Congenitally Corrected Transposition of the Great Arteries in Utero: Morphological Spectrum, Outcomes and Pitfalls in Fetal Diagnosis.

Congenitally corrected transposition of the great arteries (ccTGA) is a rare malformation with diverse morphology. We assessed features of fetuses with ccTGA and evaluated neonatal and pediatric outcomes. This was a retrospective review of fetuses with ccTGA at Birmingham Women's and Children's Hospital born from 2005 to 2019. Of thirty-six fetuses identified, six had unavailable prenatal data, one was postnatally diagnosed with isomerism and 29 fetuses were evaluated. ccTGA without associated cardiac lesions was found in 28% (8/29), ccTGA with significant VSD in 31% (9/29), ccTGA with pulmonary obstruction in 24% (7/29) and ccTGA with complex anomalies in 17% (5/29). Tricuspid regurgitation (TR) was observed in 17% (5/29) and heart block (HB) in 10% (3/29) prenatally. Six, that is 21% underwent genetic testing of which one was abnormal. Five extra-cardiac anomalies were reported prenatally and postnatally. Pregnancy was discontinued in five, of which two had moderate TR. There were thirty-one liveborn. Coarctation of the aorta was found in five postnatally but not suspected prenatally. In one, pulmonary stenosis was underestimated; otherwise, prenatal morphology was confirmed. Cardiac interventions were performed in 77% (24/31) liveborn with 39% (12/31) undergoing neonatal intervention. Overall, 6/31 liveborn died including all three with prenatal heart block and one with TR. Estimated survival for all liveborn at 1, 5 and 10 years was 87% (95% CI 76-100%), 83% (95% CI 72-98%) and 80% (95% CI 66-96%) respectively. Accurate prenatal diagnosis of ccTGA is critical for counseling. Early outcomes are favorable with 77% of liveborn undergoing surgery. Fetuses with prenatal diagnosis of complex associated abnormalities, HB and TR appear to do less well.

Biallelic PKP2 loss of function variants are associated with a lethal perinatal-onset biventricular dilated cardiomyopathy with excessive trabeculations and ventricular septal defects.

Homozygous plakophilin-2 (PKP2) variants have been identified as a cause of a lethal form of dilated cardiomyopathy with excessive trabeculations (DCM-ET) in three cases. We report three more cases from two families with homozygous pathogenic PKP2 variants and perinatal-onset, lethal DCM-ET. Identification of the genetic abnormalities played a key role in decision-making and family counselling in these cases. This case series supports the published evidence that biallelic loss of function PKP2 variants cause a lethal, perinatal-onset cardiomyopathy.

Model-based evaluation of admission screening strategies for the detection and control of carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales in the English hospital setting.

BACKGROUND: Globally, detections of carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales (CPE) colonisations and infections are increasing. The spread of these highly resistant bacteria poses a serious threat to public health. However, understanding of CPE transmission and evidence on effectiveness of control measures is severely lacking. This paper provides evidence to inform effective admission screening protocols, which could be important in controlling nosocomial CPE transmission. METHODS: CPE transmission within an English hospital setting was simulated with a data-driven individual-based mathematical model. This model was used to evaluate the ability of the 2016 England CPE screening recommendations, and of potential alternative protocols, to identify patients with CPE-colonisation on admission (including those colonised during previous stays or from elsewhere). The model included nosocomial transmission from colonised and infected patients, as well as environmental contamination. Model parameters were estimated using primary data where possible, including estimation of transmission using detailed epidemiological data within a Bayesian framework. Separate models were parameterised to represent hospitals in English areas with low and high CPE risk (based on prevalence). RESULTS: The proportion of truly colonised admissions which met the 2016 screening criteria was 43% in low-prevalence and 54% in high-prevalence areas respectively. Selection of CPE carriers for screening was improved in low-prevalence areas by adding readmission as a screening criterion, which doubled how many colonised admissions were selected. A minority of CPE carriers were confirmed as CPE positive during their hospital stay (10 and 14% in low- and high-prevalence areas); switching to a faster screening test pathway with a single-swab test (rather than three swab regimen) increased the overall positive predictive value with negligible reduction in negative predictive value. CONCLUSIONS: Using a novel within-hospital CPE transmission model, this study assesses CPE admission screening protocols, across the range of CPE prevalence observed in England. It identifies protocol changes-adding readmissions to screening criteria and a single-swab test pathway-which could detect similar numbers of CPE carriers (or twice as many in low CPE prevalence areas), but faster, and hence with lower demand on pre-emptive infection-control resources. Study findings can inform interventions to control this emerging threat, although further work is required to understand within-hospital transmission sources.

