Breast Cancer Index and Prediction of Extended Aromatase Inhibitor Therapy Benefit in Hormone Receptor-Positive Breast Cancer from the NRG Oncology/NSABP B-42 Trial.

PURPOSE: BCI (H/I) has been shown to predict extended endocrine therapy (EET) benefit. We examined BCI (H/I) for EET benefit prediction in NSABP B-42, which evaluated extended letrozole therapy (ELT) in patients with hormone receptor-positive breast cancer after 5 years of ET. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: A stratified Cox model was used to analyze RFI as the primary endpoint, with DR, BCFI, and DFS as secondary endpoints. Because of a nonproportional effect of ELT on DR, time-dependent analyses were performed. RESULTS: The translational cohort included 2,178 patients (45% BCI (H/I)-High, 55% BCI (H/I)-Low). ELT showed an absolute 10-year RFI benefit of 1.6% (P = 0.10), resulting in an underpowered primary analysis (50% power). ELT benefit and BCI (H/I) did not show a significant interaction for RFI (BCI (H/I)-Low: 10 years absolute benefit 1.1% [HR, 0.70; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.43-1.12; P = 0.13]; BCI (H/I)-High: 2.4% [HR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.55-1.26; P = 0.38]; Pinteraction = 0.56). Time-dependent DR analysis showed that after 4 years, BCI (H/I)-High patients had significant ELT benefit (HR = 0.29; 95% CI, 0.12-0.69; P < 0.01), whereas BCI (H/I)-Low patients were less likely to benefit (HR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.33-1.39; P = 0.29; Pinteraction = 0.14). Prediction of ELT benefit by BCI (H/I) was more apparent in the HER2- subset after 4 years (ELT-by-BCI (H/I) Pinteraction = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: BCI (H/I)-High versus BCI (H/I)-Low did not show a statistically significant difference in ELT benefit for the primary endpoint (RFI). However, in time-dependent DR analysis, BCI (H/I)-High patients experienced statistically significant benefit from ELT after 4 years, whereas (H/I)-Low patients did not. Because BCI (H/I) has been validated as a predictive marker of EET benefit in other trials, additional follow-up may enable further characterization of BCI's predictive ability.

Validation of the Prognostic Performance of Breast Cancer Index in Hormone Receptor-Positive Postmenopausal Breast Cancer Patients in the TEAM Trial.

PURPOSE: Patients with early-stage hormone receptor-positive (HR+) breast cancer face a prolonged risk of recurrence even after adjuvant endocrine therapy. The Breast Cancer Index (BCI) is significantly prognostic for overall (0-10 years) and late (5-10 years) distant recurrence (DR) risk in N0 and N1 patients. Here, BCI prognostic performance was evaluated in HR+ postmenopausal women from the Tamoxifen and Exemestane Adjuvant Multinational (TEAM) trial. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: 3,544 patients were included in the analysis (N = 1,519 N0, N = 2,025 N+). BCI risk groups were calculated using pre-specified cutoff points. Kaplan-Meier analyses and log-rank tests were used to assess the prognostic significance of BCI risk groups based on DR. Hazard ratios (HR) and confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using Cox models with and without clinical covariates. RESULTS: For overall 10-year DR, BCI was significantly prognostic in Ni0 (N = 1,196) and N1 (N = 1,234) patients who did not receive prior chemotherapy (P < 0.001). In patients who were DR-free for 5 years, 10-year late DR rates for low- and high-risk groups were 5.4% and 9.3% (N0 cohort, N = 1,285) and 4.8% and 12.2% (N1 cohort, N = 1,625) with multivariate HRs of 2.25 (95% CI, 1.30-3.88; P = 0.004) and 2.67 (95% CI, 1.53-4.63; P < 0.001), respectively. Late DR performance was substantially improved using previously optimized cutoff points, identifying BCI low-risk groups with even lower 10-year late DR rates of 3.8% and 2.7% in N0 and N1 patients, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The TEAM trial represents the largest prognostic validation study for BCI to date and provides a more representative assessment of late DR risk to guide individualized treatment decision-making for HR+ patients with early-stage breast cancer.

Tumor- and circulating-free DNA methylation identifies clinically relevant small cell lung cancer subtypes.

