Remote myocardial fibrosis predicts adverse outcome in patients with myocardial infarction on clinical cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) most commonly occurs in patients who have had a myocardial infarction (MI), but factors other than MI size may be deterministic. Fibrosis of myocardium remote from the MI is associated with adverse remodeling. We aimed to 1) investigate the association between remote myocardial fibrosis, measured using cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) extracellular volume fraction (ECV), and HF and death following MI, 2) identify predictors of remote myocardial fibrosis in patients with evidence of MI and determine the relationship with infarct size. METHODS: Multicenter prospective cohort study of 1199 consecutive patients undergoing CMR with evidence of MI on late gadolinium enhancement. Median follow-up was 1133 (895-1442) days. Cox proportional hazards modeling was used to identify factors predictive of the primary outcome, a composite of first hospitalization for HF (HHF) or all-cause mortality, post-CMR. Linear regression modeling was used to identify determinants of remote ECV. RESULTS: Remote myocardial fibrosis was a strong predictor of primary outcome (χ2: 15.6, hazard ratio [HR]: 1.07 per 1% increase in ECV, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04-1.11, p < 0.001) and was separately predictive of both HHF and death. The strongest predictors of remote ECV were diabetes, sex, natriuretic peptides, and body mass index, but, despite extensive phenotyping, the adjusted model R2 was only 0.283. The relationship between infarct size and remote fibrosis was very weak. CONCLUSION: Myocardial fibrosis, measured using CMR ECV, is a strong predictor of HHF and death in patients with evidence of MI. The mechanisms underlying remote myocardial fibrosis formation post-MI remain poorly understood, but factors other than infarct size appear to be important.

Bias-Free Access to Orbital Angular Momentum in Two-Dimensional Quantum Materials.

The demonstration of a topological band inversion constitutes the most elementary proof of a quantum spin Hall insulator (QSHI). On a fundamental level, such an inverted band gap is intrinsically related to the bulk Berry curvature, a gauge-invariant fingerprint of the wave function's quantum geometric properties in Hilbert space. Intimately tied to orbital angular momentum (OAM), the Berry curvature can be, in principle, extracted from circular dichroism in angle-resolved photoemission spectroscopy (CD-ARPES), were it not for interfering final state photoelectron emission channels that obscure the initial state OAM signature. Here, we outline a full-experimental strategy to avoid such interference artifacts and isolate the clean OAM from the CD-ARPES response. Bench-marking this strategy for the recently discovered atomic monolayer system indenene, we demonstrate its distinct QSHI character and establish CD-ARPES as a scalable bulk probe to experimentally classify the topology of two-dimensional quantum materials with time reversal symmetry.

Assessment of heart-substructures auto-contouring accuracy for application in heart-sparing radiotherapy for lung cancer.

Objectives: We validated an auto-contouring algorithm for heart substructures in lung cancer patients, aiming to establish its accuracy and reliability for radiotherapy (RT) planning. We focus on contouring an amalgamated set of subregions in the base of the heart considered to be a new organ at risk, the cardiac avoidance area (CAA), to enable maximum dose limit implementation in lung RT planning. Methods: The study validates a deep-learning model specifically adapted for auto-contouring the CAA (which includes the right atrium, aortic valve root, and proximal segments of the left and right coronary arteries). Geometric, dosimetric, quantitative, and qualitative validation measures are reported. Comparison with manual contours, including assessment of interobserver variability, and robustness testing over 198 cases are also conducted. Results: Geometric validation shows that auto-contouring performance lies within the expected range of manual observer variability despite being slightly poorer than the average of manual observers (mean surface distance for CAA of 1.6 vs 1.2 mm, dice similarity coefficient of 0.86 vs 0.88). Dosimetric validation demonstrates consistency between plans optimized using auto-contours and manual contours. Robustness testing confirms acceptable contours in all cases, with 80% rated as "Good" and the remaining 20% as "Useful." Conclusions: The auto-contouring algorithm for heart substructures in lung cancer patients demonstrates acceptable and comparable performance to human observers. Advances in knowledge: Accurate and reliable auto-contouring results for the CAA facilitate the implementation of a maximum dose limit to this region in lung RT planning, which has now been introduced in the routine setting at our institution.

Achieving environmental stability in an atomically thin quantum spin Hall insulator via graphene intercalation.