Fetal single ventricle journey to first postnatal procedure: a multicentre UK cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: UK single ventricle (SV) palliation outcomes after first postnatal procedure (FPP) are well documented. However, survival determinants from fetal diagnosis to FPP are lacking. To better inform parental-fetal counselling, we examined factors favouring survival at two large UK centres. DESIGN: Retrospective multicentre cohort study. SETTING: Two UK congenital cardiac centres: Leeds and Birmingham. PATIENTS: SV fetal diagnoses from 2015 to 2021. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Survival from fetal diagnosis with intention to treat (ITT) to birth and then FPP. Maternal, fetal and neonatal risk factors were assessed. RESULTS: There were 666 fetal SV diagnoses with 414 (62%) ITT. Of ITT, 381 (92%) were live births and 337 (81%) underwent FPP. Survival (ITT) to FPP was notably reduced for severe Ebstein's 14/22 (63.6%), unbalanced atrioventricular septal defect 32/45 (71%), indeterminate SV 3/4 (75%), mitral atresia 8/10 (80%) and hypoplastic left heart syndrome 127/156 (81.4%). Biventricular pathway was undertaken in five (1%). After multivariable adjustment, prenatal risk factors for mortality were increasing maternal age (OR 1.05, 95% CI 1.0 to 1.1), non-white ethnicity (OR 2.6, 95% CI 1.4 to 4.8), extracardiac anomaly (OR 6.34, 95% CI 1.8 to 22.7) and hydrops (OR 7.39, 95% CI 1.2 to 45.1). Postnatally, prematurity was significantly associated with mortality (OR 6.3, 95% CI 2.3 to 16.8). CONCLUSIONS: Around 20% of ITT fetuses diagnosed with SV will not reach FPP. Risk varies according to the cardiac lesion and is significantly influenced by the presence of an extracardiac anomaly, fetal hydrops, ethnicity, increasing maternal age and gestation at birth. These data highlight the need for fetal preprocedure data to be used in conjunction with procedural outcomes for fetal counselling.

Cycle Threshold Values as Indication of Increasing SARS-CoV-2 New Variants, England, 2020-2022.

Early detection of increased infections or new variants of SARS-CoV-2 is critical for public health response. To determine whether cycle threshold (Ct) data from PCR tests for SARS-CoV-2 could serve as an early indicator of epidemic growth, we analyzed daily mean Ct values in England, UK, by gene target and used iterative sequential regression to detect break points in mean Ct values (and positive test counts). To monitor the epidemic in England, we continued those analyses in real time. During September 2020-January 2022, a total of 7,611,153 positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR test results with Ct data were reported. Spike (S) gene target (S+/S-)-specific mean Ct values decreased 6-29 days before positive test counts increased, and S-gene Ct values provided early indication of increasing new variants (Delta and Omicron). Our approach was beneficial in the context of the first waves of the COVID-19 pandemic and can be used to support future infectious disease monitoring.

Early-onset group B streptococcal disease in African countries and maternal vaccination strategies.

Invasive group B streptococcal (GBS) disease is the commonest perinatally-acquired bacterial infection in newborns; the burden is higher in African countries where intrapartum antibiotic prophylaxis strategies are not feasible. In sub-Saharan Africa, almost one in four newborns with GBS early-onset disease will demise, and one in ten survivors have moderate or severe neurodevelopmental impairment. A maternal GBS vaccine to prevent invasive GBS disease in infancy is a pragmatic and cost-effective preventative strategy for Africa. Hexavalent polysaccharide protein conjugate and Alpha family surface protein vaccines are undergoing phase II clinical trials. Vaccine licensure may be facilitated by demonstrating safety and immunological correlates/thresholds suggestive of protection against invasive GBS disease. This will then be followed by phase IV effectiveness studies to assess the burden of GBS vaccine preventable disease, including the effect on all-cause neonatal infections, neonatal deaths and stillbirths.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of maternal vaccination against Group B streptococcus in Japan.