Small cell lung cancer (SCLC) is an aggressive malignancy composed of distinct transcriptional subtypes, but implementing subtyping in the clinic has remained challenging, particularly due to limited tissue availability. Given the known epigenetic regulation of critical SCLC transcriptional programs, we hypothesized that subtype-specific patterns of DNA methylation could be detected in tumor or blood from SCLC patients. Using genomic-wide reduced-representation bisulfite sequencing (RRBS) in two cohorts totaling 179 SCLC patients and using machine learning approaches, we report a highly accurate DNA methylation-based classifier (SCLC-DMC) that can distinguish SCLC subtypes. We further adjust the classifier for circulating-free DNA (cfDNA) to subtype SCLC from plasma. Using the cfDNA classifier (cfDMC), we demonstrate that SCLC phenotypes can evolve during disease progression, highlighting the need for longitudinal tracking of SCLC during clinical treatment. These data establish that tumor and cfDNA methylation can be used to identify SCLC subtypes and might guide precision SCLC therapy.

Persistence to extended adjuvant endocrine therapy following Breast Cancer Index (BCI) testing in women with early-stage hormone receptor-positive (HR +) breast cancer.

PURPOSE: Extending adjuvant endocrine therapy (ET) beyond the standard 5 years offers added protection against late breast cancer recurrences in women with early-stage hormone receptor-positive (HR +) breast cancer. Little is known about treatment persistence to extended ET (EET) and the role that genomic assays may play. In this study, we evaluated persistence to EET in women who had Breast Cancer Index (BCI) testing. METHODS: Women with stage I-III HR + breast cancer who had BCI testing after at least 3.5 years of adjuvant ET and ≥ 7 years of follow-up after diagnosis were included (n = 240). Data on medication persistence was based on prescriptions in the electronic health record. RESULTS: BCI predicted 146 (61%) patients to have low - BCI (H/I)-low - and 94 (39%) patients to have high likelihood of benefit from EET (BCI (H/I)-high). Continuation of ET after BCI occurred in 76 (81%) (H/I)-high and 39 (27%) (H/I)-low patients. Non-persistence rates were 19% in the (H/I)-high and 38% in the (H/I)-low group. The most common reason for non-persistence was intolerable side effects. Patients on EET underwent more DXA bone density scans than those who stopped ET at 5 years (mean 2.09 versus 1.27; p < 0.001). At a median follow-up of 10 years from diagnosis, there were 6 metastatic recurrences. CONCLUSIONS: In patients who continued ET after BCI testing, the rates of persistence to EET were high, particularly in patients with predicted high likelihood of benefit from EET. Use of EET is associated with increased use of DXA scans.

Correlative studies of the Breast Cancer Index (HOXB13/IL17BR) and ER, PR, AR, AR/ER ratio and Ki67 for prediction of extended endocrine therapy benefit: a Trans-aTTom study.

BACKGROUND: Multiple clinical trials demonstrate consistent but modest benefit of adjuvant extended endocrine therapy (EET) in HR + breast cancer patients. Predictive biomarkers to identify patients that benefit from EET are critical to balance modest reductions in risk against potential side effects of EET. This study compares the performance of the Breast Cancer Index, BCI (HOXB13/IL17BR, H/I), with expression of estrogen (ER), progesterone (PR), and androgen receptors (AR), and Ki67, for prediction of EET benefit. METHODS: Node-positive (N+) patients from the Trans-aTTom study with available tissue specimen and BCI results (N = 789) were included. Expression of ER, PR, AR, and Ki67 was assessed by quantitative immunohistochemistry. BCI (H/I) gene expression analysis was conducted by quantitative RT-PCR. Statistical significance of the treatment by biomarker interaction was evaluated by likelihood ratio tests based on multivariate Cox proportional models, adjusting for age, tumor size, grade, and HER2 status. Pearson's correlation coefficients were calculated to evaluate correlations between BCI (H/I) versus ER, PR, AR, Ki67 and AR/ER ratio. RESULTS: EET benefit, measured by the difference in risk of recurrence between patients treated with tamoxifen for 10 versus 5 years, is significantly associated with increasing values of BCI (H/I) (interaction P = 0.01). In contrast, expression of ER (P = 0.83), PR (P = 0.66), AR (P = 0.78), Ki67 (P = 0.87) and AR/ER ratio (P = 0.84) exhibited no significant relationship with EET benefit. BCI (H/I) showed a very weak negative correlation with ER (r = - 0.18), PR (r = - 0.25), and AR (r = - 0.14) expression, but no correlation with either Ki67 (r = 0.04) or AR/ER ratio (r = 0.02). CONCLUSION: These findings are consistent with the growing body of evidence that BCI (H/I) is significantly predictive of response to EET and outcome. Results from this direct comparison demonstrate that expression of ER, PR, AR, Ki67 or AR/ER ratio are not predictive of benefit from EET. BCI (H/I) is the only clinically validated biomarker that predicts EET benefit.

Breast Cancer Index Is a Predictive Biomarker of Treatment Benefit and Outcome from Extended Tamoxifen Therapy: Final Analysis of the Trans-aTTom Study.