Atomic monolayers on semiconductor surfaces represent an emerging class of functional quantum materials in the two-dimensional limit - ranging from superconductors and Mott insulators to ferroelectrics and quantum spin Hall insulators. Indenene, a triangular monolayer of indium with a gap of ~ 120 meV is a quantum spin Hall insulator whose micron-scale epitaxial growth on SiC(0001) makes it technologically relevant. However, its suitability for room-temperature spintronics is challenged by the instability of its topological character in air. It is imperative to develop a strategy to protect the topological nature of indenene during ex situ processing and device fabrication. Here we show that intercalation of indenene into epitaxial graphene provides effective protection from the oxidising environment, while preserving an intact topological character. Our approach opens a rich realm of ex situ experimental opportunities, priming monolayer quantum spin Hall insulators for realistic device fabrication and access to topologically protected edge channels.

Logical design of synthetic cis-regulatory DNA for genetic tracing of cell identities and state changes.

Descriptive data are rapidly expanding in biomedical research. Instead, functional validation methods with sufficient complexity remain underdeveloped. Transcriptional reporters allow experimental characterization and manipulation of developmental and disease cell states, but their design lacks flexibility. Here, we report logical design of synthetic cis-regulatory DNA (LSD), a computational framework leveraging phenotypic biomarkers and trans-regulatory networks as input to design reporters marking the activity of selected cellular states and pathways. LSD uses bulk or single-cell biomarkers and a reference genome or custom cis-regulatory DNA datasets with user-defined boundary regions. By benchmarking validated reporters, we integrate LSD with a computational ranking of phenotypic specificity of putative cis-regulatory DNA. Experimentally, LSD-designed reporters targeting a wide range of cell states are functional without minimal promoters. Applied to broadly expressed genes from human and mouse tissues, LSD generates functional housekeeper-like sLCRs compatible with size constraints of AAV vectors for gene therapy applications. A mesenchymal glioblastoma reporter designed by LSD outperforms previously validated ones and canonical cell surface markers. In genome-scale CRISPRa screens, LSD facilitates the discovery of known and novel bona fide cell-state drivers. Thus, LSD captures core principles of cis-regulation and is broadly applicable to studying complex cell states and mechanisms of transcriptional regulation.

Identification of heart failure hospitalization from NHS Digital data: comparison with expert adjudication.

AIMS: Population-wide, person-level, linked electronic health record data are increasingly used to estimate epidemiology, guide resource allocation, and identify events in clinical trials. The accuracy of data from NHS Digital (now part of NHS England) for identifying hospitalization for heart failure (HHF), a key HF standard, is not clear. This study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of NHS Digital data for identifying HHF. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients experiencing at least one HHF, as determined by NHS Digital data, and age- and sex-matched patients not experiencing HHF, were identified from a prospective cohort study and underwent expert adjudication. Three code sets commonly used to identify HHF were applied to the data and compared with expert adjudication (I50: International Classification of Diseases-10 codes beginning I50; OIS: Clinical Commissioning Groups Outcomes Indicator Set; and NICOR: National Institute for Cardiovascular Outcomes Research, used as the basis for the National Heart Failure Audit in England and Wales). Five hundred four patients underwent expert adjudication, of which 10 (2%) were adjudicated to have experienced HHF. Specificity was high across all three code sets in the first diagnosis position {I50: 96.2% [95% confidence interval (CI) 94.1-97.7%]; NICOR: 93.3% [CI 90.8-95.4%]; OIS: 95.6% [CI 93.3-97.2%]} but decreased substantially as the number of diagnosis positions expanded. Sensitivity [40.0% (CI 12.2-73.8%)] and positive predictive value (PPV) [highest with I50: 17.4% (CI 8.1-33.6%)] were low in the first diagnosis position for all coding sets. PPV was higher for the National Heart Failure Audit criteria, albeit modestly [36.4% (CI 16.6-62.2%)]. CONCLUSIONS: NHS Digital data were not able to accurately identify HHF and should not be used in isolation for this purpose.

Growth differentiation factor-15 in patients with or at risk of heart failure but before first hospitalisation.