Background: Group B Streptococcus (GBS) is a leading pathogen causing life-threatening bacterial infections in neonates (early- or late-onset) and infants, and is associated with preterm and stillbirth. Japan introduced national guidelines to reduce early-onset neonatal GBS disease, with universal prenatal screening and intrapartum antimicrobial prophylaxis (IAP). However, screening/IAP does not prevent GBS associated late-onset disease, preterm or stillbirth. Maternal GBS vaccines in development are targeted at infant GBS disease but may provide benefit across perinatal outcomes. We aimed to assess cost-effectiveness of a future maternal GBS vaccine, for a base case prevention of infant GBS disease in combination with screening/IAP compared to screening/IAP alone. Methods: We used a decision tree model to estimate cases of infant GBS disease, deaths, and neuro-developmental impairment (NDI), GBS-related stillbirths, and the associated costs and loss in Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALYs). We calculate the threshold price at which a vaccine would be cost-effective assuming a cost-effectiveness threshold of ¥5 million/QALY. We explored the potential benefit of a maternal GBS vaccine that also prevents preterm birth in a scenario analysis. Results: Maternal GBS vaccination in Japan could prevent an additional 142 infant GBS cases annually, including 5 deaths and 21 cases of NDI, and 13 stillbirths compared to screening/IAP alone. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was ¥3.78 million/QALY with a vaccine cost of ¥5,000/dose. If the QALY lost for stillbirth is included, the ICER is reduced to ¥1.78 million/QALY. Median threshold vaccine price was ¥6,900 per dose (95 % uncertainty interval ¥5,100 to ¥9,200 per dose). If maternal GBS vaccination also prevented half of GBS-associated preterm, the ICER would be reduced to ¥1.88 million/QALY. Conclusions: An effective maternal GBS vaccine is likely to be considered cost-effective in Japan at a price of ¥5,000/dose. Effectiveness against other adverse perinatal outcomes would increase health benefits and cost-effectiveness.

Causes of stillbirth and death among children younger than 5 years in eastern Hararghe, Ethiopia: a population-based post-mortem study.

BACKGROUND: Child mortality is high in Ethiopia, but reliable data on the causes of death are scarce. We aimed to gather data for the contributory causes of stillbirth and child deaths in eastern Ethiopia. METHODS: In this population-based post-mortem study, we established a death-notification system in health facilities and in the community in Kersa (rural), Haramaya (rural) and Harar (urban) in eastern Ethiopia, at a new site of the Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS) network. We collected ante-mortem data, did verbal autopsies, and collected post-mortem samples via minimally invasive tissue sampling from stillbirths (weighing at least 1000 g or with an estimated gestational age of at least 28 weeks) and children who died younger than 5 years. Children-or their mothers, in the case of stillbirths and deaths in children younger than 6 months-had to have lived in the catchment area for the past 6 months to be included. Molecular, microbiological, and histopathological analyses were done in collected samples. Cause of death was established by an expert panel on the basis of these data and classified as underlying, comorbid, or immediate separately for stillbirths, neonatal deaths (deaths aged 0-27 days), and child deaths (aged 28 days to <5 years). FINDINGS: Between Feb 4, 2019, and Feb 3, 2021, 312 deaths were eligible for inclusion, and the families gave consent in 195 (63%) cases. Cause of death was established in 193 (99%) cases. Among 114 stillbirths, the underlying cause of death was perinatal asphyxia or hypoxia in 60 (53%) and birth defects in 24 (21%). Among 59 neonatal deaths, the most common underlying cause was perinatal asphyxia or hypoxia (17 [29%]) and the most common immediate cause of death was neonatal sepsis, which occurred in 27 (60%). Among 20 deaths in children aged 28 days to 59 months, malnutrition was the leading underlying cause (15 [75%]) and infections were common immediate and comorbid causes. Pathogens were identified in 19 (95%) child deaths, most commonly Klebsiella pneumoniae and Streptococcus pneumoniae. INTERPRETATION: Perinatal asphyxia or hypoxia, infections, and birth defects accounted for most stillbirths and child deaths. Most deaths could have been prevented with feasible interventions, such as improved maternity services, folate supplementation, and improved vaccine uptake. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Medium-term Outcome of Prenatally Diagnosed Hypoplastic Left-Heart Syndrome and Impact of a Restrictive Atrial Septum Diagnosed in-utero.