PURPOSE: The Breast Cancer Index (BCI) HOXB13/IL17BR (H/I) ratio predicts benefit from extended endocrine therapy in hormone receptor-positive (HR+) early-stage breast cancer. Here, we report the final analysis of the Trans-aTTom study examining BCI (H/I)'s predictive performance. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: BCI results were available for 2,445 aTTom trial patients. The primary endpoint of recurrence-free interval (RFI) and secondary endpoints of disease-free interval (DFI) and disease-free survival (DFS) were examined using Cox proportional hazards regression and log-rank test. RESULTS: Final analysis of the overall study population (N = 2,445) did not show a significant improvement in RFI with extended tamoxifen [HR, 0.90; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.69-1.16; P = 0.401]. Both the overall study population and N0 group were underpowered due to the low event rate in the N0 group. In a pre-planned analysis of the N+ subset (N = 789), BCI (H/I)-High patients derived significant benefit from extended tamoxifen (9.7% absolute benefit: HR, 0.33; 95% CI, 0.14-0.75; P = 0.016), whereas BCI (H/I)-Low patients did not (-1.2% absolute benefit; HR, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.76-1.64; P = 0.581). A significant treatment-to-biomarker interaction was demonstrated on the basis of RFI, DFI, and DFS (P = 0.037, 0.040, and 0.025, respectively). BCI (H/I)-High patients remained predictive of benefit from extended tamoxifen in the N+/HER2- subgroup (9.4% absolute benefit: HR, 0.35; 95% CI, 0.15-0.81; P = 0.047). A three-way interaction evaluating BCI (H/I), treatment, and HER2 status was not statistically significant (P = 0.849). CONCLUSIONS: Novel findings demonstrate that BCI (H/I) significantly predicts benefit from extended tamoxifen in HR+ N+ patients with HER2- disease. Moreover, BCI (H/I) demonstrates significant treatment to biomarker interaction across survival outcomes.

Prognostic Utility of Breast Cancer Index to Stratify Distant Recurrence Risk in Invasive Lobular Carcinoma.

PURPOSE: The prognostic utility of Breast Cancer Index (BCI) for risk assessment of overall (0-10 years), early (0-5 years), and late (5-10 years) distant recurrence (DR) in hormone receptor-positive (HR+) invasive lobular carcinoma (ILC) was evaluated. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: BCI gene expression analysis was performed blinded to clinical outcome utilizing tumor specimens from patients with HR+ ILC from a multi-institutional cohort. The primary endpoint was time to DR. Kaplan-Meier analyses of overall, early, and late DR risk were performed, and statistical significance was evaluated by log-rank test and Cox proportional hazards regression. The prognostic contribution of BCI in addition to clinicopathologic factors was evaluated by likelihood ratio analysis. RESULTS: Analysis of 307 patients (99% ER+, 53% T1, 42% N+, 70% grade II) showed significant differences in DR over 10 years based on BCI risk categories. BCI low- and intermediate-risk patients demonstrated similar DR rates of 7.6% and 8.0%, respectively, compared with 27.0% for BCI high-risk patients. BCI was a significant independent prognostic factor for overall 10-year DR [HR = 4.09; 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.00-8.34; P = 0.0001] as well as for both early (HR = 8.19; 95% CI, 1.85-36.30; P = 0.0042) and late (HR = 3.04; 95% CI, 1.32-7.00; P = 0.0224) DR. In multivariate analysis, BCI remained the only statistically significant prognostic factor for DR (HR = 3.49; 95% CI, 1.28-9.54; P = 0.0150). CONCLUSIONS: BCI is an independent prognostic factor for ILC and significantly stratified patients for cumulative risk of 10-year, early, and late DR. BCI added prognostic value beyond clinicopathologic characteristics in this distinct subtype of breast cancer.

Molecular Drivers of Oncotype DX, Prosigna, EndoPredict, and the Breast Cancer Index: A TransATAC Study.