OBJECTIVE: Identification of patients at risk of adverse outcome from heart failure (HF) at an early stage is a priority. Growth differentiation factor (GDF)-15 has emerged as a potentially useful biomarker. This study sought to identify determinants of circulating GDF-15 and evaluate its prognostic value, in patients at risk of HF or with HF but before first hospitalisation. METHODS: Prospective, longitudinal cohort study of 2166 consecutive patients in stage A-C HF undergoing cardiovascular magnetic resonance and measurement of GDF-15. Multivariable linear regression investigated determinants of GDF-15. Cox proportional hazards modelling, Net Reclassification Improvement and decision curve analysis examined its incremental prognostic value. Primary outcome was a composite of first hospitalisation for HF or all-cause mortality. Median follow-up was 1093 (939-1231) days. RESULTS: Major determinants of GDF-15 were age, diabetes and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, although despite extensive phenotyping, only around half of the variability of GDF-15 could be explained (R2 0.51). Log-transformed GDF-15 was the strongest predictor of outcome (HR 2.12, 95% CI 1.71 to 2.63) and resulted in a risk prediction model with higher predictive accuracy (continuous Net Reclassification Improvement 0.26; 95% CI 0.13 to 0.39) and with greater clinical net benefit across the entire range of threshold probabilities. CONCLUSION: In patients at risk of HF, or with HF but before first hospitalisation, GDF-15 provides unique information and is highly predictive of hospitalisation for HF or all-cause mortality, leading to more accurate risk stratification that can improve clinical decision making. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT02326324.

Predictive value of a comprehensive atrial assessment with cardiac magnetic resonance in non-ischemic cardiomyopathy: keep it simple.

Cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) can provide a multi-parametric evaluation of left atrial (LA) size and function. A complete CMR-based LA assessment might improve the risk stratification of patients with non-ischemic dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM). We performed a comprehensive CMR-based evaluation of LA size and function, in order to assess the prognostic impact of specific LA parameters in DCM. Secondary analysis of a prospective registry (UHSM-CMR study, NCT02326324) including 648 consecutive patients with DCM and CMR evaluation of LA area and LA length. Of these, 456 had complete LA assessment covering reservoir, conduit and booster pump function and including LA reservoir strain evaluated with feature tracking. The heart failure (HF) endpoint included HF hospitalizations, HF death and heart transplant. The arrhythmic endpoint included ventricular arrhythmias (VA) (sustained or treated by implantable defibrillator) and sudden death (SD). At median follow-up of 23 months, 34 patients reached the HF endpoint; in a multivariable model including NYHA class and LVEF, LA length had incremental predictive value. LA length ≥ 69 mm was the best cut-off to predict HF events (adjusted HR 2.3, p = 0.03). Among the 456 patients with comprehensive LA assessment, only LA length was independently associated with the HF endpoint after adjusting for LVEF and NYHA class. By contrast, no LA parameter independently predicted the arrhythmic risk. In DCM patients, LA length is an independent predictor of HF events, showing stronger association than other more complex parameters of LA function. No atrial parameter predicts the risk of VA and SD.

Disease-specific therapy for the treatment of the cardiovascular manifestations of Fabry disease: a systematic review.

OBJECTIVE: The cardiovascular manifestations of Fabry disease are common and represent the leading cause of death. Disease-specific therapy, including enzyme replacement therapy (ERT) and chaperone therapy (migalastat), is recommended for patients exhibiting cardiovascular involvement, but its efficacy for modulating cardiovascular disease expression and optimal timing of initiation remains to be fully established. We therefore aimed to systematically review and evaluate the effectiveness of disease-specific therapy compared with placebo, and to no intervention, for the cardiovascular manifestations of Fabry disease. METHODS: Eight databases were searched from inception using a combination of relevant medical subject headings and keywords. Randomised, non-randomised studies with a comparator group and non-randomised studies without a comparator group were included. Studies were screened for eligibility and assessed for bias by two independent authors. The primary outcome comprised clinical cardiovascular events. Secondary outcomes included myocardial histology and measurements of cardiovascular structure, function and tissue characteristics. RESULTS: 72 studies were included, comprising 7 randomised studies of intervention, 16 non-randomised studies of intervention with a comparator group and 49 non-randomised studies of intervention without a comparator group. Randomised studies were not at serious risk of bias, but the others were at serious risk. Studies were highly heterogeneous in their design, outcome measurements and findings, which made assessment of disease-specific therapy effectiveness difficult. CONCLUSION: It remains unclear whether disease-specific therapy sufficiently impacts the cardiovascular manifestations of Fabry disease. Further work, ideally in larger cohorts, with more standardised clinical and phenotypic outcomes, the latter measured using contemporary techniques, are required to fully elucidate the cardiovascular impact of disease-specific therapy. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42022295989.