OBJECTIVE: Surgical outcome data differs from overall outcomes of prenatally diagnosed fetuses with hypoplastic left heart syndrome (HLHS). Our aim was to describe outcome of prenatally diagnosed fetuses with this anomaly. METHODS: Retrospective review of prenatally diagnosed classical HLHS at a tertiary hospital over a 13-year period, estimated due dates 01/08/2006 to 31/12/2019. HLHS-variants and ventricular disproportion were excluded. RESULTS: 203 fetuses were identified with outcome information available for 201. There were extra-cardiac abnormalities in 8% (16/203), with genetic variants in 14% of those tested (17/122). There were 55 (27%) terminations of pregnancy, 5 (2%) intrauterine deaths and 10 (5%) babies had prenatally planned compassionate care. There was intention to treat (ITT) in the remaining 131/201(65%). Of these, there were 8 neonatal deaths before intervention, two patients had surgery in other centers. Of the other 121 patients, Norwood procedure performed in 113 (93%), initial hybrid in 7 (6%), and 1 had palliative coarctation stenting. Survival for the ITT group from birth at 6-months, 1-year and 5-years was 70%, 65%, 62% respectively. Altogether of the initial 201 prenatally diagnosed fetuses, 80 patients (40%) are currently alive. A restrictive atrial septum (RAS) is an important sub-category associated with death, HR 2.61, 95%CI 1.34-5.05, p = 0.005, with only 5/29 patients still alive. CONCLUSION: Medium-term outcomes of prenatally diagnosed HLHS have improved however it should be noted that almost 40% do not get to surgical palliation, which is vital to those doing fetal counselling. There remains significant mortality particularly in fetuses with in-utero diagnosed RAS.

Outcomes of the arterial switch for transposition during infancy using a standardized approach over 30 years.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to describe the early and late outcomes of the arterial switch for transposition. METHODS: A single-centre retrospective cohort study was conducted to assess the early and late outcomes of arterial switch performed during infancy using a standardized institutional approach between 1988 and 2018, compared by morphological groups. RESULTS: A total of 749 consecutive patients undergoing arterial switch during infancy were included, 464 (61.9%) with intact septum, 163 (21.8%) with isolated ventricular septal defect and 122 (16.3%) with complex transposition with associated lesions, including 67 (8.9%) with Taussig-Bing anomaly. There were 34 early deaths [4.5%, 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.1-6.1] with only 10 (2.6%) early deaths since 2000. Complex morphology (odds ratio 11.44, 95% CI 4.76-27.43) and intramural coronary artery (odds ratio 5.17, 95% CI 1.61-15.91) were identified as the most important risk factors for 90-day mortality. Overall survival was 92.7% (95% CI 90.8-94.6) at 5 years and 91.9% (95% CI 89.9-94.1) at 20 years; in hospital survivors, there were 15 (2.1%) late deaths during a median follow-up of 13.7 years. Cumulative incidence of surgical or catheter reintervention was 16.0% (95% CI 14.5-17.5) at 5 years and 22.7% (95% CI 21.0-24.0) at 20 years; early and late reinterventions were more common in the complex group, with no difference between the other groups. CONCLUSIONS: Using a standardized approach, the arterial switch can be performed with low early mortality, moderate rates of reintervention and excellent long-term survival. Concomitant lesions were the most important risk factor for early death and were associated with increased risk of late reintervention.

Impact of Intermittent Presumptive Treatment for Malaria in Pregnancy on Hospital Birth Outcomes on the Kenyan Coast.

BACKGROUND: Intermittent preventive treatment (IPTp) for pregnant women with sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine (SP) is widely implemented for the prevention of malaria in pregnancy and adverse birth outcomes. The efficacy of SP is declining, and there are concerns that IPTp may have reduced impact in areas of high resistance. We sought to determine the protection afforded by SP as part of IPTp against adverse birth outcomes in an area with high levels of SP resistance on the Kenyan coast. METHODS: A secondary analysis of surveillance data on deliveries at the Kilifi County Hospital between 2015 and 2021 was undertaken in an area of low malaria transmission and high parasite mutations associated with SP resistance. A multivariable logistic regression model was developed to estimate the effect of SP doses on the risk of low birthweight (LBW) deliveries and stillbirths. RESULTS: Among 27 786 deliveries, 3 or more doses of IPTp-SP were associated with a 27% reduction in the risk of LBW (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.73; 95% confidence interval [CI], .64-.83; P < .001) compared with no dose. A dose-response association was observed with increasing doses of SP from the second trimester linked to increasing protection against LBW deliveries. Three or more doses of IPTp-SP were also associated with a 21% reduction in stillbirth deliveries (aOR, 0.79; 95% CI, .65-.97; P = .044) compared with women who did not take any dose of IPTp-SP. CONCLUSIONS: The continued significant association of SP on LBW deliveries suggests that the intervention may have a non-malaria impact on pregnancy outcomes.