PURPOSE: The Oncotype DX Recurrence Score (RS), Prosigna Prediction Analysis of Microarray 50 (PAM50) Risk of Recurrence (ROR), EndoPredict (EP), and Breast Cancer Index (BCI) are used clinically for estimating risk of distant recurrence for patients receiving endocrine therapy. Discordances in estimates occur between them. We aimed to identify the molecular features that drive the tests and lead to these differences. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Analyses for RS, ROR, EP, and BCI were conducted by the manufacturers in the TransATAC sample collection that consisted of the tamoxifen or anastrozole arms of the ATAC trial. Estrogen receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative cases without chemotherapy treatment were included in which all four tests were available (n = 785). Clinicopathologic features included in some tests were excluded from the comparisons. Estrogen, proliferation, invasion, and HER2 module scores from RS were used to characterize the respective molecular features. Spearman correlation and analysis of variance tests were applied. RESULTS: There were moderate to strong correlations among the four molecular scores (ρ = 0.63-0.74) except for RS versus ROR (ρ = 0.32) and RS versus BCI (ρ = 0.35). RS had strong negative correlation with its estrogen module (ρ = -0.79) and moderate positive correlation with its proliferation module (ρ = 0.36). RS's proliferation module explained 72.5% of ROR's variance, while the estrogen module explained only 0.6%. Most of EP's and BCI's variation was accounted for by the proliferation module (50.0% and 54.3%, respectively) and much less by the estrogen module (20.2% and 2.7%, respectively). CONCLUSION: In contrast to common understanding, RSs are determined more strongly by estrogen-related features and only weakly by proliferation markers. However, the EP, BCI, and particularly ROR scores are determined largely by proliferative features. These relationships help to explain the differences in the prognostic performance of the tests.

Breast Cancer Index Predicts Extended Endocrine Benefit to Individualize Selection of Patients with HR+ Early-stage Breast Cancer for 10 Years of Endocrine Therapy.

PURPOSE: Individualized selection of patients with early-stage hormone receptor-positive (HR+) breast cancer for extended endocrine therapy (EET) is required to balance modest gains in outcome with toxicities of prolonged use. This study examined the Breast Cancer Index [BCI; HOXB13/IL17BR ratio (H/I)] as a predictive biomarker of EET benefit in patients from the Investigation on the Duration of Extended Adjuvant Letrozole trial. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: BCI was tested in primary tumor specimens from 908 patients randomized to receive 2.5 versus 5 years of extended letrozole. The primary endpoint was recurrence-free interval. Cox models and likelihood ratios tested the interaction between EET and BCI (H/I). RESULTS: BCI (H/I)-high significantly predicted benefit from extended letrozole in the overall cohort [HR 0.42; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.21-0.84; P = 0.011] and any aromatase inhibitor subset [HR 0.34; 95% CI, 0.16-0.73; P = 0.004), whereas BCI (H/I)-low patients did not derive significant benefit (HR 0.95; 95% CI, 0.58-1.56; P = 0.84 and HR 0.90; 95% CI, 0.53-1.55; P = 0.71, respectively) treatment to biomarker interaction was significant (P = 0.045, P = 0.025, respectively). BCI identified approximately 50% of patients with clinically high-risk disease that did not benefit, and with clinically low-risk disease that derived significant benefit, from an additional 2.5 years of EET. CONCLUSIONS: BCI (H/I) predicted preferential benefit from 5 versus 2.5 years of EET and identified patients with improved outcomes from completing 10 years of adjuvant endocrine therapy. Findings expand the clinical utility of BCI (H/I) to a broader range of patients and beyond prognostic risk factors as a predictive endocrine response biomarker for early-stage HR+ breast cancer.

Defining a Distinct Immunotherapy Eligible Subset of Patients with Cancer of Unknown Primary Using Gene Expression Profiling with the 92-Gene Assay.

BACKGROUND: Although recent advances in immunotherapy have transformed the treatment landscape for many anatomically defined cancers, these therapies are currently not approved for patients diagnosed with cancer of unknown primary (CUP). Molecular cancer classification using gene expression profiling (GEP) assays has the potential to identify tumor type and putative primary cancers and thereby may allow consideration of immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy options for a subset of patients with CUP. Herein, we evaluated and characterized the ability of a 92-gene assay (CancerTYPE ID) to provide a molecular diagnosis and identify putative tumor types that are known to be sensitive to ICI therapies in patients with CUP or uncertain diagnosis. FINDINGS: A total of 24,426 cases from a large-scale research database of 92-gene assay clinical cases were classified, of which 9,350 (38%) were predicted to have an ICI-eligible tumor type. All ICIs with approved indications as of March 2020 were included in the analysis. Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) was the most frequent molecular diagnosis and accounted for 33% of the ICI-eligible tumor types identified and 13% of the overall reportable results. In addition to NSCLC, the assay also frequently identified urothelial carcinomas, gastric cancer, and head and neck squamous cell carcinoma. The distributions of identified tumor types with indications for ICI therapy were similar across age and gender. CONCLUSIONS: Results suggest that molecular profiling with the 92-gene assay identifies a subset of ICI-eligible putative primary cancers in patients with CUP. We propose a treatment strategy based on available tests, including clinicopathologic features, GEP, and ICI biomarkers of response.

Discrepancy in risk assessment of hormone receptor positive early-stage breast cancer patients using breast cancer index and recurrence score.