Inflammatory Fabry Cardiomyopathy Demonstrated Using Simultaneous [18F]-FDG PET-CMR.

Using hybridized [18F]-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography with cardiac magnetic resonance, we identify active myocardial inflammation and demonstrate its relationship with late gadolinium enhancement, in Fabry disease. We demonstrate that late gadolinium enhancement represents, at least in part, active myocardial inflammation and identify an early inflammatory phenotype that may represent a therapeutic window before irreversible tissue injury and adaptation occur. (Level of Difficulty: Intermediate.).

Pharmacological modulators of epithelial immunity uncovered by synthetic genetic tracing of SARS-CoV-2 infection responses.

Epithelial immune responses govern tissue homeostasis and offer drug targets against maladaptation. Here, we report a framework to generate drug discovery-ready reporters of cellular responses to viral infection. We reverse-engineered epithelial cell responses to SARS-CoV-2, the viral agent fueling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, and designed synthetic transcriptional reporters whose molecular logic comprises interferon-α/ß/γ and NF-κB pathways. Such regulatory potential reflected single-cell data from experimental models to severe COVID-19 patient epithelial cells infected by SARS-CoV-2. SARS-CoV-2, type I interferons, and RIG-I drive reporter activation. Live-cell image-based phenotypic drug screens identified JAK inhibitors and DNA damage inducers as antagonistic modulators of epithelial cell response to interferons, RIG-I stimulation, and SARS-CoV-2. Synergistic or antagonistic modulation of the reporter by drugs underscored their mechanism of action and convergence on endogenous transcriptional programs. Our study describes a tool for dissecting antiviral responses to infection and sterile cues and rapidly discovering rational drug combinations for emerging viruses of concern.

Rationale and design of a randomised trial of trientine in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.

AIMS: Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is characterised by left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), myocardial fibrosis, enhanced oxidative stress and energy depletion. Unbound/loosely bound tissue copper II ions are powerful catalysts of oxidative stress and inhibitors of antioxidants. Trientine is a highly selective copper II chelator. In preclinical and clinical studies in diabetes, trientine is associated with reduced LVH and fibrosis, and improved mitochondrial function and energy metabolism. Trientine was associated with improvements in cardiac structure and function in an open-label study in patients with HCM. METHODS: The Efficacy and Mechanism of Trientine in Patients with Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy (TEMPEST) trial is a multicentre, double-blind, parallel group, 1:1 randomised, placebo-controlled phase II trial designed to evaluate the efficacy and mechanism of action of trientine in patients with HCM. Patients with a diagnosis of HCM according to the European Society of Cardiology Guidelines and in New York Heart Association classes I-III are randomised to trientine or matching placebo for 52 weeks. Primary outcome is change in left ventricular (LV) mass indexed to body surface area, measured using cardiovascular magnetic resonance. Secondary efficacy objectives will determine whether trientine improves exercise capacity, reduces arrhythmia burden, reduces cardiomyocyte injury, improves LV and atrial function, and reduces LV outflow tract gradient. Mechanistic objectives will determine whether the effects are mediated by cellular or extracellular mass regression and improved myocardial energetics. CONCLUSION: TEMPEST will determine the efficacy and mechanism of action of trientine in patients with HCM. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBERS: NCT04706429 and ISRCTN57145331.

A simple ion chromatography-mass spectrometry method for amino acid analysis in beer.

The amino acid footprint of different beer samples was analyzed using ion chromatography coupled with electrospray ionization mass spectrometry. A tailor-made polymer-based cation-exchange resin was operated with a mass spectrometry-compatible eluent under isocratic conditions on a standard high-performance liquid chromatography system coupled to a single quadrupole mass spectrometer using formic acid as a volatile eluent ion source. The partially separated peaks of the isomeric pair isoleucine/leucine were processed according to their area response ratio using vertical peak splitting or Gaussian fit. Additionally, the chromatographic resolution of the isomers was optimized with an adjusted, solely aqueous mobile phase from 0.85 to 2.92. Ion suppression in the electrospray ion source was investigated for the derivatization-free method and found to be insignificant (recovery value 100 ± 15%) for 15 out of the 20 analytes. Quantitative results for various beer and mixed-beer beverages were found to be in high agreement with existing methods. Simultaneous photometric detection demonstrated the method's ability to successfully remove most of the interfering matrix compounds.