Long-term survival and center volume for functionally single-ventricle congenital heart disease in England and Wales.

OBJECTIVES: Long-term survival is an important metric for health care evaluation, especially in functionally single-ventricle (f-SV) congenital heart disease (CHD). This study's aim was to evaluate the relationship between center volume and long-term survival in f-SV CHD within the centralized health care service of England and Wales. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of children born with f-SV CHD between 2000 and 2018, using the national CHD procedure registry, with survival ascertained in 2020. RESULTS: Of 56,039 patients, 3293 (5.9%) had f-SV CHD. Median age at first intervention was 7 days (interquartile range [IQR], 4, 27), and median follow-up time was 7.6 years (IQR, 1.0, 13.3). The largest diagnostic subcategories were hypoplastic left heart syndrome, 1276 (38.8%); tricuspid atresia, 440 (13.4%); and double-inlet left ventricle, 322 (9.8%). The survival rate at 1 year and 5 years was 76.8% (95% confidence interval [CI], 75.3%-78.2%) and 72.1% (95% CI, 70.6%-73.7%), respectively. The unadjusted hazard ratio for each 5 additional patients with f-SV starting treatment per center per year was 1.04 (95% CI, 1.02-1.06), P < .001. However, after adjustment for significant risk factors (diagnostic subcategory; antenatal diagnosis; younger age, low weight, acquired comorbidity, increased severity of illness at first procedure), the hazard ratio for f-SV center volume was 1.01 (95% CI, 0.99-1.04) P = .28. There was strong evidence that patients with more complex f-SV (hypoplastic left heart syndrome, Norwood pathway) were treated at centers with greater f-SV case volume (P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: After adjustment for case mix, there was no evidence that f-SV center volume was linked to longer-term survival in the centralized health service provided by the 10 children's cardiac centers in England and Wales.

Pulmonary artery banding: still a role for staged bi-ventricular repair of intracardiac shunts?

OBJECTIVES: Although pulmonary artery banding remains a useful palliation in bi-ventricular shunting lesions, single-stage repair holds several advantages. We investigate outcomes of the former approach in high-risk patients. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study including all pulmonary artery banding procedures over 9 years, excluding single ventricle physiology and left ventricular training. RESULTS: Banding was performed in 125 patients at a median age of 41 days (2-294) and weight of 3.4 kg (1.8-7.32). Staged repair was undertaken for significant co-morbidity in 81 (64.8%) and anatomical complexity in 44 (35.2%). The median hospital stay was 14 days (interquartile range 8-33.5) and 14 patients (11.2%) required anatomical repair before discharge. Nine patients died during the initial admission (hospital mortality 7.2 %) and five following discharge (inter-stage mortality 4.8%). Of 105 banded patients who survived, 19 (18.1%) needed inter-stage re-admission and 18 (14.4%) required unplanned re-intervention. Full repair was performed in 93 (74.4%) at a median age of 13 months (3.1-49.9) and weight of 8.5 kg (3.08-16.8). Prior banding, 54% were below the 0.4th weight centile, but only 28% remained so at repair. Post-repair, 5/93 (5.4%) developed heart block requiring permanent pacemaker, and 11/93 (11.8%) required unplanned re-intervention. The post-repair mortality (including repairs during the initial admission) was 6/93 (6.5%), with overall mortality of the staged approach 13.6% (17/125). CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort with a high incidence of co-morbidity, pulmonary artery banding is associated with a significant risk of re-intervention and mortality. Weight gain improves after banding, but heart block, re-intervention, and mortality remain frequent following repair.