PURPOSE: A recent comparison of the prognostic accuracy of Breast Cancer Index (BCI) and the Recurrence Score (RS) showed that BCI was more precise than RS. BCI identified a subset of RS low and intermediate risk patients with clinically relevant elevated rates of distant recurrences (DR). The current study analyzed the correlation of BCI and RS risk classification to clinical and pathological parameters and further examined the re-categorization between the two risk group indices in a multi-institutional cohort of hormone receptor positive (HR+) breast cancer patients. METHODS: 560 women with HR+, lymph node-negative breast cancer who underwent testing with RS as part of their routine clinical care were included in the final analysis. Individual risk was assessed using predefined categories of RS and BCI (Low, Intermediate and High, respectively). Correlations between BCI, RS, and standard clinical-pathological prognostic factors were examined, and re-categorization of risk groups between BCI and RS was analyzed. RESULTS: An overall significant association between histological tumor grade and RS or BCI was observed with high-grade tumors more prevalent among RS and BCI high-risk patients. The invasive ductal carcinoma histologic subtype was associated with 98% and 93% of high-risk RS and BCI cases, respectively. The invasive lobular subtype accounted for 0% and 6% of high-risk RS and BCI cases, respectively. A poor agreement between the two biomarker risk group indices was demonstrated with more than 51% of the total cohort stratified differently between BCI and RS. As compared with RS, BCI stratified fewer patients into the intermediate-risk group (29% vs. 39%, BCI and RS, respectively) and more patients into the high-risk group (19% vs. 7%, BCI and RS, respectively). Subsets of both RS low- and intermediate-risk patients were identified by BCI as high risk. CONCLUSIONS: In this clinical series, BCI and RS risk groups demonstrated a significant association with histological tumor grade. BCI showed a modest correlation with tumor size and no correlation with age, while RS showed no correlation with tumor size or age. Compared with RS, BCI classifies fewer intermediate risk patients, identifies subsets of low and intermediate RS risk patients as high-risk, and provides distinct individualized risk assessment for patients with early-stage breast cancer.

Multi-Institutional, Prospective Clinical Utility Study Evaluating the Impact of the 92-Gene Assay (CancerTYPE ID) on Final Diagnosis and Treatment Planning in Patients With Metastatic Cancer With an Unknown or Unclear Diagnosis.

PURPOSE: Metastatic cancers of unknown primary or with unclear diagnoses pose diagnostic and management challenges, often leading to poor outcomes. Studies of the 92-gene assay have demonstrated improved diagnostic accuracy compared with standard pathology techniques and improved survival in patients treated on the basis of assay results. The current study assessed the clinical impact of the 92-gene assay on diagnostic and treatment decisions for patients with unknown or uncertain diagnoses. METHODS: Patients in this prospective, multi-institutional, decision-impact study included those for whom the 92-gene assay was ordered as part of routine care. Participating physicians completed electronic case report forms that contained standardized, specialty-specific questionnaires. Data collection included patient and tumor characteristics and clinical history. The key study objective of clinical impact was calculated on the basis of changes in final diagnosis and treatment after testing. RESULTS: Data collection included 444 patients, 107 physicians (73 oncologists and 34 pathologists), and 28 sites. Molecular diagnoses from 22 different tumor types and subtypes across all cases were provided in 95.5% of patients with a reportable result (n = 397). Physicians reported that the 92-gene assay was used broadly for diagnostic dilemmas that ranged from single suspected tumor type (29%) to a differential diagnosis of two or more suspected tumor types (30%) or cancers of unknown primary (41%). Integration of 92-gene assay results led to a change in the recommended treatment in 47% of patients. CONCLUSION: Findings from this clinical utility study demonstrate that the 92-gene assay led to a change in treatment decisions in every other patient case. These data additionally define the role of this assay in clinical practice and strongly support the consideration of molecular tumor typing in the diagnosis and treatment planning of patients with metastatic cancer with unknown or uncertain diagnosis.

A Novel Breast Cancer Index for Prediction of Distant Recurrence in HR+ Early-Stage Breast Cancer with One to Three Positive Nodes.