Factors affecting mixed-mode retention properties of cation-exchange stationary phases.

Cation-exchange stationary phases were characterized in different chromatographic modes (HILIC, RPLC, IC) and applied to the separation of non-charged hydrophobic and hydrophilic analytes. The set of columns under investigation included both commercially available cation-exchangers and self-prepared PS/DVB-based columns, the latter consisting of adjustable amounts of carboxylic and sulfonic acid functional groups. The influence of cation-exchange site and polymer substrate on the multimodal properties of cation-exchangers was identified using selectivity parameters, polymer imaging and excess adsorption isotherms. Introducing weakly acidic cation-exchange functional groups to the unmodified PS/DVB-substrate effectively reduced hydrophobic interactions, whilst a low degree of sulfonation (0.09 to 0.27% w/w sulphur) mainly influenced electrostatic interactions. Silica substrate was found to be another important factor for inducing hydrophilic interactions. The presented results demonstrate that cation-exchange resins are suitable for mixed-mode applications and offer versatile selectivity.

Late gadolinium enhancement and the risk of ventricular arrhythmias and sudden death in NYHA class I patients with non-ischaemic cardiomyopathy.

AIM: To compare the risk of ventricular arrhythmias (VA) and sudden death (SD) between New York Heart Association (NYHA) class I and NYHA class II-III patients with non-ischaemic cardiomyopathy (NICM). METHODS AND RESULTS: Observational retrospective cohort study including patients with NICM who underwent cardiac magnetic resonance at two hospitals. The primary endpoint included appropriate implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) therapies, sustained ventricular tachycardia, resuscitated cardiac arrest and SD. The secondary endpoint included heart failure (HF) hospitalizations, heart transplant, left ventricular assist device implant or HF death. Overall, 698 patients were included, 33% in NYHA class I. During a median follow-up of 31 months, the primary endpoint occurred in 57 patients (8%), with no differences between NYHA class I and NYHA class II-III cases (7% vs. 9%, p = 0.62). Late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) was the only independent predictor of the primary outcome both in NYHA class I and NYHA class II-III patients. LGE+ NYHA class I patients had a similar cumulative incidence of the primary endpoint as compared to LGE+ NYHA class II-III (p = 0.92) and a significantly higher risk as compared to LGE- NYHA class II-III cases (p < 0.001). The risk of the secondary endpoint was significantly higher in patients in NYHA class II-III as compared to those in NYHA class I (hazard ratio 3.2, p = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with NICM in NYHA class I are not necessarily at low risk of VA and SD. Actually, LGE+ NYHA class I patients have a high risk. NYHA class I patients with high-risk factors, such as LGE, could benefit from primary prevention ICD at least as much as those in NYHA class II-III with the same risk factors.

Prognostic impact of late gadolinium enhancement at the right ventricular insertion points in non-ischaemic dilated cardiomyopathy.

AIMS: To evaluate the baseline characteristics and the prognostic implications associated with late gadolinium enhancement limited to the right ventricular insertion points (IP-LGE) or present at both the right ventricular insertion points and the left ventricle (IP&LV-LGE) in non-ischaemic dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM). METHODS AND RESULTS: This is a retrospective observational multicentre cohort study including 1165 consecutive patients with DCM evaluated by cardiac magnetic resonance. The primary endpoint included appropriate defibrillator therapies, sustained ventricular tachycardia, resuscitated cardiac arrest, or sudden death. The secondary outcome encompassed heart failure hospitalizations, heart transplant, left ventricular assist device implantation, and end-stage heart failure death. IP-LGE was found in 72 patients (6%), who had clinical characteristics closer to LGE- than to LGE+ patients. During follow-up (median 36 months), none of the IP-LGE patients experienced the primary endpoint. The cumulative incidence of the primary endpoint was similar between IP-LGE and LGE- patients (P = 1), while IP-LGE had significantly lower cumulative incidence when compared with LGE+ patients (P < 0.001). When compared with IP-LGE patients, the cumulative incidence of the secondary endpoint was similar in LGE- cases (P = 0.86) but tended to be higher in LGE+ patients (P = 0.06). Both clinical characteristics and outcomes were similar between IP&LV-LGE patients and the rest of LGE+ cases. CONCLUSIONS: In a large cohort of DCM patients, IP-LGE was associated with similar outcome when compared with LGE- patients and with significant lower risk of ventricular arrhythmias and sudden death when compared with LGE+ cases. Patients with IP&LV-LGE had clinical characteristics and outcomes similar to the rest of LGE+ cases.

