1.
Metrika
; 84(8): 1141-1168, 2021.
Article
in English
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-34776537
ABSTRACT
Multinomial models can be difficult to use when constraints are placed on the probabilities. An exact model checking procedure for such models is developed based on a uniform prior on the full multinomial model. For inference, a nonuniform prior can be used and a consistency theorem is proved concerning a check for prior-data conflict with the chosen prior. Applications are presented and a new elicitation methodology is developed for multinomial models with ordered probabilities.