Purpose: The study objective was to characterize the prognostic performance of a novel Breast Cancer Index model (BCIN+), an integration of BCI gene expression, tumor size, and grade, specifically developed for assessment of distant recurrence (DR) risk in HR+ breast cancer patients with one to three positive lymph nodes (pN1).Experimental Design: Analysis was conducted in a well-annotated retrospective series of pN1 patients (N = 402) treated with adjuvant endocrine therapy with or without chemotherapy using a prespecified model. The primary endpoint was time-to-DR. Results were determined blinded to clinical outcome. Kaplan-Meier estimates of overall (0-15 years) and late (≥5 years) DR, HRs, and 95% confidence interval (CIs) were estimated. Likelihood ratio statistics assessed relative contributions of prognostic information.Results: BCIN+ classified 81 patients (20%) as low risk with a 15-year DR rate of 1.3% (95% CI, 0.0%-3.7%) versus 321 patients as high risk with a DR rate of 29.0% (95% CI, 23.2%-34.4%). In patients DR-free for ≥5 years (n = 349), the late DR rate was 1.3% (95% CI, 0.0%-3.7%) and 16.1% (95% CI, 10.6%-21.3%) in low- and high-risk groups, respectively. BCI gene expression alone was significantly prognostic (ΔLR-χ2 = 20.12; P < 0.0001). Addition of tumor size (ΔLR-χ2 = 13.29, P = 0.0003) and grade (ΔLR-χ2 = 12.72; P = 0.0004) significantly improved prognostic performance. BCI added significant prognostic information to tumor size (ΔLR-χ2 = 17.55; P < 0.0001); addition to tumor grade was incremental (ΔLR-χ2 = 2.38; P = 0.1) with considerable overlap between prognostic values (ΔLR-χ2 = 17.74).Conclusions: The integrated BCIN+ identified 20% of pN1 patients with limited risk of recurrence over 15 years, in whom extended endocrine treatment may be spared. Ongoing studies will characterize combined clinical-genomic risk assessment in node-positive patients. Clin Cancer Res; 23(23); 7217-24. ©2017 AACR.

Risk stratification with Breast Cancer Index for late distant recurrence in patients with clinically low-risk (T1N0) estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer.

Patients with early-stage, hormone receptor-positive breast cancer with favorable clinicopathologic features are often not recommended for extended endocrine therapy. However, even patients with T1N0 disease remain at significant risk of distant recurrence up to 15 years following 5 years of endocrine therapy, highlighting the need for further stratification based on individualized risk to select patients for extended endocrine therapy. In this study, the incremental utility of genomic classification to stratify clinically low-risk patients for late distant recurrence was evaluated using the Breast Cancer Index. In 547 T1N0 patients from two cohorts that were disease-free at 5 years post-diagnosis, Breast Cancer Index categorized 32 and 36% from each cohort, respectively, with high risk of late distant recurrence that was associated with significantly reduced distant recurrence-free survival (86.7 and 89.6%) between years 5-15 and 5-10 compared to Breast Cancer Index low risk (95.4%; P = 0.0263 and 98.4%; P = 0.008). Findings support consideration of genomic classification in clinically low-risk hormone receptor-positive patients to identify candidates for extended endocrine therapy.

Performance and prognostic utility of the 92-gene assay in the molecular subclassification of ampullary adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Ampullary adenocarcinoma is a rare gastrointestinal cancer associated with diverse outcomes due to clinical and pathological heterogeneity. Standardized methods to better prognosticate and inform therapeutic selection for ampullary adenocarcinoma are needed. This study explored the novel use and potential prognostic utility of a 92-gene cancer classifier in ampullary adenocarcinomas. METHODS: In this prospectively-defined, blinded study of ampullary adenocarcinoma [N =54; stage T3 or higher (57 %); Grade III (44 %); Node positive (55 %)], the performance of a 92-gene classifier was examined to predict the ampullary subtype that was derived from histomorphological examination of resected ampullary samples. Outcome data for relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were plotted to compare the prognostic utility of histological subtyping, histomolecular phenotyping, and the 92-gene classifier. Multivariate analysis was used to determine clinicopathological variables that were independently associated with overall survival. RESULTS: The 92-gene classifier demonstrated sensitivities and specificities of 85 % [95 % CI, 66-94] and 68 % [95 % CI, 48-84] and 64 % [95 % CI, 46-79] and 88 % [95 % CI, 70-98] for the pancreaticobiliary and intestinal histological subtypes, respectively. For the 92-gene classifier, improved outcomes were observed for the intestine versus the pancreaticobiliary prediction (median OS 108.1 v 36.4 months; HR, 2.17; 95 % CI, 0.98 to 4.79; P = 0.05). Similar results were seen for ampullary adenocarcinoma stratification by histological subtype (P = 0.04) and histomolecular phenotype (P = 0.02). Within poorly differentiated ampullary adenocarcinomas only the 92-gene classifier demonstrated statistically significant differences in RFS and OS (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Prognostic stratification of ampullary adenocarcinoma was similar for the 92-gene classifier, histological subtype, and histomolecular phenotype. The 92-gene classifier provides an unbiased standardized molecular-based approach to stratify ampullary tumors.

Cross-Stratification and Differential Risk by Breast Cancer Index and Recurrence Score in Women with Hormone Receptor-Positive Lymph Node-Negative Early-Stage Breast Cancer.

