external environment. However, the complex nature of these systems in mammals makes it difficult to determine how neuronal signaling influences the immune response. Here we show that serotonin, synthesized in Caenorhabditis elegans chemosensory neurons, modulates the immune response. Serotonin released from these cells acts, directly or indirectly, to regulate G-protein signaling in epithelial cells. Signaling in these cells is required for the immune response to infection by the natural pathogen Microbacterium nematophilum. Here we show that serotonin signaling suppresses the innate immune response and limits the rate of pathogen clearance. We show that C. elegans uses classical neurotransmitters to alter the immune response. Serotonin released from sensory neurons may function to modify the immune system in response to changes in the animal's external environment such as the availability, or quality, of food.


Subject(s)
Caenorhabditis elegans Proteins/genetics , Caenorhabditis elegans/immunology , Epithelial Cells/immunology , GTP-Binding Protein alpha Subunits, Gi-Go/genetics , Immunity, Innate/genetics , RGS Proteins/genetics , Serotonergic Neurons/immunology , Animals , Animals, Genetically Modified , Caenorhabditis elegans/genetics , Caenorhabditis elegans/microbiology , Caenorhabditis elegans Proteins/metabolism , Epithelial Cells/metabolism , GTP-Binding Protein alpha Subunits, Gi-Go/metabolism , GTP-Binding Proteins/genetics , GTP-Binding Proteins/metabolism , Gene Expression Regulation , Immunity, Innate/drug effects , RGS Proteins/metabolism , Sensory Receptor Cells/drug effects , Sensory Receptor Cells/metabolism , Serotonin/pharmacology , Signal Transduction/drug effects , Signal Transduction/genetics , Signal Transduction/immunology
13.
IEEE Trans Vis Comput Graph ; 19(9): 1488-98, 2013 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23846094

ABSTRACT

Hardware tessellation is one of the latest GPU features. Triangle or quad meshes are tessellated on-the-fly, where the tessellation level is chosen adaptively in a separate shader. The hardware tessellator only generates topology; attributes such as positions or texture coordinates of the newly generated vertices are determined in a domain shader. Typical applications of hardware tessellation are view dependent tessellation of parametric surfaces and displacement mapping. Often, the attributes for the newly generated vertices are stored in textures, which requires uv unwrapping, chartification, and atlas generation of the input mesh--a process that is time consuming and often requires manual intervention. In this paper, we present an alternative representation that directly stores optimized attribute values for typical hardware tessellation patterns and simply assigns these attributes to the generated vertices at render time. Using a multilevel fitting approach, the attribute values are optimized for several resolutions. Thereby, we require no parameterization, save memory by adapting the density of the samples to the content, and avoid discontinuities by construction. Our representation is optimally suited for displacement mapping: it automatically generates seamless, view-dependent displacement mapped models. The multilevel fitting approach generates better low-resolution displacement maps than simple downfiltering. By properly blending levels, we avoid artifacts such as popping or swimming surfaces. We also show other possible applications such as signal-optimized texturing or light baking. Our representation can be evaluated in a pixel shader, resulting in signal adaptive, parameterization-free texturing, comparable to PTex or Mesh Colors. Performance evaluation shows that our representation is on par with standard texture mapping and can be updated in real time, allowing for application such as interactive sculpting.

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