Extracellular volume fraction improves risk-stratification for ventricular arrhythmias and sudden death in non-ischaemic cardiomyopathy.

AIMS: To evaluate whether cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR)-based parametric mapping and strain analysis can improve the risk-stratification for ventricular arrhythmias (VA) and sudden death (SD) in non-ischaemic cardiomyopathy (NICM). METHODS AND RESULTS: Secondary analysis of a prospective single-centre-registry (NCT02326324), including 703 consecutive NICM patients, 618 with extracellular volume (ECV) available. The combined primary endpoint included appropriate implantable cardioverter defibrillator therapies, sustained ventricular tachycardia, resuscitated cardiac arrest and SD. During a median follow-up of 21 months, 14 patients (2%) experienced the primary endpoint. Native T1 was not associated with the primary endpoint. Left ventricular global longitudinal strain lost its significant association after adjustment for left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Among patients with ECV available, 11 (2%) reached the primary endpoint. Mean ECV was significantly associated with the primary endpoint and the best cut-off was 30%. ECV ≥ 30% was the strongest independent predictor of the primary endpoint (hazard ratio 14.1, P = 0.01) after adjustment for late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) and LVEF. ECV ≥ 30% discriminated the arrhythmic risk among LGE+ cases and among those with LVEF ≤ 35%. A simple clinical risk-stratification model, based on LGE, LVEF ≤ 35% and ECV ≥ 30%, achieved an excellent predictive ability (Harrell's C 0.82) and reclassified the risk of 32% of the study population as compared to LVEF ≤ 35% alone. CONCLUSIONS: Comprehensive CMR evaluation in NICM showed that ECV was the only parameter with an independent and strong predictive value for VA/SD, on top of LGE and LVEF. A risk-stratification model based on LGE, LVEF ≤ 35% and ECV ≥ 30% achieved an excellent predictive ability for VA/SD. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: UHSM CMR study (NCT02326324) https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02326324.

Validated Model for Prediction of Adverse Cardiac Outcome in Patients With Fabry Disease.

BACKGROUND: The cardiac manifestations of Fabry disease are the leading cause of death, but risk stratification remains inadequate. Identifying patients who are at risk of adverse cardiac outcome may facilitate more evidence-based treatment guidance. Contemporary cardiovascular cardiac magnetic resonance biomarkers have become widely adopted, but their prognostic value remains unclear. OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to develop, internally validate, and evaluate the performance of, a prognostic model, including contemporary deep phenotyping, which can be used to generate individual risk estimates for adverse cardiac outcome in patients with Fabry disease. METHODS: This longitudinal prospective cohort study consisted of 200 consecutive patients with Fabry disease undergoing clinical cardiac magnetic resonance. Median follow-up was 4.5 years (IQR: 2.7-6.3 years). Prognostic models were developed using Cox proportional hazards modeling. Outcome was a composite of adverse cardiac events. Model performance was evaluated. A risk calculator, which provides 5-year estimated risk of adverse cardiac outcome for individual patients, including men and women, was generated. RESULTS: The highest performing, internally validated, parsimonious multivariable model included age, native myocardial T1 dispersion (SD of per voxel myocardial T1 relaxation times), and indexed left ventricular mass. Median optimism-adjusted c-statistic across 5 imputed model development data sets was 0.77 (95% CI: 0.70-0.84). Model calibration was excellent across the full risk profile. CONCLUSIONS: This study developed and internally validated a risk prediction model that accurately predicts 5-year risk of adverse cardiac outcome for individual patients with Fabry disease, including men and women, which could easily be integrated into clinical care. External validation is warranted.