PURPOSE: Previous results from the TransATAC study demonstrated that both the Breast Cancer Index (BCI) and the OncotypeDX Recurrence Score (RS) added significant prognostic information to clinicopathologic factors over a 10-year period. Here, we examined cross-stratification between BCI and RS to directly compare their prognostic accuracy at the individual patient level. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: A total of 665 patients with hormone receptor-positive (HR+) and lymph node-negative disease were included in this retrospective analysis. BCI and RS risk groups were determined using predefined clinical cut-off points. Kaplan-Meier estimates of 10-year risk of distant recurrence (DR) and log-rank tests were used to examine cross-stratification between BCI and RS. RESULTS: As previously reported, both RS and BCI were significantly prognostic in years 0 to 10. BCI provided significant additional prognostic information to the Clinical Treatment Score (CTS) plus RS (ΔLR-χ2 = 11.09; P < 0.001), whereas no additional prognostic information was provided by RS to CTS plus BCI (ΔLR-χ2 = 2.22; P = 0.1). Restratification by BCI of the low and intermediate RS risk groups led to subgroups with significantly different DR rates (P < 0.001 and P = 0.003, respectively). In contrast, restratified subgroups created by RS of BCI risk groups did not differ significantly. CONCLUSIONS: In this retrospective analysis, BCI demonstrated increased prognostic accuracy versus RS. Notably, BCI identified subsets of RS low and RS intermediate risk patients with significant and clinically relevant rates of DR. These results indicate that additional subsets of women with HR+, lymph node-negative breast cancer identified by BCI may be suitable candidates for adjuvant chemotherapy or extended endocrine therapy. Clin Cancer Res; 22(20); 5043-8. ©2016 AACRSee related commentary by Brufsky and Davidson, p. 4963.

Molecular classification of cancer with the 92-gene assay in cytology and limited tissue samples.

BACKGROUND: Detailed molecular evaluation of cytology and limited tissue samples is increasingly becoming the standard for cancer care. Reproducible and accurate diagnostic approaches with reduced demands on cellularity are an ongoing unmet need. This study evaluated the performance of a 92-gene assay for molecular diagnosis of tumor type/subtype in cytology and limited tissue samples. METHODS: Clinical validation of accuracy for the 92-gene assay in limited tissue samples such as cytology cell blocks, core biopsies and small excisions was conducted in a blinded multi-institutional study (N = 109, 48% metastatic, 53% grade II and III). Analytical success rate and diagnostic utility were evaluated in a consecutive series of 644 cytology cases submitted for clinical testing. RESULTS: The 92-gene assay demonstrated 91% sensitivity (95% CI [0.84, 0.95]) for tumor classification, with high accuracy maintained irrespective of specimen type (100%, 92%, and 86% in FNA/cytology cell blocks, core biopsies, and small excisions, respectively; p = 0.26). The assay performed equally well for metastatic versus primary tumors (90% vs 93%, p = 0.73), and across histologic grades (100%, 90%, 89%, in grades I, II, and III, respectively; p = 0.75). In the clinical case series, a molecular diagnosis was reported in 87% of the 644 samples, identifying 23 different tumor types and allowing for additional mutational analysis in selected cases. CONCLUSIONS: These findings demonstrate high accuracy and analytical success rate of the 92-gene assay, supporting its utility in the molecular diagnosis of cancer for specimens with limited tissue.

Relapse-free survival of statistically standardized continuous RT-PCR estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2): NCIC CTG MA.14.

Recent ASCO/CAP guidelines focus on decision making associated with the presence/absence of continuous breast biomarkers. Statistical standardization (SS) is demonstrated as a method to evaluate the effects of continuous RT-PCR biomarker expression levels on breast cancer outcomes. MA.14 allocated 667 postmenopausal patients to tamoxifen based on locally determined ER/PR. Of 299 available patient tumor samples, 292 passed internal quality control. All tumors were centrally assessed by RT-PCR ER/PR/HER2 with each biomarker's z-scores categorized: ≥1.0 standard deviation (SD) below mean; <1.0 SD below mean; ≤1.0 SD above mean; >1.0 SD above mean. Log-rank statistics tested univariate differences in breast cancer relapse-free survival (RFS). Continuous SS-ER/PR/HER2 were assessed in multivariate Cox step-wise forward regression, adding a factor if p ≤ 0.05. Sensitivity analyses examined an external HER2+ cut-point of 1.32. Patients whose tumors were tested were representative of the MA.14 population (p values = 0.18-0.90). At 9.8 years median follow-up, SS-ER did not univariately impact RFS (p = 0.31). SS-PR values above the mean (z ≥ 0.0) had the best univariate RFS (p = 0.03). SS-HER2 also univariately impacted RFS (p = 0.004) with lowest (z-scores ≤ -1.0) and highest (z-scores > 1.0) having shortest RFS. Multivariate stratified/unstratified Cox models indicated patients with T1 tumors (p = 0.02/p = 0.0002) and higher SS-PR (p = 0.02/p = 0.01) had longer RFS; node-negative patients had better RFS (in unstratified analysis, p < 0.0001). Local ER/PR status did not impact RFS (p > 0.05). Patients with SS HER2+ ≥ 1.32 had worse RFS (univariate, p = 0.05; multivariate, p = 0.06). We demonstrated that higher SS-PR, and SS HER2 levels, measured by RT-PCR impacted breast cancer RFS outcomes. Evaluation in other trials may provide support for this methodology.