Management of prenatally detected vascular rings: a United Kingdom national survey.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate UK variability in prenatal and postnatal management strategy of right aortic arch and double aortic arch (RAA/DAA). METHODS: Online surveys were sent to senior physicians (consultants) of the National Fetal Cardiology Working Group regarding prenatal diagnosis, counselling, and perinatal management of antenatally diagnosed RAA/DAA and to the British Congenital Cardiovascular Association regarding postnatal management strategies. RESULTS: There were 28 prenatal and 90 postnatal surveys completed. Prenatally, there was consensus for potential associated chromosomal/genetic anomalies, but there was variation in the risk quoted. Confidence in defining aortic arch morphology was reported by 43% (12/28) of fetal cardiologists. There was variation in what was felt to be possible symptoms/signs of a compressive vascular ring, postnatal investigation, postnatal management, follow-up duration of asymptomatic patients, and indications for surgical intervention. CONCLUSION: This study has highlighted important areas for future research: improving accuracy of prenatal diagnosis, clarification of potential symptoms, optimal investigation strategies, and indications for surgery.

Replacement dynamics and the pathogenesis of the Alpha, Delta and Omicron variants of SARS-CoV-2.

New SARS-CoV-2 variants causing COVID-19 are a major risk to public health worldwide due to the potential for phenotypic change and increases in pathogenicity, transmissibility and/or vaccine escape. Recognising signatures of new variants in terms of replacing growth and severity are key to informing the public health response. To assess this, we aimed to investigate key time periods in the course of infection, hospitalisation and death, by variant. We linked datasets on contact tracing (Contact Tracing Advisory Service), testing (the Second-Generation Surveillance System) and hospitalisation (the Admitted Patient Care dataset) for the entire length of contact tracing in the England - from March 2020 to March 2022. We modelled, for England, time delay distributions using a Bayesian doubly interval censored modelling approach for the SARS-CoV-2 variants Alpha, Delta, Delta Plus (AY.4.2), Omicron BA.1 and Omicron BA.2. This was conducted for the incubation period, the time from infection to hospitalisation and hospitalisation to death. We further modelled the growth of novel variant replacement using a generalised additive model with a negative binomial error structure and the relationship between incubation period length and the risk of a fatality using a Bernoulli generalised linear model with a logit link. The mean incubation periods for each variant were: Alpha 4.19 (95% credible interval (CrI) 4.13-4.26) days; Delta 3.87 (95% CrI 3.82-3.93) days; Delta Plus 3.92 (95% CrI 3.87-3.98) days; Omicron BA.1 3.67 (95% CrI 3.61-3.72) days and Omicron BA.2 3.48 (95% CrI 3.43-3.53) days. The mean time from infection to hospitalisation was for Alpha 11.31 (95% CrI 11.20-11.41) days, Delta 10.36 (95% CrI 10.26-10.45) days and Omicron BA.1 11.54 (95% CrI 11.38-11.70) days. The mean time from hospitalisation to death was, for Alpha 14.31 (95% CrI 14.00-14.62) days; Delta 12.81 (95% CrI 12.62-13.00) days and Omicron BA.2 16.02 (95% CrI 15.46-16.60) days. The 95th percentile of the incubation periods were: Alpha 11.19 (95% CrI 10.92-11.48) days; Delta 9.97 (95% CrI 9.73-10.21) days; Delta Plus 9.99 (95% CrI 9.78-10.24) days; Omicron BA.1 9.45 (95% CrI 9.23-9.67) days and Omicron BA.2 8.83 (95% CrI 8.62-9.05) days. Shorter incubation periods were associated with greater fatality risk when adjusted for age, sex, variant, vaccination status, vaccination manufacturer and time since last dose with an odds ratio of 0.83 (95% confidence interval 0.82-0.83) (P value < 0.05). Variants of SARS-CoV-2 that have replaced previously dominant variants have had shorter incubation periods. Conversely co-existing variants have had very similar and non-distinct incubation period distributions. Shorter incubation periods reflect generation time advantage, with a reduction in the time to the peak infectious period, and may be a significant factor in novel variant replacing growth. Shorter times for admission to hospital and death were associated with variant severity - the most severe variant, Delta, led to significantly earlier hospitalisation, and death. These measures are likely important for future risk assessment of new variants, and their potential impact on population health.

Detection of pathogens associated with early-onset neonatal sepsis in cord blood at birth using quantitative PCR.