Assessment of the prognostic and predictive utility of the Breast Cancer Index (BCI): an NCIC CTG MA.14 study.

BACKGROUND: Biomarkers that can be used to accurately assess the residual risk of disease recurrence in women with hormone receptor-positive breast cancer are clinically valuable. We evaluated the prognostic value of the Breast Cancer Index (BCI), a continuous risk index based on a combination of HOXB13:IL17BR and molecular grade index, in women with early breast cancer treated with either tamoxifen alone or tamoxifen plus octreotide in the NCIC MA.14 phase III clinical trial (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier NCT00002864; registered 1 November 1999). METHODS: Gene expression analysis of BCI by real-time polymerase chain reaction was performed blinded to outcome on RNA extracted from archived formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tumor samples of 299 patients with both lymph node-negative (LN-) and lymph node-positive (LN+) disease enrolled in the MA.14 trial. Our primary objective was to determine the prognostic performance of BCI based on relapse-free survival (RFS). MA.14 patients experienced similar RFS on both treatment arms. Association of gene expression data with RFS was evaluated in univariate analysis with a stratified log-rank test statistic, depicted with a Kaplan-Meier plot and an adjusted Cox survivor plot. In the multivariate assessment, we used stratified Cox regression. The prognostic performance of an emerging, optimized linear BCI model was also assessed in a post hoc analysis. RESULTS: Of 299 samples, 292 were assessed successfully for BCI for 146 patients accrued in each MA.14 treatment arm. BCI risk groups had a significant univariate association with RFS (stratified log-rank p = 0.005, unstratified log-rank p = 0.007). Adjusted 10-year RFS in BCI low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups was 87.5 %, 83.9 %, and 74.7 %, respectively. BCI had a significant prognostic effect [hazard ratio (HR) 2.34, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.33-4.11; p = 0.004], although not a predictive effect, on RFS in stratified multivariate analysis, adjusted for pathological tumor stage (HR 2.22, 95 % CI 1.22-4.07; p = 0.01). In the post hoc multivariate analysis, higher linear BCI was associated with shorter RFS (p = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: BCI had a strong prognostic effect on RFS in patients with early-stage breast cancer treated with tamoxifen alone or with tamoxifen and octreotide. BCI was prognostic in both LN- and LN+ patients. This retrospective study is an independent validation of the prognostic performance of BCI in a prospective trial.

Health economic analysis of Breast Cancer Index in patients with ER+, LN- breast cancer.

OBJECTIVES: Breast Cancer Index (BCI) is a novel gene expression-based test for patients with estrogen receptor positive (ER+), lymph node negative (LN-) breast cancer that predicts risk of recurrence over 10 years, and also specifically predicts risk of late (≥5 y) recurrences and likelihood of benefit from extended (≥5 y) endocrine therapy. The objective of this study was to evaluate cost utility of BCI from a US third-party payer perspective. STUDY DESIGN: Two fact-based economic models were developed to project the cost and effectiveness of BCI in a hypothetical population of patients with ER+, LN- breast cancer compared with standard clinicopathologic diagnostic modalities. METHODS: Costs associated with adjuvant chemotherapy, toxicity, followup, endocrine therapy, and recurrence were modeled over 10 years. The models examined cost utility compared with standard practice when used at diagnosis and in patients disease-free at 5 years post diagnosis. RESULTS: Use of BCI was projected to be cost saving in both models. In the newly diagnosed population, net cost savings were $3803 per patient tested. In the 5 years post diagnosis population, BCI was projected to yield a net cost savings of $1803 per patient tested. Sensitivity analyses demonstrated that BCI was cost saving across a wide range of clinically relevant input assumptions. CONCLUSIONS: BCI was projected to be cost saving when used either at diagnosis or at 5 years post diagnosis. Cost savings are achieved through projected impact on adjuvant chemotherapy use, extended endocrine therapy use, and endocrine therapy compliance. These findings require validation in additional cohorts, including studies of real-world clinical practice.