Background: Early onset neonatal sepsis (EONS) typically begins prior to, during or soon after birth and may be rapidly fatal. There is paucity of data on the aetiology of EONS in sub-Saharan Africa due to limited diagnostic capacity in this region, despite the associated significant mortality and long-term neurological impairment. Methods: We compared pathogens detected in cord blood samples between neonates admitted to hospital with possible serious bacterial infection (pSBI) in the first 48 hours of life (cases) and neonates remaining well (controls). Cord blood was systematically collected at Kilifi County Hospital (KCH) from 2011-2016, and later tested for 21 bacterial, viral and protozoal targets using multiplex PCR via TaqMan Array Cards (TAC). Results: Among 603 cases (101 [17%] of whom died), 179 (30%) tested positive for ≥1 target and 37 (6.1%) tested positive for multiple targets. Klebsiella oxytoca, Escherichia coli/Shigella spp., Pseudomonas aeruginosa, and Streptococcus pyogenes were commonest. Among 300 controls, 79 (26%) tested positive for ≥1 target, 11 (3.7%) were positive for multiple targets, and K. oxytoca and P. aeruginosa were most common. Cumulative odds ratios across controls: cases (survived): cases (died) were E. coli/Shigella spp. 2.6 (95%CI 1.6-4.4); E. faecalis 4.0 (95%CI 1.1-15); S. agalactiae 4.5 (95%CI 1.6-13); Ureaplasma spp. 2.9 (95%CI 1.3-6.4); Enterovirus 9.1 (95%CI 2.3-37); and Plasmodium spp. 2.9 (95%CI 1.4-6.2). Excluding K. oxytoca and P. aeruginosa as likely contaminants, aetiology was attributed in 9.4% (95%CI 5.1-13) cases using TAC. Leading pathogen attributions by TAC were E. coli/Shigella spp. (3.5% (95%CI 1.7-5.3)) and Ureaplasma spp. (1.7% (95%CI 0.5-3.0)). Conclusions: Cord blood sample may be useful in describing EONS pathogens at birth, but more specific tests are needed for individual diagnosis. Careful sampling of cord blood using aseptic techniques is crucial to minimize contamination. In addition to culturable bacteria, Ureaplasma and Enterovirus were causes of EONS.

Standardization of Epidemiological Surveillance of Group A Streptococcal Cellulitis.

Cellulitis is an acute bacterial infection of the dermis and subcutaneous tissue usually found complicating a wound, ulcer, or dermatosis. This article provides guidelines for the surveillance of cellulitis. The primary objectives of cellulitis surveillance are to (1) monitor trends in rates of infection, (2) describe the demographic and clinical characteristics of patients with cellulitis, (3) estimate the frequency of complications, and (4) describe the risk factors associated with primary and recurrent cellulitis. This article includes case definitions for clinical cellulitis and group A streptococcal cellulitis, based on clinical and laboratory evidence, and case classifications for an initial and recurrent case. It is expected that surveillance for cellulitis will be for all-cause cellulitis, rather than specifically for Strep A cellulitis. Considerations of the type of surveillance are also presented, including identification of data sources and surveillance type. Minimal surveillance necessary for cellulitis is facility-based, passive surveillance. Prospective, active, facility-based surveillance is recommended for estimates of pathogen-specific cellulitis burden. Participant eligibility, surveillance population, and additional surveillance considerations such as active follow-up of cases, the use of International Classification of Disease diagnosis codes, and microbiological sampling of cases are discussed. Finally, the core data elements to be collected on case report forms are presented.

Standardization of Epidemiological Surveillance of Acute Poststreptococcal Glomerulonephritis.

Acute poststreptococcal glomerulonephritis (APSGN) is an immune complex-induced glomerulonephritis that develops as a sequela of streptococcal infections. This article provides guidelines for the surveillance of APSGN due to group A Streptococcus (Strep A). The primary objectives of APSGN surveillance are to monitor trends in age- and sex-specific incidence, describe the demographic and clinical characteristics of patients with APSGN, document accompanying risk factors, then monitor trends in frequency of complications, illness duration, hospitalization rates, and mortality. This document provides surveillance case definitions for APSGN, including clinical and subclinical APSGN based on clinical and laboratory evidence. It also details case classifications that can be used to differentiate between confirmed and probable cases, and it discusses the current investigations used to provide evidence of antecedent Strep A infection. The type of surveillance recommended depends on the burden of APSGN in the community and the objectives of surveillance. Strategies for minimal surveillance and enhanced surveillance of APSGN are provided. Furthermore, a discussion covers the surveillance population and additional APSGN-specific surveillance considerations such as contact testing, active follow up of cases and contacts, frequency of reporting, surveillance visits, period of surveillance, and community engagement. Finally, the document presents core data elements to be collected on case report forms, along with guidance for documenting the course and severity of APSGN.